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drjim

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Everything posted by drjim

  1. I think this is generally fantasy talk. Maybe I'm naive but I generally want a guy on the team when he is at peak value. I generally think there are four times to trade a guy - if he is excess, if a better player is on the way, if there is a great player to be acquired or if you are a terrible team and said player doesn't fit into long term plans. But I think the strategy of trying to guess when a guy is at peak value and cashing him in doesn't pay off in the long run, and a team at Twins payroll level should never have financial reasons for a trade (though they might have team control reasons).
  2. If you get a major leaguer and a piece for an important trade (Ladendorf) I can imagine much worst drafts. But man, completely whiffing 27 and 31 is rough.
  3. 8 years is about right before you can know for sure about a draft.
  4. That debate was quite impressive - examples cited that had nothing to do with the main point against criticisms based on assumptions pulled from thin air.
  5. Out of curiosity do you have any reference to how many relievers other teams draft and are you sure the Twins draft significantly more? Individual drafts they have gone heavy, but is this true over an extended period of time?
  6. Clearly the Twins are zagging while the more data driven orgs zig.
  7. Really scary that the two of us are on the same wavelength on anything.
  8. It would be the exact same path that Miggy Cabrera took. Sano's bat is always going to far exceed his glove. Get it up to the bigs the rest of the year, let him play 3B again in winter ball, figure it out going forward. I want as many reps at 3B as possible until he makes the majors, then you can figure it out.
  9. Boom. Outside of Buxton/Sano/Berrios and maybe Polanco, you are getting league average guys in the last year of their contract, or they could be an additional piece in a larger move. Individually they don't have that much trade value, but there is value in them collectively, as some of them will break through and make it and fill a hole on the major league roster or actually become valuable as a trade piece.
  10. For the rest of the season I wouldn't mind those two more or less rotating between RF and DH, with maybe the occasional day at 3B or 1B for Sano.
  11. Kepler and Polanco strike me as personal preference, but I think you are way too high on Hu and Gonsalves, way too low on Gordon and Stewart.
  12. Put Sano in RF until Plouffe is a free agent or no longer good then reevaluate. Perhaps the timetable is moved up if another prospect breaks through.
  13. Great post. I'm not sure "gambling" is the right way to say it. There are clear holes in the lineup that even Ryan acknowledged. When they are deemed ready, they'll be up. I think it could be somewhat soon, but Buxton is probably ahead of Sano.
  14. Thanks for that research. I was actually going to do the same thing this afternoon. 1 starting pitcher is problematic, but certainly not way out of the norm. People underestimate the amount of player movement that happens around the league. I think that there are a lot of critiques about the Twins and their development and roster construction that seem bad on their own but really aren't that much of an outlier compared to the rest of the league. The goal of course is the be the best. Failing that, it does help to have proper context and perspective.
  15. I think virtually everyone does think that. Not sure what you are referring to.
  16. Or realizing they had no other options unless they wanted to roll with the Bernier train again. What they need is his theoretical bat, not his actual bat at this moment.
  17. Of course they have final say on decisions, but they likely aren't going to go against what the scouting director recommends. If they did, then they would have the wrong scouting director.
  18. I'm pretty sure the minor league manager has as much input as anyone on who gets promoted. Strikes me as a big part of their job.
  19. Jokin saw him once and disagrees.
  20. Agreed. Which makes citing the Cardinals examples useless. That said, I want Meyer in the mlb pen sooner rather than later. This is not a strategy to maximize his development as a starter, it is because I think that is his destiny. If somehow Meyer puts a third pitch and command together and the Twins deem it worthwhile, they can explore trying him in the rotation again in a year or two.
  21. Unfortunately they are likely still there.
  22. Some times obvious things are obvious.
  23. Very unlikely to me. I think this is likely to manifest itself on the margins. Really talented teams are going to win a lot and really bad teams are going to lose a lot no matter the character. It is the teams muddled in the middle that can thrive with high character guys and win some extra games on the margins, avoid prolonged slumps. Starting pitching helps too.
  24. Well put. But I also think most media output is pretty meaningless.
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