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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Eh, it's a good idea to temper peoples' expectations of prospects but McCarty is a bad comp. A really bad comp. BA never had McCarty higher than 16th as a prospect. McCarty couldn't play up-the-middle defense. McCarty was two years older than Buxton when he debuted. McCarty posted pretty pedestrian numbers through the minors until he got to play in the "ignore my numbers because this is a video game simulator" Pacific Coast League.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    What you see is correct. Rosario is swinging at less pitches out of the zone (44% now, down from 56% last time I checked). His discipline is still a problem but as long as he continues to post a decent OPS and makes gradual improvement, he should remain in Minnesota.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Pathetic.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Locking it up. Continue here. http://twinsdaily.com/topic/18650-article-minnesota-twins-promote-byron-buxton/?do=findComment&comment=353499
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Locking it up. Continue here. http://twinsdaily.com/topic/18650-article-minnesota-twins-promote-byron-buxton/?do=findComment&comment=353499
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, this. He might get by on smoke and mirrors for awhile - even close to a full season like we saw with Santana last season - but ultimately, he needs to show more discipline or pitchers are going to start throwing him junk non-stop.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    I didn't get the starting thing at all. What a weird tryout. But as a reliever, a healthy Tim Stauffer should have been serviceable. He missed bats and had a manageable walk rate for the Padres. His peripherals indicated a very different pitcher than what we saw this season and the only thing I see that's different is that he has lost considerable velocity this season. He's probably injured. On paper, Tim Stauffer makes a hell of a lot more sense than Blaine Boyer, yet we've seen the exact opposite results. Baseball is a weird game.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree that the Twins should have been looking more at the younger relievers in their system and didn't need both Duensing and Stauffer (although Brian had good splits against lefties last year, something he hasn't replicated this season). My earlier point is that they didn't keep Stauffer around for that long. Tim struggled badly and was put on the DL. I'm sure the Twins were aware of his drop in velocity and decided to give him one more shot after the DL. The velocity didn't return and they cut him after just 5.1 additional innings. Would I have cut him a bit faster? Yeah, almost certainly but the guy only made 13 appearances with the Twins. They didn't dawdle excessively on making a decision here.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    1. I wasn't in love with the Stauffer signing for a few reasons but he was a Jared Burton-type risk - albeit for too much money - that didn't pan out. Eh, whatever. I thought the Twins had enough youngster to patch together a pen but I understand the desire to pick up at least one veteran guy in case things go horribly wrong. 2. The guy pitched all of 15 innings before getting the axe. The way some are acting around here, you'd think he pitched 50 innings of high leverage baseball before getting cut. 3. Stauffer lost 2 mph on his pitches between 2014 and 2015. That impacted his ability more than anything else; certainly more than the move from the NL and PETCO and is almost certainly the reason his Swinging Strike % dropped from roughly 10% over 2012-2014 to a meager 4% in 2015. 4. Stauffer went from a 20%+ K% from 2013-2014 to just 8% in 2015. He was a reliever from 2013-2014 so it's not as if he got to rack up Ks against pitchers in the NL. Simply put, the guy is not the pitcher the Twins thought they were getting and that's not because the Twins were blind to Stauffer's PETCO stats. Something is wrong with the guy.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    It might be a problem, it might not. Nolasco is gone after 2017, Santana after 2018. Unless Jay is a phenom, he won't even be knocking on the door as a starter until 2018. It's so hard to project pitchers. Half or better of those guys might flame out, unfortunately... Or at least see a significant setback like TJ that pushes their timetable back 18 months.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    If they drafted for need, it's a mistake. Thankfully, it's pretty well known that the Twins take a BPA draft strategy so it's likely they went BPA and it happened to be a lefty starter. The earliest this guy will reach Minnesota is late 2017 and even that's a reach because he needs to be stretched out as a full time starter. Teams shouldn't draft for "need" 24+ months out. That's just stupid.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    While I have no real opinion on this pick, drafting for need is the biggest mistake one can make in baseball.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Great post. I hope it works for Kennys, though I never fully understood the demotion in the first place.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    No, some players maintain high BABIP. Those players, like the two you mentioned, are generally talented than Mr. Colabello (in the case of those two, incredibly more talented). For example, Joe Mauer's career BABIP is .347. Hunter's is actually a pretty pedestrian .310.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Sure, but a "high" BABIP is in the .340 range, not .470. Unsurprisingly, Colabello has been trending down the past few weeks, even though his BABIP is still on the lucky side (.378 in past two weeks). The guy just doesn't have a lot of talent. That doesn't mean he can't be a useful bench bat or 25th man but he'll never be way above average as a hitter unless he's the luckiest guy in the clubhouse.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh lord. The wiki. So good. https://web.archive.org/web/20070609040429/http://battleyourtailoff.com/wiki/index.php?title=Canada_City
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Does it really matter if Vargas is a AAAA DH? Let's be honest here: a AAAA DH is an upgrade over what the Twins have rolled out at DH much of this season.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    Gonsalves pitches 65 innings last season. He pitched 28 innings in 2013. For him to reach AA in 2015, it would require him to approach the 130, maybe even the 150 inning mark. For obvious reasons, this is almost surely not going to happen.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    Or, more likely, it's six of one, half dozen of the other. May started showing improved control during his last few starts last September. As Seth pointed out, he steadily improved his control in the minors as well. Now he's taking another step this season. IMO, this is probably just part of the maturation process and the result of working hard at one particular skill over several years.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    I know. It's ridiculous.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    We're not even at the halfway mark of 2015. *shakes fist at sky*
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    This is a reasonable idea. With Norris on the roster, Hedges might be available for the right price.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah. Yeah. I just don't understand.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    The 4-6 weeks would mostly apply to the bullpen guys. The other guys (Vargas and Arcia, mainly) will require more time.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Doubly so if you don't call them up and give them a shot to see what they can do.
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