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Thrylos

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Everything posted by Thrylos

  1. Thrylos
    They did not attend college. Greene is already committed. Aiken's situation was slightly different, because of injury. Still he got 1/2 of the money ($2.5M) that he would had gotten had he accepted the Astros $5M offer. If anything, Aiken who lost $2.5M because of the bad advise he was given not to sign, is an example why 1-1 picks do not have any leverage. Nix was a 5th rounder and not an 1-1 overall. Irrelevant.
  2. Thrylos
    More like 3 years, since he is committed to a full College and won't be eligible for the draft until he is a junior. Bottom line: If someone is drafted 1-1 cannot hope to be drafted any higher in the future, so he has zero leverage.
  3. Thrylos
    WPA is a counting stat "A" stands for "added", which is the epitome of counting. I'd say that if you are not able to explain WPA, you do not belong in an MLB broadcasting booth in 2017. Sorry DickNBert.
  4. Thrylos
    Nate Silver's "Goose Egg" has incredibly good correlation with WPA... If you think that WPA is an appropriate measure for measuring reliever performance, have at it. Saves, as wins and losses are pretty meaningless. Will it go away? It won't, unless it does not matter in arbitration hearings... I am thinking of S like I am thinking of RBI. It is there and who cares...
  5. Thrylos
    Other than AAA which these says is somewhat of a mixed back of the MLB-ready-most talent of the organization that is either prospects or AAAA players, age is an important indicator: It signifies a. how fast an organization develops players and they move to higher competition levels, b. how many chances an organization gives players who will never make it to the majors, and c. how many levels is an organization willing to clog with reclamation projects. The Twins have been not exceptional in either of those things. Playing a 30-year old, a 29-year old, two 28 year olds, and three 27 year olds in AA, does not help player development in the Twins organization. Having a 25 year old with a .442 OPS as the cleanup hitter in high A (but you know who his daddy is,) and a 27 year old in that rotation, does not help player development in the Twins organization. This feels as an evaluation year for Falvey and Levine and I hope that these practices are some that they are evaluating and are willing to make quick decisions...
  6. Thrylos
    Torre is in. So is the guy who started it all with the A's, Tony LaRussa
  7. Thrylos
    His 90.0% LOB, 4.2 HR/FB, .222 BABIP along with 15.3% K% / 5.4 K/9 and 4.76 xFIP makes me think that it will be nice to enjoy the mirage while it lasts (or even better, finding a trade partner ASAP.)
  8. Thrylos
    Dilemma? Not sure I see it: Duffey sucked as a starter. Duffey has been good in the pen. So: Do they keep him in the pen (where he's been good) or start him again (where he has neither the pitches nor the stamina to succeed)? It is like saying that the Twins had a dilemma after the first year of Perkins' appearances in the pen. Similar situation.
  9. Thrylos
    Based on this little thing from there, one can use WPA to measure relievers and call it a day. Not sure I like it (according to this Taylor Rogers and Ryan O'Rourke were the Twins' best relievers in 2016,) but WPA is a stat easy to find:
  10. Thrylos
    Tonkin is out of options and likely will be out not down. And unless Park's hammy is good enough to get him off the AAA DL, he is not going anywhere. I don't mind losing Tonkin. If I had my pick of the litter for position players, it would be Niko Goodrum who will provide enough versatility (he can play every position but C), but the real issue here is not a lack of position players, but Danny Santana's .343 OPS and Byron Buxton's .292 OPS primarily, and Joe Mauer's .473 OPS and Eddie Rosario's .448 OPS secondarily. If these 4 guys were hitting at league average levels, there would be no issue.
  11. Thrylos
    He never came up pre-TJ. He has his TJ in 2011 after 2 seasons in the minors. He came up in 2013 mid-season.
  12. Thrylos
    In 2014 and 2015 Gibson has been a good 3-4 starter in a competing team, with about 4 ERA, 2.5 WAR, and 190 innings (think Ervin Santana's career numbers). Last season was bad, and he was battling injuries. This season, his FB is -1 mph and his other pitches -2 mph off their peak. Add a 25% HR/FB and it does not help. Not sure if it weather or health or overthinking stuff at this point, but he needs to do something to figure it out. Going to the pen will not help.
  13. Thrylos
    Some historical reference: This Hardball Times article is a good explanation of the term and its history in the Twins' organization. This Strib article from about 5 years ago, is trying to explain (or imagine) the science behind it, while This fangraphs article really is talking science regarding it About all you need to know without evoking DickNBert
  14. Thrylos
    They thought that Suzuki was that. He was the guy who they overpay to extend... Murphy was projected as the backup and/or future catcher
  15. Thrylos
    This is more of a Dustan Mohr for J.T. Thomas trade to me; i.e. marginally relevant to the future of either team.
  16. Thrylos
    Thanks! Could be trap as well...
  17. Thrylos
    Official word is "strained neck". Are you sure that it was shoulder?
  18. Thrylos
    Here is an interview of Wright after his 13 K shutout, including highlights of the game: https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=76&v=fHJflXDa5q0
  19. Thrylos
    He mostly used to be a SP and now has been coming off the pen. I suspect that the move help him, but let's not forget that he is about 3 years older than the league.
  20. Thrylos
    He puts the data right out there in table form and then ignores it: Buxton's MLB average BABIP is .314. This season is .200. He will get better just because of that (if indeed gets balls in play). Agreed, he needs to play and bat 9th...
  21. Thrylos
    Writeup on McKay from his hometown paper here.
  22. Thrylos
    I'd take Grossman's bad over Santana's bad at OF any day, btw. The "once over a week or two" is kinda Catch-22 situation: A player needs to play every day to improve his defense and to learn the tendencies of his fellow players. If you have a bad player out there every once a while, he will not improve. The other thing is, that the Twins do not need Grossman to be an every day OF right now.
  23. Thrylos
    I don't know why would anyone think that Grossman was not a good hitter? Check his numbers (fangraphs' link). Other than a SSS of 54 PA with the Astros in 2015 (and that one game he played for Rochester last season), his career wRC has been excellent in the minors and in the majors started just a hair below average at 96, and has been improving every season, ending up at 127. That's what happens to players. They click at some point. He is just entering his prime at 27 years old. As far as the defense goes, other that parts of 2014 at the Astros OF where he was slightly above average, he has been pretty bad. Is it fixable? Maybe. Let's not forget, he started his pro career as a centerfielder. That said, I'd give him a first baseman's glove and have him take some reps out there as well. It would not hurt...
  24. Thrylos
    I hope that the new Twins executives the more familiar they get with the teams' assets both at the majors and the minors are starting to make each and every personnel decision based on future and long term success. If the team is competing this season and (lets say) Phil Hughes is out for a couple months, mr Tepesch will not cut it, as replacement, and they better go out there and get a pitcher who can help them win. If they are not competing this season, I hope that the replacements are players who are having some future with the organization, so mr Tepesch should not cut it either in that scenario. And in the team is not competing, there is zero point of having anyone (other than Mauer who you cannot give away for free) who will not be part of future success, so a fire sale should happen. Still disappointed that Dozier is a Minnesota Twins palyer right now...
  25. Thrylos
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