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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    If he played half his games in a stadium like PETCO, it'd be interesting to see him try. Target Field is a tougher place to do it. Plus, Byron is a righty. I don't know if he'll have the opposite field power or swing to be a triples machine in the majors.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    The bullpen pitched 3.1 innings, struck out four, walked none, and Perkins didn't pitch. Isn't that some kind of rule violation?
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    I won't regret that post one bit. Until two weeks ago - and sure to be the case again in the near future - the players who would lose playing time to Colabello are Oswaldo Arcia and Kennys Vargas. No thanks. I'd rather watch the 24 year olds with upside than a 30-something journeyman.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Glen Perkins is not overrated. Since 2011, here are his stats: IP: 279.1 SO: 307 BB: 66 (!) H: 239 HR: 24 (!) Those are pretty close to video game numbers.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    This is my feeling as well. Santana could use some time at Rochester to sort things out and I'm extremely skeptical that Polanco is ready. The logical short term solution is for Escobar to move back to short and then reevaluate in a month. That move also frees up Nunez to move back into a utility role - he's raking so you can't justify kicking him off the team right now - and makes room for the Twins to bring up another bat-centric player (Arcia, Vargas, Pinto) while still giving playing time to Rosario and Hicks.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Lester Oliveros has pitched 29.1 innings in the majors. 21.1 of those innings came as a 23 year old in 2011. Lester Oliveros' past major league stats have little bearing on his future major league stats. By no means is he guaranteed success going forward but those stats mean very little.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    In his first 83 PAs of 2014, Colabello had an OPS of .962 and then was injured. This season he has 93 PAs and an OPS of 1.029. Good for Chris Colabello. I wish him the best... but on a team as full of DH and OF prospects as the Twins are today, he has no place on the 25 man roster. Sometimes, you have to release the guys you kinda like but don't fit where the team is going. Colabello is one of those guys.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm concerned that the offense isn't very good and doesn't have much room for improvement without some combination of Arcia, Vargas, and Pinto being added to the roster. I don't really care which innings they score runs, though it has turned into some nice wins recently.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    If Stauffer is not going to appear in meaningful games and the Twins aren't ready to recall either Vargas or Arcia (I think they still want Pinto catching in Rochester, as he continues to start regularly there), Tim's performance doesn't matter that much. With that said, the move shows an unwillingness to discard underperforming veterans. It's not a good sign for a team battling for first place in the division. Maybe Stauffer, over the course of this season in mop-up duties, only costs the team 0-5 runs. That's not a big deal in low leverage situations. But the opportunity to replace dead weight like Stauffer with a potential high leverage guy like Oliveros or Achter is troublesome, to say the least. Stauffer might do the most damage not through bad performances but through blocking a younger player from getting time in MLB. If that higher upside pitcher performs in June in low-leverage situations, he might move his way up to the seventh or eighth inning down the stretch. That's what really bothers me. It's not Stauffer so much as the thinking behind keeping Stauffer on the roster. If Stauffer is gone the moment Arcia is ready or Vargas gets repromoted (meaning that Stauffer is nothing more than a placeholder for a position player to decrease the pitching staff to 12 again), then it's probably not a big deal. If he's dead weight on this roster in late June or through July, then it could really hurt the team because he's taking innings from potentially higher upside players who can step into more important roles as the season progresses.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    So be it but I think Santana's playoff stats matter about as much as Torii Hunter's 2001 breakout season. They have about the same relevance to the two players' expected performance in 2015.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    It's not making anything up but it's completely irrelevant to the topic at hand. Ervin Santana pitched his last postseason inning in October of 2009. He pitched close to half his postseason innings as a 22 year old eleven seasons ago. Talking about Ervin's eye color and predicting performance on that has the same relevance as his 2005-2009 postseason innings.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    I didn't say it earlier but I think the Grantland article is pretty spot-on once you suffer through the first two paragraphs of "Dude, are you ****ing drunk right now?".
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Time to start day drinking.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    It's very possible that Rosario will adjust but we've seen this happen to a bunch of prospects over the years. I'd have more faith in Eddie adjusting if he was more selective in the minors but he was an excessive free-swinger down there as well. I don't think he has the talent to be the free-swinger Oswaldo is with his incredible bat speed and wrists. But that's okay. Rosario is only 23 years old. He has plenty of time to learn but it's probably going to be in the minor leagues sooner rather than later.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    I'd love it if Rosario could stay in Minnesota but I think he's going to struggle when pitchers realize that he'll swing at pretty much anything. Since the call-up, Rosario has swung at 64% of all pitches, yet only 41% of those pitches have been in the strike zone. Of the pitches outside of the strike zone, Rosario still swings at 56% of them. That has disaster written all over it. People criticize Arcia for swinging contantly and from his heels yet in his career, he has only swung at 38% of pitches outside the zone and 52% of all pitches.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    There is cause for concern. I don't think anyone is disputing that... But comments like "NEXT!" don't really fit in with "no one is giving up on him". Arcia is going to either succeed or fail in MLB. The only way to find out which it will be is to give him a bunch of plate appearances.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    It takes time for the process to click with some prospects. Arcia's injury history is unfortunate but guys are often "injury prone" until they aren't. The same is true of "workhorses". Past injuries (or lack thereof) are little indication of future injuries (unless it's a permanent injury that has a good chance of being aggravated again). Oswaldo has 850 PAs with a 103 OPS+. Torii Hunter's first 800 PAs resulted in a 76 OPS+. Justin Morneau's first 900 PAs resulted in a 100 OPS+. Michael Cuddyer's first 1100 PAs resulted in a 97 OPS+. I just can't understand why people give up on prospects so quickly. This is part of the learning process. This happens to so many players who become productive MLB players. There are far more Michael Cuddyers in baseball than Mike Trouts. Patience. Patience. Patience. That's the name of the game with prospects.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    Good post, lots of insight but I'm just going to tackle this part of the post. In a word, yes. There's nothing wrong with giving a guy a taste of MLB pitching if you believe he has the talent and mental preparation needed to face MLB pitchers. The same goes for pitching prospects that you feel have a chance at success in MLB. Demoting a guy who has some success but still needs to refine his approach isn't the worst thing in the world, provided you think he can handle failure at the MLB level. There's no singular approach to take with prospects, you have to play it by ear and make single-case decisions based on a host of factors that can't be seen in a box score.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    It's waaaaaaaayyyyy too early to make that kind of statement. With a few key tweaks to his approach, Arcia could easily turn into a 110-125 OPS+ guy in the blink of an eye. As you said, he's just 24 years old.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    This is a good example of Law being a jerk for no reason. He starts off strong by saying "he's doing better than I expected, probably doesn't have a lot left in the tank" but then takes an unnecessary swing at "clubhouse presence". Why, Keith? Dismissing clubhouse presence of a veteran when the club is playing out of their mind is so unnecessary and seems a bit like sour grapes. http://espn.go.com/video/clip?id=espn:12964365&startTime=01:08 "I like it if you're a nice guy, I like it more if you're a nice guy who hits." Well, uh... Keith, Torii Hunter is hitting.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    This pretty much sums up my thoughts on Law. He's a smart guy but changing his mind is a slow and laborious process. As you said, that can be good or bad depending on the situation. But his chats grate on me. He's overly abrasive so much of the time and it serves no purpose other than his own self-gratification. He's quite smart and often right but there's no reason to beat down others for sport, which he seems to delight in doing.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    That's the core of my point. Arcia can put himself on cruise control and mash AAA pitching. He's not learning from that experience. If you need him to take a different approach and learn, he's going to have to do it at a level where he faces adversity, not somewhere he can just tee off and post video game stats. I think this applies specifically to Oswaldo because he doesn't seem to be the most coachable player on the planet. He seems like the type of guy who will continue to do something, no matter how bad it is for his long-term development, until he stops seeing success from it. Lots of players can have success in MiLB while still altering their approach and style of play. Oswaldo doesn't strike me as one of those players.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    The problem with calling up both Arcia and Vargas is that it hurts the Twins defensively. Given how Rosario has looked pretty respectable, I'd go with the OF defensive alignment the Twins are using now and put Arcia at DH. Ultimately, I think Rosario will falter given his inability to take a pitch but for now, I'm okay with riding the hot hand and letting Vargas sit in Rochester for a short time.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    It might be weird or it might not be weird at all. Molitor wanted to go to 13 pitchers for a brief time. It's possible he told Ryan "Give me Stauffer, he'll only get used in emergency situations anyway." It's also possible Ryan just gave him Stauffer and Molly said "**** it. Tim, take a seat. You're going to be there awhile." I agree that if Stauffer stays on the roster and the pitching staff goes back to 12 guys, it's time to start drinking heavily because the world makes no sense.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    If you plan to use him as trade bait, he'll gain the most value by staying in Rochester, starting games. 10-15 innings of MLB mop-up work isn't going to help gain value.
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