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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    This is what has bothered me about the high expectations some have for Hill. The procedure has been around a little while now, and yet the only player I could find a mention of (when I looked, after Hill was signed) was Maness. Glad to learn of the other two; but none of these three has "made it all the way back", in my estimation. IOW, Hill would be the first. Worth a try, but I'm not banking on him in the slightest. The article's is great, by the way - a deep dive into a topic few of us are capable of judging independently.
  2. ashbury
    Executive summary of article: "Throw better. Use better footwork." OK, but this has been the knock on him for a long time. I expect most of the ideas coaches have were tried, Good luck trying again this spring, I suppose, but I feel like I'm looking at a second baseman. As long as the bat holds up, and I think it will, Polanco's an asset at short. Just not the superstar we want.
  3. ashbury
    I'm not a super big fan of K/9, which answers the question, what are the chances a given out is achieved via strikeout. Instead, I'd rather know the chances that a given plate appearance will result in a K. That's K%. And in the case of Littell, that number went up even more between 2018 and 2019, namely from 13.9% to 21.9%. K/9 understates the improvement, since it can be high even if the pitcher is giving up tons of hits. An improvement in K% means there's simply that many fewer opportunities for damage. His BB% also improved year-over-year. That said, it's still not an elite level of strikeouts. The AL had dozens of guys in the 30s. The league average was 22.7%. He's young and may improve but I'm not really banking on him.
  4. ashbury
    Rebut what you disagree with, citing facts also. Ignore what you feel wasn't worth having read.
  5. ashbury
    This is an interesting contingency study, but ultimately the Twins FO needs to be pragmatic, aggressive, and above all opportunistic, when other teams start quietly shopping their starters. It's really hard, nearly random, to forecast any such events at this time.
  6. ashbury
    It's dangerous to try to mind-read, but in his case I tend to notice a difference in demeanor when Lurch suddenly shows up mid-appearance and blows away a couple of batters, versus regular Trevor who fiddles around and puts men on base. Probably I'm imagining things. Almost surely. He could sit down with Jake Odorizzi and discuss how to pick one game face for the entire season.
  7. ashbury
    View the first post you want to comment onClick MultiQuoteView the second post you want to comment onClick MultiQuoteLook at the bottom of the screen and click "Reply to 2 quoted post(s)"That last button might be hidden by an ad at the bottom of the screen. Click the X button on the ad to remove it first. Despite documentation somewhere that you can multiquote up to 3, I've never succeeded with more than 2.
  8. ashbury
    Kuddos, or kudos, or whatever, from me as well.
  9. ashbury
    Trenchant analysis. Thanks for taking the time. The world is a tiny bit better for your having done so.
  10. ashbury
    He-e-e-ere's Henny Penny!
  11. ashbury
  12. ashbury
    I don't make that particular inference. The Twins are acutely aware of the defensive deficiency, surely. The players themselves probably are too. But it could be a big management blunder (clubhouse chemistry, player's confidence, etc) to publicly rub your starting shortstop's nose in it. That cost could be bigger than the cost of an occasional extra baserunner. If and when the Twins decide to move Polanco off of SS, they will likely do it decisively. Not one benchwarmer appearance at a time.
  13. ashbury
    Excellent summary/refresher, particularly for us armchair GMs who want to think like the real ones. Seeing some of the tweeners, who loom as tough roster decisions next autumn, go as part of trades for players who can help now, or (less likely) for players farther away but with higher ceiling, would be outstanding.
  14. ashbury
    Chaim inclined to agree.
  15. ashbury
    "Go make hotdish in Mike Fiers’ oven" is my new go-to when dissing someone. (I *am* going to quibble about using the article 'a' in that sentence.)
  16. ashbury
    The contract's not without risk, but is the going rate when acquiring talent near the top shelf. If the fifth year option gets exercised, he's got his $100M, so I guess he can claim that's the contract he's signing. It appears the FO has a disciplined approach to dealing with the uncertainties of the free agent market. Here's hoping similar discipline pays off in the trade market for a starting pitcher.
  17. ashbury
    I'm fine with waiting. Such a declaration looks like one that will stand the test of time. Actually I don't see it as a failure, so much as a gamble. FalVine seem to be saying, "nah, we're good. We have Dobnak and Thorpe and Smeltzer." Which brings to mind this old chestnut: Maybe, having signed recent contract extensions, they don't view the gamble as involving their careers. I've said before, if I were the boss, I'd disagree.
  18. ashbury
    The exit one, presumably.
  19. ashbury
    Don't worry. Someone able to get the Yankees contracted will receive much better offers than yours! / Kudos for a very Twins-like offer, knowing it will not win, however.
  20. ashbury
    Don't know how much it affects your thinking, but I believe that the minimum stay for an optioned pitcher becomes 15 days in 2020.
  21. ashbury
    We got 'em! Rich Bailey and Homer Hill are pitchers I've heard of. I think.
  22. ashbury
    "Effectively wild"?
  23. ashbury
    Welp. Harris signed with Washington, so I guess Harper can rest easy for another day.
  24. ashbury
    Odorizzi and Pineda seem like a couple of other arms worth mentioning in this list.
  25. ashbury
    It's not just cutting the major league roster. We currently have 23 pitchers and 18 position players on the 40-man roster. Pineda is protected due to his suspended status. But if Harris were added, then someone needs to be removed from the 40-man, either by trade or exposure to waiver-claim. Ticketing Stashak for Rochester via an option doesn't do the trick. Harper or Wisler would seem like the only candidates for a DFA in favor of Harris.
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