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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    In what way? A reasonable question on a summer night: "Hey, wanna take in a Miracle game?" But we are in agreement that it's now worse. Hey, wanna take in a Mussel game?
  2. ashbury
    I'll gladly debate any number. The slight negative defensive projection they have for Kepler looks odd. Both he and Buxton are projected to play nearly full seasons, which puts Kep in RF most of the time. I'm OK with defensive metrics that ding him when he is in CF - I have no reason to believe based on my eye-test that he's an actual asset there, not compared to all the centerfield talent in the majors. But in right, he can really go get 'em. Mookie Betts is clearly better, perhaps Judge and Bellinger, otherwise I can't think of many who top him. Give him his due in RF and I think FanGraphs' WAR for him would be around 5.
  3. ashbury
    I'll go with "nobody gets taken", and maybe hedge by adding "and lost permanently". Other teams with good farm systems also have players like these, or probably better. It's not as though the bottom feeders will gang up to try to harvest the Twins' system specifically. And all the players exposed by the Twins represent a struggle to keep them on a roster all year.
  4. ashbury
    I refrained from clicking on this link. It's just an ad for shooz, right?
  5. ashbury
    People always flock to the state-of-the-art facilities, at least for the first few seasons.
  6. ashbury
    If you want Andruw Jones in the Hall of Fame, it's probably best to spell his name correctly on the ballot.
  7. ashbury
    He'll be 28 by Opening Day. I'd be surprised if there are any angles the coaches can try by this point.
  8. ashbury
    i jumped in on this too, but may I suggest that this tangent be allowed to die now? It wasn't central to anything in Nick's article, I don't believe - just a side comment. Nick has adjusted his position, and I for one am fine with that.
  9. ashbury
    This seems like revisionist history. From some guy in 2016: http://twinsdaily.com/topic/24542-article-the-brightening-future-of-the-twins-rotation/?do=findComment&comment=567411 Looks like this guy was right when everyone was wrong. Or at least, less wrong, less high. He wins teh Internets. Still, depending on what one means by "prospect", Jay seems to have been one - included as a high ceiling arm in a list of impact talent concerning a brightening future for the Twins.
  10. ashbury
    Does this soothe or stoke the Fears of White Sox Competency mentioned in this article?
  11. ashbury
    Of course not. First base, and first base only.
  12. ashbury
    Uh, thank you?
  13. ashbury
    Is that the most points scored by Northwestern in a Big Ten game this season? Worrisome.
  14. ashbury
    In the interest of keeping the discussion on the topic of the article that was posted, I'd like to ask you to go back to something contained in the headline: Why Aren’t There More Women in Baseball? You see it as a matter of qualified candidates. Do you see it as a lack of qualified candidates? Or do you see it as qualified candidates not being chosen? And do you have a solution to either of these causes, beyond the Invisible Hand of the marketplace that for the history of baseball doesn't seem to have worked its normal magic?
  15. ashbury
    It's more than just happenstance, too. The front office's two first-round draft picks in 2019 were a SS and a RF. Their first-rounder in 2018 was a RF. In 2017 it was a SS and corner OF./1B I don't believe they think front-line pitching comes solely after the first round, so it has to be their strategy to trade surplus corner OF/1B for pitching. It has to.
  16. ashbury
    Parents, give your kids an extra hug today, when you send them off to school. You can't know whether this will be the day we see the news bulletin that Chicago has signed both Cole and Strasburg. Kids, give your parents that hug, too.
  17. ashbury
    The former seems like the "bet on yourself" play. But when I look at this pitcher's age-29 similarity scores on b-r.com, which someone else reminded me of in a different post, I'd say grab the guaranteed extra $30M. From the team's perspective, the "bet on yourself" contract looks more like "we'll pay for just the tasty center core from the watermelon, thank you very much." Three years is a long time when you're a pitcher entering your thirties.
  18. ashbury
    Is there any concern with Gray's health? I just looked up the reason for his being on the 60-day IL to end the season, and his foot fracture wasn't due to an event like a batted ball, but a recurrence of a stress fracture that also bothered him in 2017. Surgery was being considered - did that happen? Is there something brittle about him that should give pause, to investing a lot to acquire him?
  19. ashbury
    Then he says no, and signs for the highest bid, which will surely be better than that. Why even waste his agent's time?
  20. ashbury
  21. ashbury
    I think the gauntlet has been thrown down. Only Chief can top that one. Chief, where are you, in our hour of need?
  22. ashbury
    Thought that's what I was saying...
  23. ashbury
    I think this acceptance lends credence that TD's "crowdsourced" estimate for a 3 year contract (at $42M?) might have been closer than some of the higher estimates out there. When the QO gives you almost half of what you'd get for 3 years, bet on yourself and take it, and try again the next year. (Doesn't rule out negotiating an extension, for that matter.) Conversely it was a good QO for the team to offer, but close.
  24. ashbury
    Oof, I don't want to turn this into a long digression, but I don't think #9 vs #9 is how to look at it. When the pitcher isn't in the lineup in the AL, it's because there's a DH in there - higher up in the batting order, so everyone shifts down (more or less), so you need to compare a slightly higher-quality bat at every spot in the order, or (more simply) just compare DH to pitcher for the aggregate difference. If anything, taking out the pitchers from the stats might not be enough - you need to assume a better than average bat, not just an average one, taking the pitcher's place in the AL.
  25. ashbury
    Solid choice.
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