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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    It will be interesting to see how the Ramos situation plays out this season. I could see most teams offering three years and somebody winning him with a fourth. Or I could see some team losing its friggin' mind and offering him five years. You never can tell with players of that type. He's coming off a career year but plays a premium position. He's been oft-injured but looked good in 2016. It all depends on what teams decide to prioritize (and you never know some some lunatic franchise like Arizona will swoop in and do something silly).
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    One interesting thing to note about McCann is that he's been superficially adequate with that contract. I can't combine multiple years because B-Ref is acting up right now but he has something like a +.150 OPS home/road split since going to New York. He's been a very bad hitter on the road and a very good hitter in Yankee Stadium. If he's not playing in Yankee Stadium 50% of the time, it's likely we're looking at that contract and calling it a terrible deal. Year: Home/Road 2016: .706/.776 (actually better on road this year) 2015: .857/.663 2014: .784/.591
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    There's no reason to exclude Posey, as he's only in his age 29 season. Mauer's age 29 season was good for a 140 OPS+ (much higher than Posey's current 122). Mauer followed that with a 142 OPS+ season and then the concussion happened. In short, Posey still has plenty of time to collapse in a spectacular and unfortunate manner. If anyone was a virtual lock to age gracefully, it was Joe Mauer... And we all saw how that went down.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree his return in July would have been better, if only for the longer period the new team would have him on the roster. But we didn't see much movement in the catching market this deadline, which leads me to believe teams just weren't very interested in shoring up catching.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    But we're not talking about moving multiple, organizational-changing assets. We're talking about moving a single prospect that most teams have many of, often in excess. And if the offer is absurd, the Twins can simply say "Eh, Suzuki isn't worth that much anyway. We don't need your crappy prospect. Get lost." And then the contending team that claimed him, the one that actually needed a catcher, is left out in the dry. They still don't have that catcher and they burned a bridge for no reason. This isn't as one-sided as you're making it out to be. When the overall value and return is low, there is very little to be gained by trying to strongarm your opponent. After all, your team is the one who needs a player to improve their postseason chances. The other team is floundering anyway, they don't have much to lose in the short-term. In my experience, most business transactions play out amicably, not like a scene from a Michael Douglas movie.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't think he'll be moved either but I think it has more to do with other teams' interest and offers than any greatness found in Kintzler. He's a lot like Grossman to me. A guy having a good season but not over a long enough timeline to move the needle. And you probably keep that guy because why not?
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm not saying McCann has been worthless, he has been adequate. At $17m per season, the Yankees can deal with "adequate". As we've seen with Mauer, the Twins can't easily absorb that kind of money for middling performance. But McCann had a 120-ish OPS+ in the six years leading up to the NYY deal. The Yankees surely expected decline but I doubt they expected a 20% drop in performance on day one and through the front half of the contract.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    I see it differently. Santana is the only guy on that list whose value is high enough where it may be prohibitively difficult to move him in August. Suzuki is likely to be claimed... By a team that wants Suzuki. Every team has several C-ish level prospects, any one of which will get them Suzuki. They claim him, they offer up a middling prospect, hands are shaken, Suzuki wears a new uniform. Kintzler's value is lower than Suzuki.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Dunno, I guess I see it differently. McCann has been pretty underwhelming for the Yankees, hovering around a 100 OPS+ with 2+ more years on his deal. He's been nothing more than adequate at $17m per season.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    I'd probably sign another middling veteran for 1-2 years (this time, pursue more of a defense-first guy) and just run with it. I'm becoming increasingly convinced that sinking big money into the catching position is a fool's errand. The Twins have enough potency around the diamond where they can live with a bad offensive catcher, provided he gives the team solid defense behind the dish. I don't think a big-money catcher fits into the Twins' plans well at all. If you buy a big-name catcher, you want that guy playing 150-ish games, sliding into DH when he's not behind the plate. The problem there is the Twins already have Vargas, Mauer, Sano, Park, etc. consuming those offense-first positions. If you sign Wieters to a big deal (let's ignore his underwhelming 2016 for now), is he really good enough to supplant those others guys at DH or first on occasion? It seems a bit like throwing bad money at a problem to me. I'd rather see the Twins sink money into pitcher and just hold their nose when the catcher is at the plate.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    I thought it was a mildly interesting trade but not likely to be a long-term solution. I thought Suzuki would get the majority of PAs to start the season and Murphy would transition into a larger role as the season progressed. I felt it was a short- to mid-term "fix" that didn't really *fix* the problem, just kicked the can down the road. Unfortunately, even that didn't happen. I imagine the Yankees feel very similarly about the trade.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't think that's true at all. The Twins and Yankees swapped flawed players in hopes it would work out for both teams. It has failed miserably for both teams. I wasn't fond of the trade but saw why it was made. Murphy's ceiling was/is "competent starter". His likely landing spot is "competent backup". The same can be said for Aaron Hicks. After 110+ games in 2016, neither player has even hit his likely landing spot.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Nick, while I agree with the overall message of the article, this made me chuckle. Garver is a few months older than Murphy.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    But that's not true at all. Justin Morneau and I are approximately the same height and weight. Therefore, we have the same BMI. I look nothing like Justin Morneau. Another good example is one of my best friends and me in high school. We were the exact same size. Height, waist size, everything. We wore the same size in everything. I weighed 20 lbs. more than him, sometimes as much as 25 lbs more. My bones were denser or I had hidden muscle packed in somewhere unknown (we were both rail skinny). But we had wildly different BMI. Read the article I posted. BMI was created by a mathematician, not a physician. It was meant to measure body type in the aggregate, not on an individual basis. BMI is garbage "science". The word "science" shouldn't even appear alongside BMI.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Yes.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    BMI should never be used for anything ever. It's the RBI of health statistics, measuring a result but not tracking the cause. http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=106268439
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Wait, what? No. Park has 244 MLB plate appearances and 119 MiLB plate appearances. That's a touch over 1/2 of a season. He also makes $3m a year. Why give up on that guy? (never mind that his Rochester OPS is .862)
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    Sure, I'd rather trade Dozier but if a team is looking to deal a cost-controlled pitcher, it's possibly (probably likely) they will only consider Polanco. But there are other players (mainly MiLB) I'd try to push out the door before Polanco. I think he can be part of the core of the team for a while.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    It would take quite a bit to pry Polanco away from me but if he's part of a package to return a good #2 pitcher, that's a move you have to consider. The Twins have Dozier and Escobar on the team. They have Gordon in the upper minors next season. I don't *want* to trade Polanco but if it improves the team, I give it a lot of thought.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, ask the A's how they feel about Sonny Gray or the Diamondbacks how they feel about Shelby Miller. And those guys are "healthy". Pitching is too fickle compared to positional players. Never mind the risk of injury or Tommy John surgery but how common is it to see a pitcher lose just that "little something" and turn a great pitcher into a mediocre pitcher or a good pitcher into a bad pitcher? We see it throughout baseball every year. I'm all on board with the Twins pursuing a good starter. I'm probably not on board with them auctioning the farm for an "ace". Too much can go wrong there.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    I just don't see it. Sano is a cornerstone piece. You're swapping cornerstone pieces at that point. If you can pull from the minors and deal a combination of Jay, Polanco, Gordon, etc. to get a pitcher, maybe... But not Sano. Never Sano. And I still don't get why people are so hung up on "ace=success". There are plenty of teams that get by without Clayton Kershaw, who has zero World Series rings himself. Yeah, any time you improve at a position, your team gets better. That's great. But with Berrios already on the roster, the Twins *may* not need an "ace". If Berrios turns into a #2, pick up another #2 and then your pitching staff is suddenly pretty good. If your offense is bonkers (which the Twins might have next year), that's a very good team.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, sure. I'm not faulting you for putting on the list, I'm only taking issue with the concept of him being a "sell high" candidate right now. If someone calls about him and is willing to offer something of value, you jump on that.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Whooaaaaaaa. 1. Trading a position player for a pitcher is a risky game, as pitchers collapse into oblivion much more regularly. Plus, they only play every fifth day. 2. Sano and Gibson for Matz? No. NONONONONONO. On his own, Sano is a more valuable player than Matz. I wouldn't even do that trade straight-up, much less throw in another player. The Mets would be certifiably insane not to jump on that trade before you even finished the sentence, which means your offer is askew.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Sure. My point is there were multiple options available to avoid Sano playing games in right field. Obviously, none of them were explored.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    There was one really easy way to avoid putting Sano in the OF: Do not sign Byung-Ho Park. Problem solved. This wasn't only a Plouffe vs. Sano issue. Had other roster decisions been made in the offseason, it becomes a non-issue.
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