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Riverbrian

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Everything posted by Riverbrian

  1. Riverbrian
    I'm not a fan of the Rule 5 pickups because managers spend the entire season trying to hide them and if the manager has to expend energy trying to keep them out of view... just don't do it. However... Like MLR said... "If there ever was a year". There are usually a few young 100 MPH arms that lack control available. Watch some video... find that hard thrower that you think you can straighten out and give him a bullpen spot until you think it's hopeless. This is the year to try it. I also agree with LyleCole. Quick Exposure... Don't try to hide them. You let them feel what it's like to face major league competition. Collect your real time data. If he isn't showing progress... send him back but get some decently sampled actual impressions before you do. I don't have any names... the front office does. I'll bet there is a pretty talented dice roll out there. We need a bullpen and we pick early... if ever there was a year.
  2. Riverbrian
    Or someone who really really didn't like the Schwimmer character on Friends.
  3. Riverbrian
    True... There is Nuance in everything. This off-season isn't over yet.
  4. Riverbrian
    He might be better. Maybe not. I don't know. Nobody knows. We know that young players can present as .800 OPS guys like Keaschall and Julien and Wallner did in their rookie seasons and we know that young players can present as .600 OPS guys like Brooks Lee. While we are about to find out what Jenkins, GG, Erod and others are going to do in 2026. I'd just like us to take a deep breath and not just toss above average hitting talent away on a team that lacks proven major league hitters. Trevor Larnach isn't Ty France or Manual Margot. Some one year invader. Trevor has been with the Twins organization for 8 years. Worked his way up from Cedar Rapids to a 2nd year of Arbitration. He did his time... he's earned a nice raise.
  5. Riverbrian
    I get that some want to see Jenkins, GG and Erod like right now. I'm with you... I can't wait to see those guys as well and they will be here sooner than you think. In the meantime... Trevor is one of us. Been a Twin his entire career. I'm nothing but happy for him. He could still be traded... he could remain a Twin... either way... I'm happy for Trevor. The way he is being painted by some isn't even reasonable.
  6. Riverbrian
    Basement? You know what the basement looks like. At least I thought you did.
  7. Riverbrian
    Well... You know that all hell has broken loose when hitting coaches are on X breaking club news and saying according to sources.
  8. Riverbrian
    I get it... wasn't directed at you. I just used your post. One question that immediately comes to mind. If they are trading Larnach for a prospect... If he isn't on the 40 man... Keirsay wouldn't have needed to be cleared to make room for Jackson.
  9. Riverbrian
    How does this guy have sources?
  10. Riverbrian
    It's just an attempt to simplify in a complicated way.
  11. Riverbrian
    Catching has to be addressed and it should be addressed inexpensively.
  12. Riverbrian
    I agree that major league managers tend to designate utilization in that fashion but I continue to insist that if they don't... playing time is plentiful for all if they just allow for honest competition and through competition the utilization will define itself with the performers picking up more work and players not performing getting less work or sent to the minors. You just have to allow all the opportunity to show if they should be considered for 2027. I believe that as this project moves forward... we will get where we need to get quicker by not assuming that Larnach is better than Roden and Roden is better than Larnach. And that is where Jenkins, Erod and GG eventually come in. First injury or sign that Outman is failing in his audition. The club can choose who gets the first crack at it. If Jenkins is the choice, he comes in and looks like Keaschall did last year. He stays. He won't see AAA ever again. And he can play every single day along with Buxton and you have a solid piece in place for 2027. He is ready for the majors. If he comes in and look like Brooks Lee. He can play 5 out of 6 games. One difference that you and I are going to have. I believe we are closer than most think. We need to locate as many major league bats as possible as quickly as possible. Buxton is one, Larnach is two, Wallner is three... I'm hoping Keaschall is 4. Let's find out who 5, 6, 7, and 8 are. I'm sending them all through the filter. I will not use the term bench for any of them. If they need the bench designation... just scratch them off the list and try someone else.
  13. Riverbrian
    Exactly He's just not where you start. Money... Last year I might have cared when we were scraping for Ty France sized pennies in the cushions. This year... his 4 or 5 million doesn't matter. Payroll isn't going back up to 140 million... at least not this year and Pete Alonso isn't coming.
  14. Riverbrian
    Let the entire outfield show it. Then make your moves. I don't propose Larnach play all 162 games. I don't even propose that Larnach plays 130 games. Outman and others will get opportunity to show it so let them show it. If they do... I'll drive Trevor to the airport myself. This works itself out over time and it doesn't have to be a long time either. Just allow for fair competition and in the meantime. Larnach is one of our few proven major league hitters and his contract isn't expiring. But again... I get it. The 40 man roster has to be proportioned better. At least one OF will have to go beyond McCusker and Keirsay. Larnach is going to be a prime candidate if not thee candidate.
  15. Riverbrian
    Not directly but indirectly a bat is a bat. If our SS and C isn't hitting. Having someone who can hit at other positions is rather important. But OK... If 3 outfielders besides Buxton and Wallner perform in 2026 above Larnach in 2025. We will be in real nice shape in the OF and DH. I get it... looking at the number of OF on the current 40 man. One will probably have to go along with McCusker and Keirsay for better balance. Larnach is a strong candidate for departure but as I make my constant cries for youth and development at the major league level and as much as I complain about cheap one year contracts. I would still never type the line. First I have to look up the word "surfeit". After I look up the definition. I'll just say... Larnach is one of the few proven major league level bats on this roster. If he is replaceable today he will also be replaceable in May, In June, In July. We can let others take his job by earning if they are able and if they are able... We are Golden because Larnach is an above average bar to clear.
  16. Riverbrian
    I'm one of the loudest voices in support of youth on this website. However... If our youth performs so well that we won't miss Larnach. Buy your season tickets now so you get good seats for the playoffs and reserve your October hotel. If the entire team out hits Larnach. We are playoff bound.
  17. Riverbrian
    You'll be fine. The abounding brilliance would make up for the unavoidable gore.
  18. Riverbrian
    Let me present another look at what needs to be considered. Pitchers get hurt. They get hurt often and sometimes severely. Here is the nightmare scenario. And it's a scenario that isn't out of the question because he's a pitcher... and pitchers get hurt. Joe Ryan feels some tightness... let's make it June for the worst timing possible... they check it out and say "Tommy John". This would be really unfortunate timing for Joe because he will be coming back right around the time that he reaches free agency and I'd feel really bad for him personally... because he would be losing a lot of money in free agency based on how he was performing when he went down. But... Forget about Joe. More importantly... Let's worry about me. My team... The Twins!!! Here's how that horrible event attaches itself like zebra mussels or landmines to the the Good Ship Riverbrian. 1. He's out for this year and most if not all of next year... and then he is a free agent. He will have thrown his last pitch for the Twins. 2. Was a 52.7 trade value on BBTV. When he gets back... All of that trade value is gone!!! 3. That is the equivalent value of Bryce Eldridge... who is the equivalent value of Walter Jenkins. The loss to the Twins... the damage to my team... It's roughly the equivalent of Walter Jenkins suffering a career ending injury. That's what the loss of that value is. The potential loss of that hypothetical horrible scenario is... ???... Like removing Walter Jenkins... Gone... vanished without a trace from our now and future. 4. This isn't to debate if the Giants or Twins would make that trade nor to debate BBTV values or the value of the players themselves... Nor is it even to debate how many wins the Twins will have without Joe Ryan in 2026. It's to make the point... we get nothing. We have a player with upper end value that can return upper end value in a trade and the possibility of injury isn't far fetched. I respect the opinion of anyone who thinks we shouldn't trade Ryan... that means you Byron Buxton. I just ask you to consider the injury risk. I don't want to trade him but I'm trading him if his trade value is indeed that high. It takes value to get value!
  19. Riverbrian
    Batman and Robin always escaped. The Joker, Riddler, Penguin and Catwoman always leave the room. They walk away every time before the deed is actually done. If they would just stay and watch the conveyor belt pull them into the saw and confirm that their bodies are indeed cleaved in two they'd win... But they don't.
  20. Riverbrian
    My opinion and many will disagree. I think 2026 should be whatever happens happens but the path to whatever happens happens should be the accumulation of talent. If the Twins can identify and roster young hitters who actually hit the ball. Wins just might take care of themselves. If it doesn't... well they should be better in 2027 and forward. The need to find young hitters will still be necessary even if Ryan remains on the club. The other risk... that scares the pants off me. An arm injury that requires Tommy John or something. His Value is gone as soon as that happens. I see the desire to keep him because I would like to keep him but... I think the time is now.
  21. Riverbrian
    Tomorrow is another interesting day. More clues to the direction of this roster. Stay Tuned
  22. Riverbrian
    That is true High School draft picks will still be two years older. College Draft Picks can in theory be controlled into their 30's.
  23. Riverbrian
    The clock simply works against them. Signed at 16... 5 years until you have to make a 40 man decision on them. Only the superstar will be trusted for MLB duty and ready at age 21. So the non-superstar player with potential... if they survive the 40 man decision at age 21... Will burn through options to buy more maturity time and become forced 26 man decisions at age 24. It's a tough clock to deal with and it probably produces a lot of casualties compared to the high school draft pick that is two years older and two years older each benchmark. Or the popular draft pick perhaps safer pick these days... the player drafted out of college that you have 4 years to make a single decision on and that comes at age 26.
  24. Riverbrian
    We basically agree. My preferred choice would be to trade for a 1B prospect and on that we agree and that's why Lowe would disappoint me. If I had to choose between Lowe and O' Hearn... I'd take Lowe so we agree on that but I will be disappointed that a young 1B wasn't acquired somehow someway. Where we differ is his value. His value will be set by the contract he signs and his value will be maxed out when he puts pen to paper even if it's as low as 4 or 5 million because the reason it's low is because that is the most that any of the 30 teams are willing to pay. That's how free agency works. You max out your trade value by signing for more than the other 29 teams will pay. Now... that value can be fluid so there are ways around it. Like I mentioned... if he has a Bader type resurgence we may be able to flip him for a decent prospect like Mendez at the trade deadline to a team dealing with a significant injury at 1B. A two year contract? I don't see it. There are some big money teams that will trip over themselves for Alonso... after that it's a big drop off and not lot of teams without decent 1B considerations already. O'Hearn, Arraez, Lowe, Hoskins all have to find work and there will be another group of 1B needing to find work next year. I'd just caution against that bet because 1B in my opinion is not position scarce. Every power hitting bat that can't run enough to play other position slides into a 1B position. Teams will often times transition players to 1B to fill holes that occur. Fedko... I'm not going to worry about Fedko until the Twins worry about Fedko. If Fedko gets added to the 40 man down the road. He will then become a consideration for me. I guess... If Lowe was the acquisition... it wouldn't be the end of the world but the kicking of the can down the road will continue and I would hate that.
  25. Riverbrian
    Agreed. Yet it still boils down to development in the end. In order to acquire players as prospects... you have to develop something of value that interests the other teams you are trading with and then develop the prospect acquisitions that you acquire. There is no way around it. The Twins have to improve development across the board on players drafted or acquired.
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