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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    True. He was also playing in the FSL, a notorious pitching league. Change "2016 Gordon" to "2015 Gordon" and the point makes more sense.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    While that'd be great, it's an unreasonable expectation from any draft pick, particularly one in a draft where no clear 1-1 pick was available. If you can get an above average MLB starter from any pick, you did okay for yourself.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    I hated when the Twins did it to Polanco so I'm not going to advocate they do it to Romero. Call the guy when he's ready, don't disrupt his development for a game or two of play.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, but he's entirely disposable. Gonsalves is not. If Gonsalves was ready, I don't think we'd be seeing Wilk right now.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Unfortunately, there aren't any young starters. Gonsalves is probably next in line but he hasn't been going deep into games and he's not on the 40 man.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    I think he has a feel for it, he simply doesn't care. I hate to see him do it but damn, it's fun to watch a fearless defender.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    We'd be disappointed if he played like 2016 Gordon, sure. 2017 Gordon? I'd be thrilled with that. Nick's OPS is over .850 as a 21 year old in AA. What more can you expect than that? If Gordon continues rolling all season, he'll be a top 30 prospect in baseball.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Overall for the season? Maybe not. But since his disastrous start (52 PAs, .257 OPS), he has improved considerably (149 PAs, .743 OPS).
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    That's the plan.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Definitely not making excuses for that strategy. I was speaking more about the plethora of TJ surgeries, the overall injuries, and just weird crap like Stewart not being able to miss a bat despite throwing 94mph. A fair amount of that is likely a development problem, though.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm about 90% sure I'm going to clear my stocks and pay off my mortgage. I'm tech-heavy, as most of you know. The market just took a big dip last week. Earnings season is a little over a month away. If you were in my place, what's your exit strategy?
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    That's because the Twins don't have very good pitchers. They drafted Stewart and Jay and acquired guys like Thorpe, Meyer, and Romero. Those are power pitchers who (should) miss bats. Unfortunately, Stewart continues to falter and Jay is back in the bullpen. Meyer is out of the organization entirely. The Twins have been drafting and signing power arms for quite some time, they've just done a very bad job of it (and also ran into what is likely more than their fair share of bad luck along the way).
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Zero, if they believed they had to pass up a 4 WAR shortstop to sign him. I can understand being disappointed about Greene - that's who I wanted to see the Twins draft - but given how the rest of their draft went, it's pretty hard to complain, in my opinion. It appears they got what they believe to be four top 80 or so guys, two of them top 30 guys. That's a good draft. Now only time will tell if they're right.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, Carlson was just a placeholder for "Player X, probably Pitcher X". I used him specifically because so many here wanted to see him drafted. And good point about mechanics. It shouldn't be ignored that Enlow also has a curve with a good spin rate. I suspect that was a big part of the decision. You can teach a slider or change but from what I've read, teaching a curve with good spin is a feel pitch. A guy either has it or he doesn't.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    The second day of the draft impressed the hell out of me. It was the first time I've seen this front office plan and execute a strategy we're not used to seeing from a Twins front office. Sure, the Castro signing was good and smart but it was one signing. Inversely, they let me down with their bullpen strategy. So far this season, they've made a few decent moves but have been handcuffed by injuries so there's not a lot good to report on that front. But the draft looked like it was meticulously planned and executed. Sure, maybe they missed on Carlson but everybody misses at least once every draft. They recovered, stuck to a strategy, and executed well in the eyes of most analysts. That's all I can ask for at this point because only time will tell if they picked the right guys. Right now, all we can judge is the process and the process looks pretty good.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Nope. Enlow is the best pitcher acquired on day two. He was #14 overall on Keith Law's board, I believe. He was #29 on MLB's board. In other words, first round talent. The Twins haven't pursued "pitch to contact" guys in years. That myth needs to die. The Twins have been all about power arms for almost a decade, unfortunately they've done a piss-poor job of picking which power arms to pursue.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    It seems to me like you're really focusing on minutia. As it turns out, the Twins did get Enlow in the third. Maybe it was a big risk. I'm not sure it was, as Enlow was widely considered first-round talent who needed big money to be lured away from LSU. Who else had $1.5m above slot in the second round? It's damned tough to backfill $1.5m in rounds 3-10, as the draft pool amounts are small. You need to find that kind of money at the top of the draft, which the Twins did. Draft picks 2-5 appear to be slot guys, or close to it. And by the time you reach Oakland at pick six, their first round slot money is already down to $5.3m, or $2.5m lower than the Twins. And then, to top it off, the Twins went underslot in both the 1s and 2nd round. They had a boatload of cash on hand at that point and probably got on the horn to Enlow immediately (if they hadn't already talked to him earlier in the day). Was it a risk? Sure. Was it a big risk? I'm not seeing it. If you're going to find Enlow money, you need to do it in the first round, probably at the top of the first round. No one did that except the Twins. And, in the end, it worked so who cares?
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    How is it not true that the Twins had the most money? The Twins had far and away the most money going into the third round of the draft. They had the biggest pool and went underslot with their first three picks.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    It's possible other teams had the room to sign Enlow but the Twins had the most money. They had the largest overall pool and were the only team to go underslot with all three picks.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    True, but I suspect the Twins were confident no one had the slot money to pursue Enlow after they grabbed Leach. I'm sure it was something of a gamble but I'm not sure how much. And I think it's important to note they basically had the *only* shot at Enlow today. If they couldn't wrangle a deal with him overnight, no one could. And if they couldn't come to a deal with Enlow, they could pursue other (likely far less upside) guys with their picks today.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    One thing to consider about picking Leach first is that it gave the Twins an entire night to negotiate with Enlow, knowing no one could steal him away. Once the draft ended last night, the Twins were in the driver's seat in negotiating a hard price on the guy. If he wouldn't bite, then you move on to other players. There shouldn't have been any guesswork this morning. They either had a price negotiated with Enlow or they didn't.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    No, but thank you. I'm intentionally unemployed because we're nearing the end of the foster care application process. Still, makes it tough to drop to a single income. Well, mostly single... I still bring in money but only about 1/6th what I did working full-time.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    It's not about it being easier to trade, it's about going with players that deliver a higher hit rate and then trading off excess for something that fails more often, especially at lower levels. I'm just making up these numbers but if positional players hit at 70% and pitchers hit at 55%, how hard is is going to be to stockpile positional players to shuffle around for pitching as you need it? It won't be easy but it won't be impossible, either, particularly if you throw a little excess into the deal to make it happen. And the pitcher you get in return is going to be more of a sure thing than the guy you would have drafted, particularly any prep arm. And it's not as if the Twins are ignoring pitching, they've taken arms in rounds 3+.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    It's not stupid if you're generally risk-averse and gain a daily quality of life from not owing anyone money.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    No, it's not easy but it's not impossible, either. The 2016 Indians, who went seven games in the World Series, drafted zero players in their rotation. What I don't get is how people who generally accept advanced baseball strategy are so reluctant to accept that this is a legit strategy used by modern teams. Is it a good strategy in the long run? Well, I guess we'll find out sooner or later.
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