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beckmt

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Everything posted by beckmt

  1. beckmt
    Tonkin is your classic AAAA pitcher, just not quite good enough, but great as a depth/AAA closer. Need to move up some of the Chatanooga relievers to at least AAA and see what they have. We have some definite openings at the major league level.
  2. beckmt
    As I understand it Jorge was the 26th man and went back to AA. Any promotion to AAA would come from there.
  3. beckmt
    Think we might get to a WC game. More than that would be a surprise, but Cleveland could have one or two starting pitching injuries or hitting could implode and they could fall down. Do not see trading much of the upper level farm talent on a short term fix. Could see trading Polanco as part of a package for Gray or Archer(since both of those clubs value cheap decent players with control). Would not trade Gordon as he has too much upside, would actually bring him up, when Twins clear a spot with a trade before the deadline.
  4. beckmt
    Vargas is still a power bat and homerun threat off the bench. He is the only one the Twins have at this time. If the Twins fall out of contention, Granite could probably come up in the wave of players Twins need to take a look at, do not think it will happen sooner.
  5. beckmt
    Jorge will probably be the 26th man, no roster move needed. He will be up and then gone. No harm done, but I wonder how his stuff will play at the major league level.
  6. beckmt
    I agree that Belisle should be DFA'ed. We need to find out this year which relievers can get the job done and which relievers need to go. You do not want to have inexperienced relief pitching in critical roles when this team figures to compete(starting next year). This year has been fun, let's get some value out of it.
  7. beckmt
    Good for him if this actually happens. Looking forward to seeing Jorge on TV. Anyone know which game he will pitch in?
  8. beckmt
    Santiago's 2018 salary + Gibson's 2018 would make one very good pitcher, if signed for about $16 million a year. Gibson should get about $5 million and Santiago should be able to get at least 10-13 million a year for 3 years. That is the price of starting pitching now. I would rather let both walk and sign 1 very good pitcher for the combination money, than to keep 2 OK or less starting pitchers. Gibson is a fine pitcher at cheap value, if you are not a contending club. Otherwise your starting pitching needs to be better(even if you do not ever plan on Gibson starting a playoff game).
  9. beckmt
    You seemed to have missed my point. I am talking not about winning percentage, but winning percentage against a mismatch opponent. Given most #5 starters are not that good a better pitcher in that position should be able to take advantage of the matchup. Twins should do enough damage against the #5 starter for other teams, that a quality start(ERA 4.5) should be able to win a number of those games.
  10. beckmt
    Twins do not have any aces, so the place to make up ground is at the tailend of the rotation. Would be nice to have a #3/#4 type there to face the oppositions #5, with a decent chance to win 60 - 65% of these games.
  11. beckmt
    If this is the best the Twins can do, pass. You have 3 young starters at Chattanooga(Romero, Gonsalves, and Jorge) who might be as good or better than Gibson. I understand that Santiago is an FA after this year (but combine Gibson's and Santigo's money and you should be able to buy a #3/#4 starter). Pitching is getting expensive, but I feel the wear and tear on the bullpen now will catch up in August/September like it has the last 6 years. This pitching staff does not need a makeover they need a housecleaning and replacement. Bullpen pieces should be here in September and next year. Gibson is a nibbler who just chews up the bullpen with his 5 inning starts. Santiago is a better pitcher, but the same type. If you figure Hughes due to his salary cannot be dumped, but will be a decent bullpen piece, starters become the bigger issue. Do not like the upper end crop this fall(Cueto/Arrieta), so may have to buy a midrange starter this offseason and try for the ace after next year. Berrios has given hope he could be a #2/#1 type for a few years, but still need more at the top of the rotation.
  12. beckmt
    Position players seem to turn out better at the top of the draft, rather than pitchers. Only question here is will Pohlad open up the wallet to get better pitching. This winter should be interesting, as I would focus on relievers(starters all have warts(Cueto, Arrieta) and will cost more than they are worth. Retool, get rid of the non productive players and hopefully by the start of next year some of the Lookouts pitching staff will be in Minnesota.
  13. beckmt
    He may well clear waviers and be just assigned to Rochester(since this is his first time, do not believe he can elect FA). As far as the process, there are plenty of pitchers the Twins need to look at this year and next, cutting one that does not seem like he will make it, does not create an issue for me. There also may be a bigger trade in the wind and Twins may need roster spots, we do not know the details.
  14. beckmt
    Gibson is still my choice for a non-tender at the end of the year, if not just a DFA. Twins need better starting pitching and his spot should be open for looks at the up and coming pitchers(most whom are now at AA). It would also be great to reallocate his $4 - $5 million to improve the rest of the pitching on this club.
  15. beckmt
    We have high standards here at TD, and quick pitchforks and tar.
  16. beckmt
    You never pick a date I can make. Maybe some year if I live that long.
  17. beckmt
    It seems clear from what I read today, the McKay had already decided to he wanted to go to Tampa Bay. So his advisors put out the story, he would not deal on slot value. This did not suit the first 3 teams, so not unexpectedlly they all passed. System can still be gamed if the player takes the risk and makes it difficult to deal with for other teams. This issue needs to be fixed in the next collective bargining agreement, and feel the the MLB players will try and reduce the money to the newbies. It happens in all the other sports the first contract is very team friendly.
  18. beckmt
    Draft to me is based on 2 people. Whether Lewis will hit enough to fulfil his potential and whether Enlow can become a #1 or #2 starting pitcher. If these happen, Leach would only have to be a #3 to make this a really great draft. Enlow could reach here in 2019 - 2020 time frame and that would be a big plus(I believe Blylevan got here at 19). Rest of top side of draft could take longer to develop, but it will take 3-4 years to totally evaluate this draft. And I believe best case is Rooker could be here end of 2018 or even in midseason. We shall all see.
  19. beckmt
    Santana is a #3 usually and Berrios has an upside of a #2. We still need that ace, rest can be filled out by farm system. I am OK if Pohlad spends the money this winter to fix the bullpen(short term) and get us that ace or very good #2 starter. Just would be anti-Twins to do this.
  20. beckmt
    This is a draft that has a lot of us mystified. Maybe the new FO has a theory that drafting pitchers high is a crap shoot and that the best position players(Cubs have used this strategy since Epstein took over). 2. Pohlad has agreed to buy FA pitchers as Twins will need them sooner or later 3. Position players are weaker in the Twins farm system and maybe some of the outfielders and a couple of prospects will be traded for pitching help with some of these their replacements(most will arrive about the time current crop leaves). 4. Twins may only see the money to sign 1 - 2 of their current young players(Sano for sure, hopefully), so use this last chance to upgrade position players for the future. We do not know the plan, but will reserve judgement until after this offseason and see if the checkbook opens for significant pitching reinforcements.
  21. beckmt
    I am talking FA pitching of #1 or #2 starters. Sorry if that was not clear.
  22. beckmt
    Maybe Pohlad has promised to buy the pitching needed. Is that possible?
  23. beckmt
    Twins take Rooker at #35
  24. beckmt
    Seth Romero went in the 1st Round. Shock, maybe this was one of the players the Twins were hoping would drop to them. Or maybe in Minnesota he was undraftable.
  25. beckmt
    That could be good for the Twins as they may be looking at several of them. Unless the new FO already knows that Pohlad will open the wallet and buy some frontline pitchers the next 2 years.
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