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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    Nice payoff for those who read to the end. Happy Macy's Day everybody!
  2. ashbury
    Thanksgiving
    Good a place as any to add my own best holiday wishes to all the regulars (and the Looky-Lous who read but don't post).
  3. ashbury
    Hopefully the Ohtani rule regarding DH and pitching will apply, because that happens to be the situation when Wallner has been at his best at the plate too. (I hope the coaches help him fix that.)
  4. ashbury
    Somehow Steer got onto somebody's non-tender speculation list, and we had fun with it. I guess?
  5. ashbury
    Yes and if he's up he should play, not sit. Back down he goes he he doesn't perform when he's up - that's what minor league options are for.
  6. ashbury
    Product marketing, which the Veeck family knew how to do and the Twins seem to have in short supply, consists of a whole lot more than just the messaging, and I'll leave it at that.
  7. ashbury
    First he has to beat out the incumbent, Kody Clemens. 🙃
  8. ashbury
    Yeah, that angle certainly resonates. OTOH, think back to when you were 16 - would you give up dating girls your own age without at least a pang of regret? Meh, maybe I'll give him credit for having extreme focus and self-discipline at such a young age. 😁
  9. ashbury
    I haven't figured out why the Reds would agree to it.
  10. ashbury
    Promising rookies need to play in a regular role when brought up to the majors, or else play at AAA. Jerking him around day to day is not a recipe for success. Nothing's being handed to someone when the team tries to find out what they've got.
  11. ashbury
  12. ashbury
    I think everyone you mentioned was a pitcher. Check the line you quoted, again: it specifies position players.
  13. ashbury
    A really good catcher and/or a really good first baseman, both under team control for several years, probably would be a starting point. I won't mention shortstop since you listed de la Cruz as being untouchable. I don't see a good match in the Reds' system. You can never have too much (good) pitching, but the Twins have quite a number of MLB-ready arms who are unproven. The Twins have an oversupply of outfielders on their 40-man to trade from. So hitting at other locations on the field would be of interest. However the Twins don't really have an oversupply of GOOD outfielders, so we're back to wondering why they would be looking to part with ERod in the first place. Now if this becomes part of a really massive makeover, with our two veteran rotation frontliners being dealt away, then replacing them with younger versions would be of interest and the combination you mentioned at the outset could come into play.
  14. ashbury
    Can I interest you in a slightly used Trevor Larnach model instead?
  15. ashbury
    It costs nothing to be kind.
  16. ashbury
    Came here to ask, "and what's the expected number of wins after this PERFECT offseason?" but you ninja'd me by 22 minutes or so. 😁 You picked a number slightly higher than I had in mind.
  17. ashbury
    Across the majors first basemen OPSed .754 in 2025. Ten teams achieved .800. The Twins were near the bottom with .678. It's hard to emphasize strongly enough how much of a leap is needed by them to achieve merely relevance at the position, and how much of a drag on the offense it is when an offense-first position is undermanned. Ty France contributed most of the PA with a .685 OPS, but Kody was next highest in PA there and amassed a remarkably similar .684 OPS. (Remarkably, Edouard Julien led the at the position with an OPS of .705.) In his age-30 season it's a poor bet looking for an uptick from Clemens. He's not part of the solution. He's part of the problem.
  18. ashbury
    On a related note, Twins Daily seems to be trying to corner the market on bloggers named Cody.
  19. ashbury
    There's a Where Are They Now thread elsewhere, where you can keep up with transactions such as this. https://twinsdaily.com/forums/topic/69337-former-twins-where-are-they-now-2025-edition/
  20. ashbury
    Unless you think all farm systems are alike, there is a third dimension to consider. There's drafting (scouting) and then there's development. Maybe said prospect would have turned out just fine if the original team had kept him, but the new team messed him up. That's been the narrative regarding Austin Martin, for instance.
  21. ashbury
    Clemens turns 30 early next season and doesn't figure into any of my calculations - we've seen PeaK Kody and he's nothing more than a placeholder.. Julien at age 26 is more of a concern. I hadn't noticed this about him before: his OPS has never been below .800 at any level of professional ball. Well, except the majors, both of the past two seasons. One of Bill James's fundamental contributions was to demonstrate that minor league stats have good predictive value. He didn't have the 2020s Minnesota Twins to study, though. So I take back my recommendation to replace either of these players with 23-year old Blaze Jordan. He's probably a nice enough young fellow, and doesn't deserve to be dragged into this toxic environment.
  22. ashbury
    Take pleasure and appropriate pride in being an authentic Social Media Influencer.
  23. ashbury
    With Semien just traded, I suppose there is opportunity if Jonah decides 2026 is the time for another career year like he had with Miami. Also, with the Rangers having non-tendered Jonah Heim, they may feel deficient in the below-the-radar category of Players Named Jonah, which the Twins seem to have given up on.
  24. ashbury
    I like this line of thinking with regard to Blaze Jordan, and for me his age makes the difference compared to the other candidates mentioned. I'd look askance at his hitting after his trade, except that the steep drop in output comes based on a steep drop in BABIP to below .200 (rather than earlier success being built on .400), as you pointed out. I could see him being MLB-ready right now, and with headroom to grow into a real asset at 1B by his second year of experience. I truly don't know why the Cards would trade for somebody they knew they'd have to protect, and let two months of output dissuade them. Two qualms, which are along the lines you raised as to "something wrong" . 1) His defense seems below par but the scouting report at mlb.com shows him with soft hands but poor range, and maybe the Twins' 1B miracle workers can do something to improve his ability to go get the balls hit toward him. 2) He was a child prodigy, garnering attention at age 11 and winning longball competitions at an early age. Is that a problem? Probably not, but I would rely on my scouting staff to sniff out any signs of bad makeup in the kid's approach with coaches and/or teammates. He'd be a risky pick, but any good Rule-5 player will be, because guys with high ceilings and also high floors are already protected on someone's 40-man. Given my low expectations for the Twins' chances in 2026, I'd go with a "fun" pick in the Rule-5. I'd also go for fun by taking a Rule-5 pitcher, and I'm not sure whether I'd pick one of those first and gamble that the hitter I want will be waiting for me in Round 2, or take Jordan and then go with whichever pitcher I liked best among the second-round remnants.
  25. ashbury
    Gotta give Theo his due for suppressing that yawn during the riveting monologue. 😁
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