Nick Nelson

Do you have to complete a circle to be "circling"? This feels like a redux of the classic "batting around" argument ...

It's been a long time since we've circled the bases with a Three-Bagger, which explores three different Twins stories in the news. As Spring Training 2.0 swings into gear, let's unpack a quirk in the timing of Michael Pineda's return, the implications of top prospects playing just minutes away from Target Field, and the saddening uncertainty surrounding Fernando Romero.Michael Pineda: It's Just Like Making a Trade! During the latest episode of Gleeman and the Geek, Aaron and John made a connection that I hadn't noticed: the conclusion of Pineda's carryover suspension will coincide almost exactly with MLB's rejiggered August 31st trade deadline. This brings to mind the classic utterance for Twins fans, "It's just like making a trade!" – often used to mock the team for sitting out deadlines, and pointing to players returning from injuries as impact additions. Interestingly, as Patrick Wozniak wrote here last week, this is basically a script-flip on the original plan for Rich Hill, who was supposed to join the fold around the standard deadline and negate a possible need for the team. Now, the veteran lefty is expected to be ready to go from Day 1. By being forced to serve his full remaining suspension in a shortened year, Pineda is getting a raw deal. It's almost hard to believe the league would stick to such a penalty, and that explains why reporters keep getting asked about it over and over again. Just doesn't make sense. Alas, the Twins are almost guaranteed to get one big addition around the strange new deadline. Twins Across the Twin Cities On Monday, the Twins shared publicly their 60-man player pool, which includes the entire 40-man roster plus 19 non-roster players. As expected, the discretionary "taxi squad" list is filled mostly with experienced minor-leaguers, along with a handful of top prospects. I gotta say that all this talk about "Summer Camp" and pools is not helping with me normal summer FOMO, but I digress. It's exciting to see all these names and to think about the possibility of young talents like Trevor Larnach or Brent Rooker making an impact. (Cody Christie wrote about the chances of various top prospects to reach the majors in 2020.) It's quite interesting to me that the auxiliary group will be based out of CHS Field in St. Paul, just miles away from Target Field. I've always thought it would be fun to have a minor-league team in the same vicinity as the big-league club, giving fans an opportunity to see upcoming talent without traveling. (Red Sox fans, for example, need drive only 40 minutes or so to see their Triple-A team in Pawtucket.) That won't really be in play this summer, obviously, but it's cool that Royce Lewis and Alex Kirilloff and other premier upcoming prospects will be staying sharp so nearby. On that note, I'm very curious: what is "staying sharp" going to look like? In order to be ready to step into legitimate major-league action on short notice – not to mention simply develop skills appropriately throughout the season – these extra players need to be routinely competing at a very high level, which exceeds the typical intrasquad scrimmage or sim game. What will that look like? Games? Stats? Will there be coverage? I have no doubt there'll be appetite for it. Wherefore Art Thou, Romero? One player who, like Pineda, is on the team's summer roster but currently unavailable: Fernando Romero, also on restricted list. In this case, though, the underlying reason is unclear. Romero didn't report to camp in March due to visa issues, and those issues evidently haven't been resolved. To my knowledge, there still haven't been any details reported on exactly what's going on here. I suppose it would make sense if the visa application system is currently bogged down and out of whack due to everything going on. Hopefully that's the case, and Romero isn't embroiled in something serious. Either way, it's a really tough situation for a guy at a key spot in his career. Romero was set to exhaust his final MLB option in 2020. At this point, you've really gotta wonder if we are going to see him pitch again in a Minnesota uniform. The former No. 1 Twins Daily prospect and forgotten flamethrower averaged 97 MPH with his fastball in the majors last year, ranking in the 95th percentile among all pitchers. MORE FROM TWINS DAILY — Latest Twins coverage from our writers — Recent Twins discussion in our forums — Follow Twins Daily via Twitter, Facebook or email Click here to view the article

In customary fashion, the tiebreaker played between Minnesota and Cleveland to decide the fictional AL Central was an intense nailbiter decided on the final play. But ultimately the Twins emerged victorious, notching their 95th win to take the division crown and advance to the ALDS in our interactive 2020 sim. Find the full rundown below as we get ready for what's next.To get caught up on what we're doing here, you can check out the introductory post in the series for an explanation of the premise and setup. But the quick version is this: We're playing a progressive simulated Twins season on MLB The Show 20 on PS4, and y'all are helping guide the ship. In each installment I'll update you on what's happened since the last, and put at least one key decision up for vote. Date In Game: 9/29 Team Record: 95-68 LATEST RESULTS (1-0) Gm 163 vs CLE: W 3-2 (Snell 6 IP, 0 R, 8 K, W) Minnesota Twins Win AL Central Title! THE RUNDOWN Throughout this simulated season I've been running on MLB The Show 20, I have typically used the "Quick Manage" mode, which basically means I sim every at-bat in rapid-fire fashion, from a dashboard, and dictate decisions along the way. These games usually take about five minutes each to complete. But given the magnitude of Game 163, which was prompted by the final week's events, I figured I would go with the "Manage Full Game" mode, in which I actually watch the simulation play out and manage along the way. I took plenty of screenshots and live-streamed the game on Twitter (starting here). Below I'll provide an in-depth recount of this 10-inning roller coaster. 1ST INNING Blake Snell, who was voted overwhelmingly last week as the choice to start this game, takes the hill for the Twins. He's been good but not spectacular since coming over from the Rays in a blockbuster deadline trade. We're hoping that his dominant strikeout stuff will show up today in the biggest game of the season. Download attachment: snellstarting.jpeg Snell gets the leadoff man Delino DeShields Jr. on an attempted bunt hit, with Josh Donaldson charging in and making a nice bare-handed play. Then second baseman Cesar Hernandez tries the same thing successfully, delivering a better, softer bunt. Up comes Francisco Lindor, who sends an opposite-field drive to right; Max Kepler dives but misses and the ball rolls past him. He's able to recover and get it back in quickly enough to hold Hernandez at third. Two in scoring position, one out. Already sweating, Snell gets Jose Ramirez to pop out to first base, and then Carlos Santana to ground out to second. Early crisis averted. In the bottom half, Luis Arraez and Jorge Polanco ground out. Then Mitch Garver draws a walk, taking a tough pitch on a full count, before Miguel Sano strikes out on three pitches. Download attachment: targetfieldview1.jpeg CLEVELAND 0, MINNESOTA 0 2ND INNING Some loud contact in the top half, but Snell gets three lineouts and works around a walk to Bradley Zimmer. In the bottom half, a Nelson Cruz single is the only damage as Josh Donaldson (foul out), Kepler (fly out to RC), and left fielder Marwin Gonzalez (strike three looking) are set down. CLEVELAND 0, MINNESOTA 0 3RD INNING Snell, who had zero strikeouts through the first two innings, starts dialing up the nastiness. He gets DeShields Jr. swinging at a breaking ball in the dirt; Garver corrals it and throws him out at first. Then Hernandez goes down swinging at an outside changeup. Lindor flies out to foul territory near first base. In the bottom of the third, our Twins spring to life. Buxton rolls a grounder between short and third. Arraez follows by hitting a soft liner to short, which lands just in front of a charging Lindor. Caught in no man's land, Buxton is thrown out at second, with Arraez replacing him at first. Next up, Jorge Polanco, who crushes a drive to deep right field, high off the wall right of the overhang. Arraez races around from first to score the game's first run, as Polanco checks in with a triple. Download attachment: polancorbitriple.jpeg Cleveland keeps the infield back in the next at-bat, and pays for it as Garver scores Polanco on a groundout to short. Twins up 2-0. Sano strikes out again to end the inning. CLEVELAND 0, MINNESOTA 2 4TH INNING By now Snell is definitely finding his groove. He locks up the leadoff man Ramirez with a called third strike on a fastball at the knees. Then he climbs the ladder on Carlos Santana, striking him out on a high 96 MPH fastball. Orlando Mercado battles his way to a walk in the next at-bat before right fielder Daniel Johnson goes down looking at strike three on the corner. Twins go in order in the bottom half: Donaldson strikes out on three pitches, Kepler drives a deep liner to left-center that DeShields Jr. hunts down, and Cruz grounds out to second. CLEVELAND 0, MINNESOTA 2 5TH INNING Roberto Perez strikes out swinging at strike three in the dirt, another filthy breaking ball from Snell. DeShields Jr. grounds out to second. Hernandez follows with a solidly struck single to center. This activates the bullpen, with Snell's pitch count starting to climb. In response, he strikes out Lindor on three pitches. By now Snell has seven strikeouts, all since the third inning. Minnesota once again goes down in order in the bottom half, with Gonzalez striking out, Buxton lining out to the warning track, and Arraez grounding out to second. CLEVELAND 0, MINNESOTA 2 6TH INNING Another uneventful one. Ramirez strikes out looking again, Snell's eighth strikeout in his past 12 batters faced. Santana pops out to first and Mercado flies out to left. Snell is through six scoreless but he's at 95 pitches. Tyler Duffey and Tyler Clippard are warming in the bullpen. The Twins offense follows with another silent half-inning: Polanco grounds out to second, Garver grounds out to short, Sano lines out to left. CLEVELAND 0, MINNESOTA 2 7TH INNING With Snell's stamina draining, and lefty swingers Zimmer and Johnson due up to start the seventh, Rocco Baldelli (me) makes a somewhat controversial decision by bringing in a fresh arm. True to his reverse-split tendencies, Clippard has held LHBs to a .198 average this season, so we give him the nod. Zimmer leads off with a bunt single. Johnson flies out to Gonzalez in left. Clippard strikes out Perez, leaving a runner on first with two outs. DeShields Jr. then hits a soft grounder to third; Donaldson fields and fires to second for the force, but it skips past Arraez into right field. Thankfully, Kepler is there to back it up and hold Zimmer on second. Clippard strikes out Hernandez with a changeup, and pumps his fist. Download attachment: clippardcelebrates.jpeg Twins hitters continue to go quietly in the seventh. Donaldson grounds out to third (a nice play by Ramirez ranging to his right). Kepler lines into the shift at second. Cruz strikes out swinging. CLEVELAND 0, MINNESOTA 2 8TH INNING With the heart of Cleveland's order due up in a 2-0 game, we turn to Tyler Duffey, who's been our best reliever this year and one of the best relievers in the game. He'll be facing Lindor, Ramirez, and Santana. Download attachment: duffeyenters.jpeg But Duffey's control, so consistent through most of the season, is amiss. He issues a leadoff walk to Lindor. His first pitch to Ramirez bounces under Garver and goes to the backstop, but rebounds hard enough to keep Lindor at first. Ramirez smashes a hanging curveball to right but it sails a few feet right of the pole, narrowly missing a game-tying homer. Then he draws a walk. Runners on first and second, no outs. Taylor Rogers starts warming up. Santana pulls a grounder through the hole between first and second, scoring Lindor and bringing Cleveland within one. Wes Johnson comes out for a mound visit. The Indians try to play small-ball with Mercado but it backfires as he pops up a bunt to Duffey. With one out, Zimmer battles through a tough at-bat, fouls off a couple pitches with a full count, and then takes this pitch for ball four. Ump called it low. Ridiculous. Download attachment: ballfourcall.jpeg That's all for Duffey. In comes Rogers with the bases juiced. He gets Johnson to tap a grounder to short, but Polanco's momentum is carrying him toward first so he takes the sure out. Tie game. With runners on second and third, Rogers strikes out Perez to end it. Right-hander Phil Maton is on for Cleveland in the bottom of the eighth. Gonzalez drives one to deep center but DeShields Jr. tracks it down, for the 14th consecutive out recorded by a Twins hitter. That streak finally snaps in the next at-bat, when Maton's curveball slips away from him and hits Buxton in the arm. With Buxton's speed on first and our best contact hitter up in Arraez, we call a hit-and-run, but Arraez lines out to right. Buxton scampers back to first. With two outs, Buck tries stealing second, but Perez throws him out by a hair. Download attachment: buxtonout.jpeg CLEVELAND 2, MINNESOTA 2 9TH INNING Rogers is back on the hill for Minnesota. He gets DeShields Jr. to ground out to third. Then Hernandez hits a liner to first, which deflects off Sano's glove toward Arraez, who scoops it up and throws to Rogers for the out. Nice heads-up play. Lindor follows by slashing a line past Arraez into right-center. With two outs, the Indians shortstop is thinking double out of the box. But Buxton flies into the gap to retrieve the bouncing ball and throw it in to second, beating Lindor there by a mile for the third out. A bit of sweet revenge after Lindor tagged Buxton out in the previous inning. Download attachment: lindorout.jpeg Right-hander Hunter Wood replaces Maton on the mound for Cleveland. The Twins get a leadoff single from Polanco – their first hit since his RBI triple in the third – but he's stranded on first as Garver and Sano strike out, and Donaldson lines out to right. It's on to extra innings. CLEVELAND 2, MINNESOTA 2 10TH INNING By now Rogers has already worked 1 2/3 innings, but has retired every hitter he's faced and is still only at 15 pitches. We stick with him. Rogers opens the inning with a swinging strikeout against Ramirez. Then Santana pokes a ground ball through the hole on the right side for a single. Mercado hits a sharp grounder to second, and Arraez makes a diving stop, flipping to Polanco for the force, but they only get one. Zimmer follows with a ground ball single between short and third. With runners on first and second, two outs, Franmil Reyes comes in to pinch-hit for Johnson. We opt to stick with Rogers, now past 30 pitches, instead of going to a warmed-up Sergio Romo. Rogers strikes him out. Kepler leads off the bottom of the 10th with a strikeout. Then Cruz lines a ringing single to left. Jake Cave subs in to run at first base. His speed comes in handy as Gonzalez follows by pulling a liner down the first-base line, which escapes the reach of first baseman Santana. Cave races around to third base, representing the winning run. Up comes Buxton. It's been a tough year for Buxton, but in this crucial moment he comes up huge, hitting a ground ball between Lindor and Ramirez into left. Cave scores easily with the winning run, and the Twins defeat Cleveland to capture the 2020 AL Central crown. CLEVELAND 2, MINNESOTA 3 Download attachment: twinswin.jpeg Player of the Game honors go to Snell, who tossed six shutout frames with eight strikeouts, allowing just three walks and three singles. Good call by everyone who voted on him as our starter last time around. But let's not downplay the contributions of our virtual Buxton, who came through with a key defensive play in the ninth and then the game-winning hit in the 10th. It's been a tough year for the center fielder, who finishes with a .223/.294/.327 slash line in 129 games, but he ended it on a high note. I'll be back with an ALDS Preview later this week, and at that point we can make some decisions about how we're gonna attack the AL East champion Tampa Bay Rays, but for now, let us simply soak in the revelry of winning a fictional 2020 division championship and heading to the playoffs for a matchup against someone other than the Yankees. PREVIOUS INSTALLMENTS Part 1: We Can Build This Thing Together (0-0) Part 2: 10 Games In, 6 Games Back (4-6) Part 3: Roaring Back (11-9) Part 4: Over the Hill (17-13) Part 5: Checking In at the Quarter Point (23-17) Part 6: Rising Power (30-20) Part 7: First Place! (Barely) (34-26) Part 8: Drafting and Dropping (38-32) Part 9: Cruz Control (45-35) Part 10: Pulling Ahead (52-38) Part 11: Bashing into the All-Star Break (58-40) Part 12: Deadline Decisions (62-46) Part 13: Inauspicious Debuts (66-52) Part 14: Treading Water as the Clock Ticks (71-57) Part 15: Stretch Race & September Call-Ups (78-59) Part 16: Dancing for the Division (84-63) Part 17: Down to the Wire (90-66) Part 18: Game 163 (94-68) MORE FROM TWINS DAILY — Latest Twins coverage from our writers — Recent Twins discussion in our forums — Follow Twins Daily via Twitter, Facebook or email Click here to view the article

I wondered about that too but the game doesn't break down season stats by team, and I don't remember exactly where he was at when we traded him. Here are his final overall numbers for the season, which are pretty much exactly in line with expectations: .281/.332/.489, 27 HR, 94 RBI. I also checked in on Balazovic's final rookie numbers: 133.2 IP, 4.51 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 136-to-54 K/BB. Not too bad for a 22-year-old. Looks like he's been a full-timer in their rotation since the trade. If we beat Cleveland we'll be facing these guys in the ALDS. That'd be pretty fun. Yeah that was striking to me as well, given the (relatively) realistic way the rest of the divisions played out. The wild part is that Shohei Ohtani tore his labrum in his first start and missed the entire season. Mike Trout had his best season yet (.347/.444/.697, 40 HR, 121 RBI, 11.9 WAR) and they also got big offensive performances from Upton, Simmons, Rendon and La Stella. Castro was solid too (.244/.342/.404, 17 HR in 126 G). Dylan Bundy went 19-3 in the rotation (?!).

Option 3: Press "Like This" on this comment (or voice your support below) if you want us to piggyback Jake Odorizzi and Michael Pineda, preserving our top starters for the postseason.

Option 2: Press "Like This" on this comment (or voice your support below) if you want us to start Jose Berrios on 3 days rest in Game 163.

Option 1: Press "Like This" on this comment (or voice your support below) if you want us to start Blake Snell on full rest in Game 163.

I can't believe it. In the absence of an actual 162-game season in 2020, we've been progressively simulating one here on Twins Daily. Over the course of 17 installments, commenters have helped guide our virtual team through a thrilling back-and-forth battle with Cleveland for first place. Now, with all 162 in the books, the Twins and Indians have arrived at identical 94-68 records. We're gonna play a tiebreaker for the division.To get caught up on what we're doing here, you can check out the introductory post in the series for an explanation of the premise and setup. But the quick version is this: We're playing a progressive simulated Twins season on MLB The Show 20 on PS4, and y'all are helping guide the ship. In each installment I'll update you on what's happened since the last, and put at least one key decision up for vote. Date In Game: 9/28 Team Record: 94-68 Leading OPS: Luis Arraez (.909 in 528 AB) Leading ERA (SP): Alex Wood (2.77 in 178.2 IP) Leading ERA (RP): Tyler Duffey (1.77 in 69.1 IP) LATEST RESULTS (4-2) Gm 157 @ SD: W 6-2 (Garver 3-5, 2 HR, 3 RBI) Gm 158 @ SD: L 2-1 (Snell 6 IP, 1 ER) Gm 159 @ SD: W 6-2 (Cruz 2-4, 5 RBI) Gm 160 @ KC: W 3-1 (Polanco 2-4, HR, 2 RBI) Gm 161 @ KC: W 3-2 (Cruz 4-4, 2 RBI) Gm 162 @ KC: L 4-1 (Wood 3 IP, 3 ER, L) AL CENTRAL STANDINGS Download attachment: alcstandings928.jpeg THE RUNDOWN The final week of the season was quite a ride, with Minnesota and Cleveland running in lockstep to the finish line, so it's best to take it day-by-day since we last left off, with the Twins trailing by a half-game in the division. Tuesday, September 22nd The Twins took their first game in San Diego 6-2. Alex Wood was lights-out (7 IP, 1 ER). Mitch Garver powered the offense with two homers (his 19th and 20th on the year) while Marwin Gonzalez – voted in by y'all last time as our regular LF for the final week – chipped in another. Meanwhile Cleveland beat the White Sox 5-2, riding seven innings of two-run ball from Adam Civale, to maintain its half-game lead. CLEVELAND UP 0.5 G Wednesday, September 23rd Our Twins had no answer for Padres starter Chris Paddack, who matched Blake Snell's six innings of one-run ball. Bullpens dueled for a couple innings before drama unfolded in the top half of the ninth. Tied 1-1, Minnesota loaded the bases with two outs, and up came the pitcher's spot. With a righty on the mound and multiple pinch-hitters exhausted, we turned to the rookie, Alex Kirilloff, struggling in his first go at the big leagues. He popped out. In the bottom half, old friend Brian Dozier went yard off Sergio Romo to give San Diego a walk-off win. Download attachment: dozierpadres.jpeg It was a tough sequence of blows made worse by the Indians completing a sweep in Chicago, with Cleveland's offense racking up 16 hits in a 9-5 victory. CLEVELAND UP 1.5 G Thursday, September 24th We bounced back in a 6-2 win to clinch with a series victory in SoCal. Nelson Cruz drove in five runs on a pair of doubles while Jose Berrios held the Padres to two runs over six innings, notching his 20th win. He went 9-0 after the All-Star break, and finishes the season as MLB's only 20-game winner. What a season. He might have a chance for one more ... Download attachment: alwinleaders928.jpeg Cleveland was idle, so we regained a half-game heading into the season's last series. For the Twins it was off to KC, while the Indians were set to host Toronto. CLEVELAND UP 1.0 G Friday, September 25th The Twins took the first game 3-1 behind 6 1/3 innings of one-run ball from Jake Odorizzi, who improved to 15-10 and 3.65 ERA, which will be his final numbers in 192 innings. Altogether pretty similar to his 2019 output. Jorge Polanco's two RBIs proved to be the difference. In Cleveland, the Indians lost a 12-11 barnburner against the Blue Jays, who got seven RBIs from left fielder Teoscar Hernandez. CLEVELAND AND MINNESOTA TIED FOR 1ST PLACE Saturday, September 26th It was another quiet night for Minnesota's offense, outside of Cruz's four singles and two RBIs, but Kenta Maeda navigated his way through trouble (5.1 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 4 BB, 2 K) and handed a 3-2 lead over to Romo, Duffey and Rogers, who shut it down the rest of the way. Meanwhile, the Indians lost another one-run game – albeit a much less eventful one. Hyun-Jin Ryu and Shane Bieber dueled into the seventh, bullpens traded zeroes, and eventually Toronto pushed one across in the top of the 12th. With one game left to go, our Twins had pulled ahead in the AL Central. A win against KC in the finale would seal it. MINNESOTA UP 1.0 G Sunday, September 27th A couple weeks back, I proposed a rotation shuffle that would've involved skipping one of Odorizzi's final turns in order to get Berrios a 34th start in the season's final game. That notion was struck down by voters in the comments. I'm not saying it was the wrong choice, because we'll still have a chance to use our ace in the season's biggest game (more on that momentarily), but Alex Wood did not answer the call in a huge moment. Though he's been on a good run lately, Wood didn't seem to have much from the get-go in this one. He pitched into the fourth but couldn't record an out there, ending a great campaign with an ugly final line: 3 IP, 5 H, 4 R (3 ER), 1 BB, 2 K. Maybe it was all moot because the offense couldn't muster much of anything against Danny Duffy in a 4-1 loss. Naturally, the Indians won their finale against Toronto 10-3, fueled by Carlos Santana's five RBIs. The good news, I guess, is that Mike Clevinger started, so he won't be available for the ultimate showdown triggered by this day's events. CLEVELAND AND MINNESOTA TIED FOR 1ST PLACE For the third time in its history, the American League Central will be decided by a one-game tiebreaker, and for the third time it'll involve Minnesota. The Twins, having edged Cleveland 11-7 in the season series, will host Game 163 at Target Field. This isn't do-or-die, since the loser will fall back on the No. 1 wild-card seed – and a home date against the 91-72 Boston Red Sox – but the winner moves onto the ALDS and home field advantage against the AL East champion Tampa Bay Rays (92-71). (Yes folks, that means the Yankees have missed – I REPEAT MISSED – the playoffs, finishing 86-76. The 89-73 Astros also missed out. Ya hate to see it.) Download attachment: alwcstandings928.jpeg The Angels, who finished 103-59 to run away with the West, have the AL's No. 1 seed. Obviously, we wanna win this game against Cleveland and set ourselves up much more favorably for the postseason. So, let's talk about it. DECISION TIME: WHO STARTS GAME 163? In this division-deciding battle, the Indians are poised to go with right-hander Adam Civale, which qualifies as a bit of a break for our Twins. Civale has been fine but he's pretty clearly Cleveland's fifth starter, with the rotation's highest ERA (4.08) and WHIP (1.38), as well as its only losing record (11-12). But unfortunately Minnesota's offense has been prone to coming up quiet against unspectacular opponents. So who should we counter with? The decision looms large. The stamina situation for each starting option is depicted in the graphic below. We basically have three options: Snell on full rest, Berrios on three days rest, or getting a bit creative. Let's explore the merits of each. Download attachment: twinsrotation928.jpeg Option 1: Blake Snell Our blockbuster deadline addition is lined up for this start. He is our highest-rated starting pitcher (91) in the game, and would be pitching on full rest. But if you've been following along, you know that Snell's been quite inconsistent since coming over from the Rays. Among our starters, he has the highest strikeout rate (10.7 K/9) but also the highest ERA (3.87) and WHIP (1.39). To his credit, Snell did pitch well his last time out, allowing one run on four hits in six innings against the Padres. Option 2: Jose Berrios He's clearly our best starter and very possibly the best starter in the league. Berrios has had an amazing season overall but has been especially unstoppable since turning a corner in mid-May; over his final 25 turns, he went 16-2 with a 2.46 ERA, and we've gone 10-3 in his starts since the All-Star break. But he's not quite back to full strength after beating the Padres four days ago. Perhaps more importantly, if Berrios starts this game on short rest, he'll be unavailable to start the Wild Card Game (should we lose) or Game 1 of the ALDS (should we win). Option 3: Piggybacking Odorizzi and Pineda Kenta Maeda would be the obvious third option, given that he's an All-Star and 18-game winner who's gone 5-0 with a 2.11 ERA in five September starts, but unfortunately starting him on one day's rest just isn't an option. But Jake Odorizzi on two day's rest...? His stamina's in decent shape as you can see above. We wouldn't expect him to go very deep but could easily turn to Michael Pineda, our fully rested long reliever who's been outstanding with a 3.35 ERA in 45 2/3 innings, as a bridge to the bullpen. This unconventional pitcher-stacking strategy would be akin to the one used by Minnesota in a season-defining doubleheader sweep against Cleveland last summer. It would also leave us with a full complement of starting options available for whatever comes next. I definitely need some help with this decision. Feel free to voice your preference in the comments. PREVIOUS INSTALLMENTS Part 1: We Can Build This Thing Together (0-0) Part 2: 10 Games In, 6 Games Back (4-6) Part 3: Roaring Back (11-9) Part 4: Over the Hill (17-13) Part 5: Checking In at the Quarter Point (23-17) Part 6: Rising Power (30-20) Part 7: First Place! (Barely) (34-26) Part 8: Drafting and Dropping (38-32) Part 9: Cruz Control (45-35) Part 10: Pulling Ahead (52-38) Part 11: Bashing into the All-Star Break (58-40) Part 12: Deadline Decisions (62-46) Part 13: Inauspicious Debuts (66-52) Part 14: Treading Water as the Clock Ticks (71-57) Part 15: Stretch Race & September Call-Ups (78-59) Part 16: Dancing for the Division (84-63) Part 17: Down to the Wire (90-66) MORE FROM TWINS DAILY — Latest Twins coverage from our writers — Recent Twins discussion in our forums — Follow Twins Daily via Twitter, Facebook or email Click here to view the article

I'll be honest, I've been battling this same inner conflict myself. As much as I love baseball, I recognize it's no more than a sports exhibition and I personally find all the poetic waxing about how it'll "reunite the country" or whatever to be silly. But, players aren't taking these risks "to enable a farce." They're doing it to advance their careers and provide for their families. And while one might say most of 'em can afford to take a year off (some really can't), there are so many more people beyond players whose livelihoods are dependent on this game. So, I don't begrudge you for feeling as you do, but that's something I've been weighing in my own mind.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but expanded playoffs are not in the plans right now, yea? That was part of a proposed deal that players and owners couldn't reach agreement on. Which is not to say they couldn't still agree to implement it between now and the season, but right now I think we're looking at the standard 10-team format.

Dang this is a good point. Odorizzi after the team's first 60 games (12 starts): 8-2, 1.96 ERA, 0.96 WHIP. He probably woulda won the thing.

In 2006, after 60 games, the Minnesota Twins were 27-33. They were fourth in the division, and 10 1/2 games out of first place. Under the parameters of the planned 2020 season, they'd have been dead in the water.Of course, as we now know, that '06 team ended up with 96 wins, the second-highest total (behind 2019) of any Twins team since the 1970s. Over the next 60 games, those pesky piranhas went 43-17, moving from seven games under .500 to 20 above. Given our recency bias as fans, it can be easy to fall back on the image of this current Twins club as an impervious regular-season team that will weather any circumstance and emerge on top. It's a valid perception, really. The 2019 Twins were amazingly consistent and slump-proof. Their longest losing streaks of the season were four games (once) and three games (once). It was the second winningest team in franchise history – a charmed season the likes of which we rarely see. Realistically, we can't expect things to go quite so smoothly again, even though the group is mostly intact (and even bolstered). While the 2006 team is obviously an opposite extreme in terms of variance, it's a more conventional example. Ups and downs are inherent to this game. It is extremely common for teams to overperform or underperform in a two-month sample. In fact, it's more or less expected. And 60 games is a helluva short season. In '06, Tony Batista was still the Twins third baseman after 60 games and Juan Castro was still their shortstop. Meanwhile, you can basically triangulate the turning point in Justin Morneau's MVP campaign to Minnesota's 60th game, against Baltimore, where he homered twice and drove in five. Before that day he'd hit .235/.295/.444; from then on he'd go .364/.414/.616. For a variety of reasons, the 2020 Twins figure to be much less volatile than that scrappy bunch from 14 years ago, in part because they're much more soundly built, and not featuring the likes of Batista, Castro, and Rondell White as planned Opening Day starters. But there's no assurance that injuries or poor performance wouldn't have manifested in the early part of a full schedule, and now that reality looms extra large, should the season proceed as the league intends it to. For a more pertinent example as it relates to this year's team, let's look at Mitch Garver in 2019. There was one 60-game stretch for the Twins (5/11-7/19) where he started only 23 times, and made 121 plate appearances, missing three weeks in the middle with an ankle sprain on top of the ample rest he saw as part of the team's strategy. Garver's production when on the field during this stretch (.250/.331/.528, 8 HR, 34-to-10 K/BB, 0.8 fWAR) was solid but certainly paled in comparison to his season in full. This goes to illustrate how one single injury, and typical rest patterns, can significantly reduce the impact of key players over such a sample. But it also brings to mind an interesting question about how managerial philosophies might differ in this proposed 60-game mad dash. Rocco Baldelli and the Twins were quite purposeful about how limiting Garver's work behind the plate in 2019, and they clearly expressed their intent to do the same in 2020. But with far fewer games (all heightened in importance), and reduced concern about preserving players like Garver late into a marathon season, will the Twins soften on this stance? The concentrated nature of the schedule will also need to be taken into account. It's one of many subjects that will be interesting to ponder, as we now (finally) have the ability to discuss a defined plan and timeline for returning to play. There are plenty of other matters to work through before that can actually happen, but as things stand, Major League Baseball and its players appear united in their commitment to making this strange, shortened sprint of a season happen. The Minnesota Twins, with their abundant depth, flexible talent, and cutting-edge management, are well poised to dominate such a format, with results that could harken back to that 2006 club upon hitting its stride. Should it all come together as hoped, we can't wait to experience all the unprecedented twists and turns of this wild ride along with you. MORE FROM TWINS DAILY — Latest Twins coverage from our writers — Recent Twins discussion in our forums — Follow Twins Daily via Twitter, Facebook or email Click here to view the article

Option 3: Press "Like This" on this comment (or voice your support below) if you want us to run with Alex Kirilloff as our regular LF in the final week.

Option 2: Press "Like This" on this comment (or voice your support below) if you want us to run with Marwin Gonzalez as our regular LF in the final week.

Option 1: Press "Like This" on this comment (or voice your support below) if you want us to adhere to our current plan for LF in the final week: a rotation led by Jake Cave.

Six games left to go. The American League Central (and a fallback wild-card berth) hanging in the balance. Jose Berrios taking the team on his shoulders. Read on to for the final regular-season entry – for better or worse – in our interactive 2020 Twins simulation.To get caught up on what we're doing here, you can check out the introductory post in the series for an explanation of the premise and setup. But the quick version is this: We're playing a progressive simulated Twins season on MLB The Show 20 on PS4, and y'all are helping guide the ship. In each installment I'll update you on what's happened since the last, and put at least one key decision up for vote. Date In Game: 9/22 Team Record: 90-66 Leading OPS: Luis Arraez (.917 in 506 AB) Leading ERA (SP): Alex Wood (2.72 in 168.2 IP) Leading ERA (RP): Tyler Duffey (1.78 in 65.2 IP) LATEST RESULTS (6-4) Gm 148 @ DET: L 5-4 (Snell 5 IP, 4 ER) Gm 149 @ DET: W 11-0 (Berrios CG SO, 10 K, 1 BB) Gm 150 @ DET: W 11-1 (Donaldson 4-6, HR, 3 RBI) Gm 151 vs TEX: W 4-0 (Maeda 6 IP, 0 R, W) Gm 152 vs TEX: W 6-3 (Bullpen 4 IP, 0 H, 0 BB, 6 K) Gm 153 vs TEX: L 4-0 (Garver & Sano 0-8) Gm 154 vs DET: W 1-0 (Berrios 8 IP, 0 R, W) Gm 155 vs DET: L 3-1 (Kepler 1-2, HR, 2 BB) Gm 156 vs DET: W 4-1 (Maeda 6 IP, 0 R, W) AL CENTRAL STANDINGS Download attachment: alcstandings922.jpeg THE RUNDOWN I have good news and bad news. The good news is that I've simulated nine games since our last installment – going through a trio of three-game series – and our Twins went 6-3, taking two out of three in each set. The bad news is that Cleveland went 8-3 over the same timespan, moving a half-game ahead in the AL Central standings with less than a week remaining. We're even with the Indians in the loss column, so we do control our own fate. A good final road trip ought to put us over the top. And even if we come up short in the Central, Minnesota does hold the No. 1 wild-card spot. Houston, leading for the second one, is a game ahead of Boston and Tampa, so the Twins are three games clear of being outside the postseason picture. It'd seemingly take a pretty brutal final week for us to miss out entirely, but ... I'm counting no chickens yet. Download attachment: alwcstandings922.jpeg Let's quickly recap the events of the past 10 days and then break down this critical final stretch. When we left off last time, we'd taken two of three from the Indians in Cleveland, claiming a narrow lead in the division. Then we headed to Detroit, where we lost the opener 5-4 in 14 innings. The Twins managed to turn 18 hits into just four runs in that game, which was disappointing, but they bounced back quickly in an 11-0 blowout victory the following day. The offense launched four homers (including two from Jake Cave) behind Jose Berrios' complete-game shutout. Berrios allowed five hits (four singles) and one walk with 10 strikeouts in picking up his 18th win. In the series finale, our lineup scored 11 runs once again, while riding another brilliant effort from the starter – this time Jake Odorizzi (7.1 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 7 K). In the next series, our rotation continued to roll at home against Texas, with Kenta Maeda tossing six scoreless innings in a 4-0 victory. The next day, we won 6-3 to extend our winning streak to four games, this time with the bullpen stepping up. Alex Wood allowed three runs over five innings, then stepped aside as Trevor May, Sergio Romo and Taylor Rogers combined for four perfect frames, striking out six. We were unable to complete the sweep, however, as the bats came up silent against Mike Minor in a 4-0 loss to wrap the series. Next up: a final rematch with the Tigers at home. The offense once again struggled in the series opener, mustering just one run on Alex Avila's solo homer, but that was all Berrios needed. He fired eight shutout innings while allowing a walk and three singles. Rogers closed it out. We dropped the second game 3-1, setting up a rubber match against a familiar foe: Download attachment: nelsonvmaeda.jpeg For a third time this season, our Twins faced Tigers starter Nick Nelson, and for a third time we beat him, once again knocking him out of the game early (3.1 IP, 6 H, 4 ER, 5 BB, 2 K). I'm starting to think the 24-year-old right-hander (who is a fringy prospect in the Yankees system in real life) might not have a very bright major-league future, although he does have an 80-grade name. We won 4-1, with Maeda tossing six more scoreless innings and Josh Donaldson contributing a pair of RBIs. So now, here we are, with six games left to go. This is our remaining slate, all on the road: 9/22 @ SD: Alex Wood (7-6, 2.72) vs. Zach Davies (7-12 (3.32)9/23 @ SD: Blake Snell (12-10, 3.95) vs. Chris Paddack (5-6, 3.29)9/24 @ SD: Jose Berrios (19-5, 2.96) vs. Dinelson Lamet (5-7, 5.08)9/25 @ KC: Jake Odorizzi (14-10, 3.73) vs. Mike Montgomery (5-7, 4.99)9/26 @ KC: Kenta Maeda (17-8, 3.39 ERA) vs. Jakob Junis (4-17, 5.57)9/27 @ KC: Alex Wood (7-6, 2.72) vs. Danny Duffy (7-15, 5.62)Seemingly a pretty favorable setup to close out the schedule. The Padres (78-78) are mediocre and Royals (59-97) downright terrible. We don't face a single starter with a winning record the rest of the way. But like I said, I'm not taking anything for granted, especially with Cleveland also enjoying a soft finishing stretch (two more at White Sox, then three at home vs. Toronto). WHO'S HOT Berrios missed the All-Star Game for the first time in three years, thanks to a good-not-great first half. But, flipping the script on his typical tendency, he has been absolutely on fire in the second half. The spectacular output over his past two starts (17 IP, 0 R, 8 H, 16 K, 2 BB) adds to an amazing run – in 12 turns since the All-Star break, Berrios has gone 8-0 with a 2.28 ERA and 70-to-19 K/BB ratio over 90 2/3 innings. He has completed at least seven innings in nine of those starts, and at least eight in six of them. At the break, Berrios was 11-5 with a 3.44 ERA. He is now 19-5 with a 2.96 ERA, angling for win No. 20 in his final start and vying with Chris Sale (17-5, 2.96) and Justin Verlander (19-7, 3.23) for the AL Cy Young. Download attachment: cyyoungrace.jpeg Kenta Maeda, who did make the All-Star Game, hasn't been quite as stellar as Berrios in the second half but he has solidified his status as an outstanding No. 2 behind the ace. Maeda too was lights-out in the latest batch, hurling 12 scoreless innings in two starts to improve his record to 17-8 and lower his ERA to 3.39. Maeda leads the Twins in strikeouts (211). Pitching is leading the way for us down the stretch but the offense is doing its part – albeit it while showing some inconsistency. We scored 36 runs over the first five games in the latest slate, then totaled just six in the last four. But those explosive outbursts were nice to see, fueled in part by Donaldson, who provided plenty of power in these past nine games with two homers, four doubles, and six RBIs. The big free agent pickup has made a major impact, leading the team in games played (145), plate appearances (677) and WAR (4.3) while trailing Miguel Sano by one in home runs (35) and RBIs (98). With 94 walks, Donaldson ranks third in the AL behind Yordan Alvarez (111) and Xander Bogaerts (100). WHO'S NOT While the rotation has mostly been a steady force, the weakest link is the biggest name we added at the deadline to strengthen it. In his first start of the latest sims, against Detroit, Snell gave up four earned runs over five innings, allowing five hits and three walks with just two strikeouts. The lefty went up against Texas at home in his next turn, and was again very ordinary: 6 IP, 7 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 7 K. Those were two of the three games we lost. Snell has the highest ERA in our rotation (3.95) and while he has shown the ability to dominate at times, he hasn't been remotely consistent since we added him. It's gonna be interesting to determine where he'll fit into a potential playoff rotation, but that's a discussion for another day (we hope). After opening his MLB career by going 2-for-19, Alex Kirilloff showed some improvement by going 4-for-11 while getting a few more starts, but he's still looking for his first MLB extra-base hit. Kirilloff has been rotating through a left field mix that has not been terribly productive since the Eddie Rosario trade. Maybe that's worth discussing as we size up this final week of games. DECISION TIME: MAKING A PLAN FOR LEFT FIELD It feels like our lineup is going to be the differentiator in this last sprint (and in the playoffs, if we get there). The rotation and bullpen have been doing their parts consistently. When we score, we win; in September, we're 8-2 when scoring four or more runs, but 3-5 when scoring three or fewer. Stretches like the recent one where we scored two runs over three games are tough to endure. The lineup is mostly locked in, but there's one position unsettled – LF – and our gameplan there could make a big difference in these last six games on the road. My approach has generally been to mix and match on any given day, based on the match-up and who's rested. Jake Cave gets most the starts, with Brent Rooker and Alex Kirilloff getting occasional nods, along with Marwin Gonzalez here and there. These are their respective numbers on the season, and in the most recent nine-game stretch: Jake Cave: 165 PA, .301/.368/.486, 7 HR, 19 RBI (L9: 7-for-21, 2 HR, 6 RBI)Marwin Gonzalez: 343 PA, .292/.353/.497, 16 HR, 46 RBI (L9: 5-for-15, HR, 3 RBI)Brent Rooker: 146 PA, .250/.315/.409, 4 HR, 14 RBI (L9: 2-for-6, 1 RBI)Alex Kirilloff: 31 PA, .200/.225/.200, 0 HR, 1 RBI (L9: 4-11, 1 RBI)With four right-handed starters and two lefties remaining on the docket, it might make sense to stick with our current plan of relying mostly on Cave, while subbing in Rooker or Gonzalez against the lefties. The thing that makes me nervous about Cave, in spite of his strong production, is his strikeout rate, which is highest of the four at 28%. Since I don't anticipating resting regulars much during this final week, we could roll with Gonzalez as our regular left fielder. He brings the advantage of switch-hitting, and he's an experienced vet who's been one of our better hitters in the second half. I'm not sure how else he'll see much action in these last six games, if not in left. Finally, if we really wanted to get wild and crazy, we could run with Kirilloff as the regular and see if he takes off. With the season on the line, who should we turn to? You can voice your opinion in the comments. PREVIOUS INSTALLMENTS Part 1: We Can Build This Thing Together (0-0) Part 2: 10 Games In, 6 Games Back (4-6) Part 3: Roaring Back (11-9) Part 4: Over the Hill (17-13) Part 5: Checking In at the Quarter Point (23-17) Part 6: Rising Power (30-20) Part 7: First Place! (Barely) (34-26) Part 8: Drafting and Dropping (38-32) Part 9: Cruz Control (45-35) Part 10: Pulling Ahead (52-38) Part 11: Bashing into the All-Star Break (58-40) Part 12: Deadline Decisions (62-46) Part 13: Inauspicious Debuts (66-52) Part 14: Treading Water as the Clock Ticks (71-57) Part 15: Stretch Race & September Call-Ups (78-59) Part 16: Dancing for the Division (84-63) MORE FROM TWINS DAILY — Latest Twins coverage from our writers — Recent Twins discussion in our forums — Follow Twins Daily via Twitter, Facebook or email Click here to view the article

True. I think the game actually has a pretty accurate take on him -- he's not a super physically gifted player (speed, defense, power) but he's got a few transcendent attributes and his full package is far greater than the sum of its parts.

I can't claim to know a ton about the specifics but my understanding is yes to the first question. There's some information here. Sounds like housing and supporting affected local businesses will be key focuses.

Option 2: Press "Like This" on this comment (or voice your support below) if you want us to use the upcoming off day to skip Jake Odorrizzi's start and set up Jose Berrios to potentially get an extra start in the season's final game.

Option 1: Press "Like This" on this comment (or voice your support below) if you want us to stick with the current plan and have each rotation member make 3 starts in the season's remaining 15 games.