Brock Beauchamp
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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp
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Rumor: Falvey says "Bullpen not a priority"
Brock Beauchamp replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
I hate the idea of moving Ober to the pen and suspect the front office feels the same way. I'm pretty okay with Winder going to the pen.- 151 replies
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Phil Miller reported that Twins President of Baseball Operations Derek Falvey said the bullpen is not a priority right now. The Twins did a good job of addressing the bullpen at the last trade deadline and shuffling some pieces led to the Twins being middle of the pack overall. But given the acquisition of Carlos Correa, Joey Gallo, and Pablo Lopez, this feels like a re-hash of previous offseasons, the last two of which has gone very poorly for the Twins in regards to fielding a good bullpen in the first half of the season. Given the availability of marginal but solid relievers and the low cost of acquiring one as insurance against Jorge Lopez, Griffin Jax, Emilio Pagan, and others, I don't see why this decision is being made once again. View full rumor
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Phil Miller reported that Twins President of Baseball Operations Derek Falvey said the bullpen is not a priority right now. The Twins did a good job of addressing the bullpen at the last trade deadline and shuffling some pieces led to the Twins being middle of the pack overall. But given the acquisition of Carlos Correa, Joey Gallo, and Pablo Lopez, this feels like a re-hash of previous offseasons, the last two of which has gone very poorly for the Twins in regards to fielding a good bullpen in the first half of the season. Given the availability of marginal but solid relievers and the low cost of acquiring one as insurance against Jorge Lopez, Griffin Jax, Emilio Pagan, and others, I don't see why this decision is being made once again. -
Give Joey Gallo a Chance
Brock Beauchamp replied to Hunter McCall's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Sarcasm aside about Joey Gallo, he's a good upside play but on a roster that still doesn't need his offensive profile. Trade Kepler and the Gallo deal gets a lot better. -
Give Joey Gallo a Chance
Brock Beauchamp replied to Hunter McCall's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Point: Give Joey Gallo a Chance Counterpoint: no -
I think wRC+ does a slightly better job balancing offense but as you said, the difference between wRC+ and OPS+ is often so small it doesn’t matter. I also like FG’s defensive metrics and options better than BR. I rarely use BR for anything if I’m looking into defense.
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For WAR and wRC+, I like Fangraphs. If I'm in a hurry and just want a general view of a player or I want easy access to splits, I use B-Ref. If I'm really digging into a player and want to know how each piece of their toolkit grades out, Baseball Savant.
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Heh. I actually learned this last night while reading a novel. Always fun to realize you've been doing something wrong for about 35 years.
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For the first time in its history, TD had 300,000 users drop by in a single month!
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My feeling is what's happening is that people are (rightfully) upset about losing perhaps the most fun player to watch in baseball and trying to justify that feeling with his batting champion status. I'm super-bummed Arraez will no longer be a Twin. He made baseball, a spectator sport, more enjoyable to spectate. But I'm comfortable couching that feeling in the fact that this trade seems pretty fair and balanced and is probably a good baseball decision. Others seem to want to find a way to justify their emotional attachment to Arraez using a rather arbitrary metric of "batting champion", which I don't think is really necessary. It's okay to just say "I liked watching Luis Arraez play baseball" and that is a perfectly fine reason to not like the trade.
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Dee Strange Gordon had a .776 OPS when he won the batting title in 2015. Jose Altuve had an OPS around .830 one of the years he won. I get your point and it's valid but batting champions having an OPS in the .800-.850 range isn't terribly uncommon. And Arraez's .795 isn't all that different than .830, especially adjusting for run environment. Arraez's 130 OPS+ is identical to Altuve's the first year he won with an .830 OPS. Arraez is a good BABIP guy with decent isoD and very little slugging. It certainly minimizes his value, especially at first base, but those guys winning the batting title isn't a unicorn event. It says more about the value of "batting champ" than Luis Arraez, really. If Arraez finished the season with an 0-for-8 and Judge passes him, no one throws a fit over losing the "runner-up batting champion".
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I suspect Lewis immediately goes to the 60-day. Why not? Unless I'm horribly mistaken, 60-day IL returns at the start of Spring Training. There's no way Lewis is ready for a Major League roster by the end of April.
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They took over following the 2016 season. Their first pick was Lewis in 2017.
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- alex kirilloff
- nick gordon
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Rumor: Twins in on Yuli Gurriel
Brock Beauchamp replied to mnfireman's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Super-duper double-hard pass on this one, thanks. -
What I think you're not paying enough attention to with this post is how much immediate prospect upside the Twins have on the positional side of things and how little immediate prospect upside they have in the rotation. Losing Arraez hurts because he's a good player. But he's also a LHB that's limited defensively. He's kind of a bad fit at first base while Kirilloff is a natural fit. You can probably strap a big mitt on Trevor Larnach's right hand and he can figure it out, too. And the team still has Matt Wallner waiting in the wings and Royce Lewis a couple of months behind him. Perhaps by mid-season we're talking about Lee and/or Julien, too. I just listed a bunch of players. Now if you look to pitching, you have Woods Richardson. Winder. Sands. They're all interesting prospects but none of them profile to be a difference-making arm, especially fresh out of the minors. They're at least one - and probably two - steps below Lewis, Larnach, and Kirilloff and more of an equivalent of Wallner. That's why the Twins traded Arraez for a pitcher.
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It's a win now and win next year move. Lopez is more rotation insurance in 2023 and he'll be around in 2024 while Gray, Mahle, and Maeda enter free agency. The Twins can't possibly fill 3/5ths of their rotation with prospects by this time next year, which means they'd be right back to searching for 2+ more rotation arms next offseason.
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I hate to see Arraez go but this feels like a really good baseball move.
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The Outfield Help is Already Here?
Brock Beauchamp replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Lewis missed the wall, landed wrong, and that's what caused the injury. Missing the wall and landing off-balance is a pretty good way to do it wrong IMO. -
The Outfield Help is Already Here?
Brock Beauchamp replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I wouldn’t go so far as to call it a fluke. Lewis injured himself by failing to jump into the wall, and he likely failed because no one has asked him to jump into a wall before so he didn’t know how to do it. With that said, Farmer has all of spring to get up to speed on playing OF, he won’t be thrust into it basically overnight. -
That's why we pay Parker the big bucks. But seriously, so happy to see Parker writing about the Twins again. His stuff is always next-level.
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Welcome to Twins Daily! I didn't realize Disability Pride Day was something they did in 2022 but sure enough, there it is on the calendar. Right now, all they're showing on the special events page is "check back soon". https://www.mlb.com/twins/tickets/specials
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Oh, insurance is absolutely involved but my understanding is that their process with doctors and evaluation is separate from what we're talking about with the Giants' and Mets' doctor. By the way, the Twins were able to insure Correa's contract. I believe Boras made a smart-ass remark about it at the press conference, implying the Twins could magically get him insured but the Giants and Mets could not.
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Again, my understanding is that they didn't ask anyone else except him, at least that's what Boras and Correa strongly implied. Sure, talk to the guy, but what is the point of pursuing Correa if he's the only guy you're going to talk to? He already stated his opinion on Correa's ankle.
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But you already know what he said. Why ask him again?
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Teams. The insurance policies are a completely different thing, in my understanding.
