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arby58

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Everything posted by arby58

  1. arby58
    An interesting fact is that lots of teams this year (even good ones) have a hitting vs. pitching disparity. If you look at the top 10 teams in runs scored it is: Dodgers, Cubs, Cards, Yankees, Phillies, Diamondbacks, Red Sox, A's, Astros, Jays. If you look at the top 10 teams in ERA, it is Mets, Giants, Rangers, Royals, Twins, Tigers, Rays, Yankees, Padres, Astros, Braves. Only 2 teams (Yankees and Astros) are on both lists.
  2. arby58
    You forgot to add "A thousand times no."
  3. arby58
    No chance they're trading any pitching for hitting after the Lopez news.
  4. arby58
    Yeah, but they're called the Minnesota Twins, not the Minnesota MSA.
  5. arby58
    Fun fact: the population of the city of Winnipeg (783,000) is greater than the combined populations of the cities of Minneapolis (425,000) and St. Paul (304,000).
  6. arby58
    For all the A's faults (and there are many), they are a pretty good hitting ballclub. Among the 30 MLB teams, they are 6th in total bases, 7th in home runs, and 8th in batting average and OPS. The top of their order last night had OPS's of .797, .904, .795, and .805. That's not too bad.
  7. arby58
    He's doing ok. That said, if you compare Santana from last year to France this year, Santana is still generally ahead. I adjusted plate appearances (multiplied France's current output by 2.54 to get to the same number of PAs as Santana had last year). When doing that, France ends up with 1.8 WAR versus Santana's 2.5. France 60 runs vs. Santana 63. France 23 doubles versus Santana's 26. Big difference in HRs - as you note. France 10, Santana 23. France does have the edge in RBIs, 81 to 71, but he has a lower OPS (.710 versus .749) and OPS+ (100 to 109). The differences aren't huge, but they are nearly all in Santana's favor. What's also interesting is to compare Santana 2025 to France 2025 - Santana's WAR is currently double that of France (1.4 to 0.7). Of course, his salary is a lot higher as well, so that is a mitigating factor.
  8. arby58
    There is no way Boston will give up Duran for either Lewis or Lee - or even both. From the speculation on other websites, they have already gotten far better offers.
  9. arby58
    It'd take A LOT to acquire Duran. One trade rumor was the Guardians giving up elite relief pitcher Cade Smith and two top prospects - ranked 3rd and 6th best Guardian prospects by MLB. That would be the equivalent of somewhere between Jax and Duran and prospects like Keaschall or Emma Rodriguez and Marco Raya or Connor Prielipp. Given team control, Boston probably is the one who said ' need more' on the Guardians deal. San Diego has also been mentioned, as have the Mets.
  10. arby58
    You know we are spoiled when Pablo 'hasn't been at his best this season' when he's sporting a sub 3.00 ERA.
  11. arby58
    There are different swings on hits the opposite way. There are those where the bat just goes to the point of contact and lifts it into the outfield. Those aren't generally more than a single and they are not primarily what the author presents: intentional inside-out swings, and the good news is Buxton can generate power (i.e., extra base hits) with that swing.
  12. arby58
    The swing that the article highlights is 'not by accident.' That inside-out drive swing is intentional.
  13. arby58
    The real question is where do the Twins need offensive help, and who would be available that is a significant upgrade? Obviously, Royce Lewis is the 'missing bat' in the lineup at the moment, but one would assume the Twins aren't interested in replacing him long-term. Correa has had his struggles, but he is good defensively and is starting to pick it up. With Buxton and Wallner back, the offense looks a lot more dangerous. I would let it ride.
  14. arby58
    If the author were to drop the first sentence of paragraph one, the second sentence of paragraph two and then combine those paragraphs, then drop the first sentence of paragraph three, a lot of the 'loaded' nature of the political commentary would be neutralized. I'm a Democrat but still found those sentences, in this forum, to be unnecessary.
  15. arby58
    I don't see it as a big deal. I doubt that 'Prospects, minor-league free agents, and indie ball standouts pay attention' to this to the same degree as 'will they get the opportunity to get to the big leagues - and stay there if they perform?' Nor do I understand how this is 'outside the spirit of the game.' Every MLB player understands this is a business - trades, roster moves, etc. are made as business decisions.
  16. arby58
    Exactly right. The game has changed - I was looking at some Twins pitching stats. This is average regular season complete games by decade - with non-162 game regular seasons removed: 1960s: 47 1970s: 40 1980s: 27 1990s: 12 2000s: 6 2010s: 4
  17. arby58
    I like that feature as well - in fact, I plan to watch the game later today.
  18. arby58
    This gets repeated so often it has almost become a Minnesota urban legend, but it is not factual. Last year, the Twins were above the league average in average innings pitched per start, ranking 12th of the 30 teams at 5.3. The year before that (2023), they were third best in baseball at 5.6 average innings pitched per start. This year, they are currently slightly below the league average (5.3) at 5.2. People should let this one go - Rocco doesn't have the 'quick hook' many believe he has.
  19. arby58
    I suspect it is how he uses the fastball - he won't become a two pitch pitcher. Everybody needs to be able to establish a fastball, but you don't have to use it in certain counts or situations.
  20. arby58
    He's 20 years old - no need to hit the panic button in terms of promotions. If he plays this year at AA and next year at AAA with a later season call-up, he'll be 21 - the same age as Buxton. Torii was up for little more than a cup of coffee at 22, Kirby's first season was at 24.
  21. arby58
    Ryan first, Lopez second, but Buck might get the second spot. They should (with their record) get at least two players on the roster.
  22. arby58
    Interestingly, Luke Keaschall played 13 games at 1B in 2024 at Wichita, which was more than CF (11) or 2B (10).
  23. arby58
    At this time of year, any discussion of performance needs to carry the 'small sample size' warning label. We've seen both sides of how this can play out: Gallo started off really strong and then faded. Santana started off slow and then picked it up as the year went along. I think it is fair to say that when you offer little more than the league minimum to a player, you can't expect a lot more than average output. In that sense, given some of the performance to date, this looks like a solid move for the Twins. That said, they really need to find their 1B for the future, because France is serviceable but not super impactful.
  24. arby58
    Taking away 2 of 9 starts is not exactly a small percentage.
  25. arby58
    The tall guy isn't on the 40 man roster, so I doubt that is in the cards short-term.
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