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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    We should be wary of predicting huge SB numbers - and avoid Henderson comps for Buxton at all costs - until we see Byron's baserunning smarts. I'm not saying you did this but I've seen Rickey's name bandied around the board far too often. Rickey Henderson was fast but he wasn't the fastest guy in the history of baseball... Not even close. It was Rickey's baserunning smarts and Rickey's uncanny ability to know exactly when to run against a pitcher that made Rickey so great. Rickey was Rickey and I don't know if we'll ever see Rickey again because nobody is like Rickey. Rickey. (this post is an homage to Rickey always referring to Rickey in the third person)
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    You're trading off two players (Stewart and Meyer) whose value is at an all-time low right now. That's a terrible strategy. And I'm still not sure why the Cubs would give up Castro for any reason. My biggest beef with trade ideas is that so little thought is put into "why on earth would the other team do such a thing?" And right now, is Castro even an upgrade over what the Twins are rolling out nightly? Yeah, his upside is certainly higher but the dude has been struggling mightily this season. The Cubs should be reluctant to trade him for the same reasons the Twins shouldn't trade Meyer or Stewart.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Absolutely. In no way am I suggesting the Twins shouldn't make a move - particularly if it's a long-term solution - but trading shortstop-for-shortstop is nonsensical. The Twins already have shortstop prospects. Quite a few of them, actually. The smart money is banking on one of them contributing in the near future and trading away excess (starting pitching, maybe?) for a position devoid of prospects. As you pointed out, catcher is a good place to start.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    If you can explain to me why a team would trade a cost-controlled shortstop for a AA/AAA shortstop prospect, I'm all ears. Nobody is going to trade Polanco for a decent cost-controlled shortstop. Which means you need to start thinking about giving up somebody like Berrios or Gonsalves instead... If someone approached Terry Ryan about trading Brian Dozier for a AA second baseman, he'd be laughed out of the room, and rightly so. It's a nonsensical move for the team trading away MLB talent.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Why would another team trade a cost-controlled shortstop for a shortstop prospect that is nearly MLB-ready?
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    It's possible. I certainly wouldn't mind seeing Molitor put Joe in the second spot and tell him "just get on damned base and let the guys behind you take care of the rest". That's what Joe is best at, after all.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    Absolutely. In no way am I criticizing the moves. At 80% Ricky Nolasco is not a good baseball player. Hell, at 100% it's questionable whether Schafer is an acceptable baseball player. As I said earlier, the moment one of those guys gets a hangnail, DL him and move on.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Hunter, Rosario, and Buxton. Hicks might be a better option than Hunter in the future but in the here and now, Hunter is the better player and deserves to trot out to RF several times a week (though I certainly wouldn't mind seeing him DH more regularly to keep him fresh through the stretch and to minimize his defensive impact).
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm also leaning toward Hicks coming back to the Twins as a fourth outfielder, at least in the short-term. Buxton gets centerfield for obvious reasons. Rosario is playing well enough to continue starting in a corner spot. Torii Hunter is Torii Hunter. He might profile better as a DH but with Arcia, Vargas, and Sano on the 40 man, does anyone *really* think that's the best option right now?
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Or you just keep them both and hope one becomes a cost-controlled shortstop fixture for 6-7 years on the cheap. Is winning in 2015 really so important that the Twins should mortgage their future, a future that looks almost blindingly bright? I'm all for shoring up minor problems on the team this season but trading away two possible starters at a premium position for help today seems rather foolhardy and short-sighted.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    I suspect this is the case. If you pull out those points individually, his struggles make little sense. When healthy, Joe was too damned good a hitter to get beat so badly by something as simple as a shift. Part of being a MLB player - especially a 40 WAR player in less than a decade of play - involves constantly adjusting and beating the opposing pitcher and defense. They do one thing, Joe adjusts and continues hitting. Increasingly by the day, it seems that Joe might have suffered longterm, possibly permanent, effects to his ability after the 2011 injury and the concussion. Couple that with aging and defenses more aggressively shifting against him and we end up where we are today. Where he could have adjusted in previous years has turned into a situation where he's unable to adjust to what pitchers and defense are doing to him. It started with the strikeouts after his 2011 injury and became increasingly problematic after the concussion.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm not so sure of that. Since becoming a starter a few weeks ago, Oliveros has pitched 7.2 innings in three starts (ughhhhh) while giving up 15 runs (holy moly, Batman!). Some guys just aren't starting material and the preparation for the player is completely different. I'm not sure why they're starting Oliveros at all. He should be locked in for an upcoming promotion to the Twins' bullpen, not starting games in Rochester.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    To be clear, I'm sure the player is injured in some capacity. Injured enough to warrant a DL stint? Of that I'm not so sure. Personally, I appreciate how the Twins have managed the DL this season. They have a lot of young players and not a lot of roster space for them. Rotate players through the DL the moment they get a hangnail, for all I care.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    To pick a nit, I don't think his ceiling has lowered at all... but expectations have definitely lowered. It's still possible that Hicks becomes a very good hitter but that becomes less likely by the day. I, for one, appreciate Hicks' new approach even if it's not turning into results yet. If he has the patience to stick with it - a real concern given Aaron's past flip-flopping and apparent mental struggles with the game - it could show results in the long run.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    This is an excellent point that I've been meaning to bring up in a post. For as much guff as the Twins have caught for their DL management in years past, they're aggressively using it this season to shore up roster weaknesses and personally, I struggle to believe all those DL stints are legitimate. Schafer has been on the DL for an eternity. Nolasco is ping-ponging on and off it like mad. Hicks gets a boo-boo and is seemingly put on the DL before the game is over. I find it all terribly... convenient.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Fair enough. I was just winging the math on that one. But even at .770, Joe is a productive first baseman. In 2014, that would have been good for something around a 115-ish OPS+. Definitely not where you want a $23m player to be performance-wise but not embarrassing, either.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    The Twins need someone who can get lefties out on a regular basis. It's pretty much a necessity in a good pen. The Twins don't have that guy right now and that's a problem. The pitcher doesn't need to be left-handed but that certainly helps. A right-hander who is good at getting lefties out is usually a good reliever, period... And that's not a guy you want to waste in a LOOGY or early inning role unless your entire bullpen is outstanding, which the Twins' bullpen is... not. Actually, I just double-checked Thompson's LHB splits for 2015. They're much better than I expected (SSS warning!). Move him into the LOOGY role. It certainly can't be worse than Duensing. Thompson doesn't strike out as many guys as you'd like but neither does Duensing so whatever.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    He might gain a bit on his fastball from the pen but even if he adds 2mph to his velocity, he's still only an 89mph fastball pitcher. I don't know if that would make even a slight difference in his overall performance. But yeah, Duensing needs to go and soon. The biggest problem is that I have no idea who replaces him. Logan Darnell? Ryan O'Roarke? Ish.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    Eh, you're completely disregarding that Joe's slugging when down a full .105 (!) from 2013 to 2014. His BABIP in 2013 was unsustainable but that wasn't the real reason his productivity nose-dived after the concussion. It was the fact that he stopped hitting for any kind of power. The BABIP was simply regression toward his personal norm. It should have contributed to a slight dip in overall numbers but not the "fall off a cliff" drop we saw in production. If Joe slugs .450 instead of .370 last season (a relatively conservative number based on his 2010-2013 numbers), his OPS is still over .800 for the season and we barely even notice his slight overall decline.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    The problem with that idea is that it's not a good use of resources. Tommy Milone career splits: RHB OPS: .746 LHB OPS: ... ... ... uh... .746 While he'll almost certainly be better than Duensing - who needs to be cut soon unless he does a complete reversal - it'd be a poor use of Milone to put him in a LOOGY role where he won't be particularly good. Keep him as a starter and he'll have more value, particularly if you feel the need to trade him. The Twins need a guy who can get lefties out and that guy isn't Tommy Milone. His stuff, peripherals, and career splits indicate a guy who needs to start to have any value.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Eh, I don't think that's the case. He was very productive in 2010, 2012, and 2013. Hell, he was even somewhat productive in 2014. When compared to the likes of Barry Zito and Ryan Howard (amongst many others), Joe is a veritable productivity machine despite all the issues he's having later in the contract. Mauer has posted an rWAR of 18.8 from 2010 through today.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Definitely. I'm not arguing whether McCarty was a bust - he certainly was - but there should have been red flags surrounding his numbers and overall career arc in the minors when he debuted. With Buxton, there are no such red flags. Zero. He's a prospect on the level of Joe Mauer. Not quite as refined as a player but he compensates for that "weakness" with speed so great that it's almost inhuman. His speed alone should make him a decent player, not to mention his hit tools and all around greatness at almost everything he does.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    I hadn't heard this. Yikes. I'll never forget the cheap shot on Jim by Charles Martin. Maybe the most egregrious and damaging penalty I've ever seen in the NFL.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    I just feel gutshot every time I think about Joe Mauer. It's such an unfortunate - and completely unexpected - decline that I still struggle to comprehend it. By all accounts, Mauer should have declined gracefully. Maybe not on the level of Molitor but his excellent bat control and discipline should have made him a productive player well into this 30s. Now I don't know what the Twins can do with him.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    It should also be noted that McCarty had a MiLB OPS all of .030 higher than the memorable Twins slugger and all-time great (bullpen coach), Matt LeCroy. There was hype for McCarty but it was misplaced hype.
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