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They reportedly offered $100M+ and he signed for $126M. How is that not close? (Also, as it turns out, they were wise to draw a line and stand their ground, despite all the immense grumbling around here.) Acting like that's not a significant step, nor committing $17M to a free agent reliever, just completely ignores the context and history of this franchise. Yes, it is a low bar, but that's just what it is. Let's be clear: the past regime never made that kind of plunge on the RP market and would've never dreamed of being a serious bidder on someone like Darvish. Do you disagree?
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I think the truth lies somewhere in the middle. It's entirely possible (even likely) the Brewers saw something in Yelich that made them believe he had further room go grow, and/or they helped him make adjustments enabling that growth. That doesn't mean they anticipated him instantly becoming an MVP-caliber hitter, but claiming they got just got lucky sorta downplays the savviness of this move by Stearns and Co.
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There are more things tying the Twins and Brewers together than geographic proximity. Both are mid-market teams with finite resources. Both have struggled in recent years to get over the hump in their respective divisions. And in attempting to do so, both franchises have reinvented themselves, under the leadership of baseball's two youngest head executives. This year, we've seen Milwaukee's vision come to fruition. As general manager David Stearns and the Brewers extend their run into late October, Derek Falvey and the Twins are looking on.This story helps set the stage for a truly pivotal offseason ahead. It's just a taste of what you'll find in the 2019 Offseason Handbook, which is currently available for preorder. If you wanna learn more about it, and the benefits of preordering, check out our FAQ. Also, we just shared our list of guest contributors you might find familiar. ~~~ In December of 2011, the Cleveland Indians named Falvey and Stearns – both still in their mid-20s – co-directors of baseball operations. One year later, Stearns would be fished away by the Houston Astros, who made him their assistant GM under Jeff Luhnow. And after three years in that role, Milwaukee hired Stearns to run its front office. Falvey, still holding a pivotal role in Cleveland's baseball ops, was promoted to assistant GM in 2016. One year later the Twins poached Falvey from their division rivals and named him Chief Baseball Officer. They even went through the same search firm (Korn Ferry) that aided the Brewers in finding Stearns. Milwaukee's results in Years 1 and 2 under Stearns were nearly identical to Minnesota's under Falvey – one non-competitive season and one fairly competitive season that showed promise. Here in Year 3, it all came together for Stearns' Brewers: they won 96 games and now they're playing for a World Series bid. Next year will be Falvey's third in Minnesota. Can the Twins take a similar step forward under his guidance? In addressing this question, let's reflect on some components of Milwaukee's 2018 rise and how the Twins are implementing them in their own ways. Major Makeover In his first offseason at the helm, Stearns overturned half of Milwaukee's 40-man roster, a thorough house-cleaning in the wake of a 94-loss campaign. Falvey's initial tweaking was not quite as aggressive, in part because his early focus was more on changes behind the scenes, but two years after taking the job he and GM Thad Levine have reshaped the roster plenty. These newly hired execs weren't equipped for a complete overhaul out of the gates, due to inherited commitments. But with Joe Mauer, Brian Dozier and Ervin Santana presumably moving on, the team will be forging an entirely new identity. It seems likely next year's Opening Day 40-man roster will feature, at most, seven holdovers from the version Falvine took on two years ago: Max Kepler, Eddie Rosario, Byron Buxton, Miguel Sano, Jorge Polanco, Kyle Gibson and Trevor May. Innovative and Malleable Manager Like Stearns, Falvey kept his incumbent manager rather than replacing him, in what was more or less a mandate from ownership. Milwaukee's Craig Counsell, who'd been tabbed during the season to replace Ron Roenicke, was an internal hire with no formal managerial experience, much like Paul Molitor. But at 45, Counsell was considerably younger, and only a few years removed from his playing days. It's nigh impossible to quantify or definitively analyze a manager's impact, but Counsell sure seems to be a positive difference-maker. He embraces a discerning new-school mentality (we've seen plenty of creative tactics deployed here in October, especially with pitching usage), and perhaps most importantly, strikes a note of relatability and resonance with his players, having been in their shoes not so long ago. That's a trend we see around the game. Look at the other playoff teams and you see several skippers with profiles similar to Counsell: recently retired players with zero formal experience in the role. Dave Roberts (Los Angeles), Alex Cora (Boston), Aaron Boone (New York) are all under 50, and all stopped playing within the past decade. The same is true of guys like Gabe Kapler (Philadelphia) and Kevin Cash (Tampa), whose underdog squads exceeded expectations and flirted with contention. Now that Falvey and Co. finally have the chance to handpick their own man for the job, I suspect we'll see them follow this emerging paradigm. Relentless Bullpen One thing that's enabled Milwaukee's stunning success – especially here in October – is a deep and cleverly utilized relief corps. It helps offset an unspectacular rotation, and places the Brewers on even footing with today's high-powered bullpen units. They have perhaps the game's most dominant reliever in Josh Hader, and complement him with plenty of other high-caliber arms like Jeremy Jeffress, Corey Knebel, Dan Jennings, Brandon Woodruff, Corbin Burnes and Joakim Soria. In the playoffs, Counsell has been leveraging this depth to prevent his starters from seeing lineups multiple times, or even bypassing them completely – Milwaukee went with a full-on bullpen game in the first NLDS contest, defeating Colorado on the strength of its six best relievers. The Twins have a long way to go before boasting such bullpen strength, but they've at least got some key pieces in place. Falvey and Levine demonstrated their seriousness last winter by signing Addison Reed to the largest contract for a free agent reliever in franchise history, and while that one hasn't worked out so well, they'll doubtlessly be active again on this acquisition front. Subtle Additions Add Up Whereas deadline waffling was a signature characteristic of the Terry Ryan era, this new front office has proven bold and decisive. Taking honest stock of teams that lacked championship viability, Falvey and Levine have repeatedly seized opportunities to capture intriguing talent from other organizations. Stearns has benefitted hugely from one such move that took place before his arrival – in July of 2015, his predecessor Doug Melvin dealt Carlos Gomez and Mike Fiers to Houston in exchange for, among others, Hader and slugging outfielder Domingo Santana. (Ironically, Stearns was assistant GM for the Astros at the time.) Since taking over, though, Stearns has savvily acquired key pieces through many avenues. He claimed Junior Guerra off waivers from the White Sox. He picked up top prospect Lewis Brinson from Texas at the 2016 deadline, in exchange for Jonathan Lucroy and Jeffress, then later flipped Brinson into the headliner of the Christian Yelich trade. Stearns signed Eric Thames out of Korea, landing a cost-effective top-tier slugger. He acquired young standout starter Freddy Peralta from Seattle in the low-key Adam Lind trade of December 2015. "Opportunistic" is a credo that Falvey recites often, and his regime has largely lived it. That same mindset has served Stearns and the Brewers well, and as we've seen, the payoff can be huge even if not immediately apparent. Key Offseason Pickups Stearns also has some marquee acquisitions under his belt, and a couple of slam dunks last offseason have largely fueled his team's elevation here in 2018. Maybe it's just a short memory, but I have a hard time recalling two players immediately moving the needle in their first year with a new team like Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have. Both are credible candidates for National League MVP. Yelich is actually the odds-on favorite, having led the NL in WAR (7.6). Cain was close behind in fourth place (5.7). That's more than 13 wins added by two additions, according to FanGraphs; if the Twins were somehow able to inject a similar boost while receiving at least modest turnarounds from their internal core, a leap from 78 wins to 90+ is very feasible. Milwaukee's high-profile acquisitions were of a sort that Minnesota could realistically pull off this winter. Cain was a free agent, signed by the Brewers to a five-year, $80 million contract that now looks beyond reasonable in hindsight. The Twins have plenty of spending flexibility for such a move. Yelich came in a trade, which required Stearns to part with some of his most prized minor-league talent – Brinson was Milwaukee's top prospect, and among the highest-ranked in the game, while Monte Harrison and Isan Diaz also were among the organization's Top 10 – but in return the Brewers got a 26-year-old superstar under reasonable control through 2022. The Twins possess one of the best farm systems in the game, with premier talent at the top and plenty of depth throughout. They are well positioned to deal from this cache for assets that can make both immediate and long-term impacts. During his late-August interview with Baseball Prospectus at Target Field, Levine suggested that this route was appealing to him: "As we sit here today, it’s not to say we’re not going to get aggressive in this free agent market, but we may actually shift our attention to the trade market. This might not be the perfect time for us to invest in a guy who’s 30 years old and would need to perform today in order for us to realize his true potential." In Yelich, Milwaukee got the best of both worlds. As far as free agents and trade targets go, there are plenty of big names out there this offseason, making for a wealth of intrigue given Minnesota's circumstances. You'll be able to explore all of the possibilities in our 2019 Offseason Handbook, which is available for preorder. Claim your copy now, get it before its official release. Today we revealed the front cover and our star-studded lineup of guest authors. Click here to view the article
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This story helps set the stage for a truly pivotal offseason ahead. It's just a taste of what you'll find in the 2019 Offseason Handbook, which is currently available for preorder. If you wanna learn more about it, and the benefits of preordering, check out our FAQ. Also, we just shared our list of guest contributors you might find familiar. ~~~ In December of 2011, the Cleveland Indians named Falvey and Stearns – both still in their mid-20s – co-directors of baseball operations. One year later, Stearns would be fished away by the Houston Astros, who made him their assistant GM under Jeff Luhnow. And after three years in that role, Milwaukee hired Stearns to run its front office. Falvey, still holding a pivotal role in Cleveland's baseball ops, was promoted to assistant GM in 2016. One year later the Twins poached Falvey from their division rivals and named him Chief Baseball Officer. They even went through the same search firm (Korn Ferry) that aided the Brewers in finding Stearns. Milwaukee's results in Years 1 and 2 under Stearns were nearly identical to Minnesota's under Falvey – one non-competitive season and one fairly competitive season that showed promise. Here in Year 3, it all came together for Stearns' Brewers: they won 96 games and now they're playing for a World Series bid. Next year will be Falvey's third in Minnesota. Can the Twins take a similar step forward under his guidance? In addressing this question, let's reflect on some components of Milwaukee's 2018 rise and how the Twins are implementing them in their own ways. Major Makeover In his first offseason at the helm, Stearns overturned half of Milwaukee's 40-man roster, a thorough house-cleaning in the wake of a 94-loss campaign. Falvey's initial tweaking was not quite as aggressive, in part because his early focus was more on changes behind the scenes, but two years after taking the job he and GM Thad Levine have reshaped the roster plenty. These newly hired execs weren't equipped for a complete overhaul out of the gates, due to inherited commitments. But with Joe Mauer, Brian Dozier and Ervin Santana presumably moving on, the team will be forging an entirely new identity. It seems likely next year's Opening Day 40-man roster will feature, at most, seven holdovers from the version Falvine took on two years ago: Max Kepler, Eddie Rosario, Byron Buxton, Miguel Sano, Jorge Polanco, Kyle Gibson and Trevor May. Innovative and Malleable Manager Like Stearns, Falvey kept his incumbent manager rather than replacing him, in what was more or less a mandate from ownership. Milwaukee's Craig Counsell, who'd been tabbed during the season to replace Ron Roenicke, was an internal hire with no formal managerial experience, much like Paul Molitor. But at 45, Counsell was considerably younger, and only a few years removed from his playing days. It's nigh impossible to quantify or definitively analyze a manager's impact, but Counsell sure seems to be a positive difference-maker. He embraces a discerning new-school mentality (we've seen plenty of creative tactics deployed here in October, especially with pitching usage), and perhaps most importantly, strikes a note of relatability and resonance with his players, having been in their shoes not so long ago. That's a trend we see around the game. Look at the other playoff teams and you see several skippers with profiles similar to Counsell: recently retired players with zero formal experience in the role. Dave Roberts (Los Angeles), Alex Cora (Boston), Aaron Boone (New York) are all under 50, and all stopped playing within the past decade. The same is true of guys like Gabe Kapler (Philadelphia) and Kevin Cash (Tampa), whose underdog squads exceeded expectations and flirted with contention. Now that Falvey and Co. finally have the chance to handpick their own man for the job, I suspect we'll see them follow this emerging paradigm. Relentless Bullpen One thing that's enabled Milwaukee's stunning success – especially here in October – is a deep and cleverly utilized relief corps. It helps offset an unspectacular rotation, and places the Brewers on even footing with today's high-powered bullpen units. They have perhaps the game's most dominant reliever in Josh Hader, and complement him with plenty of other high-caliber arms like Jeremy Jeffress, Corey Knebel, Dan Jennings, Brandon Woodruff, Corbin Burnes and Joakim Soria. In the playoffs, Counsell has been leveraging this depth to prevent his starters from seeing lineups multiple times, or even bypassing them completely – Milwaukee went with a full-on bullpen game in the first NLDS contest, defeating Colorado on the strength of its six best relievers. The Twins have a long way to go before boasting such bullpen strength, but they've at least got some key pieces in place. Falvey and Levine demonstrated their seriousness last winter by signing Addison Reed to the largest contract for a free agent reliever in franchise history, and while that one hasn't worked out so well, they'll doubtlessly be active again on this acquisition front. Subtle Additions Add Up Whereas deadline waffling was a signature characteristic of the Terry Ryan era, this new front office has proven bold and decisive. Taking honest stock of teams that lacked championship viability, Falvey and Levine have repeatedly seized opportunities to capture intriguing talent from other organizations. Stearns has benefitted hugely from one such move that took place before his arrival – in July of 2015, his predecessor Doug Melvin dealt Carlos Gomez and Mike Fiers to Houston in exchange for, among others, Hader and slugging outfielder Domingo Santana. (Ironically, Stearns was assistant GM for the Astros at the time.) Since taking over, though, Stearns has savvily acquired key pieces through many avenues. He claimed Junior Guerra off waivers from the White Sox. He picked up top prospect Lewis Brinson from Texas at the 2016 deadline, in exchange for Jonathan Lucroy and Jeffress, then later flipped Brinson into the headliner of the Christian Yelich trade. Stearns signed Eric Thames out of Korea, landing a cost-effective top-tier slugger. He acquired young standout starter Freddy Peralta from Seattle in the low-key Adam Lind trade of December 2015. "Opportunistic" is a credo that Falvey recites often, and his regime has largely lived it. That same mindset has served Stearns and the Brewers well, and as we've seen, the payoff can be huge even if not immediately apparent. Key Offseason Pickups Stearns also has some marquee acquisitions under his belt, and a couple of slam dunks last offseason have largely fueled his team's elevation here in 2018. Maybe it's just a short memory, but I have a hard time recalling two players immediately moving the needle in their first year with a new team like Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have. Both are credible candidates for National League MVP. Yelich is actually the odds-on favorite, having led the NL in WAR (7.6). Cain was close behind in fourth place (5.7). That's more than 13 wins added by two additions, according to FanGraphs; if the Twins were somehow able to inject a similar boost while receiving at least modest turnarounds from their internal core, a leap from 78 wins to 90+ is very feasible. Milwaukee's high-profile acquisitions were of a sort that Minnesota could realistically pull off this winter. Cain was a free agent, signed by the Brewers to a five-year, $80 million contract that now looks beyond reasonable in hindsight. The Twins have plenty of spending flexibility for such a move. Yelich came in a trade, which required Stearns to part with some of his most prized minor-league talent – Brinson was Milwaukee's top prospect, and among the highest-ranked in the game, while Monte Harrison and Isan Diaz also were among the organization's Top 10 – but in return the Brewers got a 26-year-old superstar under reasonable control through 2022. The Twins possess one of the best farm systems in the game, with premier talent at the top and plenty of depth throughout. They are well positioned to deal from this cache for assets that can make both immediate and long-term impacts. During his late-August interview with Baseball Prospectus at Target Field, Levine suggested that this route was appealing to him: "As we sit here today, it’s not to say we’re not going to get aggressive in this free agent market, but we may actually shift our attention to the trade market. This might not be the perfect time for us to invest in a guy who’s 30 years old and would need to perform today in order for us to realize his true potential." In Yelich, Milwaukee got the best of both worlds. As far as free agents and trade targets go, there are plenty of big names out there this offseason, making for a wealth of intrigue given Minnesota's circumstances. You'll be able to explore all of the possibilities in our 2019 Offseason Handbook, which is available for preorder. Claim your copy now, get it before its official release. Today we revealed the front cover and our star-studded lineup of guest authors.
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As the postseason rolls on, we're getting closer to the World Series, and you know what that means: Offseason Handbook Day is almost upon us! (Preorders will receive their copies next Tuesday.) Today, we're excited to bring you a couple of big updates, including our star-studded list of guest contributors.Above, you're seeing the official front cover to the Twins Daily Offseason Handbook 2019, designed by Twins Daily's talented Brock Beauchamp. This visual reflects the larger realities weighing on the club this offseason – a few players took steps forward in 2018 to solidify themselves as building blocks, but many more endured tumultuous years, fading their shine and casting doubt on their future. It's a challenging landscape for the front office to navigate, with weighty decisions left and right. You'll get a firsthand look at them as you dive into the Handbook, which lays out the roster makeup, organizational depth, arbitration scenarios, free agent options, trade targets and more. To help you on your way, we've enlisted several brilliant writers – each with unique expertise and perspective regarding the Twins – to provide guidance, analysis, and context as you explore this offseason of uncertainty. We are proud to announce the 2019 Offseason Handbook will feature stories from the following guest authors (in addition to the core Twins Daily team of John Bonnes, Tom Froemming, Parker Hageman, Seth Stohs and myself): Mike Berardino, Twins beat writer for Pioneer Press (2013-18)Rhett Bollinger, Twins beat writer for MLB.comAaron Gleeman, editor-in-chief at BaseballProspectus.comPhil Miller, Twins beat writer for Star TribuneRandBall's Stu, contributor at TwinkieTown.comPatrick Reusse, longtime columnist for Star TribuneThis is a totally new wrinkle for the Handbook. We've frequently had foreword submissions from media folks in the past, but never before have we reached out to prolific writers covering the team elsewhere and incorporated their voices prominently throughout. Given the spirit of this product, I have no earthly idea why not. The Offseason Handbook is all about letting readers put together their own dream teams, so why not recruit an All-Star lineup of scribes we love and respect to be part of the fun? The end result is, I can promise, one you will love. There has never been more high-quality content packed into the Handbook. I'm so friggin' proud of this thing, and so grateful to all the talented writers who blessed it with their skills. Preorder yours now for $10+ and you'll get it next Tuesday, on the first day of the World Series, before it becomes publicly available. Got any questions? Read our FAQ. Click here to view the article
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Above, you're seeing the official front cover to the Twins Daily Offseason Handbook 2019, designed by Twins Daily's talented Brock Beauchamp. This visual reflects the larger realities weighing on the club this offseason – a few players took steps forward in 2018 to solidify themselves as building blocks, but many more endured tumultuous years, fading their shine and casting doubt on their future. It's a challenging landscape for the front office to navigate, with weighty decisions left and right. You'll get a firsthand look at them as you dive into the Handbook, which lays out the roster makeup, organizational depth, arbitration scenarios, free agent options, trade targets and more. To help you on your way, we've enlisted several brilliant writers – each with unique expertise and perspective regarding the Twins – to provide guidance, analysis, and context as you explore this offseason of uncertainty. We are proud to announce the 2019 Offseason Handbook will feature stories from the following guest authors (in addition to the core Twins Daily team of John Bonnes, Tom Froemming, Parker Hageman, Seth Stohs and myself): Mike Berardino, Twins beat writer for Pioneer Press (2013-18) Rhett Bollinger, Twins beat writer for MLB.com Aaron Gleeman, editor-in-chief at BaseballProspectus.com Phil Miller, Twins beat writer for Star Tribune RandBall's Stu, contributor at TwinkieTown.com Patrick Reusse, longtime columnist for Star Tribune This is a totally new wrinkle for the Handbook. We've frequently had foreword submissions from media folks in the past, but never before have we reached out to prolific writers covering the team elsewhere and incorporated their voices prominently throughout. Given the spirit of this product, I have no earthly idea why not. The Offseason Handbook is all about letting readers put together their own dream teams, so why not recruit an All-Star lineup of scribes we love and respect to be part of the fun? The end result is, I can promise, one you will love. There has never been more high-quality content packed into the Handbook. I'm so friggin' proud of this thing, and so grateful to all the talented writers who blessed it with their skills. Preorder yours now for $10+ and you'll get it next Tuesday, on the first day of the World Series, before it becomes publicly available. Got any questions? Read our FAQ.
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It wasn't all bad. Yes, the Twins' 2018 season was a huge letdown, with alarming developments on multiple fronts, but amidst the wreckage there were some genuinely uplifting stories playing out. Today we highlight six important ones that brighten the franchise's future outlook.#1: Jose Berrios Blossoms In some ways, Berrios simply solidified his status after emerging in 2017. His ERA and FIP were nearly identical. His peripherals mainly held steady. There wasn't a huge difference in his overall performance between the two seasons, but backing up his breakout was an accomplishment on its own, especially with Berrios pushing his innings total to a career-high 192. That last part is very important. Berrios as at a critical juncture for any young pitcher, pushing his body to new limits in assuming a full MLB starter's workload. His arm is responding well to say the least; in his final outing on September 28th, Berrios averaged his highest fastball velo of the year (per Brooks Baseball) while tying his season-high for swinging strikes (17). He was an All-Star at age 24, and has established a high-caliber baseline with room for growth. In my mind, striking a long-term deal with Berrios is one of the club's foremost priorities this offseason. #2: Kyle Gibson Officially Turns the Corner Like that of Berrios, Gibson's story isn't entirely new to the 2018 season. He started figuring it out late last year, but has teased us with glimmers of success in the past. He needed to prove it here in 2018, and did just that. He threw his fastball and slider harder than ever, pushing his whiff rate to a career-high 11.5%. (Prior to 2017, he'd never reached double-digits.) Like Berrios, he set a new personal record for workload, coming just three frames short of 200. He stayed healthy from front to back, and delivered 18 quality starts in 32 turns. His persistently mediocre control makes Gibson more of a quality mid-rotation type than a frontman, but that he's better than most in that category. And the Twins conveniently have him under control for 2019, his age-31 season. #3: Mitch Garver Catches On The Twins have much vested in Garver. With Jason Castro's contract expiring after 2019, the organization has little else in the short-term pipeline at catcher. They really needed the 27-year-old to show something this year and thankfully he was up to the task. Our TD panel recently named Garver 2018 Twins Rookie of the Year after he posted a .749 OPS at a position where the AL average was .658. He showed exactly the kind of progressive improvement you hope to see in a first full year, shaking off a slow start to hit .293/.361/.476 in his final 55 games. He also put up a 32-to-18 K/BB ratio during that span. Garver's combination of power and discipline give him a sustainable formula for offensive success going forward. His defense also came along over the summer, though not quite as convincingly. Garver finished as one of the league's worst pitch framers and committed more than a couple head-scratching mental gaffes. But as he began to see more steady playing time following Castro's knee injury, Garver appeared to grow more adept. Paul Molitor spoke in late August of an "overall sense that my pitchers have gotten a lot more comfortable throwing with him as this season has gone on.” Of course, Garver's year did end on a bit of a somber note, as a concussion with lingering effects cost him much of September. But he made it back for a couple starts in the final week (albeit not at catcher), alleviating some concern. #4: Jake Cave Emerges Narrowly behind Garver in our ROTY balloting was Cave, who also turned in standout offensive production while playing most his defensive innings at a premium position. The outfielder was a pleasant surprise after being acquired in March from New York, where he was squeezed out of a roster already drenched in power. Cave had turned a corner in that regard last year in the Yankees system, hitting 20 homers after totaling 19 in his first four pro seasons, and in 2018 he proved it legit. In his first exposure to MLB pitching, the 25-year-old tallied 32 extra-base hits (13 bombs) to finish with a .481 slugging percentage in 91 games. He achieved these numbers through an extremely aggressive approach, striking out 33% of the time with minimal patience, but it worked out for him because – like fellow free-swinging outfielder (and Twins Daily 2018 MVP) Eddie Rosario – Cave hit the ball hard consistently. Only 8.6% of his contact qualified as "soft" (per FanGraphs), lowest on the team. Already, Cave has established himself as a valuable fourth outfielder and it's not hard to envision him becoming a quality starter. The Twins control his rights for the next five years. Great get. #5: Top Prospects Elevate All too often over the past eight years, Twins fans have been sold hope, as the system excelled and the major-league team flopped. So if you're having a hard time getting jazzed up about this, I get it. After all these years, Minnesota's vaunted pipeline still hasn't produced the desired impact, and now we're coming to grips with a realization that some young players who seemed destined for stardom may fall well short. But don't let that completely douse your enthusiasm over what happened on the farm this year – specifically in Fort Myers, with the organization's top three minor-leaguers. MLB Pipeline has shortstop Royce Lewis and outfielder Alex Kirilloff ranked as the seventh- and 10th-best prospects in baseball, respectively. The last time the Twins had two of the top 10 overall prospects? Well, it was only five years ago, when Byron Buxton was first and Miguel Sano was fourth, which... isn't gonna help with the dampered enthusiasm. But these are their own players, and they are incredibly talented – as is MLB.com's No. 70 prospect Brusdar Graterol, a fireballing 20-year-old righty. Any or all of these three could feasibly start next year in Double-A, putting them in range of a 2019 big-league debut. With Buxton and Sano on wayward paths, it sure helps to have another elite wave of youthful upside on the way. #6: Trevor May Returns Triumphantly I wrote earlier this week about May's phenomenal return to the Twins bullpen, which produced career highs in velocity, whiffs, K/BB rates, and just about every other metric. "I’m not a guy who’s gonna sit here and mope about how hard I worked and now it’s not gonna happen,” said a dejected yet determined May in spring of 2017, when his torn UCL was announced. True to his word, he went back to work and he made it happen. The righty underwent Tommy John surgery, spent about 16 months recovering and rehabbing, then returned to the major-league mound on July 31st. He allowed a run in that game, and then was essentially lights-out the rest of the way (excepting one clunky appearance as "opener"). He finished the year as closer, looking fantastic, and I don't think the Twins would be crazy to just leave him there. But they may opt for a more experienced guy who could slide May into a (potentially more valuable) fireman role. Either way, the 29-year-old surpassed all expectations in his return and his presence makes a huge difference in this bullpen's outlook. Let's hear your takes. What was the most promising development for the Twins in 2018, from your view? Click here to view the article
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- jose berrios
- kyle gibson
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#1: Jose Berrios Blossoms In some ways, Berrios simply solidified his status after emerging in 2017. His ERA and FIP were nearly identical. His peripherals mainly held steady. There wasn't a huge difference in his overall performance between the two seasons, but backing up his breakout was an accomplishment on its own, especially with Berrios pushing his innings total to a career-high 192. That last part is very important. Berrios as at a critical juncture for any young pitcher, pushing his body to new limits in assuming a full MLB starter's workload. His arm is responding well to say the least; in his final outing on September 28th, Berrios averaged his highest fastball velo of the year (per Brooks Baseball) while tying his season-high for swinging strikes (17). He was an All-Star at age 24, and has established a high-caliber baseline with room for growth. In my mind, striking a long-term deal with Berrios is one of the club's foremost priorities this offseason. #2: Kyle Gibson Officially Turns the Corner Like that of Berrios, Gibson's story isn't entirely new to the 2018 season. He started figuring it out late last year, but has teased us with glimmers of success in the past. He needed to prove it here in 2018, and did just that. He threw his fastball and slider harder than ever, pushing his whiff rate to a career-high 11.5%. (Prior to 2017, he'd never reached double-digits.) Like Berrios, he set a new personal record for workload, coming just three frames short of 200. He stayed healthy from front to back, and delivered 18 quality starts in 32 turns. His persistently mediocre control makes Gibson more of a quality mid-rotation type than a frontman, but that he's better than most in that category. And the Twins conveniently have him under control for 2019, his age-31 season. #3: Mitch Garver Catches On The Twins have much vested in Garver. With Jason Castro's contract expiring after 2019, the organization has little else in the short-term pipeline at catcher. They really needed the 27-year-old to show something this year and thankfully he was up to the task. Our TD panel recently named Garver 2018 Twins Rookie of the Year after he posted a .749 OPS at a position where the AL average was .658. He showed exactly the kind of progressive improvement you hope to see in a first full year, shaking off a slow start to hit .293/.361/.476 in his final 55 games. He also put up a 32-to-18 K/BB ratio during that span. Garver's combination of power and discipline give him a sustainable formula for offensive success going forward. His defense also came along over the summer, though not quite as convincingly. Garver finished as one of the league's worst pitch framers and committed more than a couple head-scratching mental gaffes. But as he began to see more steady playing time following Castro's knee injury, Garver appeared to grow more adept. Paul Molitor spoke in late August of an "overall sense that my pitchers have gotten a lot more comfortable throwing with him as this season has gone on.” Of course, Garver's year did end on a bit of a somber note, as a concussion with lingering effects cost him much of September. But he made it back for a couple starts in the final week (albeit not at catcher), alleviating some concern. #4: Jake Cave Emerges Narrowly behind Garver in our ROTY balloting was Cave, who also turned in standout offensive production while playing most his defensive innings at a premium position. The outfielder was a pleasant surprise after being acquired in March from New York, where he was squeezed out of a roster already drenched in power. Cave had turned a corner in that regard last year in the Yankees system, hitting 20 homers after totaling 19 in his first four pro seasons, and in 2018 he proved it legit. In his first exposure to MLB pitching, the 25-year-old tallied 32 extra-base hits (13 bombs) to finish with a .481 slugging percentage in 91 games. He achieved these numbers through an extremely aggressive approach, striking out 33% of the time with minimal patience, but it worked out for him because – like fellow free-swinging outfielder (and Twins Daily 2018 MVP) Eddie Rosario – Cave hit the ball hard consistently. Only 8.6% of his contact qualified as "soft" (per FanGraphs), lowest on the team. Already, Cave has established himself as a valuable fourth outfielder and it's not hard to envision him becoming a quality starter. The Twins control his rights for the next five years. Great get. #5: Top Prospects Elevate All too often over the past eight years, Twins fans have been sold hope, as the system excelled and the major-league team flopped. So if you're having a hard time getting jazzed up about this, I get it. After all these years, Minnesota's vaunted pipeline still hasn't produced the desired impact, and now we're coming to grips with a realization that some young players who seemed destined for stardom may fall well short. But don't let that completely douse your enthusiasm over what happened on the farm this year – specifically in Fort Myers, with the organization's top three minor-leaguers. MLB Pipeline has shortstop Royce Lewis and outfielder Alex Kirilloff ranked as the seventh- and 10th-best prospects in baseball, respectively. The last time the Twins had two of the top 10 overall prospects? Well, it was only five years ago, when Byron Buxton was first and Miguel Sano was fourth, which... isn't gonna help with the dampered enthusiasm. But these are their own players, and they are incredibly talented – as is MLB.com's No. 70 prospect Brusdar Graterol, a fireballing 20-year-old righty. Any or all of these three could feasibly start next year in Double-A, putting them in range of a 2019 big-league debut. With Buxton and Sano on wayward paths, it sure helps to have another elite wave of youthful upside on the way. #6: Trevor May Returns Triumphantly I wrote earlier this week about May's phenomenal return to the Twins bullpen, which produced career highs in velocity, whiffs, K/BB rates, and just about every other metric. "I’m not a guy who’s gonna sit here and mope about how hard I worked and now it’s not gonna happen,” said a dejected yet determined May in spring of 2017, when his torn UCL was announced. True to his word, he went back to work and he made it happen. The righty underwent Tommy John surgery, spent about 16 months recovering and rehabbing, then returned to the major-league mound on July 31st. He allowed a run in that game, and then was essentially lights-out the rest of the way (excepting one clunky appearance as "opener"). He finished the year as closer, looking fantastic, and I don't think the Twins would be crazy to just leave him there. But they may opt for a more experienced guy who could slide May into a (potentially more valuable) fireman role. Either way, the 29-year-old surpassed all expectations in his return and his presence makes a huge difference in this bullpen's outlook. Let's hear your takes. What was the most promising development for the Twins in 2018, from your view?
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The trend in baseball around power bullpens isn't new. But here in 2018, this seismic shift has become as conspicuously apparent as ever. If the Minnesota Twins want to establish themselves as true championship contenders, it's blindingly clear they need to stockpile some serious late-inning juice. While the club appears to have a decent foundation in place, much work remains on this front.This story helps set the stage for a truly pivotal offseason ahead. It's just a taste of what you'll find in the 2019 Offseason Handbook, which is currently available for preorder. If you wanna learn more about it, and the benefits of preordering, check out our FAQ. In the American League Wild Card Game last week, New York received four strong innings from starter Luis Severino before unleashing its intimidating reliever stable on Oakland's doomed lineup. Dellin Betances, David Robertson, Zach Britton, Aroldis Chapman... ballgame. The Twins can relate. One year earlier they'd been bounced in the same ballpark, after a bottomless Yankees bullpen ate their lunch following Severino's first-inning exit. Of course, the A's had made it into this position on the strength of their own stellar pen, which carried them to stunning regular-season success and made up for a wholly unspectacular rotation. Look around at the rest of the remaining teams, and you'll find plenty of deep, dominant relief units. Which brings us to the Twins. They finished the season with exactly two reliable relievers. The good news is that those two – Taylor Rogers and Trevor May – had a hell of showing in 2018, solidifying themselves as fixtures. Rogers has fully graduated to top-tier status, having finished with a 2.63 ERA and 0.95 WHIP after closing his year with 28 straight scoreless appearances. His 2.33 FIP ranked ninth among MLB relievers, and fourth among those who made 70+ appearances. Once a lefty specialist (and a great one at that), Rogers is now an all-purpose shutdown arm and easily Minnesota's best bullpen asset. May shows signs of being able to join him at this level of distinction. He was nothing short of spectacular in his return from Tommy John surgery, turning in a ridiculous 36-to-5 K/BB ratio in 25 innings. Take out his disastrous lone outing as "opener" (1 IP, 4 ER) and the right-hander put up a 1.73 ERA, 0.90 WHIP and 13.3 K/9 after joining the team in late July following Tommy John rehab. He averaged a career-high 94.1 MPH with his fastball, pounded the strike zone, and induced a 15.4% swinging strike rate, which would've ranked among the top 10 AL qualifiers. May finished the year as closer and looked very much up to the task. Rogers and May are 27 and 29, respectively. Both remain under control for multiple years. So, that's the good news. Elsewhere? Plenty of not-so-good news and uncertainty. I'm not sure you can make a strong argument that any other incumbents are locked into the 2019 bullpen. Addison Reed is probably closest, solely by virtue of his contract. He's owed $8.5 million next year as part of the two-year pact signed in January, so he'll get every opportunity next spring, but Reed showed nothing to indicate he's capable of being any kind of positive contributor. His 4.50 ERA was bad and his 5.11 FIP was worse. His fastball velocity was way down. He missed three weeks in July with elbow soreness and came back looking even worse, allowing an .842 OPS with just 8% swinging strikes the rest of the way (in 2017 he was at 13.7%). It's very obvious that Reed's arm was not close to 100% for the majority of the year, but evidently Minnesota never discovered structural damage and so no action was taken. The Twins have little choice but to hope several months of rest will cure what ails him. Trevor Hildenberger, too, looked completely broken by season's end. The reigning top Twins reliever bounced back from a rocky spring and put together a solid first half, but collapsed in the second. In August and September, he allowed more than a run per inning (9.55 ERA) and a .965 OPS, fumbling away his audition in the closer role. Much like Reed, the Twins were hoping Hildy would be a trustworthy staple, and now he's probably going to have to earn a job next spring. His greatest strengths disappeared, as his ground ball rate dropped from 58.8% in 2017 to 46.3% in 2018, as his K/9 rate dropped from 26% to 22%. The unraveling of these clearly capable righties throws a wrench into Minnesota's bullpen planning, and also casts further scrutiny on the decision to trade Ryan Pressly, who has since cemented his rep as one of baseball's very best relief pitchers. Jorge Alcala had better pan out. In the meantime, the Twins need to replace Pressly's impact in the bullpen if they have true aspirations for 2019. The remaining holdover candidates – Oliver Drake, Matt Magill, Alan Busenitz, Tyler Duffey, etc. – should all be considered fringe contenders for the bottom spots in the bullpen. This means Rogers and May are short on company at the top. General manager Thad Levine, fresh off turning down the Mets' advances, will have his work cut out for him. Last winter he showed some savvy in signing Fernando Rodney and Zach Duke, but his biggest splash (Reed) proved to be his biggest whiff. Will Levine be gun-shy this time around, still on the hook with Reed as the largest current payroll commitment for 2019? There are other options than free agency, of course. Trades are in play, and in fact I would wager good money the Twins acquire at least one reliever through this avenue during the winter. Meanwhile, any number of borderline starter candidates could be converted to relief. It's an approach we've seen work with May among many others. Zack Littell, Kohl Stewart, Fernando Romero or Lewis Thorpe could be intriguing in this regard. Needless to say, there's a lot at play here. We'll lay it all out for you – free agent options (+ what they'll cost), realistic trade targets, and an in-depth feature on the closer situation – in the 2019 Offseason Handbook. Preorder it today and you'll get your copy ahead of the official release. Click here to view the article
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This story helps set the stage for a truly pivotal offseason ahead. It's just a taste of what you'll find in the 2019 Offseason Handbook, which is currently available for preorder. If you wanna learn more about it, and the benefits of preordering, check out our FAQ. In the American League Wild Card Game last week, New York received four strong innings from starter Luis Severino before unleashing its intimidating reliever stable on Oakland's doomed lineup. Dellin Betances, David Robertson, Zach Britton, Aroldis Chapman... ballgame. The Twins can relate. One year earlier they'd been bounced in the same ballpark, after a bottomless Yankees bullpen ate their lunch following Severino's first-inning exit. Of course, the A's had made it into this position on the strength of their own stellar pen, which carried them to stunning regular-season success and made up for a wholly unspectacular rotation. Look around at the rest of the remaining teams, and you'll find plenty of deep, dominant relief units. Which brings us to the Twins. They finished the season with exactly two reliable relievers. The good news is that those two – Taylor Rogers and Trevor May – had a hell of showing in 2018, solidifying themselves as fixtures. Rogers has fully graduated to top-tier status, having finished with a 2.63 ERA and 0.95 WHIP after closing his year with 28 straight scoreless appearances. His 2.33 FIP ranked ninth among MLB relievers, and fourth among those who made 70+ appearances. Once a lefty specialist (and a great one at that), Rogers is now an all-purpose shutdown arm and easily Minnesota's best bullpen asset. May shows signs of being able to join him at this level of distinction. He was nothing short of spectacular in his return from Tommy John surgery, turning in a ridiculous 36-to-5 K/BB ratio in 25 innings. Take out his disastrous lone outing as "opener" (1 IP, 4 ER) and the right-hander put up a 1.73 ERA, 0.90 WHIP and 13.3 K/9 after joining the team in late July following Tommy John rehab. He averaged a career-high 94.1 MPH with his fastball, pounded the strike zone, and induced a 15.4% swinging strike rate, which would've ranked among the top 10 AL qualifiers. May finished the year as closer and looked very much up to the task. Rogers and May are 27 and 29, respectively. Both remain under control for multiple years. So, that's the good news. Elsewhere? Plenty of not-so-good news and uncertainty. I'm not sure you can make a strong argument that any other incumbents are locked into the 2019 bullpen. Addison Reed is probably closest, solely by virtue of his contract. He's owed $8.5 million next year as part of the two-year pact signed in January, so he'll get every opportunity next spring, but Reed showed nothing to indicate he's capable of being any kind of positive contributor. His 4.50 ERA was bad and his 5.11 FIP was worse. His fastball velocity was way down. He missed three weeks in July with elbow soreness and came back looking even worse, allowing an .842 OPS with just 8% swinging strikes the rest of the way (in 2017 he was at 13.7%). It's very obvious that Reed's arm was not close to 100% for the majority of the year, but evidently Minnesota never discovered structural damage and so no action was taken. The Twins have little choice but to hope several months of rest will cure what ails him. Trevor Hildenberger, too, looked completely broken by season's end. The reigning top Twins reliever bounced back from a rocky spring and put together a solid first half, but collapsed in the second. In August and September, he allowed more than a run per inning (9.55 ERA) and a .965 OPS, fumbling away his audition in the closer role. Much like Reed, the Twins were hoping Hildy would be a trustworthy staple, and now he's probably going to have to earn a job next spring. His greatest strengths disappeared, as his ground ball rate dropped from 58.8% in 2017 to 46.3% in 2018, as his K/9 rate dropped from 26% to 22%. The unraveling of these clearly capable righties throws a wrench into Minnesota's bullpen planning, and also casts further scrutiny on the decision to trade Ryan Pressly, who has since cemented his rep as one of baseball's very best relief pitchers. Jorge Alcala had better pan out. In the meantime, the Twins need to replace Pressly's impact in the bullpen if they have true aspirations for 2019. The remaining holdover candidates – Oliver Drake, Matt Magill, Alan Busenitz, Tyler Duffey, etc. – should all be considered fringe contenders for the bottom spots in the bullpen. This means Rogers and May are short on company at the top. General manager Thad Levine, fresh off turning down the Mets' advances, will have his work cut out for him. Last winter he showed some savvy in signing Fernando Rodney and Zach Duke, but his biggest splash (Reed) proved to be his biggest whiff. Will Levine be gun-shy this time around, still on the hook with Reed as the largest current payroll commitment for 2019? There are other options than free agency, of course. Trades are in play, and in fact I would wager good money the Twins acquire at least one reliever through this avenue during the winter. Meanwhile, any number of borderline starter candidates could be converted to relief. It's an approach we've seen work with May among many others. Zack Littell, Kohl Stewart, Fernando Romero or Lewis Thorpe could be intriguing in this regard. Needless to say, there's a lot at play here. We'll lay it all out for you – free agent options (+ what they'll cost), realistic trade targets, and an in-depth feature on the closer situation – in the 2019 Offseason Handbook. Preorder it today and you'll get your copy ahead of the official release.
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Front Page: Offseason Handbook FAQ
Nick Nelson replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Ooh that's a great idea. Probably a little too late to fit into this year's edition but we'll keep that in mind for next. I think you'll all be very pleased with the guest features though. -
Front Page: Offseason Handbook FAQ
Nick Nelson replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Since this is more of a curiosity than a product question I'll answer it here. We start grinding on the Handbook in early September, and yes, it is uniquely challenging to create so much content under these constraints, knowing that we've gotta get it out as early as possibly given the relatively short shelf life. But it's a labor of love, and the positive feedback (as well as the generous contributions) always seems to make it worthwhile. -
Can't blame ya. His second half definitely threw some cold water on the "New and Improved Eddie Rosario" narrative, as he basically stopped drawing walks and his production tanked. But I do wonder how much of that owes to fighting through the quad injury. From July 1st, 2017 to June 30th, 2018, Rosario was an absolute freak over a full one-year span: 157 G, 614 AB, .308 AVG, .560 SLG, 35 HR, 46 2B, 106 RBIs, 40 BB
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So, maybe you're looking at that Offseason Handbook Now Available story on the Twins Daily homepage, and you're wondering... what's that? Why should I pony up $10+ for this digital ebook thingy? Read on and we'll try to answer any questions you might have.What is this [Dr. Evil air quotes] "Offseason Handbook"? It's a digital guide we've been creating annually since 2009, long before this site even launched. Back then we were a dorky bunch of bloggers (how far we've come?) who obsessed over every offseason and its infinite possibilities.We wanted to bottle up that mystique, so we created a product framed as the general manager's handbook. Free agent dossiers, trade recommendations, payroll breakdowns, organizational depth charts: everything a head decision-maker would need to take stock and formulate a plan for success. Anyway, we loved making it, and people seemed to like reading it, so we kept doing it. Eventually Brock (Twins Daily's resident tech/graphic wiz) joined the team and turned it from a crappy Word doc into a beautifully designed PDF. This year's edition is going to be our best yet, by leaps and bounds. I mean, I know, what else am I gonna say, but... seriously. Trust me. You can check out last year's to get a taste. Do I have to pay for it? Nope. We used to have a fixed price for the Offseason Handbook but a couple years ago we decided to make it totally donation-based. We appreciate the support but wanted everyone to be able to enjoy something we worked so hard on. So it was a name-your-price system. That will again the case this year, after the official release (there's a $10 minimum for preorders). You can order your copy now and enter your own price, and you'll receive a download link in your inbox right away. We toiled away to create this product, as well as the free content served up on Twins Daily all year long. We're beyond grateful for all contributions at any amount. But we'd much rather have you grab a copy for free and enjoy it than miss out. Can I buy a physical copy? Afraid not. We dabbled with that option in the past but it was not remotely cost-effective; at our scale, we had to charge wayyy too much just to break even. The Offseason Handbook comes in the form of a downloadable PDF file, which is very tablet/smartphone-friendly and can easily be printed. You can also discreetly read it at work with a spreadsheet open in its vicinity... I hear. What's different this year? New design. New guest authors. New features and resources. This thing is chock full of goodness. If you enjoy the content on this site, you are going to eat it up. That's a promise. ~~~ I want to make this an open forum. If you have any questions in addition to those above, please leave them in the comments section and I will add them into the article with an answer. If you're sold, and ready to lock up your copy, head on over to order page. We can't wait to get it to you. Click here to view the article
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What is this [Dr. Evil air quotes] "Offseason Handbook"? It's a digital guide we've been creating annually since 2009, long before this site even launched. Back then we were a dorky bunch of bloggers (how far we've come?) who obsessed over every offseason and its infinite possibilities.We wanted to bottle up that mystique, so we created a product framed as the general manager's handbook. Free agent dossiers, trade recommendations, payroll breakdowns, organizational depth charts: everything a head decision-maker would need to take stock and formulate a plan for success. Anyway, we loved making it, and people seemed to like reading it, so we kept doing it. Eventually Brock (Twins Daily's resident tech/graphic wiz) joined the team and turned it from a crappy Word doc into a beautifully designed PDF. This year's edition is going to be our best yet, by leaps and bounds. I mean, I know, what else am I gonna say, but... seriously. Trust me. You can check out last year's to get a taste. Do I have to pay for it? Nope. We used to have a fixed price for the Offseason Handbook but a couple years ago we decided to make it totally donation-based. We appreciate the support but wanted everyone to be able to enjoy something we worked so hard on. So it was a name-your-price system. That will again the case this year, after the official release (there's a $10 minimum for preorders). You can order your copy now and enter your own price, and you'll receive a download link in your inbox right away. We toiled away to create this product, as well as the free content served up on Twins Daily all year long. We're beyond grateful for all contributions at any amount. But we'd much rather have you grab a copy for free and enjoy it than miss out. Can I buy a physical copy? Afraid not. We dabbled with that option in the past but it was not remotely cost-effective; at our scale, we had to charge wayyy too much just to break even. The Offseason Handbook comes in the form of a downloadable PDF file, which is very tablet/smartphone-friendly and can easily be printed. You can also discreetly read it at work with a spreadsheet open in its vicinity... I hear. What's different this year? New design. New guest authors. New features and resources. This thing is chock full of goodness. If you enjoy the content on this site, you are going to eat it up. That's a promise. ~~~ I want to make this an open forum. If you have any questions in addition to those above, please leave them in the comments section and I will add them into the article with an answer. If you're sold, and ready to lock up your copy, head on over to order page. We can't wait to get it to you.
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The times they are a changin'. For the last 15 years, Joe Mauer has been a fixture in the Twins clubhouse. No more. For the last four years, Paul Molitor has held the manager's chair. No more. And now, Brian Dozier's three-year reign as Twins Daily MVP comes to an end. Overtaking the throne is Eddie Rosario, and his nod is well earned even if it says more about the surrounding nucleus than him.In 2016 and 2017, Dozier was worth 6.2 and 5.0 WAR respectively (per FanGraphs). Last year Byron Buxton came in second on the Twins at 3.5, which slightly edges Rosario's team-leading mark here in 2018 (3.4). This isn't meant as a knock on Eddie. For much of the season, Rosario seemed determined to carry this lackluster team on his back. It's not really a stretch to say he won a couple midsummer games single-handedly. In June, as the Twins began fading in the division race and the offense mostly fizzled around him, Rosario flourished, posting a ridiculous .330/.395/.689 line and at one point homering seven times in a 14-game span. He was exhilaratingly brazen on the base paths, stealing runs from opposing teams out of nowhere. He went all-out in left field and unleashed fury with his arm. With his team struggling to stay afloat, and Dozier a shell of his former self, Rosario played his ass off to try and make up the slack. It seemingly took a toll. From July 1st onward he hit just .254/.284/.359, collecting 14 extra-base hits in 60 games after totaling 43 in his first 78. In the latter weeks Rosario battled a nagging quad injury that eventually ended his season in mid-September. He was largely a non-factor in the second half, and yet Rosario still stands out as a fairly clear-cut choice for team MVP. Like I said, this award speaks to larger things than Rosario's production, but his all-around step forward as a ballplayer at age 26 should not be downplayed for that reason. So let's give Eddie his due and take a closer look at what fueled the stellar, if front-heavy, campaign he put together. I call it the E.D.D.I.E. equation: Excitement. Discipline. Defense. Intensity. Explosiveness. EXCITEMENT There was no player in baseball you'd rather watch on third base. He antagonized opposing pitchers by dancing down the line, once . He deked outfielders and left them bewildered as he scored easily on shallow flies. At times he seemed intent on stealing home and no one would've been surprised if he tried. Rosario's antics at third were but a microcosm of the intoxicating unpredictability he brought in all phases of the game. DISCIPLINE He still won't be confused for a patient hitter, but the improvements that enabled his 2017 emergence held steady for Rosario. His walk rate of 5.1% was down a tad from last year's 5.9% but still dwarfed his previous career clip of 3.3%, and he also reduced his strikeouts to a career-low 17.6% — an amazing feat for someone who swings so frequently. Rosario swung at a higher percentage of pitches (57.7%) than any other qualified American League hitter but had a lower K-rate than any Twin other than Mauer, Max Kepler and (of course) Willians Astudillo. The left fielder has settled into a groove of striking out three times for every walk, and that looks to be workable for him. DEFENSE FanGraphs had Rosario jumping from 2.5 WAR in 2017 to 3.4 in 2018. Baseball-Reference calculated an even larger leap, from 1.7 to 3.6. And yet, Rosario actually finished with worse numbers this year (.803 OPS, 24 HR) than last (.836 OPS, 27 HR). Why? The answer lies in his defense. By almost any metric, Rosario was vastly more valuable in left field, tracking down more drives and ranking among the league leaders in outfield assists. Hell, he even played a couple innings at third base and turned in a Web Gem. INTENSITY There is a certain edge that sometimes separates the good from the great – a fiery drive to compete and win. I'm not saying others on the Twins don't have it, but Eddie Rosario absolutely has got it. He launched all those max-effort howitzers from the outfield despite a triceps injury limiting him through much of spring training. His season-ending quad aggravation in left occurred because he was sprinting after a ball, while playing hurt, after lobbying his way back out there. He swung out of his shoes pretty much every time he offered at a pitch. Pushing himself to the max so relentlessly might have ultimately undermined Rosario (and the same is true for several of his teammates), but that intensity is what makes him who he is. And he's at least reined it in enough to cut back on some of the wild swings and mental mistakes. EXPLOSIVENESS At 6'1" and 180 lbs, Rosario makes you wonder where all of that explosive strength comes from. He's pure wiry muscle and, while not necessarily the speediest runner, his movements are as quick as they come. A combination of premier hand-eye coordination and lightning reflexes enables him to crush pitches nowhere near the plate. When he's locked in, Rosario is a nightmare matchup. There's no reliable way to get him out. His three-homer outburst against Cleveland in early June, culminating in a walk-off home run, was one of the most amazing individual performances in recent Twins history, pulling Minnesota within 3 1/2 games of the Indians for first place. It was as close as they'd get. Rosario couldn't do it alone, and the team was pretty much cooked by the time his slide began around the All-Star Game, which he narrowly missed playing in. Maybe that's why it was barely noticed, and most of us look back on his 2018 with nothing but positivity. That's as it should be. The Twins weren't a very good team this year but for several months Rosario put on a hell of a one-man show. As the rest of the team's young position-player core stagnated or regressed, he took another step forward, solidifying his stardom and status as a worthy building block. The Ballots Here’s a look at the ballots from our seven voters. Nick Nelson: 1) Jose Berrios, 2) Eddie Rosario, 3) Kyle Gibson Seth Stohs: 1) Eddie Rosario, 2) Kyle Gibson, 3) Jose Berrios John Bonnes: 1) Eddie Rosario, 2) Kyle Gibson, 3) Jose Berrios Tom Froemming: 1) Eddie Rosario, 2) Jose Berrios, 3) Kyle Gibson Cody Christie: 1) Eddie Rosario, 2) Jose Berrios, 3) Max Kepler Steve Lein: 1) Eddie Rosario, 2) Jose Berrios, 3) Kyle Gibson Ted Schwerzler: 1) Eddie Rosario, 2) Jose Berrios, 3) Kyle Gibson Points Eddie Rosario: 34 Jose Berrios: 27 Kyle Gibson: 22 How would your ballot look? Give a shout in the comments and start the discussion. Previous Twins Daily MVP Winners 2015: Brian Dozier 2016: Brian Dozier 2017: Brian Dozier Click here to view the article
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In 2016 and 2017, Dozier was worth 6.2 and 5.0 WAR respectively (per FanGraphs). Last year Byron Buxton came in second on the Twins at 3.5, which slightly edges Rosario's team-leading mark here in 2018 (3.4). This isn't meant as a knock on Eddie. For much of the season, Rosario seemed determined to carry this lackluster team on his back. It's not really a stretch to say he won a couple midsummer games single-handedly. In June, as the Twins began fading in the division race and the offense mostly fizzled around him, Rosario flourished, posting a ridiculous .330/.395/.689 line and at one point homering seven times in a 14-game span. He was exhilaratingly brazen on the base paths, stealing runs from opposing teams out of nowhere. He went all-out in left field and unleashed fury with his arm. With his team struggling to stay afloat, and Dozier a shell of his former self, Rosario played his ass off to try and make up the slack. It seemingly took a toll. From July 1st onward he hit just .254/.284/.359, collecting 14 extra-base hits in 60 games after totaling 43 in his first 78. In the latter weeks Rosario battled a nagging quad injury that eventually ended his season in mid-September. He was largely a non-factor in the second half, and yet Rosario still stands out as a fairly clear-cut choice for team MVP. Like I said, this award speaks to larger things than Rosario's production, but his all-around step forward as a ballplayer at age 26 should not be downplayed for that reason. So let's give Eddie his due and take a closer look at what fueled the stellar, if front-heavy, campaign he put together. I call it the E.D.D.I.E. equation: Excitement. Discipline. Defense. Intensity. Explosiveness. EXCITEMENT There was no player in baseball you'd rather watch on third base. He antagonized opposing pitchers by dancing down the line, once . He deked outfielders and left them bewildered as he scored easily on shallow flies. At times he seemed intent on stealing home and no one would've been surprised if he tried. Rosario's antics at third were but a microcosm of the intoxicating unpredictability he brought in all phases of the game.DISCIPLINE He still won't be confused for a patient hitter, but the improvements that enabled his 2017 emergence held steady for Rosario. His walk rate of 5.1% was down a tad from last year's 5.9% but still dwarfed his previous career clip of 3.3%, and he also reduced his strikeouts to a career-low 17.6% — an amazing feat for someone who swings so frequently. Rosario swung at a higher percentage of pitches (57.7%) than any other qualified American League hitter but had a lower K-rate than any Twin other than Mauer, Max Kepler and (of course) Willians Astudillo. The left fielder has settled into a groove of striking out three times for every walk, and that looks to be workable for him. DEFENSE FanGraphs had Rosario jumping from 2.5 WAR in 2017 to 3.4 in 2018. Baseball-Reference calculated an even larger leap, from 1.7 to 3.6. And yet, Rosario actually finished with worse numbers this year (.803 OPS, 24 HR) than last (.836 OPS, 27 HR). Why? The answer lies in his defense. By almost any metric, Rosario was vastly more valuable in left field, tracking down more drives and ranking among the league leaders in outfield assists. Hell, he even played a couple innings at third base and turned in a Web Gem. https://twitter.com/TwinsHighlights/status/1023034279675265025 INTENSITY There is a certain edge that sometimes separates the good from the great – a fiery drive to compete and win. I'm not saying others on the Twins don't have it, but Eddie Rosario absolutely has got it. He launched all those max-effort howitzers from the outfield despite a triceps injury limiting him through much of spring training. His season-ending quad aggravation in left occurred because he was sprinting after a ball, while playing hurt, after lobbying his way back out there. He swung out of his shoes pretty much every time he offered at a pitch. Pushing himself to the max so relentlessly might have ultimately undermined Rosario (and the same is true for several of his teammates), but that intensity is what makes him who he is. And he's at least reined it in enough to cut back on some of the wild swings and mental mistakes. EXPLOSIVENESS At 6'1" and 180 lbs, Rosario makes you wonder where all of that explosive strength comes from. He's pure wiry muscle and, while not necessarily the speediest runner, his movements are as quick as they come. A combination of premier hand-eye coordination and lightning reflexes enables him to crush pitches nowhere near the plate. When he's locked in, Rosario is a nightmare matchup. There's no reliable way to get him out. His three-homer outburst against Cleveland in early June, culminating in a walk-off home run, was one of the most amazing individual performances in recent Twins history, pulling Minnesota within 3 1/2 games of the Indians for first place. It was as close as they'd get. Rosario couldn't do it alone, and the team was pretty much cooked by the time his slide began around the All-Star Game, which he narrowly missed playing in. Maybe that's why it was barely noticed, and most of us look back on his 2018 with nothing but positivity. That's as it should be. The Twins weren't a very good team this year but for several months Rosario put on a hell of a one-man show. As the rest of the team's young position-player core stagnated or regressed, he took another step forward, solidifying his stardom and status as a worthy building block. The Ballots Here’s a look at the ballots from our seven voters. Nick Nelson: 1) Jose Berrios, 2) Eddie Rosario, 3) Kyle Gibson Seth Stohs: 1) Eddie Rosario, 2) Kyle Gibson, 3) Jose Berrios John Bonnes: 1) Eddie Rosario, 2) Kyle Gibson, 3) Jose Berrios Tom Froemming: 1) Eddie Rosario, 2) Jose Berrios, 3) Kyle Gibson Cody Christie: 1) Eddie Rosario, 2) Jose Berrios, 3) Max Kepler Steve Lein: 1) Eddie Rosario, 2) Jose Berrios, 3) Kyle Gibson Ted Schwerzler: 1) Eddie Rosario, 2) Jose Berrios, 3) Kyle Gibson Points Eddie Rosario: 34 Jose Berrios: 27 Kyle Gibson: 22 How would your ballot look? Give a shout in the comments and start the discussion. Previous Twins Daily MVP Winners 2015: Brian Dozier 2016: Brian Dozier 2017: Brian Dozier
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Joe Mauer's big send-off yesterday, combined with the ominous uncertainty surrounding Miguel Sano, leaves the corner infield spots as a major source of mystery as the Minnesota Twins embark on their offseason. Let's take an early look at a few players who will be available in free agency.Note: This is an excerpt from the free agency section of the upcoming 2019 Offseason Handbook, which you can officially preorder as of today. You'll find these profiles, plus dozens more, within. Claim your copy today to get it before its official release. To say the Twins lack clarity at the infield corners would be an understatement. Incumbent first baseman Joe Mauer is a free agent, for the first time ever. Incumbent third baseman Miguel Sano is coming off a brutal season bisected by a demotion to Single-A. The latter will be back (barring a trade) but in what capacity? Keep him at third, or move him to first (or even DH)? Up to you. And that decision will dictate planning here. Joe Mauer, 1B Age: 35 Previous Team: Twins 2018 Stats: .282/.351/.379, 6 HR, 48 RBI Mauer is coming off an underwhelming season that saw him turn in some of the worst numbers of his career. But he remains an excellent defensive first baseman and strong situational hitter with above-average OBP skills. If he returns, it'll be as a part-timer and frequent DH. But with righty-swinging Tyler Austin on hand, that might fit. Mauer is contemplating retirement. Estimated Contract: 1 year, $7 million Eduardo Escobar, 3B Age: 30 Previous Team: Diamondbacks 2018 Stats: .272/.334/.489, 23 HR, 84 RBI Cherished clubhouse character and late-blooming versatile slugger. Signing Escobar would restore a recognizable veteran presence to the locker room while allowing Sano to move across the diamond for a potential offensive upgrade at both corners. Esco's ability to fill in at short or second, if needed, helps with flexibility. Estimated Contract: 3 years, $45 million Matt Adams, 1B Age: 30 Previous Team: Cardinals 2018 Stats: .239/.309/.477, 21 HR, 57 RBI Looking for an apt platoon mate to complement lefty-masher Austin, Adams might be your man. He's got an .815 OPS with 41 homers over the past two seasons, and is a career .279/.330/.495 hitter against righties. Can play outfield corners in a pinch. Estimated Contract: 2 years, $15 million Hungry for more? Preorder the Offseason Handbook, which will include profiles on tons of other free agent options, at the corner infield and other areas of need. Click here to view the article
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Note: This is an excerpt from the free agency section of the upcoming 2019 Offseason Handbook, which you can officially preorder as of today. You'll find these profiles, plus dozens more, within. Claim your copy today to get it before its official release. To say the Twins lack clarity at the infield corners would be an understatement. Incumbent first baseman Joe Mauer is a free agent, for the first time ever. Incumbent third baseman Miguel Sano is coming off a brutal season bisected by a demotion to Single-A. The latter will be back (barring a trade) but in what capacity? Keep him at third, or move him to first (or even DH)? Up to you. And that decision will dictate planning here. Joe Mauer, 1B Age: 35 Previous Team: Twins 2018 Stats: .282/.351/.379, 6 HR, 48 RBI Mauer is coming off an underwhelming season that saw him turn in some of the worst numbers of his career. But he remains an excellent defensive first baseman and strong situational hitter with above-average OBP skills. If he returns, it'll be as a part-timer and frequent DH. But with righty-swinging Tyler Austin on hand, that might fit. Mauer is contemplating retirement. Estimated Contract: 1 year, $7 million Eduardo Escobar, 3B Age: 30 Previous Team: Diamondbacks 2018 Stats: .272/.334/.489, 23 HR, 84 RBI Cherished clubhouse character and late-blooming versatile slugger. Signing Escobar would restore a recognizable veteran presence to the locker room while allowing Sano to move across the diamond for a potential offensive upgrade at both corners. Esco's ability to fill in at short or second, if needed, helps with flexibility. Estimated Contract: 3 years, $45 million Matt Adams, 1B Age: 30 Previous Team: Cardinals 2018 Stats: .239/.309/.477, 21 HR, 57 RBI Looking for an apt platoon mate to complement lefty-masher Austin, Adams might be your man. He's got an .815 OPS with 41 homers over the past two seasons, and is a career .279/.330/.495 hitter against righties. Can play outfield corners in a pinch. Estimated Contract: 2 years, $15 million Hungry for more? Preorder the Offseason Handbook, which will include profiles on tons of other free agent options, at the corner infield and other areas of need.

