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whosafraidofluigirussolo

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Everything posted by whosafraidofluigirussolo

  1. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    I like the list, but number 13 had me wondering. What kind of trade could the Twins make with the Dodgers at this point that would strengthen the Dodgers without setting the Twins back?
  2. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    It seems like some of the talk nationally about the Cubs retooling or rebuilding has been that they can't or shouldn't trade Báez or Bryant because they had rough years in 2020 and the return won't be worth it. However, if the Cubs really are motivated to sell, and that rough recent patch plus only one year of control left limits the price, then this is a very interesting idea. Báez is a good shortstop, but IIRC he's also played some 2B and 3B, so this could be another plus. I know the idea if the Twins acquire another middle infielder is to move Polanco or Arráez to super-utility, but it's not guaranteed that that move would go smoothly, so having another player with positional versatility isn't a bad thing.
  3. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    In terms of value over multiple years given up, I think there have been worse recet Twins trades, but in terms of getting value back and thought process informing the trade, man, that Hardy deal was brutal.
  4. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    And at least two of those players - Pollock and Reddick - were playing on contracts they signed as unrestricted free agents and when they were perceived as being at the height of their value. That Eddie isn't perceived as at the height of his value says something about how the valuation of players has changed since those contracts. But also he's just at a different point in his travel through baseball's financial landscape (regardless of how fair or unfair that landscape may be) than several of these players were.
  5. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Interesting that you say Tanaka is likely returning in pinstripes and Paxton will need to be pried from the Yankees - I don't really see those two as such foundational pieces there that returning to the Yankees would be a foregone conclusion, or that other teams would have difficulty entering the bidding.
  6. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    The Yankees non-tendered JA Happ today too. I'm not sure there will be a lot of upside among the non-tendered players (position players or pitchers) but there probably will be more interesting names in that pool than in the usual offseason. Happ sounds more appealing than about half this list at first glance.
  7. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Is Tomás Telis still in the Twins system? A new backup catcher doesn't need to be a young prospect. Telis could probably handle the backup gig if Astudillo and Avila left. The article notes that Garver just finished his fourth season as an argument that he's still relatively early in his major-league career, but even that overstates his experience a bit, since he spent a lot of 2017 season in the minors.
  8. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    A lot of free agency forecasting articles have cited that the DH will continue to exist in both leagues in 2021. No one has said this publicly yet, right? Do we know when an announcement might happen? As far as Cruz goes, at any rate, totally agree with: Would be hesitant to resign Cruz on a two year deal and would love to have him back for one. There might be some recency bias with Romo's struggles in the playoffs causing some of us to think his season was worse than it really was, but it seems like picking up his option is a big risk of paying for decline. The buyout isn't an onerous amount. Use what would be Romo's salary to give Clippard a little raise if he wants to come back. I hope the Twins engage May about a deal, but I think someone else will end up offering him more - although depending on how teams behave after this oddball season, the middle of the free-agent market where he is might get squeezed. But he's young enough and successful enough that I think someone will pay him. I imagine Odorizzi may want another one-year contract to play a healthy year and then hit the market again, and I imagine the Twins might prefer to sign him for multiple years, but I'd be happy to see either if he wants to return. He's fairly young, he has something to prove about his health, and he had the best season of his career in MN. It seems to make a lot of sense.
  9. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    I suppose it's possible that if Donaldson were healthy, neither Astudillo nor Kirilloff would be on this series roster and they might have had a spot for another pitcher? They're sort of replacing Donaldson with both players - Astudillo for the ability to play 3B (mainly as a depth option if Marwin has to start there) and Kirilloff theoretically to replace some pop on the roster.
  10. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Yeah, this surprises me too—it's not surprising that Odorizzi would slot ahead of Bailey if he's healthy, which seems obvious enough, but that the management is confident enough in their options for a potential 5th starter without Bailey around as at least emergency depth.
  11. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    This is not at all a criticism after a big win, but a curiosity. I was surprised that the 9th inning didn't go to a lower-leverage reliever, particularly Poppen—who has been on the training-camp shuttle and a lower-leverage pitcher this year, and who would have been warming up with a 6-run lead and then entering with a 7-run lead. Maybe this tracks with Poppen being the one to come up when Odorizzi went back on the IL—considering that this put the Twins down a starter, and Dobnak would have been able to come up (exempt from the minimum minor-league option time) if he were replacing an injured player, but I don't think he can be recalled now. All of which makes me wonder if Poppen is getting the start, or the "bulk" innings in a bullpen game, in what would have been Odorizzi's next turn in the rotation.
  12. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    I thought the same. I do think these predictions are just MLB's staff writers throwing stuff at the wall, not a response to anything they've heard from connected sources. Still, both of the predictions involving the Twins seem like overpays, the suggested Yastrzemski deal especially—their top position and pitching prospects for a lefty-hitting outfielder (and more an interesting late bloomer, at that, than a player with a long established track record) when they have lots of lefty outfielders and the offensive help they need is from the right side? Insane. Going for an impact starter and centering the trade around one of their outfield prospects is a better strategy. The harder the Twins FO goes after a starter, I imagine, the more it shows they doubt Pineda and/or Odorizzi will be back to full strength down the stretch. It'll be interesting to see what happens.
  13. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Come on.
  14. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    I haven't looked at Adrianza's splits, and maybe there's reason to think he's a good right-handed pinch-hitting option even as he's having a weak offensive year. However, I thought it was curious that he was the choice to pinch-hit for Avila against a lefty—considering that Jeffers hits righty, was going to come into the game anyway, and hasn't been obviously overmatched so far.
  15. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    I'd think it would be another pitcher. Thorpe is the freshest arm based on the chart above, but maybe also the most logical to send down? Of the most recently taxed pitchers in the bullpen, Rogers isn't going anywhere, Alcala may be in line for higher leverage spots, Wisler and Smeltzer don't really deserve a demotion after solid work in the last bullpen game, I don't think Wisler can be optioned anyway and I'm not sure whether Thielbar can be either.
  16. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    MLBTR says "Minnesota will make a 28-man roster move to accommodate Vargas’ activation at a later date." The point of a lot of the DFA rules is to keep players from getting stuck in limbo or shuttled back and forth to the minors indefinitely, no? Can the Twins announce the deal and still have a couple days to make room for Vargas if the week-long DFA period isn't over?
  17. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    I'm assuming that some or many of the players who were mentioned as late-first-round candidates and haven't been drafted yet are getting hard to sign at this point and will go undrafted, given that the draft is short, bonus pools are small, and going back to school may be more appealing than usual. But kinda wondering if Beeter will be there at pick 59?
  18. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    A lot of those college pitchers mentioned in the mid-late first round ended up slipping out of the round. It'll be interesting to see how long they last. The Padres' competitive balance round pick was born on 9/11 (the infamous one.)
  19. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Cool.
  20. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Incidental note: Man, oh man, the draft is slow in the early rounds. Like, I'm prepared for it to be slow every year I take the time to follow the first round in real time, and I'm still struck by how slow it moves.
  21. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    I know the Twins FO has a pattern of favoring hitters with early picks, and Seth's predictions take that as a strong indication. I know it's always a good idea to take the best player available in the first round, and the current strengths of the Twins system (counting the majors) are probably coloring my preferences. But man...it would be nice to get a pitcher at the top of this draft. It's supposed to be a pitching-rich draft. If there's any fuzziness in the ranking or tiers of players by the late 1st round, seems like a good chance to opt for adding an arm to the overall makeup of the system. Getting Howard if he fell would also be cool. Sabato as a positionless power bat...ehh.
  22. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Torkelson was just taken and (at least according to MLB.com) announced as a 3rd baseman.
  23. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Just guessing that one spot still is as good as open for the young guys. With Maeda in the fold, I don't think Chacín's experience gives him any leg up for a rotation spot any more. I'm betting it's an open competition for that last spot and there's a good chance that Chacín doesn't win it and instead latches on elsewhere.
  24. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Thinking this is as good a thread as any for a tidbit from Dan Hayes, from this morning's roster projection article in the Athletic: Basically, we’re kind of flipping a coin on how the back end of the rotation may look until Pineda returns on May 10 and Hill works his way back into action. But it could be extremely varied. Still, the Twins are high on Thorpe because of his pitch mix and they believe that his ability to eventually adjust to new levels will kick in this season. The team also has some potentially very interesting veteran options coming via yet-to-be-announced non-roster invites to spring training.
  25. whosafraidofluigirussolo
    Signing Donaldson and extending Sanó sets a higher floor for the offense for the next several years, even after Cruz and (presumably) Rosario move on. Perhaps a good time to take the risk of offering a top hitting prospect in trade. If Kirilloff or Larnach as a centerpiece would get the Twins a good arm, they should do it.
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