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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp
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I'd put Hughes in the bullpen immediately if he's sitting at 90 in late March. Let him work out his issues in the pen and if he kills it, then consider giving him another shot at the rotation. Because if Hughes isn't in the rotation, that means Berrios starts the season in Minnesota. Which would you rather see: Berrios getting a full season of work against MLB hitters or Hughes figuring it out and working on velocity against MLB hitters?
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It hasn't been cancelled by SyFy, has it?
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It's only ridiculous to have Hughes in the rotation if he's throwing 89-90mph. If he's 92-93mph, he's easily one of the best five starters in the franchise, possibly on par with or better than Santana. Hughes' 2014 is better than any season posted by Santana and the last time Ervin even came close to Hughes' 2014 was way back in 2008 with the Angels. You can make this case for Santiago but not really Hughes. He's can be a really good pitcher if he has velocity.
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I've only watched the first episode of Legion. I was a bit underwhelmed, actually. The setting was fantastic, liked all the actors, but the pacing of the first episode was sloooooooow. The hallway scene after the "incident" seemed to take an hour for no real reason. I think Hawley was trying to ramp up the intensity but it fell flat for me. Overall, lots of like about the show but I hope it evens out a bit going forward. The mind-bending scenes are fine (sometimes good) but in that first episode, it felt that if something required a minute, they took three to show it.
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Yeah, they have growth potential outside of cars - and ultimately, I think batteries will be their bread and butter - but their valuation is still sky-high even if you include their other businesses. I think Tesla will be a slow grind even as they become profitable. At some point, their product needs to balance with their valuation.
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On the other hand, I'm pretty down on Tesla. I love love love their business model but I got into the company at an inflated price, one that may be too high to ever climb out of (I'm up overall but not by a lot). If I could take back one investment of the past two years, it'd be Tesla. How much will you squeeze out of Tesla stock in the coming decade if their market valuation is already at something around 1/3rd the market valuation of General Motors? I'm sticking with Tesla because I view them as a 20 year stock but even that may be a mistake. It's going to take years and years for them to produce enough product to be worth what they're worth today, much less what they should be worth in five years.
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If you're looking to stash money in a stock for at least the mid-term, I'd consider putting a bit of money in Square. I think they have the potential to break through in a pretty big way. Given their stock price is still well under $20/share, any gains are a pretty significant percentage of your investment. Out of the recent tech IPOs, I think they're one of the more underrated companies and have felt that way for quite some time. I don't think it's likely they will jump to $80/share but I think we could easily see $40/share prices if they break into profitability next holiday quarter. I think too many are letting the disappointment of Twitter skew their perceptions of Square. The business model is rock-solid and has the potential to be a true market disruption. Credit card processing tech is ripe to be steamrolled by an agile tech company and Square nailed that business model almost on day one.
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Either way, does it matter much? Kirilloff is a several years away from Minnesota either way. If his time table moves back 6-9 months, is that really going to impact the Twins going forward? It was much more frustrating with Sano, who was on the verge of graduating to Minnesota had he stayed healthy.
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Article: Twins Position Battles: Backup Catcher
Brock Beauchamp replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Mauer will never catch another game in Major League Baseball. The guy had his brain rattled pretty severely. His catching days are done.- 100 replies
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It seems pretty logical to be wary of putting a 19 year old kid under the knife unnecessarily. If this is truly a lingering injury, Kirilloff was only 18 years old when it happened. Unfortunate, but I have a hard time blaming either Kirilloff or the Twins for giving an 18 year old body a chance to recuperate on its own.
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Article: Twins Position Battles: Backup Catcher
Brock Beauchamp replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I think "adding one young player" is a bit misleading when referring to this team. The Twins have one of the youngest rosters in baseball right now. Sure, they don't have many (any) rookies but they have a bunch of under-26 talent that needs to play and grow if this team is going to advance and win more games in future seasons. I don't care about 72 or 78 wins much, either, but baseball is often an incremental game when building a team. You try to hit that 75 win total because it puts you in a good position to hit 83 wins the following season. You don't try to achieve that 75 win total by playing veteran starters on expiring contracts but the Twins aren't doing that. When you get right down to it, we're talking about a catcher who will spend far more time interacting with the pitching staff in practice and drills than on the field, a guy who will receive maybe ~200 plate appearances if he sticks around for the entire season. What's it worth to have that kind of guy in the clubhouse all season? I have no idea. I hope Falvey and Levine do, though.- 100 replies
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Article: Twins Position Battles: Backup Catcher
Brock Beauchamp replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Everyone should care about every starter on the 2017 squad because they will win/lose games. While the team should be in evaluation mode, that doesn't mean you punt on the people currently on the roster. And I think you're being a bit too black and white about this subject. No one is saying that Garver and Murphy aren't adequate or even good at working with pitchers, calling a game, or framing, but maybe they're not as good as Gimenez. And that's where I have to trust the new front office to use every tool available to them to quantify those differences into pure run and win/loss totals. If the result is neutral, sure, you go with the young guy over the veteran because it's important for this team to look forward as often as possible. But if the veteran has a distinct advantage, you give that veteran strong consideration for the 25 man roster.- 100 replies
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- mitch garver
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Article: Twins Position Battles: Backup Catcher
Brock Beauchamp replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I don't think it's only the young guys who need help. Gibson was atrocious last season. Hughes was injured. Santiago often teeters between competency and full-blown trainwreck mode. Santana is the only guy on the staff whom I'd trust to call his own pitches and throw to a robot behind the plate. One guy out of 12. Good framing and smart pitch-calling benefits everyone on the staff. Now, is Gimenez better enough at those skills to supplant Murphy on Opening Day? Dunno, that's a high bar to reach, as Murphy is generally regarded as being adequate at those things. To me, this is a situation where I have to trust that Falvey and Levine know a hell of a lot more about baseball than I do. I see their reasoning but I'm not convinced it's the right move.- 100 replies
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- mitch garver
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Article: Twins Position Battles: Backup Catcher
Brock Beauchamp replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I appears the argument isn't whether Gimenez benefits Garver or Murphy, it's whether Gimenez benefits the pitching staff. I'm not sold on Gimenez making the 25 man roster but after lamenting the defensive acumen of this team for the past several seasons, I can't complain too much if the front office tries hard to fix that problem, even at the expense of offensive firepower.- 100 replies
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- mitch garver
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Article: Twins Position Battles: Backup Catcher
Brock Beauchamp replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I'd be disappointed in that as well but I don't believe Castro is the guy in Garver's way, at least not right now. Gimenez and Murphy are likely the guys getting in the way of Garver playing in Minnesota. Castro doesn't really have anything to do with it and probably won't until those other two guys get their chances in some capacity.- 100 replies
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- mitch garver
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Article: Twins Position Battles: Backup Catcher
Brock Beauchamp replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I will be immensely disappointed if at least one of Berrios and May is not in the rotation on Opening Day. And I hope it's May because once he's in the bullpen, he's in the bullpen for the season. Hard to move a guy back into the rotation without a demotion to Rochester first. And if Berrios is in Rochester to start the season, he better be back in Minnesota by late May because you know at least one of those starters is going to light himself on fire to start the season. And Gimenez will be here the entire season (provided things work out), which means he may be catching several other young guys who come up during the season. Like I said, I'm not terribly keen on the idea but I get it.- 100 replies
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- mitch garver
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Article: Twins Position Battles: Backup Catcher
Brock Beauchamp replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
No.- 100 replies
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Article: Twins Position Battles: Backup Catcher
Brock Beauchamp replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Sure, but Garver could easily get reps in both 2018 and early 2019 before taking full-time duties at catcher. I'm not terribly keen on the idea of Gimenez making the 25-man roster but if he's good with pitchers, I won't get too upset about it, either. This pitching staff needs all the help it can get and given the relative offensive stability of the roster, sacrificing some offense to help that beleaguered staff makes some sense.- 100 replies
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- mitch garver
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Article: Twins Position Battles: Backup Catcher
Brock Beauchamp replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I don't really disagree but Castro is signed for three years. Garver doesn't have to start 2017 in Minnesota to potentially replace Castro three years from now.- 100 replies
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- mitch garver
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Article: Twins Position Battles: Backup Catcher
Brock Beauchamp replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Hmmm, going with Gimenez makes more sense when framed this way.- 100 replies
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- mitch garver
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Article: Twins Position Battles: Backup Catcher
Brock Beauchamp replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I understand why Gimenez got a ST invite - need all teh catchersssss - but I don't understand why he's in the conversation for the 25 man roster. Murphy is the pretty obvious solution for backup catching duties. He's a decent defensive catcher and has offensive potential. It won't kill Garver to spend a bit more time in Rochester playing every day. If Murphy fails, you call up Garver. Maybe you demote Murphy, maybe you just release him and pick up more catching fodder to fill out your 40 man. Either way, I don't really care... But Murphy's track record is good enough that he deserves another shot at hitting in Target Field.- 100 replies
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- mitch garver
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I'll have to keep an eye on Nvidia. Square got a nice boost today of 12-13%. Their earnings report was only negative four cents per share, which means they could become profitable in the next few quarters. Which, hilariously enough, puts them in better position than Dorsey's other company, Twitter.

