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AlwaysinModeration

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Everything posted by AlwaysinModeration

  1. AlwaysinModeration
    I'll take Amaurys Minier again like two years ago. I'll confess, though, I never find the time.
  2. AlwaysinModeration
    Thanks Seth--this post was exactly what I was asking for the other day. Great overview of how they run the full camp. Really interesting to hear how they work on different skills. Is there video analysis built into their days?
  3. AlwaysinModeration
    Good reporting, Seth. Here's a request: with the official start of the minors camp, can you give a big picture view? How many players total, where are they assigned to the (7?) different fields, how many games, how long are people there, etc? I'm interested in the overall logistics of it; how many staff are there to manage the whole operation? Then a snapshot of the calendar; when typically are the big cuts, and any other major milestones through the month? Really like the quotes from the players and Molitor. Lastly, I like the visual of Dee and Tom checking in on Nick. Baseball is always about families; they have spent years and years attending each other's games.
  4. AlwaysinModeration
    Alex Meyer needs to be in the 2016 starting rotation.
  5. AlwaysinModeration
    That was a bullet. Looks like his elbow is recovered.
  6. AlwaysinModeration
    While it is surprising to see Vegas put the Twins at 68.5, as it appears on the surface the team has a good amount of upward trajectory, the full equation includes the other teams. If Vegas see the other teams as significantly better, that might make the wins harder to come by for the Twins.
  7. AlwaysinModeration
    Very interesting umpire comments. I have had the privilege of umpiring a bunch of little league games the past couple of years, and what seems like a fairly straightforward job--especially for the casual fan--turns into a much more difficult proposition. Suddenly, there a are a lot more gray areas. There are 3-0 counts that make you want to expand the strike zone for the kid pitching who can't stop walking kids. Then there are the 0-2 counts that you want to squeeze the zone for the totally overmatched kid. Then there are the batters who are on top of the plate and the catchers who make audible sounds when they disagree with your call. And all of the sides if the zone suddenly have a lot more fuzzy spots that are hard to be consistent. And then there is when your son is batting, or worse, pitching, and you try to be sure to be objective...and usually give him a tougher zone than the rest of the kids. Rarely has pitch framing come into play, although the point about catching it well can have an impact. There are certainly some of the kids who will hold the pitches they think are strikes and even a bit of pulling pitches back into the zone a bit, but neither of those influence much for me. Overall, it totally changes your perspective. Not so easy. Fun, though. (Except for when you are behind the kid who doesn't get a glove on more than half of the pitches.)
  8. AlwaysinModeration
    That's an impressive amount of work Parker, nice piece. I wonder if the team will give Pinto the silent treatment the first time he throws a runner out this year.
  9. AlwaysinModeration
    They can't field ten players. But I like seeing Hicks there.
  10. AlwaysinModeration
    That's one helluva system. Add in Wander Javier and Brady Aiken, and they will be all set.
  11. AlwaysinModeration
    Do the five mentioned definitely have spots locked down? How many spots are left, and who is the competition for Graham for those spots? I would like to see Graham do well and win a spot, but I don't get a sense of his chances here.
  12. AlwaysinModeration
    Shane--I read your linked article, and I'll raise you--I have a copy of The Book on my shelf! I have long thought Mauer should lead off.
  13. AlwaysinModeration
    The reason I listed the base runners plated is because RBI as a stat lacks context. Some were saying Torii just got more RBIs because he had more opportunities. The stats I provided added some context to that, and they are fairly intuitive. I haven't done more to figure out how many of the runners were RISP, but we could do that. As for fast runners versus slow runners, who knows.
  14. AlwaysinModeration
    Mauer: 52/337 for a 15% clip Dozier: 52/402 for a 13% rate Arcia: 40/268 for a 15% rate
  15. AlwaysinModeration
    Torii came up to bat last year with 370 base runners, and scored 69 of them for a 19% clip. Plouffe came up to bat with 391 base runners, and plated 69 of them for an 18% clip.
  16. AlwaysinModeration
    Funny stuff, folks. What are Roger Clemens kids all named?
  17. AlwaysinModeration
    Great article. Loved the stories. It made me start looking through bbref for details of my one game at the Met. My recollections are as vague as JB_Iowas, except I remember sitting in LF, and seeing Billy Martin kicking dirt at second base before getting kicked out of the game. I always thought he was coaching the Twins at the time, but now I see I was wrong, since he coached them in 1969 before I was born. It must have been between 1980-1982, when I was between 6 and 8. Bbref doesn't seem to have manager ejections listed though. It would be fun to pinpoint the exact game.
  18. AlwaysinModeration
    Great piece, thanks for posting it on TD. Good balanced analysis. Good point about how Ryan was generally very good at avoided trading away players who would become above average players. Also interesting insight on lack of Latinos. I wonder what Terry Ryan's take on PED users is. Was he less likely to keep or sign suspected users?
  19. AlwaysinModeration
    My guess is Buxton is #1
  20. AlwaysinModeration
    I agree with Doc--Berrios reminds me of Pedro. I think we should doubt JO at our own peril. He met all his goals last year. Wasn't his goal this year to break camp in the rotation? (Could you imagine that?!?)
  21. AlwaysinModeration
    I agree with Kwak. #8 Molitor as manager is the biggest question mark and really the subject with the biggest long-term impact on the team heading into spring training.
  22. AlwaysinModeration
    Well, I hope Kohl strikes out a few more guys this year.
  23. AlwaysinModeration
    I think that playing deep is one of the ways SS rank higher in fielding metrics. One of the reason's JJ Hardy always rated well in these metrics is how deep he played. Conversely, Jeter missed a lot of grounders because he always played so shallow ("pasta diving Jeter"). Hopefully Gordon will play deep in the hole and leverage that cannon.
  24. AlwaysinModeration
    I think Rosario is high at 78. 77 is probably more accurate. Maybe 76. I'd look at the AAA rotation, and count on at least 2-4 of the opening day AAA rotation getting MLB time. Assuming May or Milone gets #5, who will fill out that rotation? Meyer, May/Milone, Wheeler, O'Rourke(?), Duffey? Berrios? If Berrios makes the AAA rotation, his chance at the MLB roster at some point should be way higher. I'd also guess Wheeler has way more than 15% chance.
  25. AlwaysinModeration
    I like the premise of the article, but I would put my top five developments for 2014 slightly differently: 1)The emergence of Hughes: He improved his control dramatically, developed his cutter, and now the Twins have what looks like an ace for the next five years. 2)Departure of Gardy and Anderson, but not Bruno. The guys without new ideas are gone. (Actually the new idea "start infielders" in the outfield is hopefully gone.). Molitor appears open to new approaches (see defensive shifts) and Neil Allen brings in an outside perspective from an innovative organization. 3)Setbacks by Sano and Buxton. Lost years from the twin top-five prospects should moderate expectations. Still high hopes for stardom for both...but not quite a certainty. 4)The Terry Ryan return from cancer and continuation as the GM. Rob Antony was his interim replacement earlier this year. Neither appear innovative or anywhere near cutting edge. Most of the strengthening of the farm system had been good draft picks (Buxton, Stewart, Gordon), luck (Sano) or a combination (Berrios). Meyer and May are attributable to Ryan, but also cost the Twins years of CF question marks. Last year, he extended Suzuki when he was playing way over his career norms instead of trading him. Then he spent $10mm on the worst-fielding OF in the game for his age-40 season. 5)One last high draft pick. The poor 2014 play netted what will hopefully be the last top ten draft pick for years to come.
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