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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Putting Buxton in the leadoff spot on Opening Day is insanity. Polanco, I can probably get behind that idea. The guy seems to have his **** together (with the stick, anyway) and is generally underrated by Twins fans.
  2. The guy is learning to throw a new (better) pitch. That's literally one of the main reasons Spring Training exists in the first place. Looking at a Spring Training stat line is how we get Aaron Hicks' 2013 season. How much success do you expect Hughes to have when batters see he's leaning heavily on a new pitch and throwing it far more often than he would in a regular season game so he can get a feel for it? As Nick mentioned, two of the three homers were off Hughes' changeup. How many homers does Hughes allow if he doesn't throw that pitch? One? Zero? Seven? That's why Spring Training stat lines don't matter... because pitchers often aren't playing the way they would in a regular season game.
  3. That's not really fair, as I didn't watch the game and Nick's write-up was the only thing I read about it... yet I gleaned all of those points from Nick's article.
  4. What's wrong with that assessment? Nick noted three things: 1. The wind was blowing out in the stadium. 2. Hughes is returning from a serious injury and hit 92mph (though the gun may be generous). 3. Hughes was throwing a pitch with which he's not fully comfortable, which led to the homers. Spring Training isn't (or at least shouldn't be) entirely about results, especially for veterans.
  5. I don't think Rosario even needs that much plate discipline, certainly not of the BB variety. He simply needs to stop swinging at everything and show a little restraint. Lots of players - particularly those with Rosario's skillset of speed and gap power - can carve a niche for themselves by making contact all time and putting the ball in play. The lack of discipline will prevent Rosario from being a great player but there's no reason he can't be pretty good.
  6. Yep, I've been flogging that point for awhile. Framing isn't so much about tricking the ump, it's about getting your pitcher the strike he threw.
  7. 300 episodes! Good God! And to think I've listened to almost every one of them...
  8. The irony of people who don't play baseball professionally but spend their days on a baseball forum complaining about professional baseball players having non-baseball hobbies is pretty spectacular.
  9. I had a suspicion something like this would happen to a starter but I was hoping it wasn't going to be May or Berrios. Again, this is why teams try to enter the season with pitching depth. The Twins couldn't even make it to mid-March without losing a starter.
  10. Dunno if you've kept up with Mario games recently but between the Wii, Wii U, and 3DS, there are a slew of really good Mario games, both 2D and 3D.
  11. I'm at the point of Breath of the Wild where I could go beat the game any time I wanted... yet I'm reluctant to do so. It's perhaps the finest open world game I've ever played. Unlike most open world games, you never find yourself looking for something to do and it's not repetitive because the mini dungeons are puzzles, not non-stop fighting. If you want to fight, you go do that. If you want to explore, you go do that. If you want to quest, you go do that. If you want to dungeon crawl, you go do that. And the art direction is maddeningly good. It's basically a Studio Ghibli video game.
  12. These things tend to sort themselves out very quickly. What's the likelihood the Twins make it out of mid-May without one injury in the rotation? 50/50? And that's not even bringing up a possible demotion or outright release.
  13. And that's really the core of my argument. One could make a rationed argument that neither Gibson, Hughes, nor Santiago should be in the rotation to start the season. Who do you cut? And why? Or do you just let the three of them hammer it out over a handful of starts and then replace the weakest link with Berrios? The latter makes a lot of sense to me, the one caveat being Hughes' velocity. If he's at 90mph, he really shouldn't be a consideration for the rotation.
  14. Ah, I misunderstood your point. If your argument was the Twins should have kept Liriano, then that makes more sense. I was speaking strictly in the trade sense. Liriano didn't have anything more than Escobar talent when he was traded (nor was his value significantly higher the season before that).
  15. I definitely feel this has been a problem in the past but when faced with a pitching staff with a floor this low, it makes sense to give yourself options over the first two months of the season. If you waive Santiago and go with Berrios, what happens if Berrios fails horribly again? What happens if Santiago picks up with another team and posts league average numbers? I don't have a problem with playing a conservative hand to open the season... but I'll have a big ****ing problem if we cross into June and Santiago is still in the rotation with a 5.00 ERA. And I don't know how the new front office will play that situation. I'll let them make that mistake before criticizing them for perceived mistakes. And I certainly won't use evidence of the old front office's actions to legitimize that perceived mistake.
  16. Liriano posted the following fWAR numbers after leaving the Twins: 2013: 3.3 2014: 1.8 2015: 3.6 2016: 0.4 He pitched 160 or more innings in all years. Should the Twins have received more performance from Liriano? Sure. But how much more performance? People seem to act as if he posted multiple 5 WAR seasons in Pittsburgh. He was decent, but sporadic... Not unlike his time with the Twins, except he wasn't injured all the freakin' time in Pittsburgh. As for Cuddyer, yeah, he probably should have been traded but that inaction led to Berrios so it's pretty hard to complain too much.
  17. No, it's definitely not only luck, I'm just kinda responding to the idea some people had that the Twins squandered their best veterans instead of trading them. The reality is that most of their best veterans lost all value suddenly and never recovered that value, which directly led to the Twins long losing streak. The team went from 94 wins to 63 wins in a single season while their core was still under 30 years old. What kind of veteran trade value exists at that point? Sure, they could have traded Cuddyer but he turned into Berrios so that worked out. The only questionable moves I see are Perkins and Willingham, though I don't think Willingham's value was ever terribly high (as we've seen teams devalue no-field sluggers over the past half decade). That leaves Perkins, really. So, yeah, some bad decisions in there but the way I see it, the Twins didn't have many valuable commodities after 2011 to trade so the possible gains in liquidating the roster is still relatively small (but should be better than it is today had a few more moves been made).
  18. They haven't only been unlucky but they've been pretty damned unlucky. Look at 2011. You have a 28 year old Mauer, a 30 year old Morneau, a 27 year old Liriano, a 29 year old Baker, a 32 year old Cuddyer, and a 29 year old Kubel who all imploded damned near simultaneously. That was the core of a 94 win team the previous season. Were mistakes made? Yes, absolutely... But we're talking about three players with 6+ WAR potential and three more with 3+ WAR potential who all fell flat on their face at virtually the same time. That's some pretty **** luck right there and the kind of disaster season from which it's hard to recover. That doesn't excuse later mistakes but there's nothing wrong with acknowledging how sometimes, things just go to hell and it's out of anyone's control.
  19. Yeah, which is why I used the term "grey area". Think of it this way: was it Ryan or the Pohlads that decided to spend $50m on Nolasco but not $90m on Sanchez? And there's a world of difference between those two moves. A team doesn't have to break the bank wide open and pursue a Kershaw-type pitcher to spend on the free agent market. The Twins barely dabbled in the lower-middle of the market. They never touched the upper-middle of the market. Given their market constraints, it's unlikely the Twins will sign a $150m free agent any time soon but there shouldn't be anything stopping them from going after an $80m free agent. Ryan's largest guaranteed contract was $52m, I believe.
  20. I'd prefer to see Berrios start the season in Minnesota but I think too much emphasis is being put on where he is on Opening Day. The reasoning to put Berrios in the rotation is "the Twins have a terrible pitching staff". Yes, they do, which also means it's likely one of those terrible pitchers will get injured, demoted, or released before the end of April and almost certainly by the end of May. We're still 25 days from the start of the season. One of these guys might not even make it out of ST healthy. In the end, is it really going to matter much? Again, I'd prefer to see Berrios get the nod (particularly if Hughes is throwing 90mph) but when the dust settles, it wouldn't surprise me one bit to see Berrios make 25+ starts in Minnesota this season.
  21. I think this board suffers too often from "show me newness". Murphy is actually a few months younger than Garver. He had a comically bad 2016 but was a relatively productive player before that point. He's considered an acceptable defender. Really, Garver and Murphy aren't that different as players. And Murphy has already burned through options. It makes all the sense in the world to see what you have in the guy who's not going to stick around before you try the guy who has no choice but to stick around for close to a decade. And it's not as if I'm suggesting Murphy should get a season of play before making a decision. Give him two months to see if 2016 was an aberration or a trend.
  22. Pretty much this. We know the Pohlads won't fling open the checkbook for a Kershaw but there's a big grey area we can't really judge until we get a bearing on the new front office. With Ryan running the show for the vast majority of the time the Pohlads have owned the franchise, we don't really know who was the cheap person in the scenario. Doubly so because Carl no longer owns the team.
  23. It's not that he can't hit, I'm just not convinced he'll be better than Castro overall in the next year or two. And service time isn't a big deal but if it makes sense to tack on a seventh year for a guy you hope is with the team for quite some time, may as well do so.
  24. One could say he's bullish on Dozier. Bull Dozier.
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