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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Interesting. I know nothing of oil, really. When I started investing, my wife and I made a pact that we wouldn't invest in anything we find deplorable. That means no oil, gas, or banks, mostly. I'm still kicking myself that I didn't invest in Wells Fargo after the scandal, though. That was an easy 20% gain and I knew it was going to happen.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    I think that is expecting far too much of Molitor. We were sold a very different Molitor than what we've seen on the field.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Whitworth or go home.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, I don't mind taking a flyer on Vargas, as he's still young enough to be a stopgap DH. If he can post a .780 OPS, that's fine for a spell. Or if you can combine Vargas and Grossman to get .800 out of the DH spot in a platoon, that's even better. But I think that's approaching a best case scenario.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Range Factor doesn't account for shifting, does it? Unless they changed it recently, I'm pretty sure it doesn't adjust for shifting. The same goes for UZR, I believe. It's hard to put much weight in either statistic at that point, particularly in small numbers and for infielders who shift more frequently than their outfield counterparts.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm not familiar with that character, though that doesn't mean he doesn't exist.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    It's not a bad bet. I don't see Disney dropping much unless the entire market drops with it.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    I got into Disney around $100 as a safe bet stock. I wouldn't be in a rush to pick them up at $109. Upside: - Marvel and Star Wars are printing money - The acquisition of MLBAM was a smart one Downside: - ESPN will continue to be marginalized and ABC isn't going to light the world on fire - Marvel printing money won't last forever, the market is saturating I consider Disney a light growth stock overall. Maybe it beats the market a bit but it won't outpace the market, IMO.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Fair enough, that's true.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't buy into this line of thought, as it's predicated on the idea that pitch framing involves tricking the umpire. It doesn't. Pitch framing isn't only about turning a negative into a positive, it's also about keeping a positive a positive. Pitch framing is as much about convincing the umpire a strike is a strike as it is convincing an umpire a ball is a strike.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    I liked both Luke Cage and DD season two but, yeah, the second half of both seasons paled in comparison to the first half. I thought Cage really fell off a cliff. Elektra was meh and Diamondback was legitimately kinda terrible.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Having a hard time getting excited about Iron Fist. So tired of origin stories, particularly when half of them are the same thing over and over again.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    I suspect yes. Maybe a 60% chance of a claim. Given that he can play multiple positions (badly) but is still quite young (age 26 season in 2017), I think there's a team out there that would put him on the 40-man with Spring Training just around the corner. Would he make it to the 25 man roster out of Spring Training? Probably not. But he's the type of guy a team might pick up on a lark just to invite him to camp.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    The Twins sure fooled the Red Sox on Fernando Abad.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Ah, yes, okay. They're going even deeper than my idea and that's a good thing. Instead of looking at team performance, they're isolating hit types.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    If this is true - and I'm not conceding it is - then park factor is mostly useless. The only way to properly calculate park factor is to use a wide range of seasons and compare them to other parks during the same year. For example, one would need to treat the seven years of Target Field nearly equally and Target Field can't be isolated; ie. 2010 Target Field needs to be offset by factors such as "how did the 2010 Indians play in Yankee Stadium, how did the 2010 Rangers play in Angel Stadium, etc." and equalize those numbers against how those same teams performed in 2010 Target Field. That's the only way I can think of to minimize home team influence on their own stadium.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Not only that but the Twins defense has grown worse as well. And the AL Central, their primary opponents, have gotten better.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    I've noticed that trend over the past couple of years. After being an extreme pitcher's park in 2010, it seems Target Field has slowly evolved into a slightly hitter-friendly ballpark. Which doesn't make one damned bit of sense. To me, it brings into the question the validity of park adjustments. I can understand some fluctuation as the park plays for a few years but not a wild swing to "cannot hit homers here" to "hey, this place is on the hitter-friendly side of the scale". It can't be entirely coincidental that as the Twins field an incrementally worse and worse pitching staff, the park suddenly becomes "hitter friendly".
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, I didn't take the batting number listed very seriously, more as a humorous take on the bullpen and the team's overall terribleness last season. The Twins offense was obviously better than 25th out of 30 teams. Their OPS fell right in the middle of the pack in the AL, IIRC.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    That's an interesting way to look at it considering both Park and Light fall under the "one-dimensional power" category, though obviously in very different ways.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    It was. It did a thing that makes me want to rewatch the show because I don't fully understand the mechanism that triggered it: In every single reveal, my wife and I figured it out between 3-15 minutes before it happened. Not far in advance, just a few minutes. We basically took turns going "AH! IT'S THIS PERSON!" It's a really enjoyable process. It removes the blindside of a reveal but gives great pleasure to the viewer as they "figure it out" and then it immediately rolls into the reveal to keep the suspense high. And I'm not sure exactly what they did to engage us that way (some times, anyway). The first Bernard revel was a gimme because of the door he couldn't see. The second was because of his child and the hint-dropping about cornerstones. But a few others I can't remember, such as the Wyatt reveal (which we figured out well in advance, actually, at least half of an episode). The writing was super-clever in that show (when it wasn't miring itself down unnecessarily, that is). The last two episodes of the season are basically a writing master class unto themselves.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Finally finished Westworld. It could have been 7 or 8 episodes instead of 10 but I can't complain too much. The last few episodes were throwing curveballs left and right and it was fun to just keep up with what was happening. The one flaw is the pacing. Too many dead spots in the show as it slows down for no apparent reason but the payoff is so good that it's worth the wait.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Touche.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Given his age and velocity, he's the type of guy who can and possibly should be ushered right to the bigs. Unfortunately, the dude keeps getting injured. Relievers like Burdi don't have to learn three pitches and refine their command. They shouldn't be led along at a snail's pace as they were with the old front office. Not that I'm saying Burdi should be on the MLB roster right now, only that whether he dominated enough lower levels sufficiently shouldn't be the deciding factor. If the dude can throw it 98 over the plate and not walk every other batter, get him up here because, in case no one else has noticed, the bullpen is terrible.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    I was just checking on that. I think you're right.
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