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whosafraidofluigirussolo

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Everything posted by whosafraidofluigirussolo

  1. His velocity isn’t changing much the second or third time he’s seeing hitters and his release point is dropping fractionally, but not enough to explain a 900 point increase in opponents’ OPS...(Alternatively, Milone could be tipping his pitches, but there aren’t any other symptoms of that). What other symptoms of tipping his pitches might you be looking for? (Not a gotcha question, but an honestly curious one.) Opponents hitting him significantly more and harder the 2nd and 3rd times through the order seems like a big symptom already. It may not be statistically significant this early in the season, though.
  2. They were bullpen-only guys by the time they reached the Twins organization. The expectations for Rule V picks are not that high (the occasional Johan Santana gold-strike notwithstanding); if a team gets a good bullpen arm for multiple years from the Rule V, that's a relative success. And where's the starting spot they need one of those guys to fill?
  3. Imagine traveling back in time to, say, 2009, telling some Twins fan about a game against the Yankees featuring Aaron Hicks, Chris Parmelee, Deibinson Romero and Anthony Swarzak playing for the other side, and letting them imagine the blockbuster trade the two teams must have made sometime in the ensuing 7 years.
  4. Agree with both of you - I appreciate that Gleeman generally plays the realist (bordering on wet blanket) when talking about young players or almost any kind of exceptional performance, but it's hard not to like the excitement that's creeping into these last few writeups.
  5. This is my memory, I haven't looked it up, but didn't the Twins as a team walk quite a bit more in 2014 than in '15? I remember several players crediting Brunansky and Molitor for stressing plate approach at that time. Has anyone looked into a trend down into last season, or am I making it up?
  6. At first reading, this doesn't make sense. All teams are built through player development and acquisitions, no? It seems like that first point is really to critique how much analytics (and what kind of analytics) feed into the development and acquisition processes. I think that's a good point, but I'm also not sure it's the same point the rest of the article is making.
  7. Maybe the Twins are only 10th in organization rankings because the rankings take the whole system into account, and the evaluators don't like the Twins' depth beyond the top 100 guys as much as other organizations'....?
  8. How differently would someone else have done it? It's hard to call it a question of accuracy when performances from year to year cause a lot of volatility in any ranking. Meyer ranked way higher across the board before his rough 2015 season. Duffey, I don't remember as much about, but he upped his stock a bunch last year.
  9. If you're thinking of going outside the organization for a center fielder, what about one whose team already decided they didn't want him? Might be somewhat cheaper than trading for a player who's more central in his team's plans.
  10. I don't think signing Cespedes makes Lagares redundant, and I doubt the Mets do either. Cespedes is a weak defensive CF. Lagares is going to enter late in a lot of games as a defensive sub, and he'll probably start a fair bit against lefties too.
  11. Cespedes returns to the Mets for (potentially) $75 million. There's an opt-out after the first year and some provision that he will make $27.5 if he opts out (it's not clear from the currently published terms how that's structured, or what his base salary is if he doesn't opt out.) That's a lot of money per year, but pretty interesting to see how the negotiations balanced a big annual value against a shorter than usual contract for a big free agent. Since the Mets are my "other" team, I was always kind of hoping they'd bring Cespedes back, even if there were some objectively decent reasons not to.
  12. he alternated games between the 2 middle infield positions with 17 year old Yeltsin Encarnacion This is an astoundingly wonderful name. There is a better one coming soon
  13. I like this as a piece of writing, and a lot of the analysis is good, but his claim that Mauer is the better candidate to move to the OF because of his athleticism is swimming against the tide of prevailing opinion: that Sano has the quickness (meaning not just foot speed but reflexes, etc.) to handle the outfield more than Mauer or Plouffe do.
  14. Between Buddy Boshers and Buck Britton they're amassing solid depth in names that could be in a 70s B-list cop film.
  15. Given the overall quality of that video, I wouldn't trust it for information on the actual shape of a person.
  16. Chris Young is off the market (signed with Boston) but he would have been a good pickup. For what's out there and what the Twins need, though, Davis looks like a totally decent fit. I wouldn't be surprised if they embraced a platoon strategy - they at least have to recognize that their outfield looks lefty-heavy if Arcia sticks with the team. But if Buxton isn't ready and they need someone to be an everyday CF for a few months, Davis would be OK.
  17. MLB.com (via the Twins website) has an article saying that the Twins are likely to protect Dean. I would guess that there's some mouthpiece within the organization associated with that information. What's the disconnect between what the organization sees in him and what everyone here sees?
  18. Beyond the more immediate reactions to the Park posting that are out there, I think there's a concern shared by some (including me) that any kind of roster crunch making one or more players look redundant hurts the Twins' trade position. At least it's some consolation that they can make room either by trading Plouffe or by trading an outfielder, and with different suitors for an OF and for a 3B, that might be some kind of leverage.
  19. I think they'll want a role-player veteran for the OF, someone who'd be credible starting regularly for a stretch (say, if Buxton and Kepler don't make the team out of spring training) but wouldn't be completely wasted as a part-timer or reserve. Span is too deserving of a full-time starting role to fit there, but there seem to be a lot of veteran free agent outfielders who roughly fit the profile. Gerardo Parra, Matt Joyce, Rajai Davis, Will Venable, Steve Pearce? Alex Rios if the Royals don't bring him back? Nori Aoki if the Giants don't exercise his option? There's also the DFAed Domonic Brown, for a disappointing-ex-top-prospect angle, though maybe that's not the mojo the Twins want around.
  20. I've adopted the Mets as my "other hometown team," so I'm psyched. One thing was curious to me about last night's game, though - a rule thing that it's possible I never understood or noticed before. Maybe one or more of you savants can shed light on this: the play where Murphy scored to tie the game on D'Arnaud's fly out. So, on a fly out, regardless of whether it's caught in foul territory, a runner is free to tag and advance? I guess I'm surprised that I don't remember seeing that kind of "sac fly in foul territory" play before, but it seemed to be taken for granted in last night's game. What if Ethier had let the ball drop in foul territory - wouldn't it be a dead ball and wouldn't that have kept the runner from advancing? Is it then a stupid play to catch the ball, or is the outfielder so busy tracking the ball that he can't pay attention to where he's catching it?
  21. My prediction is that the biggest trade of the offseason will be one of Gibson or Milone getting moved. Each flashed enough dominant starts this season that someone will buy one of them as a mid-rotation starter with some upside. In general, starting pitching depth obviously has helped the team this year but this is a time to move a bit of that depth. I think Nolasco is unmovable until he has a stretch of both good health and decent pitching. My guess is that he doesn't last the year with the team regardless, but I imagine him breaking camp as a starter, getting together just enough trade value if he pitches well, and the Twins being ready to DFA him at mid-season if it doesn't work out. They'll be more than halfway through the contract at that point. Plouffe's will be an interesting situation to watch. There are decent arguments for trading him or not trading him, but one telling thing is how little Sano played at 3B, despite being in the majors about half the season. I don't disagree that he's too young and valuable to be only a DH, but it seems like the Twins may not be ready to declare him a full-time 3B yet either.
  22. Getaway-from-the-season lineup.
  23. Not only that (the second comment) but Kepler throws with his left arm. I've read speculation that it should be possible for lefty throwers to play catcher, but for whatever reason, maybe just hidebound traditionalism, all pro catchers throw righty as far as I know.
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