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beckmt

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Everything posted by beckmt

  1. beckmt
    Would package Gibson with Dozier to the Pirates for Tallion and other prospects. If that fails circle back to Dodgers.
  2. beckmt
    Would package Gibson with Dozier to the Pirates for Tallion and other prospects. If that fails circle back to Dodgers.
  3. beckmt
    I believe Plouffe will be gone soon. If you keep him what do you do with Vargas/Park? Most major league clubs know this, so he has no value.
  4. beckmt
    Both of these are more like org filler for me and should be overtaken by the AA staff earlu next year.
  5. beckmt
    To be doing this project Allan must have been told he was likely to be retained and what he would change given another year in the organization. Only hope it may be that simple.
  6. beckmt
    did not say it was not being taught, just not as high a priority as pitch development. Rays do not seem to let pitchers advance too far without that command. It also seems to be why Rays pitchers called up to the majors seem to be more likely to succeed at this level.
  7. beckmt
    Because he becomes a block to finding out what you have in either Garver or Murphy. Both need to play next year with the Twins. If neither work out then you look for a catcher. I much rather put dollar assets into pitching that is both younger and with several years of control. The Twins hitting could be ready to compete by 2018, but pitching looks like a much longer track. My moves would be to bring both at the same time. Twins payroll at the end of 2018 will be very low, so putting major assets into the staff should be a priority, not into a 2 or 3 year aging catcher.
  8. beckmt
    what I am saying is that half measures are what the Twins have been doing the last several years. Also the Wild, just good enough to compete not good enough to win it all. I am endorsing a path that has a chance of winning it all. Twins have enough talent that while painful could punt the second round draft pick. Do not see Twins developing enough pitching internally to get to the next level(hope they not be realistic about the chances). You have to trade or buy pitching to compete and how many of the Twins current pitchers could you see on a pennant winning team. My estimate at the current time is 2 maybe 3. That leaves 9 -10 spots to fill and hope maybe half will be filled internally. That leaves about 5 to sign or trade for. That is a big task, so we need to get going.
  9. beckmt
    That is why I believe that you have a 4 - 5 year window before this team becomes expensive. Or you spend money on rebound players hoping to move them at the deadline. Falvey and Levine have good track records on finding young pitchers at the A or A+ level. You try and get one of them thrown in for every deal you make. I believe in spending in the international market, but make your dollars count. Not every deal will work out, but the Dodgers and the Cubs both greatly improved their farm system by spending the money here. Problem with Holland(who I like) is that he will want to reenter the market after two years, so would sign only if the money was right. Just do not want to throw money at marginal FA's that may or may not work out, unless the money is so small it does not matter(somewhere in the less than $3 million range)
  10. beckmt
    No, but do not spend resources on players that will not be here in 3 years. That is why I am in favor of signing an ace reliever and an ace starter next offseason. Do not waste money on players just to get a little better next year.
  11. beckmt
    Which of you is going to spend $9 million a year on Castro for a 2 - 3 year contract. Mlbtraderumors pegs him at 2/$15 and I feel that may be low considering the number of teams that need a good catcher who hits a little. Do not feel like this is the correct line and his agents could only use the Twins to drive up the price as an in demand FA is not likely to play here with little chance to make the playoffs.
  12. beckmt
    I am OK with what the Twins have at catcher, feeling Garver will be up at midseason if not sooner. Castro looks like an overpay, but would be the best of what is out there for an OK price. Rest of FA catchers are over the hill and suspect in one form or another. I would rather find out what Garver has than to overpay when other areas are in greater need.
  13. beckmt
    You can only work with what you have. Twins did not have much in the pitching department. Will be interesting to see if the change in philosophy will have some pitchers here do more time in the minor leagues learning the new way(fastball control). This may slow the Twins young pitching talent by about a year for most of them.
  14. beckmt
    Allen was also well respected as a pitching coach in Durham. He is probably known to both Falvey and Levine. He also wrote some internal paper about the Rays way of fastball control being taught at the lower levels, which the Twins are not doing. This may be a total change in philosophy for the Twins
  15. beckmt
    Due to his back issues, I doubt in the long term Trevor May is a bullpen piece. I might non-tender Gibson, who to me is looking more like rotation filler than anything else or hopefully include him in a trade. Feel Twins should be looking at young top of rotation pitchers in a Dozier deal, also given there starting pitching issues, do not feel Mets will deal until late spring if at all, would target Pirates or Dodgers as a place for Dozier. Bullpen needs a major upgrade, do not see a path here.
  16. beckmt
    I probably misspoke, but you have to find that ace before they reach the major leagues for any amount of time. Otherwise it will cost you most of your very good upper level farm system Anything is possible, since if the White Sox rebuild they may trade one or both of Sale and Quintana, but cost in prospects would be extremely high, unless Sox totally blow what they want.
  17. beckmt
    You almost cannot trade for an ace. You have to develop one or buy one. It may be cheaper to buy bullpen and build from the backend out. And this might be the way to make the Twins competitive sooner. The other way will cost you 30+ million a year after 2017.
  18. beckmt
    Problem with this projection is the two or three trade pieces and not knowing whether they will be traded. Suzuki is gone(FA). Nontender Plouffe, Milone, Tonkin, one of Boshers or O'Rourke, DSan(maybe but do not see a role for him here next year unless Dozier is traded). Kinztler(you can pickup another of this type and they tend to have good years and bad years), and if you need more spots you have some more marginal bullpen types to remove. Trade if possible Dozier, Plouffe, one of Gibson(or non tender) or Santana. That should leave room for Palka, Granite, Jorge, Thorpe, Romero, and whatever other young players you feel the need to add(Zake Jones and or others). Try and trade Vargas/Park since both will not be needed for two years and after that you will need a third baseman, not a firstbaseman. To trade Dozier you need a possible #1 or #2 starter, that means Urias from the Dodgers or Glasnow or Tallion from the Pirates(if you ship Gibson back or even maybe Stewart I am fine with that, if they want Santana they will have to pay a much higher price in pitching or catching prospects.
  19. beckmt
    It will make an interesting time. Will not know for a few years how good they are. Terry Ryan was good at finding talent, development was another issue. Looking forward to the changes they bring to the field organization.
  20. beckmt
    Thorpe is a lottery ticket, same as Johan Santana, would you like to be on the wrong side of that risk reward.
  21. beckmt
    Grossman can be a fine utility oufielder, very good OBP and some power, also a decent bench player. Would keep Walker for one more year, too many late bloomers to give up on him. My big problem now is everything is on hold, and many opportunities might be gone by the end of the world series. This has been deemed a very active trade year and the Twins can do nothing and probably not discuss in depth any trade options until after the world series. Several trades could go down right after the series and we will have missed all of those.
  22. beckmt
    Both Centeno and Grossman have value. Danny Santana is a meh to me, but we could need his roster spot. I would add the 5 given and not add Turner. Would not like losing him, but something has to give and I do not think he could stick all year with another club.
  23. beckmt
    I believe Hughes could elect free agency given his major league service time. He would be signed to a contract by another club after he clears waviers. It would only cost a couple of million, plus the Twins would have to pay his full salary. Non starter at this point.
  24. beckmt
    Do not disagree that trading a starter from this club for a good return. Would just prefer it to be Gibson. Santana should bring a good haul as he is a good if not better than the top of the FA market. Just would depend on what clubs were wanting to give in return. All returns should be in the form of upside pitching prospects. Look at Cleveland. Whether they win or not they have gotten there with pitching.
  25. beckmt
    Santigo looks like he could be a #3 starter, so I would keep him. Remember he will have good starts and bad starts, but this year he had more good than bad.
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