Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

old nurse

Old-Timey Member
  • Posts

    7,597
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    2

 Content Type 

Profiles

Minnesota Twins News, Rumors & Analysis

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospect Rankings

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Minnesota Twins Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Minnesota Twins Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by old nurse

  1. I am pretty sure that some would rip Ryan regardless of what he does. Couldn't resist. Elite talent is hard to come by. Mediocre is easy to find..
  2. I did not claim to say anything about hitting or judging hitting, or even that it defines power, talent or anything other than an RBI is a measure of what that person contributed towards the goal of the game.
  3. If the point of the game on offense is to score runs then a rbi has value. It measures the batter's contribution to the goal. Others will tell you that you are incorrect on the correlation to runs scored. Does OPS Correlate Better To Runs Scored Than RBI? | Mets Merized Online
  4. I guess you will have to become an ESPN insider to get the rest of the article
  5. There is no need to add someone to the 40 man roster unless they are being called up. Feel free to start a thread about which player needs to be sent down and which non 40 man player needs to be brought up.
  6. Not a darn thing to do with Correia as I never mentioned Correia. l.
  7. a .39 correlation means that if you want to believe the theory you believe it. It also means if you don't want to believe the theory you can do that, too.
  8. Using any of the metrics is fine if you understand the limitations of them. You sign a player to play in your baseball park 81 games a year. What that player does should suit your park. All of the metrics attempt to get rid of that factor. Any metric is a look backwards wether or not it is sustainable no metric measures.
  9. You may be correct on K/9 vs K% in terms of a better strikeout pitcher but not necessarily who is the better overall pitcher. If one pitcher has a better K/9 while the other has a better K% by a large variance then I would ask myself why isn't the pitcher with the high K% pitching more innings. Hence looking at the variation between stats could help you determine strengths and weakness.
  10. How a pitcher grips a ball would be an indication of what pitch is coming. Disguising and varying the speed and movement of the ball then becomes a key component in preventing the ball from meeting the sweet part of the bat. How you would measure that to prove it would be a long task. That slugging percent rated higher than batting average in scoring runs might confirm the notion. Carl Pavano's 2010 season would show that it can be done without a lot of strikeouts. All the good strikeout pitchers would prove that it might be easier to find a great strikeout pitcher than a great pitch to poor contact pitcher.
  11. If the numbers are still in your spreadsheet you could run a correlation of k/9 and hits. Might only be the same .54. The k/9 people are correct in that a strikeout is the best way to prevent a hit. What is ignored though is the thought of pitcher mistakes and having the batter guess right. The more pitches thrown the greater the chance a mistake pitch gets sent somewhere. Context if you would like would be to think of your favorite Twin's pitchers not with the club who were inconsistent. Sinkers that don't sink are hittable. It is too bad the Pitch F/X people when analyzing pitches don't have a category for the obvious oops pitches.
  12. Baker and Garza made it up through the system rather quickly. Slowey progressed not as quickly, but made multiple mid year promotions. Blackburn had a long time in the minors. Note that the higher k/9 pitchers progress more quickly. In recent drafts the high strikeout pitchers with better control would more than likely be gone by the time the Twins drafted. They did draft high strikeout pitchers like Shooter Hunt, Billy Bullock and McCardell. Some did not work out. In targeting established pitchers in trades you have to give up a lot more for the strikeout pitcher. That would limit what they trade for. What they sign in free agency is a different thread and doesn't have to derail this one.
  13. While there is no doubt the Twins can afford a top flight pitcher I have no recollection of a number1/2 type starter in their prime signing with a cellar dwelling team. Ryan has miscalculated the market, and botched it by not signing Buerhle. Their best chances to sign top pitching talent was after 2010. After Cliff Lee Pavano was the second best option, The talent dropped off quickly that year. That is the hard part on finding front of the rotation help
  14. Was there a top free agent willing to sign here? There were plenty of mediocre pitchers available. 4-5 starter types abound but the rant is about the better free agents. The smoke blowing comes from the people complaining what was not done with no idea what happened behind the scene.
  15. Again, the original post was about spending in free agency. If spending 28 million dollars on an outfielder that OPS .700 when off drugs and a backup infielder a big splash in the free agency market go ahead. Did I say enough times that the person. I guess a bellyflop does move a lot of water.
  16. 2012 Grienke, Upton, Hamilton 2011 Darvish, Fielder , Puhols, Reyes 2010 Cliff Lee, V Mart, Crawford, Beltre 2009 Holiday, Lackey 2008 Tiexera, Sabathia. There is pretty elite talent every year that becomes available.
  17. So you would have one less bullpen pitcher and 6 starters that do not go deep into games? Every third day after their start they are the long man if a starter fails?
  18. In 2010 Carl Pavano went 17-11. WHIP 1.19,ERA 3.75 with a paltry k/9 of 4.3. That year for qualified starters was the third worst K/9. The problem in not so much pitch to contact as it is the poor pitching overall. Generally it is the mistake pitch that gets killed. It is when you have a steady diet of one pitch that the batter can recognize coming out of the pitcher's hand that will get killed. The idea is if they make contact with the bat let it be poor contact. The concept os pitch to contact and reduce walks should be throwing the pitch that is tough to hit. Haven't watched much this year, but I don't hear any raving about great off speed pitching by the Twin's pitchers. Sit on a fastball and kill it.
  19. The upgrades by numbers would still leave them as 4-5 starters. You would have at best a minimal improvement over what was signed or traded for this past off season. Marquis was a head scratcher. Although at 3 million he was probably the cheapest pitcher signed other than Colon. The sad thing is they could have traded Marty Popham and Brad Holt to the Angels for Haren and 3 million.
  20. The original post was about signing free agents not trading for talent. Not that I really cared about your inaccuracies, I just wanted to get in a shot about the guy and his PEDS.
  21. Toronto signed only two players, one of them clearly misses his PEDS.
  22. Mourneau is batting about as well as an average player would. That is not good. Compared to other first base/DH types he is batting poorly. He would need to return to form to get a 100-200 prospect unless the other teams think that he is being pitched around because the batters following him are not exactly on fire either.
  23. I think winning comes from performance. Over the time of a baseball season talent will win. If you have enough talent you will win.
  24. When there was a claim that there were 15 pitchers available to the Twins that were above average starters ERA+ was used as the designated statistic. ERA+ is computed using all of the pitchers. Regular starter, relievers, pitchers who pitched hurt and sucked, as well as the replacement level pitchers. If you use xfip as your measuring stick a different picture emerges. The years of 2009 through 2012 were used. A minimum of 300 innings pitched over that time leaves Grienke, Sanchez, Jackson, Haren, Baker, Myers, Dempster, Liriano, Lohse and Marcum as with the only starters available with a sub 4.2 xfip. When you reach 4.2 Fangraphs decrees that you are a below average pitcher. After being released or traded I do not think that Lohse, Liriano or Baker would be coming back. Realistically that left Haren, Myers, Dempster and Marcum as the reasonable potential Twins that were above average pitchers.
×
×
  • Create New...