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drjim

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Everything posted by drjim

  1. I suspect the move is to send down Santana and call up Arcia coming out of the break.
  2. The key is that this is an old article. I'm not willing to find it, but later studies have softened this conclusion a little. Ks do matter somewhat. It does defy logic that ks would be the most important fact for one half of the equation and not matter at all for the other half. And thinking about Walker specifically, it is not just the obscene k rate but also the extremely low bb rate that hampers him.
  3. I suspect they wanted to do it before he left for the Pan Am games.
  4. Did you forget a 1, a 2, or a 3 in front of that 80?
  5. Way too lazy to do the research but I wonder if sinkerballers (legit ones, not fake Blackburn types) take a little longer to fully develop as k pitchers. His k rate for the year is still only slightly higher than the previous two, but it is really creeping up fast. This is the Gibson that was expected when he was drafted.
  6. I would absolutely approve of that move, shouldn't cost too much.
  7. I'll second the need the reform how defense spending occurs, but good luck on that. DON'T YOU CARE ABOUT THE TROOPS? WHAT ARE YOU, WEAK ON DEFENSE! ISIS IS COMING! DON'T YOU THINK PUTIN IS WATCHING, HE CAN SMELL OUR WEAKNESS! (And thank you defense contractor for your generous campaign contribution, absolutely we'll renew our contract for that obsolete piece of military hardware that is partially built in my district).
  8. So we can cite the Cardinals model of how to develop pitchers without actually looking at which pitchers were developed that way, otherwise that is a strawman? Seems reasonable. The Cardinals used that method because they were dealing great talents and limited space in the rotation, similar to how the Twins developed (for example) Santana, Liriano and Baker. Rogers just isn't in that class. Here is why I have no problem with him remaining in the rotation in AAA for the immediate future: 1. He is doing fine, but not exactly forcing his way into the majors. 2. He could be (perhaps even likely is) better than Duensing, but that is far from a sure thing, especially in the immediate future. 3. The Twins have depth at SP at the moment, but that goes quick, and I actually think he would be the 7th starter at the moment. That could change quick if Berrios has a couple more starts, but Berrios probably hasn't passed him yet as far as this season is concerned if a start or 3 is needed. Citing Gonsalves, Stewart and Hu is especially meaningless when thinking about this season and probably next year too. 4. The role Rogers will break into in the pen will likely not be a LOOGY, especially if O'Rourke can do it, but as a multiple batter/inning guy. Getting reps as a starter does nothing to retard that development.
  9. To be clear, are people comparing Rogers to Lynn, Wacha and Martinez? Strikes me as a significant talent gap but might necessitate a different strategy. First and foremost, while Rogers might (might) be better than Duensing at the moment, he's not exactly blowing down the doors to reach the majors like the Cardinals pitchers were.
  10. Much easier to act on peripherals when you have superior options.
  11. Very successful transition. I was skeptical as he was moving but after the initial adjustment he has been great.
  12. Basically yes. And it's amazing how much lower tax burdens would be.
  13. This is the key point. A revolution really won't happen until the middle feels they are being left out and struggling for basics. Just don't see that happening. There certainly might be some unrest but not sure if revolution is result.
  14. This is also why the US is not number 1. There are many areas within the US that has educational levels as good or better than anywhere in the US, and many places that are much worse. Combine it and there it is. To put this all on the creation of Dept of Education or increased Federal spending kind of misses the reality (not saying you are arguing this, just responding to earlier posts).
  15. No true sellers in the AL. Might see moves where teams trade mlb pieces for mlb pieces.
  16. The best and most efficient way is just cut a check for everyone. For many it would just be a tax refund. Straight percent tax (either income or VAT) and then everyone gets the same check. Obviously will never happen for a variety of reasons.
  17. I know it is conventional wisdom to criticize Great Society and the lasting damages of government dependency and cycles of poverty, I generally buy into it as well. That said, I'm starting to think differently about this, especially in the context of what we are seeing today. We have seen welfare reform and shrinking of government benefits, and even though we have a steady (if not spectacular) growth, there does appear to be stagnation in much of the middle and a relative drop in the economic prospects of the poorer. I'm trying to fit together how this is related, and if some additional propping up might be more beneficial, or if additional cutting to programs like these (not elimination) would make the inequality problems even worse. I'm not sure we have simple and clear answers, but I'm much less confident in the conventional wisdom than I used to be.
  18. Is it generally considered good form or meaningful to compare arm speed in spring training (especially when he had a late start due to injury) with arm speed at one of the last outings of the year?
  19. For most of them probably. Take some control out of the less than scrupulous guys who funnel talent.
  20. I would argue room to scale back and also some room to expand in other areas. I'm certainly not saying the current mix is ideal. There is room for reform. But saying "most people realize that government doing something tends to create problems" is true only when you ignore the cases where doing something made society much, much better.
  21. Of course he does. That's the beauty of baseball.
  22. In my mind it is not the signing bonuses that are the problem (they should be higher both domestically and internationally), it is the absolute shadiness (to put it kindly) of the whole market. I think a draft could remedy some of that.
  23. I realize this is a popular cliche, but is it true? Increased government intervention seems to lead to better outcomes (up to a point). There is a sweet spot surely between government action and free market, but merely saying more government leads to more problems doesn't appear to hold up to empirical fact. It's not especially hard to think of numerous examples where government interaction is absolutely critical and absence of such would be a disaster, even on the Federal level.
  24. I agree on Rogers and also the winnowing process. Duensing has already blown up and been put back together again. Been pitching OK recently (8 straight scoreless) but a blow up is likely coming again. I think at that point it will be Rogers vs. Darnell.
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