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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    I think they can shore up DH easily. Put Arcia there. Then the team is open to start exploring corner outfield options. Center can be manned by Buxton. Lots of options, very few needs that require going outside the org right now. Try internal options first. We haven't even rolled over into June yet.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Spend as much time in southwest and southern Ireland as possible. PM me and I will go into detail. It all depends on whether you like urban or rural but if you like rural, the sw and s is where you want to be.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Except then you're forcing the guy who has possibly been the Twins' best overall player (and no worse than second best) out of position. That's not a good way to improve a baseball team. You make changes at the positions in the worst shape, not the best positions on the team. Right now, Sano would have more of an impact to help the team win if he was at DH, not third.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    And one should never assume that if the Twins take the lead, it will only be one run.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    I see your point but you actually have that backwards. When A-Rod went to the Yankees, he was a better shortstop than Jeter. The Yankees moved the wrong guy and it wasn't even really a debate.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    If you were to ask Terry Ryan what were some of the stupidest things he could do in June or July of 2015, I think trading for Revere and Howard would be near the top of that list. This is such a monumentally bad idea that I'm having a hard time even forming an argument; there are so many reasons not to do it, I don't even know where to begin.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, I think we'll see a lot of 86 win WC teams now. 82 wins or better almost automatically makes you a "contender".
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    That's a really good point, one I never considered. What if the Twins plan on running Rosario out into left every day? It's an interesting idea.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep. Mauer is very good with RISP, I don't understand why people rag on him so much. Here are the differences with RISP: Joe Mauer: BA: +.028 OBP: +.090 SLG: +.029 Miguel Cabrera (I just picked a random good player): BA: +.025 OBP: +.048 SLG: +.011 Yeah, so Joe Mauer. Despite "putting the bat on his shoulder and going after the walk", he still has a higher slugging increase than Miguel Cabrera with RISP.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    It should be added that most of the difference in the splits between RISP and bases empty comes from increased OBP minus BA (in other words, walks). But not all of it. Small gains were often seen in BA and SLG in the years I spot-checked. My thinking is that bad pitchers put more men on base. Bad pitchers give up higher OPS to opposing hitters. Add in the increased walk rate (for obvious reasons) and you have the difference between bases empty and RISP splits. Clayton Kershaw doesn't allow as many runners into RISP as Ricky Nolasco does so most of Clayton's lights-out innings come with the bases empty. The inverse is true of Nolasco.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm not trying to diminish Joe's ability with RISP at all, just pointing out that it has to be weighed against league averages to determine the true difference.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    That's dealing with batting average. I'm looking at OPS for obvious reasons. I spot-checked ten random years going back to the mid-70s and every year, the AL had a higher OPS with RISP than it did with the bases empty. Interestingly, the gap was small in the 3-4 years I checked from 1975-1990 and has expanded quite a bit since that time, growing up to a .040 OPS difference in a few recent seasons.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Well, both leagues have better numbers with RISP (by a healthy margin) so one would assume that most players also have better numbers with RISP. http://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/split.cgi?t=b&lg=AL&year=2015
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    The numbers bear this out. Percentage of strikes thrown to Joe Mauer in his career: Bases Empty: 62% Men on Base: 56% RISP: 54% Joe sees a lot fewer strikes when runners are on base.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Fully agreed. He's a savvy vet who has made up for a lack of athleticism with defensive smarts. Having watched Hunter and many other RFs this season, I think he's below average. He's not killing the team but he's not very good, either... Which is totally fine on a one-year deal as a stopgap player, particularly when you factor in his bat.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't know what to think about Mauer right now. He seems like a player in flux, a guy who changes slightly on a weekly basis. It feels like he's trying to change his approach and take advantage of defenses shifting against him to middling effect. He's pulling the ball more but the ball is rarely hit with authority. For example, one of his triples felt like a rope to right center... That landed about 30 feet beyond the infield dirt. If not for the shift, that's possibly a single, maybe a double at best. It was hit well but not authoritatively. I hold out hope that Joe is still working on his swing, trying to make contact before he tries to advance and make authoritative contact... But I don't know if that hope is grounded in reality.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Good point. That's very possible.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    I think Vargas is back soon. I still don't understand why he was demoted. And please let Oliveros get the call soon. Pick a reliever to release, I don't even really care at this point.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    That's actually what made me laugh when it was announced. Stauffer for Bernier. Kinda pointless when you get right down to it.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    The logical side of me says "3-5 innings of Stauffer in one final shot at staying with the team won't hurt that much." The emotional side of me says "Tim Stauffer, do not want."
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    ... it was a joke.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Pinto has 23 starts at catcher in Rochester. He's not twiddling his thumbs. He's playing at the highest level the Twins can put him while getting still getting the majority of starts at his desired position. I call that "player development".
  23. Brock Beauchamp
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    I was fully expecting Bernier to be demoted... For someone like Pinto. You know, because, well... because. Do I really need to explain my thinking here?
  25. Brock Beauchamp
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