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old nurse

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Everything posted by old nurse

  1. 2019 ops predictions for Steamer/Razzball Polanco .751 Melson Cruz .895 Schoop .769 Kepler .772 Crom .804 Sano .782 Marwin .768 Castro .671 Astudilo .763 Garver .722 OK, last winter it would give someone a talking point. Accuracy? IDK how it could be called accurate.
  2. Rijo may have a high enough ceiling for a team to take a flyer on. Too many teams do not have a 5th starter for Jax not to be taken. Is there a dearth of pitching bad enough for Clay to be taken as a reliever with the death of the LOGY. Taken, yes. Kept, unlikely Javier. The only thing a team can be certain of is that he can field. Does a late innings defensive replacement make sense on a rebuilding team? I would doubt it. Is his bat going to develop? IDK If a major league team's pipeline lacks a shortstop, he could be taken. My best guess is that other teams have a similar but not equal to Javier player. He might be worth the 50k flyer, he might not be worth the final cost, including salary and benefits. Miami, Baltimore, KC, Detroit all can take a player or two and stash on their roster without doing any damage at all to the likely goal for 2020 hence Javier comes into play, as does Rijo if any team likes his ceiling. Therein lies the unknown. Who likes which players.
  3. Due to the overweight being an issue that he was trying to take the easy way out on and 3 years already lost due to injuries, Pneda is a year to year player. Base and bonus would be reasonable. 5-10 base, 10 available bonus. He is also 5th starter, not in talent but in terms of planing a rotation
  4. A diuretic is not a PED. As for a masking agent, HCTZ works slower than furosimide, thus it not ideal for a masking agent
  5. Ironically Cave was traded for shortly after the Twins had given up on Granite. On an age timeline, Granite is due to break out like another former Twin CF. Somebody named Hicks. I hear he is oft injured like a current Twins CF thus requiring a plan C and D lest the team has to go out and buy a LeMarre.. That is how you end up with Cave. The really silly thing is in this thread there are people bashing the FO for trading for high risk, high reward prospects and also bashing them for trading them.
  6. A few fun facts Since trading them Kevin Slowey the Rockies have not made another deal with the Twins. Same for Detroit and Delmon If that made you laugh, here is the other way No trades with the Mets since Johan no trades with the Orioles since Hardy
  7. The same organization that ranks him as the 4th best Yankee prospect does not have him on a 100 best prospect list. I wouldn't get to bothered by a ranking. Definite high ceiling. Definite high risk with a lack of control.
  8. You appear to prove my point that Lynn needs spring training.
  9. The Twins did fix Lynn. They taught him that he needs to start spring training on time and that he is not worth all of the money he wants. Most of the rest of your list was not fixed by anyone else, either.
  10. Boyd had a career year, Thor had a career worse. There is what your calculator says then there is what the teams that control them think. Type in DeGrom and that is about what the teams are asking for,
  11. You can call it a fact that the Twins could sign Wheeler, Bum and Odo without losing core players but it ignores that the bullpen and backup catcher needs. The starters could well command a combined 60 million. It would require some luck in arbitration with Rosario, Cron, Sano, Berrios, Buxton and Rogers. To keep the catcher ss strong as lasy year will not be cheap. Guessing bullpen arms will not be easy Will Smith (30, 1.2) -- received qualifying offer from SF (11/4) Will Harris (35, 1.1) Sergio Romo (37, 1.0) Chris Martin (34, 1.0) Jake Diekman (33, 1.0) Daniel Hudson (33, 0.9) Sam Dyson (32, 0.9) Brandon Kintzler (35, 0.9) Drew Pomeranz (31, 0.7) Brad Brach (34, 0.7) Tyler Clippard (35, 0.7) That is the top 10 by WAR in relievers. A good reliever is going to be an expensive crapshoot, an ineffective bargain, or somebody is going to think the FO is brilliant.
  12. The league average innings pitched for starters pitching 32 games or more is 6 and 1/10 innings Odo pitched in 5 innings or less 8 out of his 30 starts
  13. On Bumgarner. Pitching close to home? If he was a good old southern boy San Fransisco is the complete opposite of that. Bumgarner delayed free agency to stay and had a generous no trade clause to boot to stay in San Fransisco. I would doubt reports he wants to pitch closer to home. I wouldn't he wants a lot of money. The irony here is that Wheeler is the one who comes from outside of Atlanta.
  14. As the private plane flies, not much difference.
  15. You want to make it 2 positions where you have a well below average hitter for the position. Better defense at the expense of offense. The difference in woba would suggest you lose more runs on offense than you would save on defense.
  16. I did not explicitly say they should not spend money on big free agents, You can not find those words. The article was about spending like the Cubs and Houston and look what happened to them. The other side of that coin is what happens when you spend. and it does not work out. Any one year contract is great. Two years not so bad, Addison Reed being an exception. 3 years and you might get one good year. Now if the staff in Target Center are as smart as the Nationals at selecting pitcher the team will be fine. They seemed to have signed and extended the right players as well as not signed the right players. The only exception might be Giolito, but to me, a little more time to determine breakout versus fluke year.
  17. The sad reality is that the Cubs, Houston, Boston, Dodgers all have revenue streams that produce $100,000,000 or more than the Twins do. You cannot do what they do when you do not have the same resources. The Twins could have a 150 million payroll. They have the resources for that. The other teams have 58 million more or more that they can spend. Some spent more, than 208, some less. As these teams that have won a WS have spent near the cap err luxury tax threshold or over they have fallen afterwards.LA has maintained because they have developed talent. Unfortunately, they have not won a WS, or they would be the model. They had the resources to withstand the bad contracts. They still had to give away players to get under the cap tax. If being aware that you do not have the resources the other teams have and you can't do what they do is punting so be it. Strange use of the word
  18. Dodger were just below the luxury tax threshold. The cautionary tale there is the 40 million in dead money. A great 7 year run. 1 loss in the WS. The theory of spend and it will vault you to the next level (the subject of the blog) is wishful thinking
  19. Usually a player is well paid before the fans turn on them, Eddie will need a new song for walk up music. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wqg4taiLRRE
  20. What one team proves anther shows the opposite. The Phillies spent around 50 million more. Dombrowski spent, now Boston is looking like a wreck. Speaking of wrecks, there is the rise and fall of the Tigers. One and done are the Cubs. Like Boston they got to the top with spending and a core of young players. It lasted for a moment and now that moment is gone. (Sort of like dust in the wind) Year in and year out the Dodgers are at the top of the list. Did they win a WS this century? When it works like in Houston you are a genius. When it works once in a town that has not won, you are a genius. Elsewhere, pitchforks.
  21. If you think you are getting a front line starter for all four years versus a slim chance for 7 years of a player, take the known.
  22. Neither the player nor their agents will think either pitcher is second tier. 4/72 is a dream owner contract. They will look to slot in behind Strassburg. They would be looking more like a Corbin 6/140. The question becomes what does it take to get them to your team. 4/100? That also sets the price for a Berrios extention. 3 SP would make up nearly half of your payroll at some point. They should not get both as advocated.
  23. It could be said of any of the millions of prospects that he should have been traded. There is no value in a prospect unless another team values them highly.
  24. That is the reality of minor league baseball. It has been that way for a long time. There used to be many more levels of minor league ball. They got rid of them long ago. They are talking about cutting back the draft and minor leagues even more. It is not a new idea
  25. How do you know that they were not offered in trade and were not wanted? What is the point in trading potential for a player you could pick up for veteran's minimum in free agency?
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