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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    Gleam in her daddy's eye, even.
  2. ashbury
    Like a bat out of hell, I presume? / RB didn't go there? Or did I simply miss a reference?
  3. ashbury
    Different than the norm. A talk at this year's SABR convention reminded us that league-wide the first inning is the biggest scoring inning (and the noteworthy thing, not pertinent here, is that most of the home advantage is found in this first inning). It's not hard to imagine why: managers get to choose their lineups after all, and only in the first are you guaranteed to get what you wanted. Second inning, by the same logic, I believe has the lowest scoring or close to it. So it would be strange for any pitcher to not benefit from pitching to the lower part of the order. I'll have to go with Small Sample Size to explain this year's numbers for him, and not part of a larger pattern.
  4. ashbury
    Good luck with that, Internet Tough Guy.
  5. ashbury
    Or, think to themselves, "man, I'm not in pee wee ball anymore". / I like it too, but still I wonder
  6. ashbury
    I can hear in my mind's ear Herb Carneal saying "from the stretch... strike one" but maybe Provus doesn't do that? / I realize, you weren't taking notes from the broadcast
  7. ashbury
    Modified...
  8. ashbury
    http://i759.photobucket.com/albums/xx239/Scott_In_OKC/General%20Images/Not_sure_if_your_serious.jpg
  9. ashbury
    F5 key for refresh. / and check the bottom of the page to make sure there isn't a link to a new page to read...
  10. ashbury
    I like that one. Into the 80-character quote file it goes.
  11. ashbury
    Gave up a scratch single after two outs. Now that someone was on base, he promptly gave up a double, which did not score the run. Question, since I had to be away from the video: did he go back to the full windup at that point, with the runners unlikely to steal? He got the out to end the inning, and retired the side in order in the second. This leaves open the chance that he still has trouble from the stretch.
  12. ashbury
    Man. They really must have been in Gardy's doghouse. / AKA : Gardenhire Acres VIP Kennels, R. Clyde Gardenhire Prop.
  13. ashbury
    They should hire Diehard (or me, who is even worse) to throw to the Home Run Derby contestants, then, because even with meatball pitches from their chosen thrower most of them don't hit a majority out. As for bell curves mentioned elsewhere, every player in pro ball is pretty far to one side of that curve already; only the tail of the curve matters. Studies that derive some sort of conclusion, such as control over BABIP, are from this part of the curve and may not have the slightest bearing on those of us in the middle or below.
  14. ashbury
    Imposter! These photos are not sideways.
  15. ashbury
    I'm trying to consider the very casual fan's perspective, and the point about holding isn't whether they watch for it, but whether they get frustrated by the calls being difficult to understand. A casual fan rooting for his local team throws up his hands when a gain is called back for the good guys, and I doubt if that is balanced by happiness over a call going the other way in the next series, when he doesn't really understand why the calls are made in the first place. That's where I see the parallel to inconsistent calls in baseball.
  16. ashbury
    You're asking the right questions and I don't know the answers. If you ever get a chance to interview Adam Wainright, you could ask him. 2006: 61 games 75 IP 2007: 32 games 202 IP Rigorous simulated innings between relief appearances his rookie year, is my guess, but purely that. Other Cardinal pitchers had less extreme situations. Lance Lynn in the bullpen for a while in 2011 and then a full SP load the next year, Shelby Miller in a short stint of relief in 2012 before full-time starting. But they don't always do it that way either, Michael Wacha started in his first 5 major league appearances. Unless the front office wants to divulge their secret sauce, you'd probably have to piece it together by interviewing pitchers one by one and see what emerged about their process and whether anything could be inferred as to the philosophy.
  17. ashbury
    Santana at short, Hicks in center, Pinto catching, Vargas DHing - this is a lineup worth watching in September, not just today but the rest of the way. / edit - my only change would be Parmelee instead of Schafer, and that amounts merely to a disagreement with the Twins over which player we want to see whether he can be more than he seems - and the likely answer is "neither one"
  18. ashbury
    Good post, iTwins. With regard to the inconsistent application of rules I'm not sure there's a lot of difference between baseball and the other sports - it's said that holding in football could be called on nearly every play as a matter of degree, and in basketball the difference between a charge and a block is hard for most people to discern (similar to pass interference in football, come to think of it). So I would think if it was killing baseball it would be hurting other sports too. Instead it seems to feed the interest of those sports. Does your wife get bugged about these too, or maybe she doesn't watch those sports?
  19. ashbury
    I like how St Louis sometimes gets prospective starters' feet wet with some time in their major league bullpen, as much as a full season, and I would like to see some of that here too.
  20. ashbury
    If you're drawing the analogy to the clock in other sports, every man reaching base negates the progress made toward completion that any previous strikes in that plate appearance had seemed to create. The clock moves only forward in those other sports, with exceptional cases of referees adding a few seconds when there is a dispute about when the previous play ended in football or basketball, or soccer stoppage time. But in baseball, the "clock" ebbs and flows, mostly forward, but with periodic backward motion that is an integral part of the game. None of which has much to do with the topic - more an observation about poetry of the game than anything else.
  21. ashbury
    The Astros might, if recent form holds - haven't they claimed two of our guys on waivers in the past 6 months? They could easily assign a garbage-time bullpen slot to one young pitcher they think will be good in a few years. The lack of strikeouts might turn their scouts off of Lee as the target specifically, though.
  22. ashbury
    Scouting?
  23. ashbury
    OK. But the range you can find among pitchers is quite a bit smaller than for batters, isn't it? Agreed that a bit of variation from league average means that the principle is missing a detail or two that eventually may become better understood. But for now...
  24. ashbury
    The pitches that come before the batter either puts the ball in play or strikes out have about as much interest to most fans on instant replay as that of the quarterback's choice of individual calls ("hut, twenty-three, hut-hut") when trying to draw the opponents offside.
  25. ashbury
    It's 'top secret'. I could 'tell' you, but then I'd have to 'kill' you.
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