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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Both can be true. He can be a good prospect but also offer so little defensively and has such little experience that no team can afford to keep him on a roster for 162 games. With that said, Diaz isn't a great prospect but he is an intriguing one; a guy that needs to cook a little longer to see how he grows into being a hitter. IIRC, the guy just turned 21 a few weeks ago.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    I thought it was for book-keeping purposes, not actual payout. Again, really hazy memory here. I could easily be wrong.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    I thought I read somewhere the Twins deferred the posting fee over the length of the contract but my memory is pretty dodgy nowadays.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm fascinated by the Diaz decision. I get it, and I like the moxie of it, but it's a dangerous move. On the other hand, I can't imagine there's a team out there so willing to tank the season that they'll use a 25-man spot on a guy with no positional flexibility and hasn't hit above A ball. I suspect someone will try to pick him up but I don't think he'll make it an entire season on a 25-man roster.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    I think it has everything to do with proximity to the MLB team and virtually nothing to do with future ceiling. You keep the likes of Slegers and Boshers around because your commitment to them is low. If something better comes along, you let them go and pick up a better player. In short, there's nothing to be lost by keeping them around for awhile longer but if you're committing to someone like Rosario, you're planning to let him occupy 40-man roster space for a couple of seasons before he even pitches a game in Minnesota. As for guys like Burdi, I suspect the organization either has no faith in their ability to pitch and/or stay healthy or they're rolling the dice, expecting teams to pass on an oft-injured arm (or to pick him up and then return him to the Twins later in 2018). Either result allows the Twins to kick the can down the road on the player for another season and add them to the 40-man when he looks ready to pitch in Minnesota.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    That's not an underestimation, that's a front office trying to do what's best for a player and the coaching staff stepping in to say "hold up, we're working on something, let it play out". Isn't that how things are supposed to work?
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    I absolutely agree with the bolded. It would have made the latter unnecessary, too. At least it would have made a "soft add" unnecessary. The Twins would likely have been in the driver's seat for the second Wild Card (maybe even the first Wild Card) had they picked up a quality reliever, which would only have set them back $8m a season for 2-3 seasons.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, there was a ton of concern and discussion about Nishioka's ability to play in MLB at all, much less at short. You can look at the year preceding his move to MLB and say he was a great player but you're ignoring how much better he was in that single season than he was previously in his career.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah. Most of the changes they’ve made are either hard to quantify (coaching changes/additions) or won’t impact the MLB team for years (the draft).
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm sure they have final yay/nay input but I haven't seen any evidence they really get involved with contractual matters. They better not if they want to field a winning baseball team. Leave the roster decisions to the people who know how to build rosters. Of course, if there's a PR conflict of some kind, then maybe you get involved but that's not the case here. Anyway, I'd put the Twins chances of signing Darvish very low but I don't think the Pohlads will be the people making that decision. It'll likely come from Falvey and Levine, as it should. But, for all we know, they have zero interest in actually signing Darvish. We really have no baseline for how those two plan to operate a baseball franchise. We can evaluate their Cleveland/Texas moves but even then, we don't know which decisions were theirs and which came from their bosses.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    I guess I see your point but disagree that the front office was wrong in anything but results. Even if you expected an 85 win team to make the postseason (and expecting every team to essentially collapse in one variety or another), the Twins were pretty unlikely to reach that very modest win total (a total that usually leaves your team 2-3 games out of the second WC spot). And, to me, what matters is process. You can't predict anomalous results so you go with the numbers. Going with the numbers may result in minor losses over the short term but in the long term, you'll come out ahead.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Sure, but we're talking about a new front office. My point is that the money is available and it's the front office's decision how to spend that money. The owner controls payroll but generally doesn't get involved with how that payroll is allocated.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    They did it for Mauer seven years ago.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    How so? The Twins weren't particularly good in the second half of the season, the rest of the league was just... bad. The Twins had a very good August but weren't exactly lighting the world on fire in September, playing .500 ball for the month. A couple of hot streaks by breakout players fueled that modest run in August but let's not pretend that the Twins were some excellent team and the front office completely missed on the talent that was just waiting to break out in the fifth month of the season. The front office hedged their bets and were wrong because one can't predict random players like Escobar going ape**** or that Buxton would finally figure it out. These things happen with young teams and you can't predict when or where they will happen. What matters is how you react, which makes this offseason vitally important.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    I still can't believe the Twins will sign Darvish but that's because Falvey is from Cleveland and that's not how they operate over there. On the other hand, Levine is from Texas and that is how they operate over there.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Agreed. I watched Hunter a lot and he was a fantastic centerfielder but didn't have the speed of Buxton, nothing close to it. And I don't trust defensive metrics from that time in baseball, especially the outliers (I still have difficulty believing many of the outliers in the modern game).
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Impressive. Six out of eight guys in the top half of the rankings.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    1. Because Dozier didn't deserve this particular award. That's not a knock on Brian, as he had an excellent season. 2. A guy who at least deserved consideration, Mauer, didn't even make the finalist cut. I'm glad for Brian but I wish this award was based more on defensive merit and not reputation and/or offense.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    This is how I feel as well. You won't find a breakout/recovery guy on the cheap if you don't try. But that breakout/recovery guy is not a replacement for signing a legit arm as well.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Or Scott Kazmir. Or Jake Arrieta. Those kind of rebound/breakout pitchers aren't terribly uncommon, the trick is identifying them.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Thanks for all the fish.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    It seems to me that May would slot in nicely as the long man for the first few months of the season to get a read on where his breaking stuff is in 2018. Besides, need to keep his innings down anyway. If he's showing progress in July, consider moving him to the rotation.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    And defense would almost certainly be a downgrade with Dozier at the hot corner. Remember Trevor Plouffe? Most guys can't just pick up third base in Spring Training. Plouffe spent most of his MiLB career at short and was absolutely terrible at third base when he hit the majors.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm willing to trade anyone not named Berrios, Buxton, or Sano if it brings back pitching. Though I'd prefer to move a corner outfielder before I moved Polanco, seeing how I don't believe the Twins should retain Dozier past 2018. Jorge can slide over to second base while Gordon takes short.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Well, FIP excludes all non true outcome balls, which assumes a normalization of those balls. I'm not sure that's accurate given the Twins outfield defense and the pitching staff's general flyball tendencies.
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