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bean5302

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Everything posted by bean5302

  1. bean5302
    Maybe they can have a consultant who bailed on the franchise help him out? LOL. Wait, probably too expense. Dave Saint Peter and Joe Pohlad can coach him!
  2. bean5302
    Prielipp ceiling as a reliever 2.0 WAR. Back end starter value? 2.0 WAR. Apparently, Falvey views Prielipp differently than the coaching staff since Prielipp is on a path for use as a starter. It's not a good message to have the front office leadership and the development plan at odds. Falvey needs to go.
  3. bean5302
    Miami relief pitching and starting pitching ERA rank: 2024 = 22nd and 29th 2023 = 21st and 8th 2022 = 22nd and 8th 2021 = 7th and 13th 2020 = 26th and 14th 2019 = 25th and 16th 2018 = 30th and 20th 2017 = 21st and 26th The Marlins have had quite a bit of success with trades as they sell off all their assets, but they've got very little in the way of draft/development. Alcantara, Lopez, Luzardo, they were all trade acquisitions. Braxton Garrett was a 7th overall draft pick who looks like he's panning out, though. Aside from that, the reliever history isn't stunningly great or anything.
  4. bean5302
    @IndianaTwin @Patzky No delay on adding Dobnak to the 40 man roster and calling him up. As noted, Dobnak won't be available for at least 4-5 more days because of the pitches thrown. When a player is DFA'd, they're exposed to all 29 teams and given an immediate opportunity to be added to another team's active roster. It's not a viable way to manipulate roster limits for what is almost exclusively young player talent so there aren't any mandatory recall timeframes which have to be observed. If a player is good enough for MLB, the chances they have a contract which prevents another team from claiming them before that player has 5 years of service time is almost non-existent. Dobnak has not been MLB worthy the last few years, but should he continue to impress on his opportunities, the likelihood he gets claimed continues to increase on the DFA/waive/assign/purchase/callup/DFA cycle. After all, Dobnak's contract is $4MM including next year's $1MM buyout. Pretty dirt cheap for a guy who could intrigue a team as a back end starter or long reliever. The minimum 15 day option rule it to prevent teams from effectively expanding their rosters.
  5. bean5302
    'Ol tree trunks. I remember when Gardy put Parmelee in center field...
  6. bean5302
    Prielipp getting the pitch count just about where I expected. 50 limit or so, just like Raya started last year. I expect the Twins will probably follow the '24 Raya approach this year with Prielipp, and provided the lefty can avoid injury problems, we'll be seeing 5-6 inning starts and 80 pitches from him by the end of the year. Maybe 100 innings total. He'll have to pitch better than he did in this game to get there, though. AA will be a big test. Prielipp won't just be able to throw fastballs by guys, and the players in AA have the talent to punish pitches which aren't really "mistakes" at a much higher rate. We'll see how he adapts.
  7. bean5302
    Lewis has always had a pretty extreme level of confidence, and it certainly comes across as arrogant sometimes. There's some context people might want to consider: 1. He's 25 years old. 2. He's been ridiculed, threatened, and harassed by the nameless internet trolls. See #1. 3. He (had) elite athleticism. We're talking like 3-4 plus tools. Not sure if his run tool will ever return. 4. The guy's confidence is hanging on by a thread as far as I'm concerned. The 'ol fake it 'till you make it. I don't like Lewis' propensity to name other players partly because it comes across as highly disrespectful, and partly because Lewis hasn't done enough to earn the right to compare himself or other players to successful guys publicly like that. When you hear interviews with MLB players, they don't talk about other guys on other teams comparing themselves or even other players to each other like that. There's no way it turns out well. The Twins having a sit down with him on PR isn't a bad idea, and Lewis calling up Schwarber and apologizing isn't a bad idea.
  8. bean5302
    I'd like to see him piggyback with SWR, but Adams just pitched yesterday. Cory Lewis would be a good call for that, I think.
  9. bean5302
    Around here, that'd be grounds for writers designating him as a dark horse for the 2025 Cy Young along with the rest of the elite Twins' rotation. Seriously, though, nice for Henriquez to look good out of the gate like that for Miami. It'll get him a longer leash this year and he might even catch on long term as a middle reliever. That said, a 4.50 FIP last year in AAA to go along with his career AAA ERA of 5.09 don't sparkle very much.
  10. bean5302
    Man this site has become toxic. I need a break.
  11. bean5302
    I'm not sure how many viable starting shortstops Nick thinks the average MLB team actually has?
  12. bean5302
    I don't even know what's going on with Holland. He played SS in ST, but then got shut down in early March. I'm assuming it was a sprain or something at this point. Correa -> Castro -> Prato -> Martin is my guess as of today.
  13. bean5302
    Trading Santana allowed the "cheap Pohlad's" to extend Cuddyer, Nathan, Morneau and Mauer.
  14. bean5302
    I didn't realize Winokur was the new Walker Jenkins. It's tough when every Twins prospect is the best prospect in baseball around here.
  15. bean5302
    Ober's a solid starter and it did seems like he was down by about 1mph vs. last year. Easy to second guess Baldelli's decision to send him out there given the information floating around about Ober needing an IV yesterday. Dobnak pitched 5.1 innings so he wasn't going to be eligible for bullpen use for a while. The Twins DFA'd him because it's expected Randy will clear waivers. They'll be able to add Dobnak back to the roster when they need him. I don't think it would be absolutely shocking for a team to grab Dobnak at this point, but still highly unlikely another team grabs him, even though he's only owed $3MM this year with cheap team options later.
  16. bean5302
    I didn't pronounce Winokur as a non-prospect, but like it or not, he does share some traits with Cavaco so he's as high risk as a prospect can be. Winokur's A ball campaign is arguably more impressive than both Rooker and Wallner because of Winokur's age and how much Winokur needed to adapt to the competition level he was facing. That said, comparing a high school pick to an SEC and CUSA superstar draft picks is tough because the college superstars from tough divisions have a lot wiggle room as they've got a history of performing against much tougher opponents which can aid in confidence.
  17. bean5302
    Ryan, Ober and Lopez are all established veterans. The woulda, coulda, shoulda in their game has been established. Lopez, Ober and Ryan are all 3.90 ERA career guys, and they're all at the end of their prime. Both Ryan and Ober have gotten results in line with their FIPs, Lopez is usually worse than his advanced metrics.
  18. bean5302
    Festa is working on his mechanics and feel for his new pitch so if a callup was needed today, I expect the call would go to Zebby Matthews. In terms of the two pitchers, Festa was a lot more effective than Matthews last year, but with just 3 pitches, all of which grade out as average MLB caliber, Festa's ceiling was probably #4. Matthews has more pitches, but execution limited his value. With the added velo, Matthews might be into that mid rotation starter potential now, but as of last year and what they had, Festa looked like a more solid bet as a back end arm. I expect both Matthews and Festa to pass SWR in the depth chart by year end.
  19. bean5302
    157 pitchers with 80+ innings last year. Rank in ERA. Divide by 30 to get rotation spot. 0-30 = #1. Nobody 31-60 = #2. Joe Ryan #57 61-90 = #3. Bailey Ober #86, Pablo Lopez #90 (both at the very back edge of #3, both obvious Cy Young candidates around here) 91-120 = #4. Simeon Woods Richardson #93 121+ = #5. Chris Paddack #133
  20. bean5302
    Winokur has a long, long way to go. A 30% K rate and rookie ball and repeating that at A ball last year has him a long shot to even make it above AA, IMHO. I'm sure the Twins enjoyed getting a look at Winokur this spring, and he's a fun prospect to think about just because of how unusual his skill set and physical traits. Lets hope he can learn to get a better feel for the approach at the plate. Right now, Winokur looks an awful lot like Keoni Cavaco with some good pop to me.
  21. bean5302
    Quoted sentence 1 is the reason why you have the problem with quoted sentence 2. Twins fans often look like complete homer morons on national sites and I've had to endure more than a couple taunting sessions when fans from around the nation make jokes at the rampant Twins homerism projecting random bit player fan favorites into lofty championship trophy contenders. It sounds all harmless, but it's really just extreme disrespect for the players who truly are the best in the game. No amount of logic or reason or comparisons are allowed around here when it comes to some random try hard underdog here at TD.
  22. bean5302
    Replace Buck with "Kirilloff" and you'd have that spot on.
  23. bean5302
    I think Martin is a fair bit more desirable than Fairchild. Martin's bat is better, he can play infield positions and he has options. Austin Martin basically what the Twins hoped Willi Castro would be. Versatile, bat limited utility player just good enough to play if you need him. Castro forced his way into every day playing time, but it's very unlikely Martin will be able to do the same. Martin's career will probably be limited to MiLB invites and shuttling between AAAA/MLB while he has options. He just hasn't demonstrated the defensive instincts necessary to excel in the utility role. I fully expect DaShawn Keirsey will be DFA'd by mid year. Whether or not Martin or Emma replaces him depends entirely on how Emma plays.
  24. bean5302
    Buxton doesn't have 8 WAR talent. In 150 games, Buxton will produce 5-6 WAR, if he hasn't started his decline. Let's play the I believe Byron Buxton is an MVP candidate and a prospect game again this year. Let's pretend Byron Buxton plays in 150 games every single year since his rookie season. How much WAR would Buxton have generated? 2015 = 0.3 2016 = 3.1 2017 = 4.8 2018 = (2.7) 2019 = 5.3 2020 = 5.0 2021 = 10.1 2022 = 5.7 2023 = 1.1 2024 = 5.4 I think it's pretty obvious what the outlier seasons are (bolded) where the SSS monster came out to play. In the last 5 believable seasons, Buxton has generated between 4.8-5.7 WAR. That's Buxton. That's his ceiling if he played 150 games (which will never ever ever happen) Someday... far far far into the future, I hope writers on this site will stop pretending who Buxton might be and accept and enjoy who he is.
  25. bean5302
    Not sure what you're implying, but I think it's writers have a bias towards LAD/NYY? There is none of that I can really see. Since Falvey took over, 5 of 16 Cy Youngs have been awarded to AL Central or NL Central pitchers (right on average). Only 6 of the 16 went to East or West Coast teams. **Tarik Skubal DET Chris Sale ATL Gerrit Cole NYY Blake Snell SDP Justin Verlander HOU Sandy Alcantara MIA Robbie Ray TOR **Corbin Burnes MIL **Shane Bieber CLE **Trevor Bauer CIN Justin Verlander HOU Jacob deGrom NYM Blake Snell TBR Jacob deGrom NYM **Corey Kluber CLE Max Scherzer WAS
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