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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    While I agree it's highly unlikely Dozier will be more valuable in June than he is today, it's not a foregone conclusion. Teams at the deadline are sometimes desperate for talent. It's a longshot - one I wouldn't take willingly - but it's not certain what Dozier will bring at the deadline.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Very true but that may put even more pressure on the Dodgers in the short term. An emergent Urias along with Kershaw make Dozier even more appealing for two years.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    They're not. Maybe they're not quite as rabid as east coast fans but SoCal fans are not particularly forgiving, particularly when it comes to the Dodgers (which is LA's "first team", the Angels get a bit more slack).
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    No, they don't, but the clock is ticking. Clayton Kershaw is entering his age 29 season. After the conclusion of his age 30 season, he can opt out of his contract. It's possible for the Dodgers to win without Kershaw but 8 WAR pitchers don't grow on trees and they don't remain 8 WAR pitchers indefinitely, even if you can keep them.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm not so sure of that. Baseball runs on a schedule and teams have to prepare for that schedule whether they plan to contend or not. If two teams can't come to terms on something in six weeks, it's likely they will never come to terms on the matter. Drawing a soft line in the sand may not be a bad strategy. It's not like the Twins are saying "Give me an offer right now or all deals are off the table."
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    This sounds good in practice but having been married to a lawyer for several years, I have come to understand only one thing about law: It's incredibly complex and outside our ability as laymen to understand its nuances and those nuances are in place for very good reasons most of the time. According to my wife, if the U of M is using either administrative or contract law to expel these students, it's probably well within their right to do so. There are multiple courts and they often have overlapping jurisdiction. Just because the criminal courts failed to meet the threshold of an indictment does not exclude other, less rigorous, courts from pursuing the matter outside the criminal justice system. As Craig pointed out, this could quite easily be a twist on the OJ case, though without the financial aspect of civil court. While the criminal courts didn't meet their (most) exacting measurements to proceed, other courts/agencies can step in and deliver verdicts using their own laws/rules.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    The thing is, that's not how it works legally (if my wife is correct and, in fact, the U of M is granted rights under administrative law, something she did not have time to research this morning during our conversation). They're separate forms of law. The severity of the situation, to my knowledge, has no bearing on the rights of either court to enact judgment, the same way it works in civil and criminal suits. Two different courts, two different forms of law.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Yes, different courts have different thresholds of guilt/liability. My wife said the U's actions likely fall under administrative law, which is separate from criminal law. It's technically part of civil law but is handled differently with its own set of laws and courts. My wife said administrative law is incredibly complex but here's what I was able to glean from it: Think of the U of M like you do the Department of Health Services, as an agency with its own rights to both issue and revoke, say, licenses for day care centers. If a day care center violates the rules set in place by the DHS, they will revoke the day care center's license and levy fines against the center. None of this operates under either criminal or "normal" civil courts. Basically, my understanding is that administrative law is set up for agencies to operate somewhat independently of the traditional court system for speed and efficiency. My wife suspects the U falls under this situation, as the students are trying to move the cast into district (traditional) court.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Butch Huskey had to cancel due to a sick batting average.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't view it as tough on crime, I view it as part of the societal discussion that is long overdue on the "hunter" aspect of male sexuality and the "prey" aspect of female sexuality. At some point, we need to take a stance that this **** is not okay, particularly in higher learning establishments.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    It may not make it sexual assault but the players haven't been imprisoned. They haven't even been expelled (yet, anyway). They were suspended from a university. Their life is hardly over. This is a societal shift and it's going to be painful for awhile. For too long (since recorded history, really), women who have been assaulted have been the ones on trial. Yes, I understand the presumption of innocence and all of that - very important traits - but this kind of **** simply cannot continue to happen. There were plenty of opportunities for just one of these players to stand up and do the right thing while all this was going down. No one did, at least as far as I know. My problem with your opinion on this situation is that you're equating felony charges with expectations of a university. They shouldn't even be in the same ballpark and given the problematic history of sexual assault on university campuses, something had to be done to scream from the rooftops "THIS IS NOT OKAY". And if the students aren't even expelled, I'd say that's a quite mild lesson learned, far less than they probably deserve.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Well, the university published an 80 page examination of the incident. It appears they did their due diligence on the matter. My wife read about half of it but no way do I want to subject myself to that read. From the reactions I've heard of people who read the examination - or at least parts of it - the university was well within their rights to suspend the players involved.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    How so? The burden of proof for suspension from a university is not and should not be the same as a criminal case. Whether the sex was consensual or not, a bunch of football players - who are representatives of the university itself, whether they want to be or not - videotaped going one after another on a lone drunk girl. That in itself should be enough to get them the boot from the football team. Whether the girl consented or not is a police matter. Whether the students did something abominable - legal or not - is a university matter.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    I lean the same direction, though I'm not sure where it will fall in years 2-4.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Another tech stock I put a little money into last year was Square (about $1k). Got in around $10 and it stayed mostly flat but in the past few months, it has surged to $14 a share. I don't know if I'm confident enough in them to drop big money (for me, $3-5k), but I'm considering dropped another $1k or so into them to see what happens. They have the potential to be a market disruption. I don't think it will be a monster growth company, but I think they have the potential to turn into a profitable enterprise in the coming years as more small businesses begin to realize they can save a crapload of money on credit card processing (and take small business loans to grow).
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    If you're looking at a tech stock that is minimal risk, I'd consider Facebook. 1. Their P/E is a fraction of Amazon at 44. 2. They beat the consensus expectation every friggin' quarter. 3. Their profits rise almost every quarter. I don't know if there's a company out there that has made smarter purchases at a higher frequency than Facebook. When they picked up Instagram, people were questioning their methods. When they picked up WhatsApp, people were floored by the price they paid for the app. Today, both platforms are thriving and so is Facebook itself. WhatsApp in particular was a really smart pickup, despite its absurd price.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Another thing to remember about Amazon is that while their P/E is astronomical, two years ago they had never turned a profitable quarter as a company (or if they had, it was rare). Now they're turning a significant profit every quarter. If there's a company whose absurd P/E is warranted, it's probably Amazon. I'm not sure what the ceiling is on the company but it's very high. But, at some point, that P/E needs to normalize, which means the stock price will flatten. Not sure when that will happen, though.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    They're definitely the future and if you want to invest, now is the time. They've dropped at least $50 off their peak price from a few months ago. But I don't know if I'd invest in them at this point. I got in when they were around $330 and, obviously, made a great return on them... But at their current price point, I'd be more wary. But it really depends on the return and speed. As I said, they're down from their peak price right now and they look to dominate the future. While you won't see the 140%+ gains I'll see, you should see significant gains within a year, I suspect. I think they'll be back over $800 a share relatively soon.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    IMO, it's kind of ridiculous the lower rate kicks in at a single year. If you want to support long-term investing, market stability, and retirement savings, 3-5 years makes a lot more sense to me. Go easy on the people who invest long-term for stability and retirement, don't let the high-rollers and brokers get that rate after just 12 months.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep. My understanding is that if you hold a single stock for less than a year, it's 30 or 35% tax. If you hold it for more than a year, it's 15%. What you do with the money afterward is irrelevant. I'm going from hazy recollections, though... My numbers there may be off a bit. I haven't sold many "winners", though I've sold some modest losers over the past few years. I've never paid the higher rate in taxes because if I'm ready to get out of a stock, I've probably held it for more than a year.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    That's amazing, Mike. I'm nowhere near that point but I hope the next time I see a T-Mobile coming, I'll have $5-7k ready to jump on it. I don't know if I'm ready for a large leap like I made with Netflix - 100% gains in a month - but I was dead-set on T-Mobile in 2013 and that has turned into 125% gains. I just *knew* they were doing all the right things.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Damn. I really should have invested in Wells Fargo after the scandal. They're up 30-ish percent since their drop. On the upside, Polaris is working out well for me since I picked up more stock when it plummeted to $72. Now sitting at $86.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    There's a good chance that will happen but it's promising the Dodgers are in the conversation, as they're the best fit for the trade. They need Dozier and they have what the Twins need.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't think it's meaningless but I think downward plane is overrated. What comes with height is strength and leverage. Those matter but they're certainly not make-or-break attributes, as MLB pitchers have shown not only through history but also recent history.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm pretty wishy-washy on automated umpiring. On the pro side, it would make for a more competitive, better game of baseball. Removing human error from the situation leads to more accuracy and a better level of play. On the con side, it sucks much of the soul out of the game. Whether you love or hate human umpiring, something is lost when you look to a scoreboard to see the call instead of seeing a dynamic umpire throw out his arm and ring up a batter in a crucial situation. And sports are emotional. There's a human element that comes with a live umpire standing behind the catcher.
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