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Linus

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Everything posted by Linus

  1. I don’t think Max is the sharpest knife in the drawer.
  2. To answer the question, the results speak for themselves - not very.
  3. My point is that you need to bring them up when they are ready to succeed. For some that might 22; others later and some (a lot) are just not good enough at any age. Go look at the whole league - guys being brought up at 21 is not common and is usually really standout prospects. For the Twins off the top of my head that is Mauer and Buxton in recent times. That the Twins don’t bring up guys at a young age has to do with several things but the primary one is they haven’t had the prospect quality to warrant it (and they draft a lot of college guys who are already 21). The correct time will vary with each individual.
  4. I think it is pretty simple with Mathews. He’s got the stuff and multiple good pitches. In the minors he could throw everything over the plate and get guys out. In the bigs he just has to hit his spots a little more consistently and he could be really good. I like his pitch mix better than Festa and he has better command than Bradley. He and Abel are our best starter bets for the future.
  5. Respectfully disagree. People refer to the Twins “overhyping their prospects”. I don’t see it. Fans and ranking services, prospect publications, etc hype prospects. Other than naming Minor League Player of the Week or Year and answering questions from media I don’t see some concerted effort to pump up their prospects. I mean if somebody asks about Gabby Gonzales what do you want them to say “he’s out of shape and a mediocre fielder”. Of course they are going to say “we are pleased with the progress he has made particularly with the bat and look forward to see what he can do”. Fans overhype prospects the most and it ain’t even close. Even on this site there is a consistent stream of articles about the farm, usually on the unrealistically positive side but I get that too. Who wants to go to a post about a prospect and read about all the reasons they likely won’t make it, which is the reality so you emphasize the good stuff.
  6. I agree about the overall strategy being confusing but what I was referring to is really a reflection on the Pohlads. If you are committed to extending good players then bring them up early and get em going. If you are not going to extend guys then you don’t want to waste 1.5 years of the five because they weren’t quite ready for the bigs. Honestly, if you can develop players this would be the way to go for mid- market teams. Then again there is that development elephants in the room.
  7. Plus the way the Twins are operating you have to look at each player as a five year option (they will trade them before the last year of control). You want to make damn sure they are ready to contribute that whole five year period.
  8. I normally don’t pay attention to prospects this young but what he did at A+ is noteworthy. I found it telling that the highlight included Amick who had four years of college on him. I would get the best catching instructor in the system and have him coach him at each level until the bigs. A left handed hitting catcher with power and good defense is something to dream on.
  9. Advice to Twins Daily writers: don’t use the term pipeline in any future articles.
  10. Kepler is not a Twins Hall of Famer. The only thing he has going for him in this regard is longevity and the fact that Falvey couldn’t develop a legit mlb outfielder to take his place.
  11. Well written post. I see you are in high school, perhaps the Twins Daily staff should bring you on board to provide a young Twins fan perspective. I will enjoy watching these three this summer as well.
  12. Funderburk would go through all the challenges in a half inning - guy thinks everything is a strike, perhaps because he doesn’t know what they look like 😀. Jeffers seemed good at it last spring.
  13. This is an important point. Permit me to expand on it a little further. Many fans get excited about rankings, projections, etc. which is fun and fine. The only true measuring stick is how many bona fide big leaguers did you get out of the farm system or international draft, etc? It’s remindful of the older college pitchers the Twins draft. A bunch of them get to A+ and AA with decent numbers and everyone gets excited. Yet it terms of actual big league production it hasn’t been great yet if you focus on minor league numbers things would appear rosy. Specifically considering ERod, I think the bust potential is substantial. I hope he is the next Willie Mays but I will be cautious in my hopes. People cite Judge and a few others as guys with high strike out rates in the minors but are great in the bigs. True enough. Now take all the guys that had high strike out rates in the minors and see what percentage thrived in the bigs. Citing future HOF players as the norm is a fools errand. I hope E Rod thrives in St Paul and gets the chance to play every day for the Twins this summer sometime so we can all find out for sure.
  14. I think WPA is interesting. Not so much in trying to value players but just the underlying data saying in this situation run expectancy is this and then what happens with certain outcomes.
  15. Keaschall and Culpepper should be flipped (Keaschall should be even lower). Culpepper becoming a solid big league SS is really important. If can do it our infield will fall into place for the next several years. If he can’t do it, we will trading our most valuable assets to plug that hole (I am not counting on Houston). Keaschall plays positions where we have guys already. He also is likely to regress from his hitting debut and his defense is not stellar. I like him as a starter but he isn’t likely to be a main cog on a playoff team.
  16. I think this theme should be flipped around. Everyone not named Buxton and Jeffers needs to step up. They are all going to have to contribute a lot more if this is going to turn around in 26. Regarding Royce we are fast approaching the time where the word potential is a dirty word. Many people post here about his high ceiling and potential - are we really sure that’s true? Sometimes I feel like it is a baseless assumption based on draft pedigree. Obviously I want him to be a great player but for me, he is very much in the suspect category.
  17. Except Nick has stated it’s not a trade value compilation but it’s not a big deal. Just doesn’t really mean anything to me anyway.
  18. This is kind of the point I’ve been repeating for a while now. Analytics are incredibly valuable and necessary. However what happens when you have that data? You make a DECISION, on that hopefully fits into a strategic plan that has been tailored to the organization. It’s quite possible to be good at one part and deficient in another. I believe that is what we have with Falvey. In the end, you are graded by the quality of your decisions as they fit into an overall plan regardless of whether those decisions are based on analytics, a scouts eye or darts on a dartboard. You are judged by the end result.
  19. It might just be me but the definition of the exercise is so vague that it’s not useful. Building the “vision” of a championship team or building an actual championship team? In what time frame? If it’s a near term time frame including next year then Jeffers would be really high on the list and Houston not even on it. If it’s three to five years Jeffers and Ober won’t be here. Appreciate the player analysis however.
  20. I’m not going to get worked up about it but the actual difference between Arcia, Kreidler or Fitzgerald is so minimal I would have just kept Fitzgerald and spent my time and energy on making the team actually better.
  21. Apparently. There is a thread titled no such thing as a bad minor league deal in the Twins talk forum.
  22. Well that’s not happening right away because they just signed Orlando Arcia to a milb deal.
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