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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    I'd put Hughes in the bullpen immediately if he's sitting at 90 in late March. Let him work out his issues in the pen and if he kills it, then consider giving him another shot at the rotation. Because if Hughes isn't in the rotation, that means Berrios starts the season in Minnesota. Which would you rather see: Berrios getting a full season of work against MLB hitters or Hughes figuring it out and working on velocity against MLB hitters?
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Ah, my mistake. Eyes drifted over a row while scanning the chart. Either way, he needs to be better or he needs to be moved out of the rotation.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    I pointed out Gibson only because he was so bad last season. Because FanGraphs uses FIP in its calculation, he looked just kinda bad... But the actual results were horrible (-0.7 bWAR). Gibson either needs to improve or he needs to be replaced. I was also calculating a 2 WAR drop in Santana, BTW. We're in agreement there. If the Twins finish with 70 wins and play at that pace (no luck involved), it's hard to say what the future looks like for the team. It depends on who did what and when. But "bottom five" is not synonymous with "fifth worst". My problem with that statement is that the Twins aren't a kinda-bad-but-if-you-squint-right-you-can-see-something-there team, it's that they're possibly the worst team in baseball again. Like "64 wins bad". And that'd be disastrous to the team going forward. Once you get around 70 wins, it's an analysis game... But given the statements made previously in the thread, 70 wins is best case scenario for a bottom five finish.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    I'd be pretty happy with that, just pointing out that Buxton needs to, at the very least, get somewhere around league average overall. His bat can be relatively weak and he's still a pretty good player. If he's a .750 OPS player, he should be well above average overall. He's probably somewhere around a 4 WAR player at that point.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Time will tell. As I've said in the past, I'll be disappointed if roster cuts don't come fast and furious as the season unfolds.* *provided several players are terrible, which is almost a certainty in my eyes
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Sure, there's some wiggle room and that's where interpretation needs to come into play. If the Twins play at a 78 win pace and get slammed with bad luck, winning only 69 games in the process, that's a different story. But if the Twins play at a 68 win pace and win 68 games, that's a problem, IMO. I scanned the past 6-7 years of MLB standings and bottom five puts a team no higher than 70 wins in almost all seasons (IIRC there was one exception). At least half of those seasons, it puts a team down well into 60s win territory.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    Ah, there you go. When I hear "bottom five", I think "sub-70 win total".
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Mike, it's still early March and this is an entirely new front office. We have no idea what to expect from April through July. I'll be as disappointed as anyone if the front office drags its feet with promotions but to imply they won't do it before they've really made a decision on anything is projecting the flaws of the old front office onto the new.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree but I'd be quite happy with 74 wins. In fact, that's right around where I project the team to finish, 73-74 wins. My argument is that those outfielders (and Sano/Berrios) need to produce 2-3 wins apiece or this team's "rebuild" may stall out and then we start over again from scratch.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    I see your point but I look at the numbers very differently. Berrios should get at least 25 starts if healthy. I don't think whether he's on the Opening Day roster is going to affect his playing time that much. May was an oft-injured reliever last season. As a starter, that contribution needs to skyrocket or it's a problem going forward. Gibson was epically terrible last season. While he's not as important as others, the Twins need a better performance from him this season. Buxton and Sano don't need to contribute more, they need to contribute a lot more. Last season, they combined for just 3 fWAR. The Twins need that out of each of them this season. Kepler and Rosario combined for just 2 fWAR last season. Again, that number needs to move toward 6 or we need to be really concerned about them as players. Sure, we can expect some regression from Santana and Dozier but if the young kids don't make up for that regression and tack on several wins beyond that point, it's a problem for the franchise in future seasons. And Santana wasn't that valuable last season. He didn't hit 4 WAR in either Fangraphs or BB-Ref. If he regresses but stays on the field, it's unlikely he'll drop much. On top of all those people mentioned, the Twins received negative WAR performances from a slew of pitchers last season. If that repeats, it's a big problem going forward. It means May, Gibson, and Berrios have likely failed and no young arms from the farm stepped forward in the bullpen. The Twins need to take a step forward this season.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Buxton can't be more up and down than he was last season or it's highly unlikely he'll ever be a good baseball player. Byron ended 2016 with a decent stat line. People seem to forget that happened. Extrapolate his 2016 play over a full season and he's a league average starter, somewhere around 3 fWAR. If he regresses from that point, it becomes almost impossible for him to ever become an above-average player going forward.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    The Twins had one of the worst staffs in recent MLB history (comparatively to other teams in the league) last season and their team ERA was 5.09. Oakland had the second-worst staff in the AL, which was a full half-run better than the Twins. The gap between 2nd and 14th was smaller than the gap between 14th and 15th. I just scanned the AL and had to go all the way back to 2001 to find a pitching staff that was a full half-run behind the second-worst team (the Rangers did it that season).
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    It's going to be really hard to do that when the Director of the FBI - a Republican - is saying he wants the DoJ to reject the claim.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep. Wishing doom upon the 2017 Twins is wishing for a bad franchise for several years as the team rebuilds AGAIN. Sano and Buxton are entering their third seasons. No one is a rookie. If this team wins 70 games, that means most of their young players failed, probably in a big way. This season doesn't hinge on the Kinzlers and Hughes of the world. The part of the roster that matters is either first-year or pre-arbitration and it's a significant portion of the roster.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    FTR, Breath of the Wild is probably the best Zelda game since OoT. Its learning curve is a bit too steep and they allow a bit too much freedom without warning that "YOU WILL DIE HERE" but it's bloody fantastic.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    It hasn't been cancelled by SyFy, has it?
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    You know, I don't even agree with much of this post but it deserves recognition for really sticking the landing.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    God, yes, so much. If you haven't played them already, there are several Castlevania games for the DS (playable on 3DS) that are fantastic. Oh, and New Super Mario Bros 2.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    The problem with mobile is that if a game is complicated enough to require pressure-sensitivity - as Mario Kart does - it's going to either suck or be a dumbed-down version on mobile. Having no physical feedback or pressure-sensitivity holds back mobile from being a good gaming experience for games more complicated than Doodle Jump. I love Mario Kart. It's a super-competitive game when playing with people who are good at the game. It simply wouldn't be the same with a binary on/off gas pedal. Even tapping a mobile screen to emulate pressure doesn't work well, as there's no physical feedback on the button, which limits responsiveness. Instead of resting your finger on a physical button, you have to hold it off the screen entirely. It's slow, awkward, and counter-intuitive. We take for granted how much feedback we get from a physical button, much less a pressure-sensitive button.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    It's only ridiculous to have Hughes in the rotation if he's throwing 89-90mph. If he's 92-93mph, he's easily one of the best five starters in the franchise, possibly on par with or better than Santana. Hughes' 2014 is better than any season posted by Santana and the last time Ervin even came close to Hughes' 2014 was way back in 2008 with the Angels. You can make this case for Santiago but not really Hughes. He's can be a really good pitcher if he has velocity.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    I've always owned all the consoles - the PS4/XBO are the first I've skipped, largely due to age and a busy schedule - but I had the same issue with shooters. Even though I've owned all Nintendo consoles, I've found myself playing them less and less because Nintendo has so drastically departed from what Sony and Microsoft are offering. The Wii consoles were great for first party Ninty stuff but little beyond that. Occasionally, a great Rayman game or something of that ilk will pop up but those games are outnumbered approximately 10:1 by the Gears of Wars, Mass Effects, Last of Us, Uncharteds, etc. from Sony and Microsoft. Though I tend to skew toward Microsoft because they make the best shooter controller by a country mile. Sony and their vertically-aligned sticks can take a hike. I don't like banging my thumbs together to strafe right and turn left at the same time.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Sure, but if three of those guys are playing to their potential, it's tough to see a bottom five finish again, even with this pitching staff. It means most of those players turn out to be mediocre, not the stars we hoped a few of them would become. And that's not even bringing up some of the other guys like May and Gibson. Sure, their ceilings aren't sky-high but if they're terrible, that's a blow to the team going forward. This is one of the youngest rosters in baseball. It's a knock to the franchise if they finish in the cellar again. None of their players are rookies at this point, they need to progress.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Simply put, they can't get developers to make games for their consoles anymore. The Nintendo first party titles are top-notch, as always, but there's little to explore past that point. I bought a Wii U four years ago and have played 3-4 games on it. All were stellar, but they didn't release quickly enough to keep me playing the system. It doesn't help when they've let some of their best franchises - Metroid and Zelda, for starters - die on the vine. Nintendo could print money if they released a modern 2D side-scroller Metroid game and sold it for $30.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    It kinda would, actually. It means most of Kepler, Sano, Buxton, Rosario, Berrios, et al have failed to turn into productive MLB players.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Not yet. Breath of the Wild is available for Wii U so I have no reason to buy a Switch now, maybe ever.
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