stringer bell

I imagine Celestino will get a start today. He could replace Kepler, Kirilloff or Sano. My guess would be that Kirilloff gets the day off. So far, Buxton, Correa, Polanco, Sano and Kirilloff have combined for two hits in two games. That won't continue.

Rogers (not Rodgers) was traded. Duffey (not Duffy) is now the Twins longest serving relief pitcher. Both have been around long enough to properly spell their last names.

I think this trade shows a lot about the Front Office's philosophy. After the debacles of Addison Reed and Alex Colume, they aren't going to pay market price for relief pitchers. We've also seen a reluctance for long-term deals (most likely why Berrios was traded). After losing the entire starting rotation from Opening Day of 2021 (trades, injury, free agency, ineffectiveness), they have replenished mostly by trading (Gray, Ryan, Paddack) and low-cost bounceback contracts. The bullpen is a work in progress, especially since the pitching staff will need to be trimmed by three from their current total of 16 pitchers. There seems to be a bit of conceit in this approach, that the Twins can make a competitive bullpen and pitching staff out of low-cost pieces. Maybe the front office is right, but color me skeptical.

Joe Smith was born before the Minnesota Twins won a World Series. As for the Union stuff, i dunno. It would appear to be a occupational hazard to be a union rep. Winning helps clubhouse chemistry.

I’m holding you to each and every detail roger.

Hope, sure. Bet the house on it? I won’t. Perhaps a reasonable thought is that some of these guys are closer to their 2019 numbers than 2021. We’ve had a lot of disruptions and strangeness in the last two years.

Who will get DH at-bats? It looks to me like it could be Arraez a fair amount versus right handed starters and Sano and Sanchez against lefties.

Your framing of the question tells me why you're unconvinced. Taylor Rogers was an All-Star because he was in Denver during the All-Star break. I thought there were other years when he could have been considered, but he got his chance last year. You have also decided that the 26-year old Paddack will be no better than reclamation projects Bundy and Archer. It is like a polling firm asking if you wanted to vote for the no-good-so-and-so or their guy. I'm emotionally vested in Taylor Rogers' story and hate to see him traded. He has become a better pitcher than anyone projected and I do believe his absence in the clubhouse will be felt. That said, he wasn't an all-time great and his contribution on the mound can be made up for by the others in the bullpen. I don't know if they will, but it is possible. We are seeing some of the philosophy of Falvey and Levine play out here. They aren't going to play huge dollars for relief pitchers and they aren't going to sign starters long term contracts. I don't know if they're right, but it seems to be how they roll.

I might if people are misspelling his name four years from now.

The Padres don’t need a quarterback, so I’m sure Rodgers is not coming to them in a trade. C’mon people, spelling names isn’t that hard.

Flexibility is a good thing. That the Twins have several guys that they can option to AAA is key especially when they have to cut back to 13 pitchers after May 1. The unfortunate thing is that there are several candidates for promotion from AAA who would have to be added to the (already full) 40-man roster. While I wouldn't wish it on any particular player, disabling injuries happen and if they're severe enough, the player can end up on the 60-day IL opening room on the 40-man roster. I'm tracking transactions throughout baseball and Detroit just placed three players (two pitchers) on the 60-day IL and three more (two pitchers) on the shorter 10-day list. The Twins wouldn't have that much to do if they want to bring someone across the river from St. Paul, but candidates like Smeltzer and Cano would have to be added.

I'll say this again, the contract for Donaldson was a "win now" deal adding another top quartile player to the Bomba squad. The consensus was that the value of the player would probably be greatest in the first two years--Donaldson was 34 in 2020. The Twins got 163 games out of JD and he wasn't 100% for a large portion of those games. Covid and his calves limited him. Will he perform at an All-Star level this year and next? Maybe, but given his age and injury history, it's far from a sure thing. I'm not a huge fan of the Yankee trade, but if it is what they needed to do to clear money for an elite 27-year old shortstop, I can understand.

Great to see Lewis doing well from Game 1. Tell me again, why is he at St. Paul and our #1 prospect (Martin) in AA? I believe Lewis is younger than Martin as well.

Here are some numbers--36, 31, 30, 29. That is the age of the four players exchanged with more than a year's experience in the trades made. Donaldson is 36 and when does a real decline begin? Garver is 31 and playing a demanding position. There are exceptions, but players don't generally get healthier as they age, which leads to decreased production. Urshela may or may not hit like he did in '19-'20, but if he doesn't hit, it provides a place for Arraez' offense. Long-term, Miranda could/should be able to supplant Urshela. Who knows, if Lewis isn't ready, he might be the bridge to a shortstop in 2023.

Two veteran outfielders (Jake Marisnick and Roman Quinn) have been released in the last couple days. Either would be an upgrade from carrying Brent Rooker or Kyle Garlick as a fourth/fifth outfielder. Both have plenty of center field experience and could provide a platoon advantage versus left handed pitching. I'd prefer Marisnick because he has a bit better bat and much more experience in left field, where he could be used as a defensive replacement late in games with Kirilloff moving to first. Marisnick also hit left handed pitching acceptably (.743 OPS last year, .715 OPS for his career). Kepler is a lifetime .632 vs. LH pitching.

As of this moment there are 30 rostered players and 1 non-rostered player in camp for the Twins. Of the rostered players, Jovani Martin has been told he would be optioned to St. Paul and Cory Stashak will stay in Florida and go on the Injured List. That includes 16 pitchers and 13 position players. The non-roster player is Kyle Garlick, who got a year's service time last year as a backup outfielder who was later injured and never returned to the major league active roster. I assume that the Twins will, in fact, carry 16 pitchers and will either sent Garlick directly to St. Paul or DFA someone and demote Brent Rooker. Either way, the squad will have to be down to 13 pitchers four weeks from today. First of all, this is quite a makeover from the squad that opened in Milwaukee just over a year ago. The starting rotation is 100% turned over, and there are four holdovers in the bullpen. There will be a new DH and new starters at catcher, shortstop, third base and left field. If healthy, three of the Twins starting players project to be elite (Correa, Buxton) or well above average (Polanco). Two highly regarded graduates of the Twins' farm system figure to make their first Opening Day starts, two former All-Stars look to rebound as well as two solid performers in past years who fell on hard times in 2021. There are a lot of ifs, but there is a chance that the lineup can be outstanding. The pitching staff features a rotation where Sonny Gray is the best bet to succeed. After him, the next two guys, Joe Ryan and Bailey Ober, both started last year in the minors. They combined for 17 big league starts (12 by Ober). The other two guys in the rotation as of today are reclamation projects, roughly equivalent to last year's acquisitions of Matt Shoemaker and JA Happ. The bullpen is a mish-mash of proven arms, potential, journeymen, and converted starters who may or may not last beyond May 1. Probably all year the bullpen will be asked to contribute more than four innings per game, making a 13-man staff a necessity for the bulk of the season. Maybe the most encouraging thing about the pitching staff is the talent in the upper minors, both starters and relievers, so that the Twins might be able to weather a rash or injuries or ineffectiveness from the guys currently on the active roster. Most fans who more than casually follow the Twins view the pitching staff with concern (I know I do), but I see several other several other stumbling blocks/question marks that must be hurdled in order for the Twins to have a successful season (make the playoffs and win at least one game). 1) Betting big on unproven talent. Ryan Jeffers played in 85 games last year and compiled almost 300 plate appearances. He did not break the Mendoza Line (.199) and had a puny OPS of .670. The Twins see Jeffers as a better hit-tool version of Mike Zunino, and maybe he will deliver that kind of production. Alex Kirilloff was a Twins' #1 draft choice. He profiles as a fine hitter and excellent defensive first baseman. So far, he's suffered a lot of injuries and only managed about 230 plate appearances for the Twins. It remains to be seen if the wrist he injured earlier, which eventually shut him down for the season will hold up. If so, the Twins think he could be a combination of Will Clark and Mark Grace as a long-term first baseman. High projection--hit like Will Clark, field like Mark Grace. Low (but healthy) projection--hit like Grace, field like Clark. Kirilloff is a work in progress as an outfielder. There's a gamble in counting on either or both of these players for 2022. 2) The Gary Sanchez Problem--Sanchez had fallen out of favor with the Yankees due to his subpar (I'm being kind) defense and falloff at the plate. He profiles similar to Jeffers as a hitter and offers insufficient value as a DH. Sanchez will get an 8-figure salary in arbitration so it is unlikely that he will only be in the lineup once or twice a week. The Twins already have enough DH candidates so Sanchez clogs up that position. Today, the Twins DFAed the third catcher on their 40-man roster, so it is likely that Jeffers and Sanchez will be the only catchers on the club, at least for now. 3) As a roster, the team is long-ball dependent and will strike out a ton. Sano and Sanchez, in particular are noted for high K percentages. Team speed is another issue. Buxton is one of the fastest players in MLB and Nick Gordon's wheels are perhaps his best asset, but beyond that there are a lot of glaciers in the lineup. 4) Too many DHs. Many are calling for Luis Arraez to be the DH a majority of the time in 2022. He is a man without a position, functional at second and short. Miguel Sano has played first base for two seasons, including the COVID year and has shown to be well below average (again, being kind) at the position and, as mentioned earlier, Sanchez figures to get DH at-bats as well. Brent Rooker is another in the mode of Sanchez and Sano--right handed hitter, plus power, low contact, poor defense--giving the Twins far too many guys to stay off the field defensively. I wouldn't be surprised to see another move or two before the team lines up on Opening Day. Adding an outfielder who could hit left handed pitching and play above-average defense in left field would be good. The door is also open for better pitching than the current crew. We will have answers in three days. It's always good when baseball is back.

Who says Kepler is uncomfortable in center? I do recall reports that the Twins didn’t want to use him in center after he had leg issues, but he’s had all fall and winter to recover. Tampa isn’t going to give away quality major leaguers and the Twins need for outfield depth seems like it could be alleviated as soon as May or June (Celestino and/or Martin).

Yup, saw this coming. Several catchers have become available in the last week and I expect more to come. Sisco looked as good as any offensively and who knows about the defense? Since Sisco and Godoy both hit lefty, I wouldn’t be surprised if Godoy goes to Wichita if he isn’t claimed.

Well, Smeltzer is a soft-tossing lefty who is on a minor league contract. He was DFAed last fall and no one claimed him. He has been effective , but it is spring training and he had the advantage of reporting with the other minor league players, thus probably being ahead of the hitters. I think his lifetime log and batted ball metrics should present a better forecast of his performance than 11 spring training innings. I think his performance has raised his stock and he’ll get another chance with the Twins, probably this month.

I think the Twins go north with 16(!) pitchers. That would include Coulombe if I have the numbers right as well as both Duran and Winder. Left field would be manned by Kirilloff mostly and Nick Gordon when AK is playing first base. A three man bench would include two catchers, with Sanchez frequently the DH, Gordon and Arraez, although Arraez will get plenty of plate appearances as the DH, at third and filling in occasionally at second.

I don’t think the need for a backup CF is that big an issue. Kepler can fill in for a Buxton day off and pretty soon, maybe a month or so, one of two prospects (Martin or Celestino) could be very good options to back up Buxton and maybe start in left field. For now, I’d like to see a RH hitting OF, capable of playing center, but I don’t think the Twins need to mortgage their future to get such a player. Smeltzer has undoubtedly pitched well this spring, and would appear to be one of the best options for multi-inning relief since none of the Twins’ starters are totally stretched out. A full 40-man roster and a cutback to 13 pitchers on May 2 complicate the picture. I’m sure he’ll get a chance this year.

But, but ……isn’t the question here who iOS the best center fielder right now? I’ll grant that Buxton has miles to go to catch up to Trout’s career and Trout has a +95% chance of having a better career, but I think Buxton has a legitimate chance to supplant Trout as the best position player in 2022. All he has to do is perform like he did last year over the course of a full season (of course something he’s never done).

I don’t think they can properly put Enlow on the 60-day IL. First of all, he’ll likely be ready to pitch within 60 days and I don’t know if you can retroactively place a player on the 60-day list. Secondly, he’d have to be recalled to the major league team and then earn salary and service time.

Garlick, Cave and Rooker (DH) are all in the starting Grapefruit League lineup today.

Adding a non-40-man now equals exposing someone. As Otto has pointed out, the Twins might have already designated someone if they want to add a non-roster guy. They might have also claimed someone, as well. I can’t see Robertson added unless there is an injury. Adding a Smeltzer or Faria now makes sense only if the club is willing to designate someone at the risk of losing them.