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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    There aren't many teams who would give up much for Polanco. Contending teams want someone with less risk, a proven commodity. Rebuilding teams, more willing to take risk on unproven players, are loathe to trade prospects.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, it minimizes it a bit but even flyball pitchers put 30-40% of contact on the ground.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree Escobar is a better backup guy than a starter but I'd still rather see him at short than Polanco.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Hah, yeah, just the other day we were talking about the potential damage caused by keeping Dozier and how it creates a defensive domino effect throughout the infield. In no way am I accusing Nick of swiping the idea, just that many of us realize keeping Dozier has some effects that could hinder the team in 2017. Despite Escobar's flaws, I'm far more comfortable with him at short and Polanco at second than I am Polanco at short and Dozier at second. And that's not even bringing up the option of going glove-first at short, either through the minors (Vielma) or picking up a stop-gap solution for a season.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    True, but I hope that problem departed with Terry Ryan.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Sure. The dollars aren't really a problem, it's more the length of the contract. Hughes is going to be paid by the Twins through 2019. Technically speaking, his extension hasn't even kicked in yet. And that's a discouraging thought. I hope Phil can rebound. The Twins need a competent starter and they don't need another albatross contract (even though it's not going to kill the payroll).
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, if everything goes right with Santiago, you might be able to flip him for a C prospect. No one is going to give much for him. With that said, I didn't mind keeping Santiago. I was pretty lukewarm on the idea and didn't care much either way. But the Twins need pitchers. While we can lament the "logjam" of Hughes, Gibson, Santiago, Santana, Berrios, May, Duffey, that's not really much of a logjam. It's throwing a bunch of mediocrity at the wall and hoping five of them stick. And when you have 5-ish mediocre/rebound pitchers in the mix for rotation spots on Opening Day, there's a high likelihood at least two of them fail immediately and the "logjam" disappears by May 1st. I suspect all of this sorts itself out rather quickly. The only players I really care about on that list are Berrios and, to a lesser extent, May. As long as they're both in the rotation by May 1st (May will probably need to start there, otherwise he'll be relegated to the pen), I can't get too riled up about keeping Santiago in hopes he's not awful.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Yes. The only caveat is that I'm open to adding the DH to the NL and expanding rosters to 26 across baseball. With the DH and relievers, 25 men is a bit cramped. Adding one guy would make for better baseball, not worse. But 28 men? No way. I can only imagine how someone like Terry Francona would manage that roster. We'd see the first seven hour nine inning baseball game. Giving the managers a touch more flexibility is fine, letting them go hog-wild with substitutions and pitching changes is not.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Pretty much, yeah. The guy ended his career with a 141 ERA+, 25.8 K%, 7.0 BB%, .83 HR/9, and .263 BABIP. Oh, and he made 47 or more appearances 17 out of 18 years he pitched in baseball. The dude was dominant, consistent, and healthy.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    It's absolute madness that Hoffman wasn't a first ballot guy. The Hall of Fame continues to make no sense.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    While I agree the Twins should try a 1B platoon, we shouldn't expect too much from it. Vargas didn't have extreme splits in MiLB. He was slightly better against RHP most seasons, actually.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    He would, but Dozier needs to go first. Trying to squeeze Drew, Escobar, and Polanco into 1.5 positions (full-time SS, part of 3B) is a tall order. If Dozier is gone and Polanco slides to second, I'd wholly endorse that move.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    With Sano and Buxton, the upside is there where I'm willing to take a bigger risk in length and money. I'd want one, preferably two, post-arb seasons and I'd be willing to pay for them.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    As I mentioned later, I don't go overboard criticizing the move, either, I simply don't think it was necessary. But overall, I'm conservative when it comes to paying players after a big season. I didn't want to do it for Dozier, either, but was fine with buying out his arb seasons because it was such a low-risk move. Little upside, little downside. And that move turned out to be a good one, as Dozier will be paid ~$10m less than what he would have received in arbitration.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Another good quarter for Netflix, up 8% in after hours trading.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    I fully agree. That's not my wheelhouse in tech but I know a few people who are security experts. Next time I see them, I need to pick their brains and get some opinions.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Spring Training is a process. If a guy is down a few mph on March 1st, it's worth noting but not time to pull the fire alarm and run. If a guy is down a few mph on March 30th, then it's time to pay attention and potentially take action. My problem with the past few Spring Trainings is that people go into a five-alarm fire drill on March 10th.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    I haven't ruled out Microsoft, as I like how they've repositioned themselves - ignoring their outright failure in mobile, which they've largely given up on entirely - but I'm wary of investing in more tech stocks, as that's over half my portfolio. Then again, I know tech so that's a plus. I see a roadmap for Microsoft and while it's not a huge gain stock, it's solid.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    Damn, I completely forgot about Santiago. Gee, I wonder how that happened.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    True, they didn't pay him market value. It was a calculated risk, one that didn't pay off. I'm not super-critical of the deal, I simply don't believe it was necessary. I'd rather see the Twins take a gamble on Phil Hughes after 2014 than pay one more damned cent to the likes of Mike Pelfrey or Kevin Correia.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    That's not a terrible solution but it's unlikely all of Berrios, Meija, and May will thrive in the rotation, at least right off the bat. I'm fine with giving Hughes, Berrios, May, and Meija legitimate shots at three rotation spots coming out of Spring Training. It's likely at least one of them will falter in March and the decision makes itself at that point. I suppose Duffey could "get a shot" as well but I don't see him as a starter, not with his pitches.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm not doing short-term investments, to be clear. If I buy into a company, I keep them for AT LEAST one year. I don't bounce around my money and have no interest in playing that game, as I'm more likely to lose than win. The main reason I'm diversifying my investment in Apple is: 1. Apple was my first major buy. I made a lot of money on them quickly - about 60% - and then their stock stagnated. I'm not completely divesting from Apple but I no longer want 20% of my portfolio in the company. More like 10-12% would be preferable. 2. My faith in Apple has waned. I'm sticking with the company but, again, no longer want them as my "portfolio centerpiece".
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    That bothered me less, as it was modest money for a guy who wouldn't kill you as the backup catcher. Suzuki got $12m over two years. Hughes got $40m over three years on top of the $16m he was already owed over the coming two years. A five year commitment of over $55m.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    I felt it was unnecessary. The Twins had Hughes for two more seasons and 2014 was easily his career season to date. Yeah, you stand to lose a little by waiting one season to extend that player but you also drastically reduce risk of paying a guy for an outlier season. As it turned out, it was an outlier season.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Phil Hughes will not be a successful pitcher again unless his velocity returns. If his current ailment wasn't causing his velocity issues, he's cooked. And that's the $64,000 question, really. Is the injury and resulting surgery the cause of Hughes' 2015/16 woes or is it something else? We'll know more soon. If Hughes is in the 92-93mph range near the end of Spring Training, he can bounce back. If he's still throwing 89-91, he's done. To me, his 2015/16 numbers are irrelevant to whether he'll make a comeback because those woes were the result of decreased velocity. If the velocity comes back, so will Hughes (to what level, we can argue all day long). If the velocity doesn't come back, neither will Hughes.
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