The 5M is what I assume to be the most they'd save in any single season with an extension. The point you and Willihammer seem to be missing is that you're arguing we'd be getting a discount during two seasons that jorgen keeps pointing out are so likely to drop off...we shouldn't want to be invested in him at all. Personally, I'd rather not be committed to Dozier during highly likely drop-off seasons, no matter how discounted they may be. If, on the off chance, he plays himself into being a "must sign" player when his arbitration runs out and he's 30 some odd years old - then so be it. It's just money, it won't kill the franchise to sign him. But the odds of that happening are not good, so what we will get for assuming a ton of risk are 1) a couple discounted seasons when he will most likely be tailing off and 2) a handful of millions per season, at best, while he would have still been under year-to-year team control. I don't see the appeal.