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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Methinks your sarcasm detector is broken.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Or where the **** the adults went. Did they address that? If they did, I missed it.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    A universe where Buxton is coming off a season when he got on base 28% of the time, which was still a 3% improvement over the previous season.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    I see your point but the problem to me is that Vogelsong does not profile to be a marked improvement over a waiver wire claim, should things get to that point. The guy has averaged just under an 85 ERA+ over the past three seasons and it's even worse if you include a fourth season. Why do you put that guy in front of your young arms to open a season? Sure, it's nice to have that guy available mid-season but they're not hard to find, either. And when you have an extremely promising young pitcher with over a season of AAA experience and another somewhat promising pitcher with over half a season of AAA experience, what does Vogelsong get you when all is said and done? The Twins aren't lacking in pitching depth and they already have a rotation of veterans. Sure, that pitching depth is shaky but despite their warts, they're all less shaky than Ryan Vogelsong.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm pretty cautious about roster construction and even I'm ill at the thought of Vogelsong in the rotation. The Twins would open the season with zero young starters on the roster at that point. When do we actually get to see young guys pitch? While I understand the need for padding in a rotation, if there are zero young pitchers, that's not padding. That's an old, bad rotation. If Vogelsong was even a Hector Santiago level pitcher, I wouldn't complain about it too much. He's not. He's been pretty awful since 2012 and is now almost 40 years old. Hector Santiago is rotation padding. Ryan Vogelsong is rotation filler. And I hate the idea of starting a season with filler when you're looking at six (!) guys in the upper minors who can/should get a shot at the MLB rotation within the next 18 months. At least one of them should be able to step forward with an 80 ERA+, which is what Vogelsong brings to the table.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    I know, I know. I've had a few people tell me to read it. I'll get to it sooner or later, I'm in a bit of a reading lull right now.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    The sad thing is that all it requires is for the industry to read a ****ing book, either prose or graphic novels. The age of self-publishing has created a wealth of movies-in-waiting, all it requires is a little digging. So much good stuff out there.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, yuck. For all the crap the latter two-thirds of the Matrix trilogy gets (and deservedly so), there's no reason to reboot that franchise.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Hard to say. I don't think his ceiling is much more than middle of the rotation but the guy cracked a midseason top 100 list IIRC. His upside isn't nothing. And he's still only 23 years old. He's not a 26 year old MiLB journeyman.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    What Buxton needs is a six week course at Delmon Young's School of Outfield Wall Avoidance®. BYTO users will know what I mean by that.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Except what Spycake and I are arguing is that Vogelsong is not a marked improvement over Albers. And you don't start the season with a Vogelsong, you bring that guy up when the **** hits the fan. If you start with Vogelsong, how do you demote him? Why does he accept that demotion? And if he'd accept it, why doesn't he accept it out of Spring Training? Vogelsong has zero upside. He's not even a Pelfrey or Correia or Santiago. He's literally Andrew Albers, except pushing 40. The Twins already have a Santiago. They don't need a worse version of him when they have two guys - Berrios and Mejia - each of which has a half season in AAA or more. Behind them, you have two more guys who had some kind of success in AA last season. Behind them, you have two more guys who had some kind of success in A+ last season. At some point, you need to just walk away from the Vogelsongs of the world.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Exactly. Vogelsong doesn't even have Kevin Correia or Mike Pelfrey upside at this point. So what is gained by putting him in the rotation? That he may be slightly less terrible than your 7/8/9 rotation options or even some rando you pull off the waiver wire?
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    If the Twins find themselves in a spot where they need a Pat Dean type midseason, that means the season has gone to hell in a handbasket again and it's largely irrelevant anyway. At that point, may as well just throw whatever you have at the wall (Romero, Gonsalves, Jay, Stewart) and see what sticks because the season is entirely lost.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Ultimately, I foresee Polanco taking second in the lineup if he's not leading off, so I'm not sure it matters much. The approach between first and second in the lineup shouldn't be drastically different (I'd argue a hitter's approach should never change drastically based on lineup construction but the reality is players seem to think it should). If Mauer continues to be 2014-2016 Mauer, he should be no higher than sixth or seventh in the lineup but I'm fine with starting Polanco/Mauer to begin the season.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    To me, it really boils down to when he was using the pitch. Did hitters know it was coming because Hughes had just thrown two consecutive changeups after throwing three more to the previous batter? A deception pitch is usually only deceptive if the hitter doesn't know it's coming. All in all, I can't judge much from a single start. If Hughes is mixing in the change better two starts from now and it's still getting hammered, then maybe it's a problem.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    "Ready to go" is a bad way to put it. "Ready for another shot" is more what I meant. The guy has more than one season of AAA. At some point, he needs to work on pitching against MLB hitters. Few players are finished products out of the gate and unless the Twins have very specific adjustments Berrios needs to make against MiLB hitters, he should be in the Minnesota rotation. Especially over Ryan Vogelsong, who has been several shades of terrible for the past few years. It's different when you're choosing May, Gibson, or Santiago over Berrios and something else entirely when Ryan Vogelsong is Jose's replacement. May, Gibson, and Santiago have modest upside. Vogelsong's upside is "not the worst starter in the league".
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    The idea of Vogelsong in the rotation makes me want to throw up in my mouth. I'm fine with starting the season with veteran insurance on the roster but that doesn't mean the entire rotation needs to be veterans. Berrios is ready to go right now. Meija will be ready to go soon. Later in the season, one of Gonsalves or Romero or both will be ready to go. And that doesn't bring up guys like Stewart and Jay, who may suddenly step forward at any time. Exactly how much veteran presence does this team need?
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    True, I misread that statement a bit. But that doesn't really change the story much. Hughes was working on a new pitch and it's the middle of March.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    That's fair and I guess I don't really care that much either way... what I care most about right now is that Buxton is nowhere near the top of the lineup. I want to see his OBP get well over .300 before I put him anywhere near the top of the lineup.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    No one is doubting Buxton's speed but if Byron can leg out a triple on a hit, Polanco should be able to score. Not only does Polanco get a 10 foot headstart (6-7 feet on the basepath, 2 feet more from Buxton starting from the RH batter's box), he starts out running (not coming out of a swing), and the distance to throw to home is usually a bit farther than a throw to third. If Buxton can catch up to Polanco on the bases, that means Jorge is a lot slower than what I've seen from him thus far.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Yes, exactly. Polanco isn't going to get in anyone's way. He's fast enough to stay ahead of Buxton given a one base headstart.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Kepler, if he pans out, looks more like a three hitter to me. He has the OBP and power and everything to succeed in that role. Whereas Polanco doesn't have the power, which makes him a better candidate for the top of the lineup.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Hey, I'm as skeptical as anyone about Hughes being in the Opening Day rotation but I'm not going to use a stat line to make a decision. It's almost impossible for me to care less about the homers. What matters to me is that velocity. If the Hammond Stadium gun is accurate (and many reports suggest it is not), that's an encouraging sign... no, that's an understatement. That's an extremely positive sign and one that should get Hughes into the rotation on its own. If Hughes is throwing 92mph, he's one of the five best starters in the organization (maybe even the best starter in the org). End of story. If he's throwing 92mph and turns his change into an average pitch, he could be a well above average starter again. But I'm skeptical any of that will happen, especially based on a single game in mid-March.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    I generally agree but I'm not sure Rosario can ever be "meteoric". The guy simply misses the ball too often, posting a contact percentage of just 73% last season. Sure, if he stops swinging at unhittable pitches that can improve but probably not enough to make him a star player. I see the best case scenario for him being a high 70s or low 80s contact guy. Given Rosario's propensity for swinging at the ball, that contact rate would have to skyrocket up to the high 80s for him to be an elite player. I don't see that kind of transformation happening, as it's never been Eddie's player profile. But he can be a very good player if he gets that contact rate into the low 80s and continues playing good defense.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    My guess is comfort level. Eddie is a much more polished outfielder than Kepler and can likely move around the outfield without much bother. I'm not sure the same can be said for Max, who played a lot of first base in the minors.
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