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drivlikejehu

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Everything posted by drivlikejehu

  1. This a confusing post because it seems to conflate the US and UK. You refer to "our" borders, but I at least am not a UK citizen - are you? Nor does the UK have any such thing as "constitutional scrutiny," so this concept would only apply in the US, not the UK. The UK has no doctrine of "probable cause" or anything equivalent. But even if they did, there was more than enough evidence to act: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/05/24/father-brother-manchester-bomber-arrested-libya/ It's not so much that there's a formal, detailed "conspiracy" to enable would-be terrorists, as there is a broad ideological aversion to taking the necessary steps to address the issue. Those ideological reasons are closely related to the refusal to act in the cases of sexual abuse of children by Muslim pedophiles. To be fair, this is a cross-party issue. It is absolutely not a legal issue. Authorities in the UK have broad discretion to act under their existing police and sovereign powers.
  2. The cited cases are common knowledge, you can pull the same information from whatever British sources you deem most legitimate. And actually the British don't have an equivalent to due process guarantees, but even if they did, the Muslim extremists are already guilty of various offenses under British law. There are all kinds of speech-related laws that clearly ban the sorts of messages spread by the radicals. And a number of them aren't British citizens, which means they can be deported without criminal convictions or charges under all existing British and international legal doctrines.
  3. The object of the offense is to avoid outs. The object of the pitching staff/defense is to get outs. The only way to avoid outs effectively is to be a good hitter. There are different kinds of hitters, which results in an uneven distribution of various events (runs scored, RBI, etc.). Those are accounting items that have basically no relevance to player valuation. A lineup with 9 players that walked every plate appearance would of course score an infinite number of runs and each batter would have an infinite number of RBIs. Similarly, a lineup in which every batter always homered would have an infinite number of runs and RBIs. Of course, a home run is more valuable than a walk - but the reason for this is still avoiding outs. If a batter walks, subsequent batters may get out and the runner would be stranded. A home run, by contrast, removes that possibility. Power therefore is of obvious value, which of course is reflected by wOBA, RC+, etc.
  4. It's obviously related and is almost certainly going on to this day. British authorities knew about the bomber in this case. They know about thousands of extremists who have a high likelihood of engaging in illegal/terrorist activity in various degrees. They just don't have the manpower to track every waking minute of their activities. Nonetheless, the authorities believe that actually doing something about those people is a worse answer than letting young girls have their bodies ripped apart by nails. The real enemy is "Islamophobia." I guess you could say that at least the British left is non-discriminatory in terms of supporting terrorism, since Corbyn and his cronies like McDonnell were always supportive of the IRA.
  5. Well then your post made no sense, I was referring to the well-known scandal in that area. If you already knew about it, why drop an Infowars comment?
  6. Rosario can't hit MLB pitching. When he first came up, pitchers didn't know how to attack him, and he did OK (mediocre RC+ of 97). His RC+ dropped in 2016 and has fallen further this year. He swings at everything and doesn't make good contact even on strikes. His defensive numbers have been sliding too. He's a decent enough athlete, but so are a ton of guys. I'm not convinced Rosario is even a 4th outfielder.
  7. Well, there's a BBC television show on right now about the most extensive series of abuses, in Rochdale, and then huge numbers of articles in all of the British papers. The police are on tape refusing to do anything about it. https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/3519066/rochdale-child-sex-abuse-ring-grooming-three-girls-victims/ There are literally thousands of articles about it in mainstream publications. And also coverage of similar outrages in Oxfordshire and other locations in the UK. And those are the only the ones that have been exposed.
  8. This is what happens when the government appeases and openly protects criminal and extremist elements of the Muslim community. This is in the same area where Muslim men were essentially allowed to use white schoolgirls as sex slaves for years without the slightest concern from the police.
  9. Volquez is looking pretty bad - barring a hot streak he's a salary dump, no prospects needed. The better question there is why the Twins would want him.
  10. There is no reason to ever expect other organizations to overpay for Twins players or prospects. Any talk of trading Gordon is academic, of course; the Twins aren't going to do it.
  11. Grossman is going to start getting more strikes. Until this year, he still chased a fair number of pitches outside the strike zone, and didn't have a great contact rate on balls or strikes. He was patient in his approach, which led to a good walk rate but also a good number of strikeouts. Now, he has dramatically reduced how often he chases, while also making more contact across the board. His power has been stable. What will be interesting is whether, when he starts getting more strikes, he is able to increase his power numbers.
  12. Santana doesn't possess a magical ability whereby he can strand 91.5% of baserunners and allow a BABIP of .136. He's on a great run going back to last season, but he is going to regress, and it may be a rather dramatic regression, at that.
  13. Gibson actually fell in the draft over health concerns, so that was a different situation, and Jay was just activated off the DL and apparently didn't suffer a major injury. But sure, college pitchers get hurt. Pitchers get hurt in general. The odds are still better with a more advanced pitcher that has handled higher workloads.
  14. A lot of comments on here are basically people with a $15,000 car budget shopping new luxury cars. You can assert the merits of an S-Class all day long, but the dealer isn't going to give the car away for nothing. Good, young, cost-controlled pitching is way beyond the ability of the Twins to acquire via trade. It's just a fantasy . . . then the same posters will criticize the Twins for not following through on their fantasy trade ideas.
  15. This thread shows that a lot of posters don't understand how much of a long-shot Greene is. Wright is far from a lock, but he has proven the ability to handle a far larger workload, face better competition, and throw quality secondary pitches. His age is actually a plus because he has pitched for several years without injury, whereas there is no telling whether the Greene will or not. It's obviously wrong to say the higher upside pick is always preferable. No team would ever take a 5% chance at a 70 player instead of an 80% chance of a 60 player. Pitching is a numbers game - you need a lot of them because of attrition. You don't build up depth through long-shots. Sure, occasionally one hits, but a club needs a steady stream of good pitchers. The best amateur pitcher is one with both a high upside and a good chance to reach it. Wright has that. Greene just has the upside.
  16. Recent research indicates that this isn't true, and that in fact velocity (of the arm) is the primary reason for arm injuries. With respect to Duffey, I think he has a good case to go back into the rotation and I think there's also a good case for him to be in the bullpen. There is definitely zero case for him to be a low-leverage 2-inning reliever. Falvine need to intervene and insist that Molitor use Duffey appropriately. Right now his abilities are being wasted.
  17. Well, there are AAAA pitchers that meet your criteria, so it is basically a meaningless standard. You can not care about projections all you want, but every front office considers how strong of a club they have before making major decisions. You're not considering the issue seriously if you don't. The Twins are 25% of the way through the season and 1 game up on Cleveland, a clearly superior team. Making ill-informed decisions based on gut feel is obviously not a path to success. Just because so far as you can "see," the Twins are close to a 90-win caliber team, doesn't mean that objectively your gut feelings have any validity.
  18. The Red Sox got 2.5 years of Pomeranz, vs. the 0.5 years of Richard available. That's obviously a huge difference. San Diego definitely will not get a top 25 prospect for Richard. Even top 100 is a stretch.
  19. I hate to disappoint you, but the Twins front office is not going to make a trade like Gonsalves for Richard. 0% chance this year.
  20. I would have to do an analysis before I could determine what I'd give up. Note that Greinke has a limited no trade clause and might very well exercise it to block a trade to the Twins.
  21. He's 37th in AL WAR per Fangraphs due to defensive metric differences, but I definitely like what I see. I've been a big fan of Kepler since he was signed.
  22. The D'backs would laugh at this joke of an offer. No one wants guys like Jorge, Vielma, Palka, etc. Classic internet fantasy trade. Who meets your definition of legit starter? Also, what is your rest-of-season projection if the Twins stand pat? Fangraphs has it at 78 - the WAR benefit from your suggestion is not even close to enough.
  23. Greene's floor is San Diego at #3 and the Twins never seemed likely to draft him, so I don't think Greene has cost himself much, if anything.
  24. The Twins have some good position players but are nowhere close to having "the basics needed to win." They have one of the worst pitching staffs in baseball - they can deal every single prospect and still be way below average. There is no in-season solution to the problem. The Twins may well need to deal prospects for pitching, but the time to do it is in the off-season, and in conjunction with free agent signings. They didn't go all-in for this year after losing 103 games the year before . . . if you think that was a mistake, fine, but it's too late now.
  25. As much as the Twins notionally are desperate for a decent starting pitcher (among other things), in reality that's basically 1-2 wins at best and little help in a putative playoff run. The benefit is limited. Now, 1 or 2 wins can be significant. But who knows what will be available for a price that makes sense.
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