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DaveW

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Everything posted by DaveW

  1. DaveW
    JOE!!!!!!!! You live, I assumed Stat tracked you done and gave you a non refundable boom daddy to the chin that ended you.
  2. DaveW
    I dunno about that, it depends on who exactly pans out in that scenario. If Buxton, Sano, Berrios and Rosario for instance all reach their ceiling and everyone else falls on their face, then you most certainly can fill in the gaps. But I get what you are getting at no doubt.
  3. DaveW
    I would rather have that as well 100%. I just can't envision a way where the Twins roll into opening day with 2-3 rookies. I could honestly see them breaking camp with none. Which is why I really don't understand the stance of "you can't afford to sign a good RP for 2-3 years" If they somehow roll into opening day with: Perkins, Jepsen, May (grrrr), Fien, and 3 high upside rookies, then I will give them a whole lot of credit. I just don't see it happening. I still hope they go out and get Clippard personally.
  4. DaveW
    ERA in general is flawed for MRP anyways, often times they get charged for a run that another RP essentially contributes to anyways. Most notably of all, if Abad was anything close to what Bastardo, Sipp etc were, then Oakland wouldn't have cut him loose for 1.5 million.
  5. DaveW
    But by trading Hicks they now go into 2016 with a whole lot of uncertainty in the OF. Is the lineup/team actually improved by having Murphy in it 50% of the time? (While they might have to run out a 4th OF type in CF to start the year?) As of now the opening day OF looks like: Sano-Rosario-Arcia, that sends up some serious red flags in my book. Hopefully Buxton earns his way onto the roster, but after his struggles last year, I'm not ready to just pencil him in just yet. Now, come June/July I am confident that Buxton will be ready, but at that point it may be too late. Ditto with some of the young arms figuring it out and coming up in June/July. Games in April count just as much as games in September. I know we all want to see these young flamethrowers get a shot, but does anyone seriously think that TR, Molly etc will have 2 or 3 "rookies" in the pen on opening day? I would be shocked. More than likely Abad, Duensing, or someone else off the pile will be throwing meaningful innings in April and May, and that is what is so frustrating about the whole thing.
  6. DaveW
    Again this would be the most logical since Abad has overall been a pretty mediocre pitcher. (Other than a luck driven 2014 which was dissected earlier in this thread and where his 2015 was unlucky) Likely he ends up being a mid 4.00's ERA type guy since that is what his FIP and xFIP say he will do. I have a sinking feeling this is all setting up for Duensing to return as well and for him and Abad to "battle it out" for the LOOGY role. That would be abad abad abad thing!
  7. DaveW
    Not end of discussion.... The Twins have 7 bullpen spots, and only one current RP signed beyond 2016 (2 if you count May, who may be back in the rotation sometime anyways) Signing a guy to a 2-3 year contract doesn't block anyone. If the Twins magically end up with 7 guys in the bullpen who all are 7th/8th/9th inning types then that is suddenly a very very good problem to have. Even if you signed TWO guys to 2-3 year long deals, you would still have multiple spots open for 2016/2017/2018 for the minor leaguers.
  8. DaveW
    Many would argue that Bob Costas hasn't had a worthwhile opinion in decades.
  9. DaveW
    Occam's razor would suggest that he just had an unlucky season (versus his very lucky season in 2014) and that he will likely return to the mid 4.00's FIP type pitcher he has been his whole career.
  10. DaveW
    Berrios should not be in the bullpen......
  11. DaveW
    Good results in 14 no doubt, but he was very lucky with an unsustainable BABIP (.211) and LOB% (89%). His FIP and xFIP (3.25 and 3.64) weren't bad, but that isn't pretty good for a "specialist". Career ERA of 3.78, career FIP of 4.38, career xFIP of 4.28. Nothing about this seems inspiring at all to be honest, his upside/realistic expectations is a mediocre LOOGY IMO, and we saw what his floor was from 2015...
  12. DaveW
    Fortunately for the Twins, April games only count as 50% much as August and September games!
  13. DaveW
    But he isn't a good pitcher. Good pitchers don't get cut over 1.5 million dollars. The only team that cuts good players (Ortiz) over 1.5 million is our beloved Twins! Listen, I think you did a great job as always on your article and your breakdown, it's just a shame you have to do it on such a non factor guy like Abad instead of someone with upside that the Twins could have brought in.
  14. DaveW
    Here is some insight (toss money out of the equation) Abad is not and never has been a good pitcher, his velocity is down. Bastardo, Sipp and countless others are good pitchers. The Twins had a shaky bullpen last season that cost them numerous games and potentially a playoff spot. Now their biggest "move" to fix that is to hope that they can "fix" a guy with a career 4.23 FIP out of the pen? Sorry if I'm not buying my 2016 world series ticket because of this news. If they wanted a reclamation project they should go after someone with some actual upside, not Abad.
  15. DaveW
    It's just more proof in Ryan (and the org as a whole) stubbornness to change. For whatever reason they always have to be the last one into the pool when it comes to any sort of obvious change of strategy. Sorta like how in 2016 they have finally decided to look for power and have only recently started trying to draft high upside hard throwers.
  16. DaveW
    Abad was never that good to begin with and he has mediocre velocity these days, good lord, it's not like they are trying to "fix" a Johan Santana or Cliff Lee and return them to stardom. They are trying to fix a guy whose upside is a 6th inning MRP. Its embarrassing that LaVelle would even report on such a non story, instead of focusing on why TR, the Pohlads and company seemingly refuse to spend any amount of real money to fix an obviously shaky bullpen.
  17. DaveW
    Instead of right field, why doesn't Mauer just move back to catcher?
  18. DaveW
    Mets aren't giving up Harvey for a league average third baseman and a couple of decent prospects.
  19. DaveW
    indeed!
  20. DaveW
    Dave's day as GM: 8:30 wake up 8:31 call up Jim Pohlad telling him I want to cut bait on Nolasco (trade him and 50% of salary for a PTNBL to an NL team) 8:32 tell Pohlad I want to offer Cueto a 5 year deal (for less AAV then what we currently are paying for Nolsaco, Hughes and Milone) 8:33 Pohlads fire me and rehire Terry Ryan (who said 2 days earlier he was stepping down from GM)
  21. DaveW
    Yeah, markets have taken a hit, one of the few investments I have that are actually up a signiciant amount over the last year is Bitcoin (go figure!) Oh well though, great time to buy as I still have another 20-35 years in the workforce. I would NOT be wanting to try to retire in the next 12 months, I feel bad for those folks.
  22. DaveW
    Ok just looked him up, apparently a dude from the morning show? Can't say I have ever really Listened to that show, but from what I read he is funny/not afraid to call out Twins management, sounds like a solid dude to me! Might have to check out the morning show soon.
  23. DaveW
    The big ten was awful. Nebraska and Minnesota had no business being in a bowl Game to begin with.
  24. DaveW
    I listen to Common Man, PA and Barriero (the last only once in a while the first two maybe once a week or so). I can't ever recall hearing "Meatsauce" being mentioned. Is he a regular caller or something? TBH I tune those guys out.
  25. DaveW
    They still are fine in that scenario even if they lock them up early. They basically will be buying out their arbitration years in that scenario along with a couple of the initial free agent years. Even if they overpay for a couple arb years to earn the FA years part of the contract there still will be plenty of money to go around. I'm not saying go out and sign 4 guys to huge contracts, I'm saying, go out and sign one impacts guy to a large contract. None of that would stop the twins from locking up any player they wanted to.
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