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old nurse

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Everything posted by old nurse

  1. The FO made the decision on boderline players. What makes the call on Arcia wrong is the FO made the decision. Just like they made the decision to keep Santana. They can point to Arcia's kind of decent half year and say that he will develop from there while totally dismissing Santana's great season calling it luck.
  2. League average LOB% is around 72% . Santiago is a little better at 75%, Not exceptional but a whole lot better than Nolasco. Nolasco was down around 65%
  3. If you ever mentioned that Nolasco had a better FIP or xFIP than ERA there was some backlash. Now with Santiago suddenly it means something. One way statistics for the boo birds
  4. It would seem like it would be fairly universal tto teach players not expand the strike zone
  5. I don't think any of the assistant GMs looking to move up could have that kind of clout. I don't think you are going to see an existing GM come in as a President of Baseball Operations and hire a GM. The 4-5 million it would take does not seem like a Pohlad move.
  6. Please copy and paste where I said McPhail was a failure as a Twins GM. McPhail did not have success with the Cubs or Orioles. He is a great example of hiring success from outside your company to a higher level doesn't always work. If your comment was your retort to which GM was promoted from assistant GM, you should know what assistant GM was promoted from a failure, I would have expected you to know that Ryan was never an assistant GM, nor was he recently promoted,. There to my knowledge was never a book or movie of him. Sandy Alderson's last 5 years with a team were an abject failure. His replacement was his assistant
  7. A college player drafted in 2008 is not even through their peak years. A high school player drafted then is just starting their prime. That is the problem with trying to figure out how good your draft guy is.
  8. Slid down prospect ranking, he was as high as 4 in the Giants organization. Ranked as high as 86 on a prospect ranking list. Before you all get exited, one study showed it was about a 35% chance of a pitcher of this ranking accumulating 3 WAR.
  9. http://www.baseballprospectus.com/prospects/eyewitness_pit.php?reportid=137
  10. From preseason 2016 rankings 12) Adalberto Mejia, LHP, Grade C+: Age 22, posted 2.45 ERA with 38/18 K/BB in 51 innings in Double-A, season cut in half by PED suspension then a sore shoulder. Some see him as mid-rotation starter with fastball, change-up, slider, but I think he is more of a bullpen asset in the long run.
  11. You still missed the point. As far as Antonyy not understanding metrics, you haven't shown that he does not understand the metrics that Jack Goin presents or works on. It is what have you said lately sort of thing. I know it is a real difficult concept for some here to grasp but even past 30 one still can learn You should know the answer to your question on successful assistant from a failed GM. The team he was an assistant on in the 5 years previous lost over 90 games twice. Had the benefit of strike shortened seasons so as to not lose even more. Pretty famous guy, too. Got promoted to executive vice president recently. Had a book written about him. Movie, too. Similarities to Antony end there
  12. I would doubt that they are not going to get a successful GM to come here. They could get a candidate with past failures to come in. Any of the assistant GMs it then comes down to subjectivity in determining who is better qualified. If there is some charming individual out there with a strong player development track record, great. Go get him. Number crunchers as your best candidates, it will be a crapshoot.
  13. You still missed the point. Your comment in Antony disinterest in analytics is also unfounded.
  14. Lipstick on a pig is lipstick on a pig. Putting makeup on Lohse is not going to improve him. Pitching looking like a drag queen as deception probably won't work. Although I do not think it will work I do not think players as drag queens had ever been done. Sale wouldn't be the only player with scissors
  15. Kahn was a local example of a miserable fail. The point that sailed past you is that hiring outside is not a sure answer. The Reds hired the assistant GM of a mid market team that was doing well. It didn't work out. They then hired an experienced GM from a team with a winning tradition, it still hasn't worked. San Diego hired a bright assistant GM . 3 bad drafts, trades that produced only one prospect it would be hard to say Hoyers time in San Diego was anything special yet some say he should be hired here. If Antony can in a couple months on the job articulate the strengths and the weakness of the Twins system and how the fixes will work he might be the best candidate. He certainly had a front row seat as to what went wrong, nor was he in a position to change it. It would not be certain either way because I don't think anyone here knows what he knows. I know he can articulate the company line, I don't know if he had ideas on how to do things differently. I have worked with people who could espouse the company line and when they went into management changed the garbage in tolerable. Had one who turned the place into hell. You just don't know.
  16. Although the Brewers hired a GM from outside of the organization a lot of the previous key people still have roles with the club or were promoted. A new leadership group does not necessarily mean a complete housecleaning. Toronto sort of pillaged the Indians for a front office. Cleveland then just promoted from within maintaining the country club.
  17. Millone is probably way down on anyone's list. Disaster plan for September.
  18. Teams passed on Kinzler and Abad over the winter. hey are having good seasons, but already they were a second or more choice of teams. Nunez is still a utility guy having either a career year or a breakout year. At his age, it is the latter. Utility guys are nice to have but there is no urgency. Contracts of the others means to trade for them is a commitment that the teams might not want to make. As a last resort. That would be a reason why there is no movement and likely to only be last day or late August movement.
  19. Aggie was not quite Chapman. ERA+ in the 150-180 or so range where Chapman is well over 200 The second trade of Aggie netted them Lohse. Of course that was later wasted
  20. For sending a bunch of no name prospects to the Reds New York has turned it into 2 top 100 prospects and the player they traded to get Castro. Cashman did well
  21. What do the other 10 teams have that cause them to not be included in the mix for above average 3B If you can't play full time that does not make you below average?
  22. He gets the blame when the scouts guess wrong, Ryan can get some credit for scout being right.
  23. Who does what based on what is listed on a website seems dubious. A front office elsewhere may have more titles. Miami on their page list interns. The Twins do not. They have a VP for pitching development, the Twins minor league pitching coordinator does not get a title on the page. Like the mantra of the Twins have no analyticts department, the Twins front office bash may have the same sort of legs without backing. It does make for an easy excuse. Maybe if they clean house and trash the old regime enough Ryan will speak out.
  24. There is a lot of season left. When clubs get done selling assets it might be hard for a team to tank when Atlanta, the Reds, Brewers, Rays are done. The White Sox, Angels, Arizona and San Diego could also implode. That would be a lot of bad teams. I seem to recall a lot of past Twins teams giving hope for the future with a strong second half . I also think Molitor is too much of a competitor to tank
  25. David Price this year is making Nolasco look like a cheap player
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