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TheLeviathan

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Everything posted by TheLeviathan

  1. TheLeviathan
    I really want to know what the deal is with Gurley. His usage made no sense at all.
  2. TheLeviathan
    The chunky milk commercial for wireless made me laugh. But yeah, I don't blame the NFL. Some games just don't turn out thrilling, if anything that's what makes me the most confident that NFL outcomes are legit. (Unlike, say, the NBA) Championship weekend was probably the best any of us will ever see, it's not shocking the Super Bowl was a step down.
  3. TheLeviathan
    Brady was mostly bad too. It's like they were all hungover or half asleep.
  4. TheLeviathan
    It was more bad offense than good defense for sure.
  5. TheLeviathan
    I wish we had a right-handed Jake Cave.
  6. TheLeviathan
    Also...why should we care where their payroll ranks relative to their team value? There isn't much of a correlation there to care about IMO. Plus, as you state here, the larger context of MLB is rife with issues for comparison. All I've heard anyone hold them to is their own stated number of 50% of revenue. I think some of these other attempts to contextualize the Twins' spending distracts from the root of the problem.
  7. TheLeviathan
    I'd wear it out on Kramarczuk's sausage for sure.
  8. TheLeviathan
    Wow! 15%? That's, like, at least 30% of how much they marked it up in the first place!
  9. TheLeviathan
    I'm not saying you are doing anything wrong spycake, but I do question the way the stat is used broadly. But best left to other threads.
  10. TheLeviathan
    Seems like you laid out the problems just fine. Sure, it makes sense to incorporate it, but remember all those problems when you use the stat too. Your convictions behind the stat should reflect the flaws in the ingredients. If I bake muffins I don't get to frame them as healthy because they have blueberries as I conveniently forgot the tub of sugar i put in it too.
  11. TheLeviathan
    The fact that it's impossible without it in no way weakens my point. The problem is the nature of the adjustment itself.
  12. TheLeviathan
    Yup, that's sorta my point. Despite the fact that the positional adjustment sorta makes it apples and oranges (or, at the very least, weakens the comparison considerably) - the stat is still widely used that way. I understand people want it to be a good comparison tool, but really what it can be used for is a very rough approximation of value. And in the cases of WAR totals driven by defensive calculations, it becomes pretty sketchy altogether. When I said the vast majority of people use it more forcefully than it is warranted, I'm speaking about just about every time it's used on Fangraphs. MVP arguments are rarely made with the very nuances argued in that link. For example, rarely when there is a large disparity (say, 6.0 vs. 3.0) is any mention made of how much the defensive component makes up each player's total. Certainly, here on this forum with Byron Buxton, this is true but you also see it on Fangraphs. I appreciate how they try and caution the use of the stat and they do a nice job laying out the limits of it, I wish they followed those outlines more frequently to set a better example.
  13. TheLeviathan
    Except, it goes beyond just being a hardliner about 3.5 vs. 3.1. It's also about people comparing a 3.5 WAR in CF to a 3.5 WAR at 2B. That isn't a particularly responsible use of the stat either. Frankly, WAR is a fairly limited stat for accurate comparisons used too broadly IMO. There are better stats for assessing value (on offense and defense separately) and it may be best if we stop pretending we have a good measurement for both offense and defense that can be compared across positions or too rigidly.
  14. TheLeviathan
    Republicans argue more people voting is unpatriotic. Yup, sounds about right.
  15. TheLeviathan
    I understand the FO's "pounce at the right moment" strategy. I understand some of the defenses for it offered here. But how often are you going to have the perfect player for the perfect moment? Waiting for the stars to align is a very passive approach and has a very low probability of occurring. And even if it does occur, it's not like you're the only destination for that player to land, you still have to compete with other franchises to offer the most money. That seems like a strategy riddled with pitfalls and low on probability of success. I feel like they are willingly create this baseball scenario and trying to hit it on the ground on the right side:
  16. TheLeviathan
    I wish people understood this, but I think the vast majority of people do not employ the stat appropriately.
  17. TheLeviathan
    Minnesota is hardly the only place this drum is being banged.
  18. TheLeviathan
    This will come back to bite this sport. I don't understand how ownership groups think this is good for the game long term. It's such short-term, misguided thinking.
  19. TheLeviathan
    Things change quickly in baseball though. I agree with much of what you say, but I bet there are trade targets out there more appealing than this. And if there aren't....then I'm ok holding off. I don't want the team to make moves for the sake of it either. Kiriloff and Graterol are pretty valuable chips. If I'm pushing them into the middle of the table, I want to feel really good about what I'm getting back. And, frankly, I'm pretty ok with Castro/Garver/Austidillo. That's not where I'm pushing all-in to help. There are other places we can gain more from making a splash.
  20. TheLeviathan
    If the price tag is Kiriloff and Graterol, I think I'd prefer to look elsewhere. I feel like that kind of package could land a pretty damn good pitcher and I'm more interested in that anyway.
  21. TheLeviathan
    Let me know when this actually happens. Sounds like a defense for the other inactivity.
  22. TheLeviathan
    No, I just mean they became more a part of the political process. And maybe I'm wrong, it appears FDR was the most noteworthy user. Has their purpose changed at all? I feel like their use now has more to do with bypassing congressional dysfunction.....
  23. TheLeviathan
    Yup, I don't even remember hearing the term "executive order" until recent history. This is the root cause of most of our significant political ills.
  24. TheLeviathan
    If only that was the most mundane thing that can trigger some. I was witness to a college student irate that a classmate had called them "buddy". MAGA hats aren't even close to what passes for offensive these days, the bar is much, much lower.
  25. TheLeviathan
    I wonder if there are adjectives hyperbolic enough to describe how bad the strike will impact baseball. They need to figure this out and they very clearly aren't even trying.
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