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Doctor Gast

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Everything posted by Doctor Gast

  1. Doctor Gast
    I'm a Jeffers fan. They announced it at the beginning of the season, Of course, that didn't last long, It quickly became an equal tandem where he started out strong but after some time petered out. I have advocated for the Twins to trade for a promising primary young MLB-ready catcher long before I advocated trading Jeffers. Now after advocating the trade of Jeffer due to the reasons I stated before. Throughout this thread, I've stated that these new acquisitions & Camargo in no way move the needle as far as justifying moving Jeffers. None of them are MLB-ready much less backup.
  2. Doctor Gast
    Plus WAR doesn't justify enough the defense & intangibles which is essential to catching. & he's considered by most here as a backup catcher. His defense including his intangibles is always dependable, his durability plus scoring a few runs here & there & getting some game-winners what more do you need from a backup catcher he's not a DH, defense matters. Good point NYCTK, why do so many hate him, it's not his fault that Falvey overpaid him (I'm afraid when you put money in Falvey's hands).
  3. Doctor Gast
    I didn't say how many innings they caught last season. That wasn't the context. It was how long. Gasper has been listed as a catcher for many years which doesn't qualify him to be MLB-ready nor the amount of time in AAA for anyone else.
  4. Doctor Gast
    WOW, good catch I missed that. That's concerning. To put everything into perspective, Cartaya is now our # 23rd top prospect, he beat out Camargo by a long shot.
  5. Doctor Gast
    I like the move in that it gives us some future depth. Cartaya has had at least a couple of poor seasons & they lost patience with him like they did with Camargo but much sooner with Camargo. I'd prefer Feduccia because he's MLB-ready but IMO Cartaya is worth the extra patience. Cartaya was way down on my catchers' trade list.
  6. Doctor Gast
    I don't care how long they have been at AAA. Gasper has been in AAA for how long? As of yet we still haven't got our 3rd catcher. Cartaya has a lot more upside than what we got but he's still not MLB-ready. We'll see how he responds to AAA here. Maybe later on this season, we sure can't count on him to take over for Vazquez or Jeffers.
  7. Doctor Gast
    I like your thinking that we need a high-leverage LHRP & SD has a need for a catcher. We need these ideas to brainstorm what we should do. But the trade is a huge overpay. Jeffers has a much higher trade value over Peralta & his high salary even if you include all those promising arms. IMO our greatest need is our catching depth. IMO SD will try to unload Arraez not only because of his salary but like Jeffers, Boras is his agent so they wouldn't be able to afford his extension. So your idea to trade Jeffers has merit. But I'd use Jeffers to lure a trade to obtain a young promising MLB-ready future catcher away from a win-now team. I'd also target a 2nd promising young MLB-ready catcher because we also need a viable 3rd catcher. And soon we'll be w/o Vazquez & Jeffers or worse yet, they extend Jeffers to a ridiculous contract. BTW, I'm not a Jeffers hater & I'm not a Julien hater. My opinion on both Jeffers & Julien last year is the same, If the Twins are determined to misplace Julien at 2B (when we had better options there) it's better to trade him when his trade value is high. Last year when the Twins misplaced Jeffers as the primary catcher it was better to trade him because we don't have a long-term future primary catcher who can catch the majority of games, his trade value was very high & it doesn't make sense to extend him to a ridiculous extension or not extend him & let him go for nothing. This year their trade values have dropped considerably but it's still prudent to trade both.
  8. Doctor Gast
    Thanks Nick, for this interesting exercise. Unlike you, I would not rank the prospects as high as you have. If they haven't proved anything yet it's hard for me to rank them that high. I also see you left off Buxton. Of course, I'd love Buxton to play more but even so how easy would it be to find his caliber of play for the amount we pay him? If he was completely healthy when we signed him, we couldn't afford him. Same with Correa, his caliber of talent & intangibles are indispensable. Because of the absence at times of Buxton, Correa & Lewis shine doubt on their indispensability. The more Castro's (who was also left off this list) indispensability makes more sense, his flexibility & quality depth he provides are very valuable. How easy is it to replace him? We don't have him in the system. If you can find him in FA he'd be too expensive. If you find him on a different team, if the team is smart they won't trade him. Just because FO wants to free up money & Castro would be the easiest way to do it (because there should be a big demand for him) makes him less valuable? How would it look if Twins' MVP & All-Star who makes it in your indispensable list was traded? He should be extended.
  9. Doctor Gast
    It was a nice year for SWR, more than what was expected. Martin had an OK year considering what he had to go through as a rookie. Keep him at 2B, coach him better in the OF & ease him in. If they don't screw him over again he'll have a more representative of what he can do which will be pretty good. If they ease him into the lead-off spot he'd be very valuable. TOR & MN must seen something to lead them to think that they could turn him into a power SS. But I don't care if he ever develops power, with his baserunning ability it's not needed.
  10. Doctor Gast
    SD, who I thought was the front-runner for Sasaki. Ownership is going through a serious court case, which'll prove to be an unstable situation. Which could prove to alter greatly the possibility of him going there. Yes the Twins are changing ownership but are a stable organization which will only be more appealing with the change. The Ishbia brothers could reach a deal by opening day!
  11. Doctor Gast
    Varland needs to be settled in the MLB BP, when this happens he'll get his head & his location right.
  12. Doctor Gast
    I really like Eeles & have followed him since he joined the Twins. I'd rather give Eeles a chance, than pick up these fringe players & give them priority.
  13. Doctor Gast
    I'll state again Jeffers is a great backup catcher, at that duty, he's an above-average hitter & average-ish defensively. By nature, he's not that great defensively so he (to his credit) really has to work at it to get to that level. If put in a situation beyond the role of backup, from equal tandem where after some time he tires & his offense & especially defensively starts & continues to wane. To primary catcher where he catches almost every day over an extended amount of time like '22, where quickly his production fell off & his body couldn't take it & he landed on the IL. I'm all for keeping Jeffers in a weak-side tandem. But the image that the Twins has given Jeffers is that he's our primary catcher, & they have painted themselves in a corner by not developing or obtaining a very good primary catcher. Therefore Boras will demand top primary catcher dollars to extend Jeffers & Twins will blindly do that. That is what I'm against. MIL is great at developing defense, they took a reject, Willian Contreras (who could hit but couldn't catch) & turned him into an elite catcher. PHI has no idea how to develop catching, they traded for Realmuto, as Realmuto declines so does PHI catching. Wilson Contreras was a better defensive catcher but on his last year of availability, he focused on his hitting, because people like to look at WAR & hitting is where you can raise your WAR not defense. In his FA he was one the top-ranked MLB catchers. STL was the winnest team in the 21st century. They picked up Contreras believing they'd continue their reign. They tanked- they blamed it on unstable pitching, poor catching, lack of leadership & chemistry. I never heard them say it but you can sum all that up as no Molina. Molina (the main reason for their legacy) is noted for his defense & everything that went with that like handling the pitchers, command & feel on the field not his offense. Wilson is a much better hitting & defensive catcher than Jeffers but now he's not catching.
  14. Doctor Gast
    Jeffers is a great backup catcher but he's not a primary catcher, going forward trying to force him there will be disastrous, As I said trading for a promising young defensive MLB-ready catcher should have been done a long time ago. If we can't develop them we have to trade for them, Longer we wait the worse it'll be. Jeffers will be too expensive us to extend & will be worthless if we wait until his last year & his performance w/o Vazquez won't help either. Catching isn't like DHing where only hitting matters, Defense is the top priority. CWS has 2- I've had my eye on Kyle Keel since his college days, Edgar Quero is a good defender but even better hitter. Rushing (LAD), Jefferson Quero (MIL), Harry Ford (SEA) Samuel Bassallo (BAL) are blocked. CO has 2 that I like- underrated (BH) Drew Romo & IMO the best potential to be elite is Cole Carrigg. There are others but these are the top of the list, Some won't come cheap others are reasonable to very reasonable.
  15. Doctor Gast
    Always take things out of context & changing focus. What MIA got in return for Arraez was only an opinion, the context was that he was traded well before the deadline (BTW I don't think much of Law's opinion). My remark on Scott was focused mainly on his 1st half image not his deadline image. Puk's drop in performance absolutely had an effect what his asking price. By offering a reasonable offer I'm not saying paying his market worth but closer to what he's truly worth. I see overpay & underpay all the time. You'd like all FO have a good evaluation on all their players but that is far from the truth. Many aren't good at it, many look only at stats & completely overlook the underlying conditions & who the player is, many have biases that favor one over the other, some are influenced by hype. And beyond that there are conditions that force you to make deals that you normally wouldn't do. Like the Law of supply & demand it doesn't matter what market you are talking about. Of course, you have the right not to sell when a player's value is low or not buy when a player's value is high but when a player is for sale you jump on it. As always your spinning has spun us off topic, Let's just agree to disagree & put this to rest.
  16. Doctor Gast
    Indispensable- someone we need to hang onto, that'll be difficult to replace. Correa should be closer to the top of the list. We are hurting when he's not in the lineup because he took more time off this last season. It doesn't distract from that. SWR is underrated he was pushed beyond his limits & he remained healthy. He's not flashy but he gets the job done. Jeffers is very dispensable. As a backup, he's an average-ish defensive & above-average offensive catcher. He gets worse and worse, the more he's used beyond that duty. Because of Falvey's failure to develop catching & obtaining a reasonable primary catcher, isn't a reason to think Jeffers is indispensable. Jeffers isn't or ever will be a primary catcher. We need a future primary catcher if we have any hope to compete. I've advocated trading him from the Garver/ Rortvedt days. Because of the lack of depth at catching, I'm afraid that'll be an excuse for extending Jeffers via Boras to an albatross of a contract worse than Dobnak's. When we finally wake up, we can't get rid of him. Trade him now while we still can get something for him. Use him as a trade chip to get a promising young MLB-ready catcher. Don't wait until Vazquez is gone & everything is in shabbles before we wake up. Jeffers need to be replaced. So like Julien he shouldn't be on the list.
  17. Doctor Gast
    Why did MIA traded Arraez in April or May? IMO they didn't get that much for him. Why didn't they hold on to him until the very end of the deadline? If they had gotten a reasonable offer on Puk when his #s weren't good due to the failed SP experiment with a lot of negative hype they would have bitten. Even most of the season Scott wasn't given much opportunity to shine. MIA like MN had a big Fire Sale sign up. Their big ticket was Luzardo but nobody gave them any serious offer. Then Luzardo got hurt, & that ended their hopes for a hay day. After that they were willing to deal on any reasonable offer. Towards the end of the deadline Scott was their only hope for any payday so they held out on him. I was surprised that MIA didn't wait for Luzardo's trade value to go up at the deadline, instead of trading him now when his trade value was low. But like I said MIA is gun shy. If someone'll give me a good deal on Dobnak, Paddack, Jeffers or Julien any time before the deadline. I'm not going to say no I'm waiting for the deadline when they are up for sale. I'm going to jump on it. No stat is the real world, stats are far from perfect. BTV is no different. But it is an unbiased tool to gauge a player's trade worth at any given time. Yes hype is a factor but unfortunately so is it in the real world. If you want to be a good trader you have to weed through all the positive & negative hype & find the good deals & conditions & strike. Not wait around for scrapes.
  18. Doctor Gast
    Last year if we had done nothing we would have been a better team. This year if they don't trade Castro, Vazquez or any core player we'll be better than any outside move. Julien has to be sent down to AAA until he proves he can play 1B (he can't play 2B) & be able to hit to profile there which'll be a long time. Trade him. Jeffers has been very consistent, he's very good at the backup catcher, beyond that the more he plays the worse he becomes. We can't afford the extension that he doesn't deserve. We desperately need a promising MLB-ready catcher, trade Jeffers.
  19. Doctor Gast
    I was surprised also that nothing was said about his catching ability which should be the 1st thing we need to look at. We desperately need a promising young defensive catcher, is he MLB-ready? He's not MLB-ready but neither is Carmargo, could the Twins make him a better catcher in offense or defense if we keep him AAA? I doubt it, catchers don't miraculously get better. We have to get a very promising defensive MLB-ready catcher & hope for the best. No matter what we do if we trade Vazquez, it'll be a train wreck waiting to happen. LAD gave away Lux to the Reds, why do they like to fleece us?
  20. Doctor Gast
    MiLB contract never hurts. So many DH/1B/cOFers were the all-or-nothing style that slumped I don't give much hope that they'll turn it around & have anything semblance of prior success.
  21. Doctor Gast
    BTV is like any stat, it's not perfect but it's a tool to give you an unbiased idea.
  22. Doctor Gast
    I think CLE got a Compensation B draft choice + lotto ticket & got Santana for $12M Naylor for $14M + Compensation A draft choice Again I'd prefer by far Naylor.
  23. Doctor Gast
    I agree Julien should be far removed from this list. '24 wasn't just a sophomore slump, it was the league having the book on his style of hitting. So he has to reinvent himself to be less of an HR hitter which doesn't profile at 1B or like Sano not adjusting at all. Either way, he loses. So far Raya although he has some potential hasn't proved anything yet. It's a shame Miranda isn't higher, if he had been at 1B he'd have been much higher. I'd place SWR & Correa higher but it's hard to put into perspective when you don't see who you placed ahead of them.
  24. Doctor Gast
    OMG NO! Why would you want to extend a catcher that "in your words" hasn't proved himself as a primary catcher? He's a backup catcher. Look at his record, every year he's backup '20 & 23, he does well. '22 when was given primary catching duties he crashed & burned. '21 & '24 when he slightly catches more he wanes. I can't see that the Twins' failing to provide any depth is any reason to compound the problem by extending Jeffers. Boras is Jeffer's agent you forgot to mention, you want to tell me we should sign Jeffers to a mega-catching contract for a backup catcher? That'll be another blackhole. We have to face what the Twins are avoiding to address. We desperately need a future primary catcher, Jeffers isn't him. We can't afford Jeffers, so faster we trade Jeffers for at least one very promising young MLB-ready catcher the better. So we can better prepare for the future. Jeffers (backup catcher) + a bunch of fringe AAA catchers add up to disaster, even if you pick up an expensive inferior FA catcher. & I'd like to avoid that.
  25. Doctor Gast
    He is a Boras guy! That is one we should extend him
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