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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    If you pick bats the same way, you can wind up with Joe Benson.
  2. ashbury
    Sure. Once in a while there can be an outlier. Also, in 1962 talent wasn't available in the same way as now, for a variety of reasons, chief of which would be the reserve clause; it could be that a replacement level team would win 30-35 in that environment.
  3. ashbury
    Don't overlook the Astros. It's hard to repeat but they have a shot.
  4. ashbury
    If they take away hits, it should show up somewhere in the record, and should be measurable (even if indirectly). What way of verifying a middle infielder's hits-taken-away do you like, instead?
  5. ashbury
    Makes you marvel at how hard the Mets front office must have worked to construct that 40-win team in 1962.
  6. ashbury
    I know this was a Boss reference, but your reaction is more Barney: [video=youtube;AaUWLQ052HY]
  7. ashbury
    Meyer strikes me as the one of our three most likely to wind up embarrassed by that comparison in the fullness of time, but of course all three could, and conversely for any of them to actually achieve rough parity with their comp will be awesome.
  8. ashbury
    Hurricane Hazle seemed to have a high floor at one point, and look what happened to him.
  9. ashbury
    Guess I'm guilty of a threadjack, if it seemed like I was recommending Thorpe specifically, for a debut quite that soon.
  10. ashbury
    There is one aspect to bringing up a budding star a little early that isn't covered by any of this: it's good advertising to the next generation of player. Say you draft a tough-to-sign high-ceiling high school kid in the 6th round. He's just going to say no thanks if he believes that he'll spend the next 7 years in the minors or whatever, and will go to junior college without even listening to your bonus offer and hope for better draft luck the next June. Ditto for signing young talent from off our shores, if they have any other teams also in the hunt. This shouldn't overly drive your strategy of course. But you gotta hold a little hope out there.
  11. ashbury
    If I were helping moderate a forum with that style I'd have no problem avoiding cardiac arrest, I'm sure - assuming clear direction from the site owners, that is. "Every forum is not every other forum." - a wise man
  12. ashbury
    Analytics has a specific1 meaning these days in the computer world, but having an analytic mindset in the traditional sense can't be a bad thing to have in any aspect of decision making, including scouting. 1 Well, specific and all over the map, at the same time
  13. ashbury
    See? These tangents sometimes produce a useful idea. The moderation team will consider this.
  14. ashbury
    Threads past their "best by date" sometimes get like that. We'll monitor here of course, if somebody brings up a serious point, but maybe starting a new thread focused on a particular concern will work better by now.
  15. ashbury
    Too soon.
  16. ashbury
    The "moment" for Morris's game might be when he came back out for the 10th. A real "wow" moment that still sends chills of anticipation for me. As an iconic moment, it is different than the others mentioned, as it wasn't yet a done deal, and it only becomes iconic because of the final result.
  17. ashbury
    It's exciting. I highlighted the word value because for me that's what the key is. If you can sharpen the estimates of the value a player brings in all the facets of the game, the better your decision making will be. And applying analytics to where the value is highest, for instance in understanding and preventing injuries to prospects, is the most important of all.
  18. ashbury
    Oh. Never mind then. I might complain that the tangent had evolved with unclear reference to which player was being discussed, except I left it unsaid too.
  19. ashbury
    I just figured posting by the bookmaker represented vigorish or something. / yeah yeah, that's not how the vig works - I'm a betting n00b even though I live in Nevada
  20. ashbury
    I didn't read either one that way. Brian has: Chief has: I read these as "different". And certainly not "things aren't any different there", to which I was responding anyway. They can speak for themselves of course if they see a need.
  21. ashbury
    An intriguing statement. It was a little tedious going back year by year in b-r.com, cost me probably 5 minutes because I am not a l33t database dude, but the dry spell looks like it went back to 2004, when Jason Kubel and the immortal Terry Tiffee made Twins fans smile (a little more) in September, and not at a level Parms and Pinto reached.
  22. ashbury
    Yes, I'm going to hold a .657 OPS at AAA against a player forever. Compiled at age 22.
  23. ashbury
    Where? I can't think of anything like that since I started moderating in June. If moderation were mostly about explaining to a new member why a thinly veiled poop joke didn't get bleeped in a game thread, the job would be a snap. / wait, what, someone veils their jokes in the game threads?
  24. ashbury
    No. The more we try to explain the Comment Policy, the more we are whipsawed by various people saying a) so this example of what not to do is all that is not allowed?, so this example of what to do must be followed every time?, and c) but what about this funny little case instead? John Bonnes responded to someone saying his 10th graders get away with this much and more. It made for a good response (he avoided using the term "sophomoric" which I would not have been able to resist), but don't try to generalize it beyond hope. He said such a post risks deletion. It's hard to think of any characteristic about a post "alone" that will cause (or avert) moderator action. No, VodkaDave, don't take that as a challenge.
  25. ashbury
    Since this has been done, more than once now in this thread, and explicitly in the Comment Policy post I previously linked to, I don't know what it is you are asking for. "Civility is still the rule, but a little more is tolerated." You want the explicit phrase "double standard" in the Policy?
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