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bean5302

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Everything posted by bean5302

  1. bean5302
    Jump = feet covered in CORRECT direction from 0.0 to 3.0 seconds Reaction = feet covered in ANY direction 0.0-1.5 seconds Burst = feet covered in ANY direction 1.6-3.0 seconds Route = feet covered vs. straight line to ball 0.0-3.0 seconds Martin does not have the physical skill toolset you'd expect to excel in CF. He's got the bare minimum sprint speed and arm to play the position, but he doesn't get good reads on the ball off the bat. People were asking if it was just a couple routes Martin ran poorly, and the answer is no. Martin had many catchable balls which landed for hits, though it seems like he was especially weak tracking balls landing between him and right field. Scroll to the bottom of the link for the map images. There's an interactive map of an outfield. Set hang time to 5.5+ seconds. Set the catch rate to 55%+. Set the Catch Rate LT slider up a notch or two. Turn on sprint speed range for reference. You'll see Martin missed 5 high probability catches compared to making 2 of them. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/austin-martin-668885?stats=statcast-r-fielding-mlb
  2. bean5302
    Bailey Ober started 2023 in AAA after a far more impressive 2022 than SWR had in 2024.
  3. bean5302
    From MLBTR, Larry Dolan, the 94 year old owner of the Cleveland Guardians has passed away. There were plans in place back in 2022 to transfer controlling interest in the team from Dolan to NJ Devils & Philadelphia 76ers owner David Blitzer over a 6 year period starting. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/02/guardians-owner-larry-dolan-passes-away-94.html The Guardians have been the thriftiest of the AL Central for a long time now, but new ownership could change that. Cleveland has definitely done the most with the least in the division so the Twins may wind up playing in a more competitive division with the likelihood the Ishbia's become the owners of the White Sox and the changing of the guard in Cleveland. A new stadium will be coming for the Royals in the next few years so they're poised to increase spending and the Tigers play in a larger market than Minneapolis. I'm less and less confident in the Twins' long term position under the Pohlad family.
  4. bean5302
    .284/.322/.441 OPS .763 wRC+ 115. Yep. Jose Miranda had a real terrible year in 2024. Probably should just DFA and release him. After all, almost 33% of MLB hitters were as productive at the plate as he was. The bum. Everybody knows if you're not in the top 10%, you might as well hang up the cleats.
  5. bean5302
    It's not "my" grading system. I just threw some numbers out there that I don't even agree with to illustrate a point.
  6. bean5302
    Any exercise that shows Paddack being DFA'd and released isn't to be taken so literally :)
  7. bean5302
    Tesla lost money for years and years while the valuations of the company continued to soar. Profits are not necessarily related to company valuations.
  8. bean5302
    To the best of my knowledge, it hasn't been reported on why the Ishbia's stopped pursuing the purchase of the Twins. What was reported was: 1) The Ishbia's were no longer pursuing the purchase of the Twins. 2) The Ishbia's were approached by Jerry Reinsdorf about buying out some minority White Sox owner shares which would not give the Ishbia's a majority stake or team control. 3) The Ishbia's intend to accept Reinsdorf's proposal. If the Ishbia's were outbid, they might have decided to stop the pursuit. If that is the case, the high bidder can't just drop their bid because the Ishbia's are out based on price, not interest. A bidder can't play bidding games like that, either. Offers are offers and gaming the offer to scare off other bidders would have consequences.
  9. bean5302
    I was just responding to the comments about how the Twins better be using their best guys and not stashing SWR or Zebby or whomever in AAA. The grading system is totally made up and almost completely arbitrary. Depth is a concern and I was just illustrating how.
  10. bean5302
    Morris is not on the 40 man, and if he were added to the 40 man, he could be optioned. Aside from that, he wasn't necessary to the point. Castellano is on the 40 man and cannot be optioned so by default he's ahead of Morris in a technical way.
  11. bean5302
    Sorry, Paddack is already toast. There's no team in baseball who wanted to trade for him (anything of value anyway), and if he were a free agent this past offseason, I don't think any team would have given him more than a MiLB contract with an invite to spring training, regardless of how many people sing his praises around here. There really isn't much further down Paddack can go this year. He could secure himself a nice 1 year $12MM deal if he pitches at his absolute career peak and remains healthy this year, though.
  12. bean5302
    What if the pitchers were graded? 80 Pablo Lopez 70 Joe Ryan 70 Bailey Ober 65 David Festa 65 Zebby Matthews ------------------------------ 60 Simeon Woods Richardson (AAA) 60 Eiberson Castellano (returned to Phillies) 55 Chris Paddack (DFA, released) 40 Marco Raya 30 Travis Adams In week 2, Ryan has forearm tightness and needs TJ. In week 4, Zebby Matthews strains a hamstring, out 6-8 weeks. Now you have 40 score Marco Raya in the rotation instead of 60 score Castellano. Giving up a little bit of presumed quality for depth isn't a terrible game plan. Guys are almost certain to get injuries thougout the year, and starts in May and June means just as much as having what you think will likely be a 2% better chance to win games in April.
  13. bean5302
    The Ishbia's stake in the White Sox has been known about since mid January at least, and obviously by MLB since 2021 as people buying into ownership in MLB franchises requires vetting. I'm sure the Ishbia's position was revealed to Twins ownership (if they didn't know about it prior) back in December. I'm sure there was plenty of hassle involved in the bidding process. Justin Ishbia apparently even approached former Twins players about being minority owners. It's a lot of effort and a lot of risk to their reputations to bail out and swap dance partners. I mean, I suppose the Ishbia's could have been playing the White Sox to get a better deal, but why not just pivot to buy the White Sox outright, then? Reinsdorf announced the team was for sale back in October of last year, and the Ishbia's purchase would still keep them as minority owners without control. It doesn't seem that productive to go through a full purchase and bidding process, put your name out there and then have to settle for part owner in a badly run franchise you're not controlling. It's also reported Reinsdorf approached the Ishbia's about increasing their stake through purchasing minority owner stakes (potentially investors who wanted out of the mess of a team), not the other way around. Though as I think you're eluding to, whatever is going to happen isn't going to be influenced by fans.
  14. bean5302
    I do think it's possible the Pohlads have a different front runner (now) to buy the Twins. I also don't think it's a coincidence that an aging billionaire who will be flush with cash from a team sale like Glen Taylor lost the Timberwolves less than 2 weeks ago and the Ishbia's just now backed out. What I expect happened (pure speculation) is the Ishbia's were on the fast track to close the Twins deal until Taylor put in an aggressive bid well over the value of other offers out of desperation to maintain his ownership over a major sports franchise, and the Pohlads backtracked on the Ishbia plan. The Ishbia's then pivoted to increasing their ownership stake in the White Sox.
  15. bean5302
    According to their website, there will be 5 non-repetitive white ball numbers between 1-69, and a red powerball between 1-26 drawn. The odds are about 292 million to 1 a ticket will be a grand prize winner.
  16. bean5302
    Thanks @Brock Beauchamp, when the Ishbia's saw this, they pulled their bid...
  17. bean5302
    The navy top with "MINNESOTA" AND the Twins baseball logo on the sleeve AND gray striped pants AND the lowercase "m" logo on the cap was used as a road alternate 1997-1999.
  18. bean5302
    Funderburk was terrible last year, but it had to do with location. He wasn't placing his pitches remotely close to where he needed them. His stuff is very good, but if you can't throw strikes to hit your spots, it's a moot point.
  19. bean5302
    Increased body weight = bad. More mass = more force exerted = more chance of injury. Muscle mass isn't as important as muscle strength. Anyway, hopefully Raya can remain healthy and improve his results this year in AAA by holding or improving his K% while also lowering his walk rate all while now allowing more hits vs. AA last year.
  20. bean5302
    For people thinking the Ishbia's always wanted the Chicago White Sox and there was no interest in the Twins... yeah, I don't buy it. There is more growth potential in the White Sox; however, the Ishbia's are not setup to be controlling owners of that franchise as a result of them increasing their share at the moment. The status of "the 78" definitely played a role. The Pohlads drove too hard of a bargain to start or weren't willing to negotiate off their position when it became clear the Ishbia's were potentially going to pivot to the White Sox. Guaranteed scenarios are worth a lot more than non-guaranteed scenarios ($1 vs. $1), but apparently, the purchase price of the Twins was too hard to justify over the potential increased gains from the White Sox.
  21. bean5302
    Why did Peter Siedler go nuts with payroll for the Padres? Why did Mike Illitch go nuts with the payroll for the Tigers? When billionaires / team owners are facing the end of their days, that crowning achievement and pursuit of happiness often shifts to winning a major sports championship. I have no doubt Taylor would be willing to spend big if he buys the Twins. I also have no doubt that Taylor's ownership would look a lot like the Angels' Arte Moreno. An overly involved owner who makes emotional, aggressive, and poor decisions when it comes to the roster, hamstringing the front office and creating a dysfunctional atmosphere.
  22. bean5302
    The White Sox situation is far superior to the Twins' situation from a prospective owner's perspective. The market size is #2 on their interest list. The biggest item is going to be a new stadium. New stadiums increase property value in the new location by many times over. Prospective owners know where the new stadium is going first, don't they? They buy up the land around the new site, hold until the values skyrocket, then sell the properties for literally billions in fast profit. The White Sox ARE getting a new stadium. It remains to be seen if that stadium is going to be the 78 or Nashville, etc.
  23. bean5302
    Terrible news for Twins fans looking for a clean break and a totally new ownership philosophy. I get the feeling the Pohlads screwed this up.
  24. bean5302
    Looks a bit like Pat Meares as @Ben B stated.
  25. bean5302
    As far as Alcala goes, yeah, he could definitely start in AAA. The Twins were quick to demote him throughout last year, and it certainly didn't seem like Baldelli or the front office changed how they felt about him towards the end of the year. Expecting management has suddenly seen the light now seems unrealistic. It was seemingly bizarre how frequently Alcala would go out, pitch a couple solid games only to be on the shuttle and stuck in St. Paul for the mandatory 2 weeks while less talented bullpen fillers were blowing games.
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