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lake_guy

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Everything posted by lake_guy

  1. lake_guy
    Exactly this. What was it Dave St. Peter said about being shocked no one was coming to games? Their plan as we have seen it play out for a few years now is in trouble and it sure looks like no one in the Twins mgmt organization is going to hold anyone accountable.
  2. lake_guy
    One look at the Guardians again indicates that success starts and ends with quality pitching. Just like the last how many years in a row we need higher quality starters and a deeper bullpen. I prefer they spend on FA rather than trade unless they can swing something from a surplus. And organizationally the FO needs to commit to playing small ball and find the personnel to do so. I'll take 9 Arraez type hitters every game. Doesn't mean we won't get the dingers but this team is feast or famine and with a payroll our size it's hard to have so many guys going for the fences. This approach also lines up with how MLB is shaping the game going forward. I can only hope MLB does more to continue to reduce the impact of FO analytics which is making this game so sterile. Oh, and please find a bench coach that can get in Rocco's ear and maybe stop him from making some of these crazy bullpen and lineup decisions.
  3. lake_guy
    Great topic to bring up h2oface. As I'm reading this the question that comes to mind is where are all these sports writers on this topic and why aren't they point blank asking the managers or the FO more specific questions as to in game management? They gotta have some clue this is going on and it would make a story. Hopefully the major sports outlets will dig into this in great detail. After all, if there are these behind the scenes analysts controlling the game I want to know who we have and we can start bringing the necessary accolades or criticism they so richly deserve that matches their level of control. Seems fair doesn't it?
  4. lake_guy
    Completely disagree with this Ted. A competent FO does not go with short hooks on the SP without a BP to back it up. An incredibly smart FO doesn't pitch Archer and Bundy back to back that chews up what little BP they have. A FO with very good ideas gets a fourth outfielder at the trade deadline knowing Buxton is really hurt. Unlike all of us on TD the FO actually has the inside information to make informed decisions.
  5. lake_guy
    Definetly overall a better year than '21. There is one category left off of the OP - the offseason and the FO. They once again did little to bolster the SP and BP. This is really bad if considering that they knew what the pitching philosophy was gonna be with short starts and heavy BP usage. It should get them fired but alas it likely won't and we'll probably go through all of this BS next year. And if we think they "learn" from their mistakes exhibit 1 and 2 are Bundy and Archer. Small upgrades over the dumpster diving the previous season but it's still dumpster diving at its worst.
  6. lake_guy
    In favor of all these rule changes. Hopefully robo ump soon to follow, can come fast enough for me. Two more on my wish list: Ban all in game electronics. Players are using it to figure out the pitcher in real time. Bring some skill and sport back into the equation and make them figure it out on their own. Lower the mound a couple of inches to reduce velocity. Pushing the mound back could also work but idk of the two lowering the mound seems it would be less of an injury risk.
  7. lake_guy
    yep, I was watching that at bat too and was shaking my head and wondering why they were pitching to him. Rocco simply has to know not to let Megill pitch to him with the way he has routinely been grooving pitches to batters for several weeks now. This is why Rocco needs to go, he does not make good in game decisions based on the scenario playing out in front of him. This isn't hard and I don't think quality managers make this mistake. It's a pattern, enough is enough.
  8. lake_guy
    Quantity over quality could work but how do you manage the 40 man roster? I don't have enough background on the 40 man roster to know but from what I've learned on this site it could be problematic.
  9. lake_guy
    Given how the FO uses the bullpen how can they not spend big money or prospect capital on it? We've been through enough seasons where they didn't spend enough money on the BP and it cost us.
  10. lake_guy
    During September, Minnesota plays their chief competition a combined 17 times. Facing the Cleveland Guardians eight times, and the Chicago White Sox nine times (including a final three game series to end the season in October), it’s there that the division will be decided. Agree with you in principle Ted but my hunch is these teams will play to about .500 when all is said and done. It's the 22 games with KC, Detroit, Texas, Angels and crazily enough Boston series that I think will be the decisive factor. They keep losing these games against out of contention teams it's all over.
  11. lake_guy
    Dodgers payroll - 265 million https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/los-angeles-dodgers/payroll/ Twins payroll - 143 million https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/minnesota-twins/payroll/ Sure we might win a game here and there but that's about it...all that needs to be said.
  12. lake_guy
    Exactly this...and especially (2) He does not have a killer lineup surrounding him, where he is just one of many top hitters.
  13. lake_guy
    I like what you're saying and agree 100% with Ruesse's take. if the White Sox hadn't imploded so far this year no way this team is in first place. If they make trades it will be for players that have at least another year of control and they fit into their long term plans or if they somehow get some deal on a short term rental they can't refuse.
  14. lake_guy
    Let's add the outstanding job they did not calling the Brewers runner out when he left the base path to first base.
  15. lake_guy
    Interesting point to me about this debate is what the hitters are doing by the third time around. Am recalling a KFAN interview Berriro did with retired ump Tschida. His idea was to limit the amount of in game electronics, he was saying these hitters are watching video of the pitcher and it's giving them an advantage they never used to have. I don't think hitters are better then they used to be, maybe overall the quality is better? So if even #1 pitchers are getting pulled early there's more to this debate than just the pitcher.
  16. lake_guy
    Exactly this jkcarew. It eventually puts every bullpen arm into a high leverage situation and it all implodes. Championship teams do not build their pitching staffs like this.
  17. lake_guy
    Interesting what you can do with a manager that actually knows how to manage. Wish we had someone like Francona.
  18. lake_guy
    Interesting add to this analysis would be what % of the time a stolen base then leads to that run scoring.
  19. lake_guy
    Agree with your take FlyingFinn as to why, soon as I saw they were both out I suspected the same, they made a decision to rest both of them for a game they thought the % chance was low to win it. While I don't disagree with the logic, to rest both of them for a home game is tone deaf to your fan base. As others have pointed out fans don't spend all that money to see the B squad. If this is your plan do it on road games. And if you and all of your coaching staff can't figure it out when to rest guys and not have both Buxton and CC out on the same day...wow, just wow....
  20. lake_guy
    The problem is we need at least two quality BP arms, one I could see them pulling off but more than that is gonna get really expensive in trade capital. The bigger issue with this FO is they don't like to spend on the bullpen and appear to have little capability to correctly judge what they do acquire. Seems there are always lots of posts in the off season about not spending too much on BP arms because we should be able to pick them up without investing too much. Unfortunately it never/rarely seems to work out for us.
  21. lake_guy
    Anyone else think it looked like he was playing kind of shallow? This is exactly what used to get Buc into trouble because he would race back to get that ball and hit the wall. Can't recall where I read or heard it but generally speaking it looks like outfielders are playing deeper to 1) avoid the gap balls with the extra benefit of 2) reduce injuries from hitting the wall at full speed. Feel bad for him, hope he heals quickly.
  22. lake_guy
    Until the Twins prove they are a legit team who can consistently play .500 ball against playoff caliber teams I'm not spending the money.
  23. lake_guy
    Fair point on the Santana trade debacle but the issue with that trade is it's really hard not to think Smith botched it. Lots of ink spilled over the years lamenting how wrong that trade went. But I get why the comparison and I agree there is plenty of room for the value to not be there. Hopefully they don't pull the trigger for a marginal trade.
  24. lake_guy
    I said this in another thread and it's worth repeating. This article provides great insight on the strategy this FO has for sustainable success. https://www.twinkietown.com/2022/2/6/22659344/mlb-minnesota-twins-offseason-2022-and-strategy-homegrown-pitching-not-a-rebuild-cleveland-tampa-bay This team doesn't have the pitching to even get to the ALCS, let alone the WS. I think the FO realizes this and traded Rogers. Why they went for what they did...not really sure WTH they were thinking but the intent of the trade fits the strategy. Who on this board wasn't astonished/completely surprised at what they got for Cruz? I'm not saying they WILL do this but I think the % chance is much higher than many think it is. If CC is playing up to his ability it isn't only playoff teams that will be in the mix for CC, someone will trade and sign him long term. And no I don't know who that will be and I don't think anyone else does either. And for anyone that has tried to narrow who they could trade with a 3 team trade just blows any of that logic out of the water right? Who knows, maybe teams have finally gotten wise to these absurd 10 year deals...on second thought.....some team will do it. Maybe it's the best option to play it out but ya gotta listen to those offers because they're gonna get them and it could be a 3 team trade that does it. Having said all that I love watching him play and really wish the Twins could find a way to keep him but that isn't the Twins way.
  25. lake_guy
    I said " Do I want it? Of course not, I would love it if they signed him longer term." What is worth reading is this article on the Twins FO philosophy and why I think they will trade him. https://www.twinkietown.com/2022/2/6/22659344/mlb-minnesota-twins-offseason-2022-and-strategy-homegrown-pitching-not-a-rebuild-cleveland-tampa-bay I think where I differ from other posters on this topic: I do not believe they will sign CC for the level of money and years he wants and would get from other teams. He is not going to take some discount because he loves it here. Even with CC we are not a team that will make the AL Championship series let alone the WS in '22. Principally because the FO will not buy or trade for the level of pitching in '22 to do so. Some team will give up quality players for CC. How does the FO not take those calls? They didn't sign him to this deal to have him walk at the end of the year, he's too big of a trade chip. The floor is at least one Joe Ryan type. Seriously, the John Foley article is well worth the time and IMO explains much of what they are doing. Not saying I 100% agree but it seems to fit pretty well.
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