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drivlikejehu

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Everything posted by drivlikejehu

  1. drivlikejehu
    Vielma's ceiling is utility infielder. His batting average will disintegrate against MLB pitching and defense.
  2. drivlikejehu
    I think I like McKay more as a 1st baseman. The velocity does worry me. I'm not crazy about Greene and definitely not Wright, nothing about him says 1-1. Pitchers in general are a crap-shoot because of the heightened injury risk. I see taking a really elite pitcher 1-1, but I don't think there is such a pitcher in this class.
  3. drivlikejehu
    The Twins have no pitching staff. It's not that easy to fix.
  4. drivlikejehu
    The system is fairly weak in prospect terms but top 100 lists don't do much for me. Past the top 25 or so the talent differential shrinks, so while lacking top prospects is bad, having #80, 85, 90, etc. wouldn't make up for it or really mean anything.
  5. drivlikejehu
    I wouldn't draft Romero, period. I don't think any particular thing - even being kicked off his team - makes him undraftable per se. However, the timing is so self-destructive that it goes way, way beyond immaturity or discipline issues or anything like that. Whoever drafts him should make psychiatric treatment a mandatory condition.
  6. drivlikejehu
    He's just not very good. They'll keep throwing him out there but it is what it is.
  7. drivlikejehu
    80
  8. drivlikejehu
    Not really. They don't literally have 6 left-handed starters that are similar to Gonsalves, but almost every org does have a group of solid but unspectacular prospects without particularly high ceilings.
  9. drivlikejehu
    They were not going to win the World Series. The flip side to prospects being overrated is that the impact of trade pickups is often overrated. A player has to be really, really good to meaningfully alter the odds of making the playoffs and even better to meaningfully improve the chances of winning the World Series. Across the league, teams have become more cautious in trading away legit assets for tiny incremental improvements. No current GM would do a Ramos for Capps sort of deal.
  10. drivlikejehu
    Teams trade prospects when they are a legitimate contender. The Twins are not, just like they weren't in 2015, even if some stars align and they have a decent record most of the way. The Twins could trade their entire minor league system and still not have anything close to a championship-caliber MLB team.
  11. drivlikejehu
    I hope you're not suggesting that, if the Twins were hanging around the Wild Card picture before the trade deadline, that you would deal away the Twins top prospects. This is of course completely academic since no front office would even consider organizational suicide of that magnitude.
  12. drivlikejehu
    The Twins can't trade prospects under any circumstances. These things always wind up with completely unrealistic notions anyway, a few 'C' prospects returning stars from other clubs, that sort of thing.
  13. drivlikejehu
    The pitcher is still responsible for getting guys out after an error. Tepesch looked terrible, period.
  14. drivlikejehu
    I am perplexed by the notion that Kintzler has some right to pitch the 9th inning for the Twins until he implodes. He hasn't been the closer for very long, has never closed out important games, isn't paid much, isn't particularly good . . . I don't even care that much because the Twins have limited options, but the idea that the Twins owe save opportunities to Kintzler is just flat wrong.
  15. drivlikejehu
    Command isn't something that magically improves over the span of a couple months. If Berrios isn't an MLB pitcher, the Twins may as well just shop him around to see if another team disagrees. For this season, he basically is who he is. The Twins should give him the chance to figure out whether and how that can work at the MLB level. The kind of realistic small tweaks he can make are better made in the Majors, against MLB hitters, than against ineffective opposition in AAA.
  16. drivlikejehu
    I don't think Berrios' performance in AAA (and the minors more generally) is consistent with a guy that has no command. Granted, walks are not determinative on that score, but he would get hit harder if he threw that many bad pitches. And a few more starts in AAA won't make any significant impact on his skillset, regardless. Whatever Berrios' limitations may be, AAA hitters obviously cannot expose them. While it's easy to talk about making adjustments at that level, it's hard when the plate appearances develop so differently than at the MLB level. PAs that start 0-1 rather than 1-0, for instance, because the AAA hitter chases a pitch most MLB players wouldn't. He needs to learn to pitch in the Majors. I'm aware of Falvey's credentials and have been more deferential than most to the front office's decision-making, but keeping Berrios down much longer is indefensible.
  17. drivlikejehu
    Smith was "GM" but really part of a collective decision-making process. We don't have enough inside info to really dole out credit and blame, but without question the front office was out of its depth even if some good decisions were made.
  18. drivlikejehu
    So that I understand - Berrios needs to work on his command against hitters that don't punish him for mistakes? mmm k.
  19. drivlikejehu
    Gibson has been terrible for too long to just keep throwing him out there.
  20. drivlikejehu
    Palacios has a .486 (!!) BABIP. Obviously he's been hitting the ball hard, but still that's going to come down quite a bit. He and Whitefield definitely have early-season helium, from a prospect standpoint.
  21. drivlikejehu
    Well I was responding to the situation in which he did much worse than that, but yes, it would take some proactive work from day 1 to make sure a switch could be timely. Despite the challenges, the 'Plan B' potential of McKay is very valuable. As an elite college player, his odds of success with 'Plan A' (whatever that is) are already pretty good, by amateur standards. Taking away yet more downside risk has to yield a high expected value number. My only concern with McKay is that scouts are so wowed by his two-way ability that they moderately overrate him with each individual skill set. I have no actual basis for this concern but it seems like the kind of thing that could happen, given how unusual it is. But as opposed to pure athleticism, I'm not sure that McKay's skill versatility really portends anything beyond face value.
  22. drivlikejehu
    A good front office wouldn't let McKay struggle with pitching or hitting for several years before making a change.
  23. drivlikejehu
    D-I athletic programs attract candidates that otherwise would not be interested. That's just a fact. Yet, almost none go pro. The DoD's mission is to defend the country, which depends on the strongest possible officer corps. Athletic programs add, rather than detract, from that mission. The military academies have the best argument of pretty much any university to go after top student-athletes. It's completely addled to think otherwise.
  24. drivlikejehu
    Strongly disagree, as a taxpayer. Only an infinitesimal portion of military academy graduates have pro sports potential - but the athletic programs are an important recruiting tool. Delaying the service of one junior officer here or there makes no difference in the scheme of things, but missing out on a larger group of quality student-athletes is a clear net loss for the DoD.
  25. drivlikejehu
    If withdrawal is more dangerous than the status quo, which it is, then it really makes no difference that there are cons to said status quo.
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