bean5302

As of today, the brackets for hall of fame voting for all players who have completed eligibility and either been voted in or are not in the hall looks about like this: 80+ bWAR = 100%, (100% of all players 80+ bWAR) 75-79 bWAR = 88% (95% of all players 75+ bWAR) 70-74 bWAR = 88% (94% of all players 70+ bWAR) 65-69 bWAR = 73% (89% of all players 65+ bWAR) 60-64 bWAR = 67% (85% of all players 60+ bWAR) 55-59 bWAR = 49% (78% of all players 55+ bWAR), David Ortiz 55.3 bWAR) 50-54 bWAR = 38% (71% of all players 50+ bWAR) 45-49 bWAR = 30% (62% of all players 45+ bWAR 40-44 bWAR = 15% (54% of all players 40+ bWAR) 35-39 bWAR = 11% (47% of all players 35+ bWAR) Big Papi is a legendary name in baseball and is the most important and iconic baseball figure for the Red Sox. In terms of reach and value, only the Yankees are a bigger name than the Red Sox in baseball. That's going to work for him. Aside from that, Ortiz's character and ambassadorship for the sport has been considered pretty exemplary. There aren't many players who've done more for the sport or have been better players in their respective positions in baseball history. There's nothing credible tying Ortiz to PEDs and it shouldn't be a consideration. If Ortiz doesn't get in, there's no reason to even care about the BBWAA HoF voting.

I took a look into Larnach a couple months ago. It looks like he struggles against almost everything except 4 seam fastballs and curveballs. The problem appears to be that Larnach doesn't recognize pitches. He had an 18.1% called strike rate which is the 3rd worst in MLB with 300+ plate appearances, and he doesn't make contact when he does swing. His whiff rate is in the bottom 4% of MLB players. Larnach's whiff rate on breaking pitches is 55% and offspeed is 54%. I'm not saying there's no hope for Larnach, but it sure seems like he has a major uphill battle to fight. It's also worth noting Larnach has generated impressive power numbers only in his 2018 college junior season. He didn't show big HR power in high school or his earlier years of college and he hasn't shown it again since that junior season. The biggest concern I have is he couldn't hit AAA pitching, either. Again, small sample size with only 62 plate appearances in 14 games, but a 10% walk rate and 30% K rate in AAA with a .176/.323/.373 isn't doing anything to make me feel like Larnach has the ability to turn the corner. He had 300 plate appearances at the MLB level to see much better control and pitching and work on his game so that AAA should have been easy mode.

Not at all what I said. I took the high road. I'll just block you now.

Fair enough. I'll concede.

Pierzynski is a one and done. He was never great, and his counting stats aren't remotely close to there either. Pierzynski is about on the same plane as Greg Gagne.

The only reason I know 3 pitch pitchers aren't aces and rarely become even #3's is because I spent many, many hours looking into pitches top pitchers were throwing while forming the opinion. Even so, I could have been wrong so I still had enough respect for your post to take the time to look into every single one of the pitchers you listed. I even went to multiple sites to confirm the pitches existed. "Poor pitches" can be a benefit in that they can turn average pitches into good pitches by keeping a batter off balance. The weak pitch just needs to be servicable for a starter. For a reliever, they're likely to drop any pitch which isn't at least average.

Giolito - Fastball, Changeup, Slider, Curve. 4 pitches. Montas - Fastball, Splitter, Slider, Curve. 4 pitches. Morton - Fastball, Splitter, Slider, Curve. 4 pitches. Ray - Fastball, Slider, Curveball Changeup. 4 pitches. I suppose I could give credit to Berrios having 4 pitches if I throw his sinker in there, but it's really just a slightly different fastball and most of the pitchers listed above also have a sinker. The splitter is offspeed from a 4 seamer or sinker. The reason starters generally need at least 3 breaking/off speed options, plus the fastball is because breaking pitches aren't generally as effective against RH and LH hitters. Pitchers generally need at least 3 pitches they can throw effectively against RH and LH hitters which is why true 3 pitch pitchers are generally back end of the rotation or bullpen arms.

Simmons is a bad player. Like, worse than AAA replacement level so you know he's terrible from the get-go. If the Twins don't care if their shortstop is better than AAA replacement level, then there's no reason to worry about Palacios or Gordon because I can't imagine either one being significantly worse than Simmons.

List a few. Berrios. There. That's the entire list. 3 pitch pitchers are usually seen as borderline starters/relievers unless they have a plus-plus offering. Which Berrios does. What sets Berrios apart is he has multiple plus or plus-plus offerings.

Nope. I don't think he's a good bounce back candidate, either. The metrics are pretty universal on him and he's been in decline for years now. I'd take Jermaine Palacios or Nick Gordon as the starter over Simmons in real full season WAR production at SS right now.

What makes you feel like Balazovic is the best pitching prospect? I guess he's technically ranked the highest, but Wes Johnson was pretty clear he has modest expectations for Balazovic. I think a lot of that is based on Balazovic only having 3 pitches which typically puts a ceiling at #3. Anyway, I don't think there is a prospect in the Twins' system with a higher upside or more riding on him right now than Lewis. Add to that Lewis was a #1 overall pick and he plays a premium position. If Lewis could play up to his athletic skills limits, you're talking about an potential MVP caliber player. If he can't improve on his performance at the plate in AA, he's not MLB caliber at all. That's a huge pivot.

I don't think it matters who we have playing shortstop since the Twins balk at pitcher contracts of more than 4 years or $100MM. In any normal free agency year, pitchers the Twins would really benefit from signing will require at least 5 or more years. Having a 5+ year contract means the pitcher wouldn't really care too much about your next season shortstop. I think it's very aggressive to expect to see Lewis before September. I'm not sure why the Twins would sign a veteran shortstop with no pitching staff, but they've done weirder things.

What argument is that? Blendtec should send MLB players money because it was able to blend baseball cards?

...because it's a business expense which reduces profits? MLB is not going to operate in the red just so players can get more money. I just really don't understand the sense of player entitlement in this thread.

I think that's a great idea, but it's not baseball related though, is it? It's pro sports and legislators in general. I found absolutely no value in US Bank Stadium being built for the Vikings, but it has nothing to do with MLB's CBA.

Glassdoor has MLB analysts making $76k/yr. This site has a list of some typical salaries. https://blog.completepayroll.com/a-breakdown-of-major-league-baseball-player-and-front-office-salaries This is the Twins' front office of 138 positions by my count. https://www.mlb.com/twins/team/front-office. Not sure what size it was 10 or 20 years ago, but I expect there are many ways front offices are expanding. Not only from an analytics standpoint, but player support and languages, etc. I can't say how much more money it costs, but it's not free. It also seems to me teams have been aggressively updating their stadiums much more so than they did in the past. Old stadiums aren't staying outdated. They're getting the latest in screens, concessions, re-building areas which were poorly utilitized, etc. This article suggests the 50/50 split is already happening and has been steady for well over a decade. https://www.theringer.com/mlb/2018/2/21/17035624/mlb-revenue-sharing-owners-players-free-agency-rob-manfred

In no world should the owner of Business A be forced to split his/her personal assets or the assets of unaffiliated businesses with the employees of Business A. MLB owners would disband their teams and shutter the stadiums before allowing something like this to happen, and rightfully so. If MLB players want to profit from the real estate surrounding stadiums, they should buy some of the real estate around stadiums. This breakdown shows where league revenues come from. Seems pretty reasonable. https://camdendepot.blogspot.com/2016/01/where-mlb-receives-its-revenue.html

A bit. The Canada tax would be 54%. In MN 46%. In CA 49%.

The Twins made no obvious efforts to sign any significant pitcher or shortstop so far this offseason and both categories of players were flying off the board. It really doesn't make a lot of sense for them to wait before making these types of signings, especially with the owners proposing a salary floor if they were intending on building this year. Buxton is a semi-notable signing since he's only making $9MM next year. I think it's very clear at this point, based on the Twins' moves and non-moves they're planning on tanking in 2022.

Did you not read my post? Like, seriously? Pittsburgh went to the playoffs in 2013, 2014 and 2015. Other than Seattle, I think Detroit has the longest playoff drought (2014). FACTS: Last 12 years, despite having 40% more teams which make the playoffs and more teams who could (32 vs 30), only 26 NFL teams have made the playoffs. 28 MLB teams have made the playoffs in the same span (I actually think I miscounted and only Seattle hasn't). That means, year in, year out, there is more turnover in playoff teams in MLB than the NFL.

The fans are definitely going to hate Major League Baseball as a whole if the lockout drags on and games or spring training gets canceled. That's why I say Manfred's letter is nonsensical. It doesn't actually accomplish anything except making negotiations tougher, haha.

Bundy was signed as a starter, I don't doubt that at all. Year(s) Started Quality Bad Start Blowout Vel 2016* 13 3 5 5 94.5 2017 28 19 8 6 92.2 2018 31 15 12 11 91.7 2019 30 10 10 6 91.2 2020 11 6 2 2 90.1 2021 19 6 10 7 90.8 *2016 I used all his starts with 87 or more pitches when it looked like his performance, rather than pitch counts were limiting him to under 6.0 IP. Bad Start = game started, left with ERA over 6.00. Blowout = game started, left with ERA over 8.00. Bundy has largely been a sink or swim kind of starter in his career. Never consistently reliable and pretty prone to giving up home runs. Bundy has plenty of starts that last 0-3 innings before he gets chased. Above, @Harrison Greeley III used the first/second/third time through the order for 2021, but it's a super small sample size. Using Bundy's career numbers you get FIPs of All = 4.69, First = 4.63, Second = 4.64, Third 4.84. Bundy is a fine #5 starter, but the Twins don't need a #5.

Sorry, but Manfred's arguments are logical, even if inflammatory. I agree the letter is nonsensical, but not because it's inaccurate. The letter is nonsensical because it will undoubtedly anger the players and make them less interested in resolving the dispute. Equally nonsensical is believing the players are heroes or saints or champions of righteousness fighting for the little guy (fans). Players don't care, at all, about the fans in these negotiations. It's not a knock against them. The MLBPA's job is to secure the best compensation they can from MLB owners and the owners job is to prevent the compensation from exceeding viable team operation.

This was never a legitimate possibility. The highest paid player in Japan, Tomoyuki Sugano, makes less than $6MM per year. The highest team payroll in Japan is under $60MM for a 70 player roster. https://nbakki.hatenablog.com/entry/Top_100_Salaries_of_NPB_Players_in_2019

Bundy is a dumpster dive. The proof is in the contract.