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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Hire Ng as president and let her name the GM (hopefully McLeod). That won't happen but a guy can dream.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm not trying to pick on you but this is a clearcut case of the Dunning Kruger Effect in action. No, you wouldn't be better at Ryan's job than he was from 2011-2015. Neither would I. That doesn't mean there weren't better candidates available but Ryan had 35+ years of baseball experience and was at least moderately capable of performing general manager duties. Which is more than any of us can say.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    How a person views Terry Ryan and Billy Beane seems to tell a lot about their personality (and blindspots). Because, when you get right down to it, they're basically the same guy, although they get there very differently. From 2000 until today, Beane's Athletics had nine postseason appearances, nearly all of them coming from a division with four teams (if you want your "the ALC is weak division" argument countered, there's a good place to start). That's great. Commendable from any GM. Beane's teams won a single postseason series. Against the Twins, naturally. Most of us think it was time for Ryan to go. As sad as it is to see, it became increasingly apparent by the day that he was well past his sell by date. The game had moved on in a way Ryan wasn't equipped to handle. All we can do now is look forward and choose a worthy successor.* *and if that successor is Rob Antony, I may shoot myself
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    I'd prefer to see a first-time GM take the role but why wouldn't an experienced GM want this job? The Twins have a very good farm system and that's after they graduated a handful of young top prospects to MLB. I think this is a pretty attractive job for anyone in baseball who isn't already a GM/president on a winning team. With the right moves, the Twins could be a fringe contender as early as next season and a real contender as early as 2018. How often does a job like that pop up in baseball? Not very often.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Beane has an ownership stake in the A's. Let's put this to bed right now. Billy Beane will not leave Oakland.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    I strongly disagree. Gardenhire and Smith can be assets and good management realizes that just because a person failed in one role doesn't mean you discard them as a failure in all roles. Wanting Gardenhire and Smith out of the organization is an emotional response. Smith is a capable administrator who never should have been named general manager. That's not his fault, that's ownership's fault. Throwing Smith to the curb because ownership put him in a role he was not equipped to fill is arrogance and stupidity on the part of ownership; they're putting their failure to hire the right person at the feet of the employee instead of themselves. If Smith was a capable administrator in 2007, he was likely just as capable of filling that role again in 2012. As for Gardenhire, he's out there coaching young players on the fundamentals of baseball. That was one of Gardy's relative strengths throughout his tenure. Why wouldn't you want that guy back in that role with limited authority over player personnel? Personally, I don't care one way or the other but I understand why the Twins thought he'd be good in that role, as he seemed good at it in the past.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't disagree. I only question whether Antony is capable of getting the right return on those players. Both are under contract and have value. The last thing I want to see is them handed away for junk.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Agreed. As long as he doesn't move anyone under 25 or Santana, Dozier, or Gibson, he can't do much right or wrong at the deadline. My best case scenario here is that Antony doesn't do much at all.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    They're not starting off fresh. Antony definitely knows the players in the organization so that's a plus. But I question his inexperience in handling opposing general managers who may smell blood in the water. I agree that it's unlikely he'll do much long-term damage - I doubt he's going to trade anyone under 25 years old - but I think it's possible, maybe likely, that he gets the short straw on a few trades he executes between now and September.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    No. That's an awful premise. There are good people in the Twins organization. It's the responsibility of the new GM/president to isolate those good people and retain them if they fit into the new organization. Cleaning house just for the sake of cleaning house is an awful management tactic.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, that's a good example of the virtue of patience. Cuddyer turned into Berrios. Sometimes, it's better to just sit on your hands if the opportunity isn't there to make a good move. Again, that's what worries me about this situation.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Those weren't great examples and I should have spent more time elaborating instead of trying to get a post in quickly. My worry is that trades will happen willy-nilly because that's what Antony feels he is supposed to do. That means lots of players shuffled around without a plan in place; who to target, who to move, organizational needs, etc. Compiling a game plan and executing it during something as trying and difficult as the MLB trade deadline without experience is a delicate operation, to say the least... And if Antony feels he has to "impress the boss", it might lead to some pretty stupid decisions.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, I agree teams will be open to interviews, I only question whether they'll let their personnel deal with distractions in the middle of a season. The Twins will likely pursue teams with capable front offices (ie. in a pennant race) and teams want their personnel focused on the challenges at hand, not dallying with another business trying to steal them away.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, there's no way they could bring in someone from the outside and have them handle the deadline. That's completely unreasonable... But it still puts Antony in a dangerous situation. Is he ready to handle assets and negotiate with experienced GMs around the league?
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    No. This is the one part of the decision that terrifies me. I'm picturing a scenario where guys like Dozier and Nunez are handed away for peanuts. I'm also picturing a scenario where nothing happens, though I think that's unlikely because Ryan was just fired, likely over disagreements about what to do at the deadline. Putting an inexperienced person in a position of authority with a strict mandate to "do lots of things" in less than two weeks will often lead to disastrous results.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    My thoughts exactly.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Firing a GM midseason is a statement move. If Rob Antony is GM on December 1st, I'll be shocked. Ownership doesn't can a GM who has been with the franchise for over 30 years (especially a loyalty-based team like the Twins) and then hire his hand-picked successor four months later.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    I never thought I'd see this midseason. I doubly never thought I'd see this less than two weeks before the trade deadline.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree it might be a bit of an overpay but it's in the ballpark... And because I'm in no rush to trade Ervin, that's about what I'd ask. Given Santana's steady(ish) performance and injury history, he's a reasonable gamble to hold on to for at least one more season. If he keeps performing, his value will only go up as his contract winds down.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Personally, I'm in no rush to trade Santana but were someone to offer a 75-100 prospect, I'd probably pull the trigger. If that team required me to pay, say, $4m of Santana's contract in 2017 and 2018, that seems reasonable. Asking for anything higher than the bottom quartile of top 100 prospects is living in a dream world, in my opinion.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm not looking for an overpay, just a fair offer. And the fewer upside arms that are left on the market, I think the closer that offer comes to reality.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    If you have a shot at Pomeranz, why would you be interested in Santana? Let's not pretend even for a moment the two pitchers are comparable. If anything, we should be happy Boston went ahead and pulled the trigger on this deal early so Pomeranz is off the market.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    It's also important to remember that Colorado actually wanted Reyes because the GM of the Rockies is a lunatic. Almost everyone considered Reyes a drag on that deal... Except for Colorado.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    And neither the Pirates nor the Royals won until they burned everything to the ground and rebuilt from the farm system. The Twins, talent-wise, were about a 75-78 win team last season. They had almost everything break right for them... But you're saying that were everything to break entirely super-duper right for them, they could have made the postseason. Luck is not a reason to push all your chips into the middle of the table. It's nearly a sure-fire way to lose over and over again until you're entirely broke. I was fine with Ryan's moves last season, I only think they should have happened a month before they did (or, once May happened, he should have been more aggressive with bullpen fixes from the either the waiver wire or the farm). But the 2015 Twins simply weren't a very good team. They were a mediocre, maybe slightly below mediocre, team that had a bunch of stuff go right for a month.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    And it's a great point. We often talk about how volatile relievers are (excepting the elite guys) and use that as leverage to avoid signing anyone to more than a two year contract (and often, no more than one year). Ryan is notorious for offering one year deals to relievers only to have them reject the offer. But Ryan didn't only trade for the value of 1.5 seasons of Jepsen, he lauded the move because "he'll be here next year, too". Does. Not. Compute.
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