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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    I think the Twins have more flexibility in that role than most teams given the starting OF of Buxton, Kepler, and Rosario. But that flexibility disappears if Buxton is demoted. But until that happens, I think the Twins should consider a bat-first fourth outfielder over an all-glove, no hit outfielder.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    I have some hope Palka can put it together this year and get a taste of MLB pitching.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    It's not in the team's best interest for Granite to see an MLB roster in 2017, I think. The guy is a questionable hitter who hasn't played a single game above AA. What do you think happens to that guy if he faces MLB pitching? Aaron Hicks and Byron Buxton failed spectacularly in similar situations and they posted MiLB OPSes that were literally 150+ points higher than Granite.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Whoa. You'll have a hell of a time convincing me that Granite, with a MiLB career OPS of .703, is more of an offensive weapon than Grossman. You're seriously undervaluing Grossman's play with the Twins. Since joining the team, he has an OPS+ of 127. Miguel Sano's career OPS+ is 129.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Grossman has opened the season with an OBP over .400 and and OPS just under .800. You never cut that guy. Never ever. I don't care whether he perfectly fits your roster because you find space for that guy. Of course, Grossman may not maintain that OPS. Then you reconsider.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    I've watched most of the games and listened to them all. Polanco has looked acceptable out there, even good on a few plays. Though he botched an easy grounder... yesterday, was it?
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    Hey now, don't forget my sleeper on this year's roster: Jorge Polanco. Jorge has looked really good out there.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    It's hard for me to care who is the odd man out, I just want them to make a decision and get either Vargas or Park up here soon.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah... the last time I was worried about Mauer's defense was around 2015 and it turned out he was hurt at the time. The guy is solid at first.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Probably very little, as BYTO was pretty patient with prospects, especially good ones. But he'd almost certainly have a word filter like "pinwheel" by this point.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Pathetic.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    What has Hughes' velocity been tonight? I'll watch the game tomorrow but I'm curious how he looks out there.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Nice. I love the aggressive righty/lefty shuffling Molitor is doing this season. Where the hell was this guy the past two seasons?
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    I just realized Hughes is on the mound tonight. Truly disappointed that I won't be able to watch the game. Heart breaking.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep. When I saw Buxton flail hopelessly at a few pitches, then lose the leg kick, then bring it back, that's when I started becoming concerned. It's his process that worries me, not the early results.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    In situations like these, I prefer to use league stats over MLB stats. There's just too much noise between the NL and AL data. And the Twins were fifth in both overall walks and BB% (the better stat of the two, IMO) in the AL last season. And that's pretty good overall. As for strikeouts, I think it's six of one, half dozen of the other. Some of the young players certainly struggle with pitch recognition and swing at bad pitches but they're making up that ground at times, laying off pitches at an acceptable rate overall.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm meh on their pizza but love their brunch.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    Where are you getting this stat? According to MLB.com, the 2016 team was fifth in the AL in overall walks. Fangraphs had them fifth in BB% in the AL as well. The 2016 squad had a ton of flaws but patience wasn't one of them and the team should only improve in that regard for 2017. Subtract Suzuki, add Castro. Subtract Santana playing time, add Kepler. Subtract Escobar playing time, add Polanco. When all is said and done for 2017, it wouldn't surprise me to see this team third- or fourth-best in AL BB%.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    Strikeouts are definitely a problem in this lineup, I was merely pointing out that many of the players have acceptable or better walk rates.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    I can't speak for the rest of the board but I'm getting tired from all this winning.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    If managers use that book on this team, I think they'll get burned and change that plan in a hurry. Kepler doesn't swing at everything and will likely swing at less going forward (career .074 isoD). Sano doesn't swing at everything, he just misses a lot when he does swing (career .098 isoD). I think people continually underrate Polanco's patience and I expect him to be one of the pleasant surprises of the season (career .059 isoD). Dozier certainly isn't afraid to take a pitch (.074 isoD). Castro has always been a relatively patient hitter. It's one of his few offensive pluses (.078 isoD). When you get down to it, two guys in the everyday lineup have bad discipline (Buxton and Rosario). And I expect Rosario to take a small step forward in that regard, though he'll never be patient. As for Buxton, he's a complete wildcard. I have no idea what to expect from the guy. Overall, this lineup is pretty patient across the board.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    I'll take the over on a .663 OPS for Max. I think he'll struggle through periods of the season but I'm pretty bullish on the kid. I don't know if I'd predict a .770 OPS for him but he's certainly capable of it... if I had a gun to my head, I'd probably put him in the .720-.740 range. A few months of dominant hitting (.800+ OPS) mixed in with some abysmal .600 OPS months as pitchers adjust and take the advantage. I suspect Max will suffer early in the season as opposing managers stack LHP against him, especially if he stays near the top of the lineup.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep, I was all in favor of starting him at the bottom and forcing him to work his way up the lineup. I hope he succeeds in the three spot but the first two games are a good example of why I didn't want him at the top of the lineup in the first place. But this entire lineup is so whacky that I don't know if I'd be hitting anyone where Molitor has put them.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    I didn't understand the Opening Day lineup at all but it amused the hell out of me because it was so absurd. And it ended in a lopsided win for the Twins. With a righty coming up in today's game, I'm pulling for an equally absurd but completely different lineup because confusion is sometimes delightfully fun.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    If Buxton has a .400 OBP this season, I'll eat my hat. There are situations where you simply want to get on base and Buxton should be able to steal second almost on command. And bunting for a hit 40% of the time is not an unreasonable number. http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2012/12/10/3748738/best-bunter-all-time-career-bunt-hits-bases-empty-mlb Bill James agrees. If you put a bunt down the third base line, the expected batting average is over .700. http://www.billjamesonline.com/bunting_for_a_hit/
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