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Otto von Ballpark

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Everything posted by Otto von Ballpark

  1. Otto von Ballpark
    Keep in mind, playoffs have expanded, and it's a little too early to conclude that the top 6 spots in the league are untouchable. Fangraphs projections right now have the current Twins roster at 79.5 wins, just 5 games behind the #6 spot. There should be plenty of opportunities to evaluate prospects, even with a few more FA additions.
  2. Otto von Ballpark
    More opening day and make-up details
  3. Otto von Ballpark
    Schedule changes coming in 2023 too:
  4. Otto von Ballpark
    A little more detail on 2023 rule changes:
  5. Otto von Ballpark
    12-team postseason and universal DH too.
  6. Otto von Ballpark
    Opening day is set for April 7th, apparently.
  7. Otto von Ballpark
    At its core, baseball is about a cycle of repetition. The beauty of the game lies in this cycle of repetition. Ugliness in the game is in the same cycle of repetition. Did I mention there is a cycle of repetition?
  8. Otto von Ballpark
    Worth noting that the NHL didn't switch to a cheaper service or bundling in Canada, where there is no ESPN+. In Canada, the NHL still has its own out-of-market streaming package for $200 CAD, the same as in past years and roughly comparable to MLBTV ($130 USD) and NBA League Pass ($200 USD). I think the NHL realized they just didn't have the USA customer base to support offering that out-of-market package here anymore, so they partnered with ESPN+ instead. From what I've heard, that's working out pretty well for everyone involved so far -- but such bundling would be a much different calculation for the NBA and MLB.
  9. Otto von Ballpark
    Thanks for clarifying. Do you just have the $6.99/month Hulu (or $12.99 ad-free), or are you bundling it with ESPN+? I knew that ESPN+ was the NHL's out-of-market service in the US now, but I didn't know the extent of their cross-promotion with Hulu. This is what the Hulu website says: ESPN+ on Hulu and Disney Bundle subscribers will also have access to out-of-market NHL games, plus on-demand replays. A select number of live NHL games may be available to all Hulu subscribers during the regular season.
  10. Otto von Ballpark
    MLB national TV deals can pre-empt local deals. Same way they have flipped other games to Fox, ESPN, YouTube, etc. in recent years. I'm sure all of the local deals have standard language in them to deal with this.
  11. Otto von Ballpark
    Out of curiosity, how are you watching the Wild on Hulu? I didn't think they carried Bally Sports North. Edit: if you're out-of-market, and getting out-of-market NHL games via ESPN+ through Hulu, that's basically the same as MLB.TV right now, no?
  12. Otto von Ballpark
    It's in there. Link to press release “Friday Night Baseball,” a weekly doubleheader with live pre- and postgame shows that will be available to fans in eight countries exclusively on Apple TV+ as soon as the regular season begins. Emphasis mine. Also in the sub-heading "available only on Apple TV+"
  13. Otto von Ballpark
    Interesting nugget: Cleveland actually sold shares in the team in the late 1990s, and therefore had to disclose some of their financials publicly. You can read a run-down in Terry Pluto's book on the club here: Dealing: The Cleveland Indians' New Ballgame by Terry Pluto (Google Books excerpt) Pluto makes the argument that owner Dick Jacobs got out at the right time by selling in 2000, but of course franchise values have continued exploding.
  14. Otto von Ballpark
    Here's the Forbes baseball list for the 2000 season, showing Cleveland ranking 5th in revenue: https://www.sportsbusinessjournal.com/Daily/Issues/2001/09/12/Ratings-Research/Forbes-00-MLB-Valuations-Have-NY-State-Of-Mind.aspx Of course, the revenue spread has continued exploding since then -- ranking #5 in 2000 isn't the same as ranking #5 now.
  15. Otto von Ballpark
    WCCO talks to Minnesota fans about the MLB player's strike, just days after MLB cancelled the 1994 playoffs and World Series. Includes some archival footage of Met Stadium and its demolition. Watch the rest of that newscast here. Presented in partnership with TC Media Now. View full video
  16. Otto von Ballpark
    WCCO talks to Minnesota fans about the MLB player's strike, just days after MLB cancelled the 1994 playoffs and World Series. Includes some archival footage of Met Stadium and its demolition. Watch the rest of that newscast here. Presented in partnership with TC Media Now.
  17. Otto von Ballpark
    One of the two live sports streaming services in Canada, TSN Direct, has a "Day Pass" but it's $8, compared to $20 for a month (or ~$16 per month if you pay for a year all at once). So if you're watching at least 2-3 days a month, you are better off getting a monthly/annual plan anyway. The other service, Sportsnet Now, had a "7-day pass" but it appears to have been discontinued now -- minimum is a month at $15. If Bally is more aggressive than those services about courting single-game viewers, I suspect it could be part of a gambling push -- for example, "bet $5 on this game and watch it for free!"
  18. Otto von Ballpark
    Looks like Bally is about to get local NBA streaming rights too: Sinclair Lines Up NBA and $600 Million for New Streaming App Like their NHL deal, presumably this just covers the 16 teams Bally already carries on their RSNs (including the Timberwolves). Probably too late to include the current NBA/NHL regular seasons -- my guess is that it would roll out before the start of the 2022-2023 NBA/NHL seasons, unless they can quickly line up similar rights for MLB this spring, although that seems doubtful given the overall MLB situation right now.
  19. Otto von Ballpark
    Vikings' potential playoff competition -- Eagles, 49ers, and Saints -- all won this afternoon. So the Vikings postseason odds are down to 3%, per 538. Looks like like only way in is for the Vikings to win out (at GB tonight, vs CHI next week) and have the Eagles and Saints lose next week (vs DAL and at ATL, respectively).
  20. Otto von Ballpark
    Nevin was actually acquired to be the RH side of a DH platoon... with Jason Tyner. He never played 3B for us (and only had 1 MLB inning at 3B after 2002.)
  21. Otto von Ballpark
    No reason the Twins should artificially restrict their market like that! A non-living or non-human shortstop could prove to be a market inefficiency.
  22. Otto von Ballpark
    What team is most likely to make it in at 8-9? Among the top teams currently at 6 wins or fewer, using 538's "Choose Your Own Results" tool to give each team an 8-9 final record in isolation (without assuming the results of any other games), Washington appears the most likely to make the wild card with an 8-9 record. Washington 15%/44%/52% 49ers 17-24% Vikings 12-16% Eagles 5%/10%/26% (The 3 figures for Washington and the Eagles reflect the 3 possible head-to-head outcomes: 0-2/1-1/2-0. The 2 figures for 49ers and Vikings represent whether they lose or win in their remaining games vs the Rams.)
  23. Otto von Ballpark
    Yup. Approximate wild-card odds now, per 538 (playoff odds minus division odds): Rams 87% 49ers 63% Washington 34% Eagles 33% Vikings 28% Saints 14%
  24. Otto von Ballpark
    I've seen this list making the rounds, but it isn't really accurate. First of all, it ignores all of the defensive stops on potential game-winning drives in tie games -- at least 4 between the Cincinnati/Baltimore OT games alone. (Apparently every OT loss is automatically an 0-for-1 for the defense by this measure, regardless of circumstance.) Secondly, it's not even consistent in only looking at "final drives" -- there were 3 drives after what they call the "game-winning FG" in the Arizona game, for example (one defensive stop, and two offensive drives that produced zero points when a FG would have taken the lead). And in addition to Arizona, there have been other late defensive stops they've made when trailing by 1 score or less, to give the Vikings offense a chance to win or tie (2 more vs Cincinnati, a bunch vs Cleveland, etc.). And stops that gave the Vikings offense the chance to extend the lead to more than 1 score. Not to say the Vikings defense has been perfect -- of course it hasn't. But they're not "0 for 8" in any meaningful, consistent measure.
  25. Otto von Ballpark
    I think the clock management issue started before that. We took over on the Lions 19 with 4:01 remaining (and the Lions with only one timeout). After our first down run gained 5 yards, our next two snaps (2nd and 3rd down) each happened with 10-11 second left on the play clock while the game clock was running. We ultimately got the first down, but we had to take our 1st and goal snap at 2:03, effectively giving the Lions an extra timeout. Just waiting another ~3 seconds combined, between those two snaps, could have left the Lions with no timeouts and just ~0:24 left to start their drive (albeit only needing a field goal to win). Edit to add: in this scenario, we could have also potentially scored a touchdown on 3rd down with around 1:06 left. Failing that, we could have taken the FG with 0:24 left.
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