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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't think he'll be moved either but I think it has more to do with other teams' interest and offers than any greatness found in Kintzler. He's a lot like Grossman to me. A guy having a good season but not over a long enough timeline to move the needle. And you probably keep that guy because why not?
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm not saying McCann has been worthless, he has been adequate. At $17m per season, the Yankees can deal with "adequate". As we've seen with Mauer, the Twins can't easily absorb that kind of money for middling performance. But McCann had a 120-ish OPS+ in the six years leading up to the NYY deal. The Yankees surely expected decline but I doubt they expected a 20% drop in performance on day one and through the front half of the contract.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    I see it differently. Santana is the only guy on that list whose value is high enough where it may be prohibitively difficult to move him in August. Suzuki is likely to be claimed... By a team that wants Suzuki. Every team has several C-ish level prospects, any one of which will get them Suzuki. They claim him, they offer up a middling prospect, hands are shaken, Suzuki wears a new uniform. Kintzler's value is lower than Suzuki.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Dunno, I guess I see it differently. McCann has been pretty underwhelming for the Yankees, hovering around a 100 OPS+ with 2+ more years on his deal. He's been nothing more than adequate at $17m per season.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    I'd probably sign another middling veteran for 1-2 years (this time, pursue more of a defense-first guy) and just run with it. I'm becoming increasingly convinced that sinking big money into the catching position is a fool's errand. The Twins have enough potency around the diamond where they can live with a bad offensive catcher, provided he gives the team solid defense behind the dish. I don't think a big-money catcher fits into the Twins' plans well at all. If you buy a big-name catcher, you want that guy playing 150-ish games, sliding into DH when he's not behind the plate. The problem there is the Twins already have Vargas, Mauer, Sano, Park, etc. consuming those offense-first positions. If you sign Wieters to a big deal (let's ignore his underwhelming 2016 for now), is he really good enough to supplant those others guys at DH or first on occasion? It seems a bit like throwing bad money at a problem to me. I'd rather see the Twins sink money into pitcher and just hold their nose when the catcher is at the plate.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    I thought it was a mildly interesting trade but not likely to be a long-term solution. I thought Suzuki would get the majority of PAs to start the season and Murphy would transition into a larger role as the season progressed. I felt it was a short- to mid-term "fix" that didn't really *fix* the problem, just kicked the can down the road. Unfortunately, even that didn't happen. I imagine the Yankees feel very similarly about the trade.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't think that's true at all. The Twins and Yankees swapped flawed players in hopes it would work out for both teams. It has failed miserably for both teams. I wasn't fond of the trade but saw why it was made. Murphy's ceiling was/is "competent starter". His likely landing spot is "competent backup". The same can be said for Aaron Hicks. After 110+ games in 2016, neither player has even hit his likely landing spot.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Nick, while I agree with the overall message of the article, this made me chuckle. Garver is a few months older than Murphy.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    But that's not true at all. Justin Morneau and I are approximately the same height and weight. Therefore, we have the same BMI. I look nothing like Justin Morneau. Another good example is one of my best friends and me in high school. We were the exact same size. Height, waist size, everything. We wore the same size in everything. I weighed 20 lbs. more than him, sometimes as much as 25 lbs more. My bones were denser or I had hidden muscle packed in somewhere unknown (we were both rail skinny). But we had wildly different BMI. Read the article I posted. BMI was created by a mathematician, not a physician. It was meant to measure body type in the aggregate, not on an individual basis. BMI is garbage "science". The word "science" shouldn't even appear alongside BMI.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Yes.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    BMI should never be used for anything ever. It's the RBI of health statistics, measuring a result but not tracking the cause. http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=106268439
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Wait, what? No. Park has 244 MLB plate appearances and 119 MiLB plate appearances. That's a touch over 1/2 of a season. He also makes $3m a year. Why give up on that guy? (never mind that his Rochester OPS is .862)
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Sure, I'd rather trade Dozier but if a team is looking to deal a cost-controlled pitcher, it's possibly (probably likely) they will only consider Polanco. But there are other players (mainly MiLB) I'd try to push out the door before Polanco. I think he can be part of the core of the team for a while.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    It would take quite a bit to pry Polanco away from me but if he's part of a package to return a good #2 pitcher, that's a move you have to consider. The Twins have Dozier and Escobar on the team. They have Gordon in the upper minors next season. I don't *want* to trade Polanco but if it improves the team, I give it a lot of thought.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, ask the A's how they feel about Sonny Gray or the Diamondbacks how they feel about Shelby Miller. And those guys are "healthy". Pitching is too fickle compared to positional players. Never mind the risk of injury or Tommy John surgery but how common is it to see a pitcher lose just that "little something" and turn a great pitcher into a mediocre pitcher or a good pitcher into a bad pitcher? We see it throughout baseball every year. I'm all on board with the Twins pursuing a good starter. I'm probably not on board with them auctioning the farm for an "ace". Too much can go wrong there.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    I just don't see it. Sano is a cornerstone piece. You're swapping cornerstone pieces at that point. If you can pull from the minors and deal a combination of Jay, Polanco, Gordon, etc. to get a pitcher, maybe... But not Sano. Never Sano. And I still don't get why people are so hung up on "ace=success". There are plenty of teams that get by without Clayton Kershaw, who has zero World Series rings himself. Yeah, any time you improve at a position, your team gets better. That's great. But with Berrios already on the roster, the Twins *may* not need an "ace". If Berrios turns into a #2, pick up another #2 and then your pitching staff is suddenly pretty good. If your offense is bonkers (which the Twins might have next year), that's a very good team.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, sure. I'm not faulting you for putting on the list, I'm only taking issue with the concept of him being a "sell high" candidate right now. If someone calls about him and is willing to offer something of value, you jump on that.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    Whooaaaaaaa. 1. Trading a position player for a pitcher is a risky game, as pitchers collapse into oblivion much more regularly. Plus, they only play every fifth day. 2. Sano and Gibson for Matz? No. NONONONONONO. On his own, Sano is a more valuable player than Matz. I wouldn't even do that trade straight-up, much less throw in another player. The Mets would be certifiably insane not to jump on that trade before you even finished the sentence, which means your offer is askew.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    Sure. My point is there were multiple options available to avoid Sano playing games in right field. Obviously, none of them were explored.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    There was one really easy way to avoid putting Sano in the OF: Do not sign Byung-Ho Park. Problem solved. This wasn't only a Plouffe vs. Sano issue. Had other roster decisions been made in the offseason, it becomes a non-issue.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Extremely unlikely. 1. It's likely the Twins want to keep Dozier. 2. He won't clear waivers. 3. That means you need to negotiate only with the team who claims him. 4. That team is unlikely to have the prospects you want or is unwilling to pay the price you want for Brian. Many of the same things apply to Ervin Santana but Dozier is more valuable and cheaper. He will return much more than Santana, which makes the job of moving him in August even more difficult. Not impossible, though.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Eh, I don't think it's possible to "sell high" on Grossman. He is what he is and teams know it, at least today. He has 269 PAs. No team is going to pay based on the ~250 successful(ish) plate appearances he has received this season. For now, Grossman should be a keeper unless something markedly better comes along. If he starts off 2017 with an OPS over .750 and posts another good season, then maybe he has some value. But not now.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Not sure what you're trying to say in that last sentence... But Eddie Rosario is a better player than Aaron Hicks. Eddie has his warts but he has accumulated more career value than Hicks in 60% of the playing time.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, I fixed my post. I crossed my eyes while reading columns. After I wrote that, it didn't make sense so I went back and double-checked.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, and I hate to be the guy to bring this up again, but if Buxton was in the minors until a few weeks ago, it's likely Arcia is still with the Twins and a more educated decision could have been made about Oswaldo. Bad decisions often create a domino effect that force more bad decisions. It's not as if this team is lacking in centerfielders, particularly in a lost season. Simply put, Buxton did not need to be in Minnesota.
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